DawgTalkers.net
Posted By: Milk Man Covid-19: Again - 09/16/20 01:45 AM
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/16/20 02:07 AM
Please be true.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/16/20 01:13 PM
This one sounds very promising.
Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/16/20 03:47 PM
The Hill... Fake News. wink poke rofl


JK..(above)


Would be awesome if this report is true and viable.


Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/16/20 05:07 PM
This would be wonderful!
Posted By: Rishuz Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/16/20 09:38 PM
Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog
Please be true.


My first thought as well.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/23/20 01:57 PM
So we've topped 200K deaths now. So freaking sad.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/23/20 04:36 PM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
So we've topped 200K deaths now. So freaking sad.


Well not really. I mean most of those people had preexisting conditions. Right?

banghead
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/23/20 04:54 PM
j/c

Coronavirus cases grow in more than half of U.S. states pushing nationwide number higher

Coronavirus cases in the U.S. are beginning to rebound following weeks of reported declines after a peak over the summer.

New cases were growing by 5% or more, based on a seven-day average to smooth out the reporting, in 29 states and Washington D.C. as of Monday, according to a CNBC analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

Nationwide, daily coronavirus cases have grown nearly 20% compared with a week ago, moving above 43,300 new cases on average.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/22/coronavirus-cases-grow-in-more-than-half-of-us-states.html

Full article and graph on the link.
Posted By: bonefish Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/23/20 05:15 PM

This pandemic has been the worst enemy this country has faced.

My heart breaks for all the families who have suffered.


Please make this work. The world needs help.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/25/20 12:06 AM
https://www.yahoo.com/sports/father-of-b...-212117876.html
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/25/20 01:20 AM
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/25/20 08:08 AM
Really interesting studies that came out yesterday:

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/09/...vid-19-patients
Posted By: 3rd_and_20 Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/28/20 07:03 PM
j/c:

CDC stunning new survival rates for Covid…

https://www.citizenfreepress.com/column-...sm-goes-silent/
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/28/20 07:20 PM
205,000 and counting.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/28/20 11:26 PM
Originally Posted By: 3rd_and_20
j/c:

CDC stunning new survival rates for Covid…

https://www.citizenfreepress.com/column-...sm-goes-silent/


Throwing politics out of this since this is NOT the political forum, this report is actually great news! Glad to hear it.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 12:03 AM
I cannot find a link to that report and cannot find it on the cdc website.

The cdc is reporting a little over 7 million cases and a little over 204,000 deaths. My math has that at roughly 2.9%.

And while the death rates may be going down, I am still seeing deaths in all age groups.

My hospital (the only one in the county) was down to 12 covid patients in the hospital sometime 4-6 weeks ago. Most recent update had us at 39. And my county is 25th in number of covid cases in the state of NC.

They are also reporting 310,000 new cases in the US in the past week. Even if only 0.1% die that is 310 people.

With the massive volume of infections that ae still occurring, even a small percentage of deaths still results in a large number of actual deaths. So we need to cut down the total number of infections. And we can do that easily by getting people to simply wear masks but people are to stubborn, selfish, and obstinate to do so. The most recent information i have seen is that only 51% to 59% of people always wear masks in public. If we can get that to 90%, heck even 80%, we can make a huge impact in the number of deaths. But more than that, we'd be able to get the R0 (R naught - number of new infections from one infected person) to <1 which is what we need to do do get this out of a pandemic status.


Here is my link to the cdc numbers.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesinlast7days

Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 03:08 AM
Anybody that thinks this is not as dangerous as the thing we hid from for months is blowing smoke up their own ass IMHO. The politics of today are doing us no favors during a pandemic, we could have handled this so much better during bipartisan times.
Posted By: JulesDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 02:40 PM
It's Not in My Head': They Survived the Coronavirus, but They Never Got Well

Sarah Mervosh
Mon, September 28, 2020, 3:15 PM EDT


They caught the coronavirus months ago and survived it, but they are still stuck at home, gasping for breath. They are no longer contagious, but some feel so ill that they can barely walk around the block, and others grow dizzy trying to cook dinner. Month after month, they rush to the hospital with new symptoms, pleading with doctors for answers.

As the coronavirus has spread through the United States over seven months, infecting at least 7 million people, some subset of them are now suffering from serious, debilitating and mysterious effects of COVID-19 that last far longer than a few days or weeks.

This group of patients wrestling with an array of alarming symptoms many months after first getting ill — they have come to call themselves “long-haulers” — are believed to number in the thousands. Their circumstances, still little understood by the medical community, may play a significant role in shaping the country’s ability to recover from the pandemic.

By some estimates, as many as 1 in 3 COVID-19 patients will develop symptoms that linger. The symptoms can span a wide range — piercing chest pain, deep exhaustion, a racing heart. Those affected include young and otherwise healthy people. One theory is that an overzealous immune system plays a role.

Some are unable to work. Many may need long-term medical care.

Still, many say their biggest challenge is getting other people simply to believe them.

“There is just a lot of misunderstanding,” said Marissa Oliver, 36, who, long after she experienced classic virus symptoms, dragged herself to an urgent care clinic in New York because she was still struggling to breathe. The medical professional’s advice? Go home and have a glass of wine.

“I started sobbing in the lobby,” Oliver said, adding that she was misdiagnosed as having anxiety. “I’ve never been this sick in my life.”

In interviews, four people struggling with lingering conditions long after they had the coronavirus described their experiences. Their words have been edited and condensed for clarity.

199 DAYS SINCE SYMPTOMS BEGAN

‘I was a weight lifter, kayaker, hiker, white-water rafter. I can’t do anything right now.’

Karla Monterroso, 39, of Los Angeles, leads an organization that advocates for the representation of Black and Latinx people in tech, but has not been able to work full time since March. She could not get tested until about a month after she first fell ill, and only recently tested positive for coronavirus antibodies.

Before this, I was a weight lifter, kayaker, hiker, white-water rafter. I can’t do anything right now, physically, without harming myself. It’s like someone cut your battery pack in half and doubled the charging time. I have to prep myself mentally for a shower.

The first few months, I didn’t believe myself. Is this in my head? When I got the antibody test a few weeks ago saying I had a positive antibody test, I sobbed for like an hour. I was like, it is written on paper that this is what happened to me. Before then, you’re sitting there constantly questioning your own body, and no one in the medical community believes you.

There has been no public health campaign about this. I have relatives that believe if you have hot water and lemon, this will cure COVID. I have relatives that believe that I am sick because I work too much.

I could have just as easily been exposed to this thing and not have had symptoms and be fine today. There is no control over this. It is all Russian roulette, and you can minimize your times up at bat, but you can’t zero them out. That is a very uncomfortable truth.

189 DAYS SINCE SYMPTOMS BEGAN

‘At one point, I was thinking about a will. I was thinking I wasn’t going to make it.’

Candace Taylor, 38, was working in the billing and collections department of an Atlanta hospital when she tested positive for the virus in March. She described long-term coronavirus symptoms and a worsening of a previous chronic pain condition.

I’ve had chest pain every day since March. I’ve developed internal shaking. I get the dizzy spells. I’ve developed tachycardia. Tiny blood clots. Ear popping. I’ve lost my voice. There are days I go without talking. I kept asking, when is this going to stop? I couldn’t lay flat. I had to sleep in a recliner for over 2 1/2 months. At one point, I was thinking about a will. I was thinking I wasn’t going to make it.

I have not been able to work. My job consists of speaking eight to 12 hours. With me being hoarse, I can’t even talk 15 minutes.

I have not gotten paid from my employer since May. My disability was denied. It’s like this disbelief. They don’t believe me and thousands of us COVID long-haulers that have these symptoms.

76 DAYS SINCE SYMPTOMS BEGAN

‘It’s not in my head.’

Tony Pinero, 57, owned a ride share business in Las Vegas before testing positive for the virus in July.

They say you don’t have COVID anymore, you are COVID-free, but that is not true. Now I have post-COVID, and post-COVID seems like it’s worse. I still have the headaches. I still feel dizzy. The thing that worries me the most is me being winded all the time. It’s hard for me to walk up the stairs.

This has been such a detriment to my business that my business is virtually closed. I can’t drive.

My doctor is saying, ‘Hey, Tony, it’s just in your head.’ No it’s not. It’s not in my head. I don’t want to sit here and not be able to breathe. I don’t want to sit here and stay and do nothing. I want to go to work. I have to pay my car payments. I’ve got to pay my credit cards. I’ve got to pay my bills. Why would I want to sit at home?

188 DAYS SINCE SYMPTOMS BEGAN

‘It’s like one big cocktail to make you anxious, frustrated, depressed.’

Manuella Fehertoi, a bank worker in Middletown, New Jersey, tested positive for the virus in March. At 61, she had a history of asthma, and was hospitalized for seven days. Since then, she has been on oxygen at home and unable to work.

It’s depressing. I am still as sick as I was back then. I still have spikes of my fever. I still have spikes of chest pain or difficulty breathing. There are days I can barely come out of bed. I had a minor stroke at the end of May. Still, today, the upper right side of my face is numb.

Don’t get me started on my hair loss. I try not to look in the mirror too much, because it is just devastating. I used to color my hair and get all make up going. I look like I have aged 20 years. There is no shame, but it’s not me.

When people are for so long feeling this bad, constantly in pain, constantly in such anxiety of the unknown, they turn to the doctor, and the doctors don’t know either. That starts to bring you down, that starts to be part of your life. It’s like one big cocktail to make you anxious, frustrated, depressed. I just want to get back to being me. Lively, funny. I loved my job. I loved the people I worked with. Doing things with my children. Going to the beach, swimming, playing tennis. I can’t do anything. I can’t even walk around my backyard.


https://news.yahoo.com/not-head-survived...mp;uh_test=2_15
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 02:59 PM
Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog
Originally Posted By: 3rd_and_20
j/c:

CDC stunning new survival rates for Covid…

https://www.citizenfreepress.com/column-...sm-goes-silent/


Throwing politics out of this since this is NOT the political forum, this report is actually great news! Glad to hear it.


Im confused. How different is this from the rates we’ve heard about since March?

This looks like it averages to about a 0.6% death rate given that about 1 in 10 people are over 70.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 03:21 PM
To follow up (now that i am not just on a phone)....

Here is a May Report from the CDC claiming a 0.4% IFR among symptomatic cases. They couple that with a 35% asymptomatic rate, to guess at an IFR of about 0.3%

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/22/health/cdc-coronavirus-estimates-symptoms-deaths/index.html

Using these numbers from Statista on the US population:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/

328.2M people

36.3M are above age 70
80.5M are between 50-69
129.8M are between 20-49
81.7M are between 0-20

**on tablet, had to do this in my head - i think it is right....***

Then, the average IFR is just

(36.3/328.2) * (1-0.946) + (80.5/328.2) * (1-0.995) + (129.8/328.2)* (1-0.9998) + (81.7/328.2)* (1-0.99997) = 0.72%

So actually, it’s nearly twice as bad as the May estimate from the CDC...

I guess putting the numbers in survival rates, and spitting up the ages makes it look a lot better?

**This works under the assumption that different ages get the coronavirus at the same rate. If old people don’t go out in public, then the efffective IFR among people who get coronavirus goes down.


Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 06:54 PM
SHHHH covid is not dangerous. It's all made up, it's not serious. Only 1 percent of the population dies. I don't need to social distance that's freakin stupid. I don't need to lose all of my personal freedom and wear a stupid mask that I don't like. It's not worse than a damn cold. If your old and sick just stay at home all alone so we can party like we are rock stars.



Biting my tongue before I really go off and get myself in trouble.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 07:58 PM
You've got a political agenda to grind with your factual scientific statements, GM.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/29/20 09:50 PM
I have a agenda and I freely admit that.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 12:11 AM
You seem to know quite a bit about this subject. I just read your post and I have to ask...

Are you saying that the the media, some members of the public, and even posters on this board knew what the percentages of the survival/death rates were for each age group for a long time?

If that is true, why in God's name would they keep that information from us? My two kids tested positive. I know jfan's son tested positive. Other folks on here have had loved one test positive. I know my wife and I were worried sick and people kept these numbers from us? Do I have that right?

And before anyone goes off...........I KNOW that Covid is real. I practice all the safe habits. I can prove that I have been a proponent of the restrictions all along. I think we should continue to practice being safe.

I just don't like being misled. And this is probably a political discussion, but I'm really irritated right now. The more I learn, the more I think that the deaths are to people who are people who were in groups that die from all kinds of things, such as pneumonia, dementia, diabetes, complications from obesity, internal concerns, cancer patients, broken hips, etc.

And once again..........I am NOT saying this is a hoax or we should not practice safe habits. We should do all we can to keep those people safer. However, I think the fact that the media has kept this information from us is some BS! I sure as hell wish my wife and I would have had this information when both of our children tested positive!

I'm furious w/the media!
Posted By: bbrowns32 Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 12:12 AM
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
SHHHH covid is not dangerous. It's all made up, it's not serious. Only 1 percent of the population dies.



Let me get this straight. You're OK with 70 million around the world dying, 3.5 million in the U.S. And you're saying it's not serious? Alrighty...
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 12:13 AM
Originally Posted By: bbrowns32
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
SHHHH covid is not dangerous. It's all made up, it's not serious. Only 1 percent of the population dies.



Let me get this straight. You're OK with 70 million around the world dying, 3.5 million in the U.S. And you're saying it's not serious? Alrighty...


He was being sarcastic.
Posted By: bbrowns32 Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 12:29 AM
Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog
Originally Posted By: bbrowns32
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
SHHHH covid is not dangerous. It's all made up, it's not serious. Only 1 percent of the population dies.



Let me get this straight. You're OK with 70 million around the world dying, 3.5 million in the U.S. And you're saying it's not serious? Alrighty...


He was being sarcastic.


I would certainly hope so, but it wasn't obvious from his post...
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 01:02 AM
3.5 million u.s. citizens have died?
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 03:55 AM
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
I have a agenda and I freely admit that.
HE SAID AGENDA NOT MANGINA! Can't take you anywhere.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 05:52 AM
Originally Posted By: archbolddawg
3.5 million u.s. citizens have died?


GM was clearly being sarcastic.... 3.5M comes from his "1%" number.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 11:53 AM
100 percent sarcasm
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 12:24 PM
Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog

Are you saying that the the media, some members of the public, and even posters on this board knew what the percentages of the survival/death rates were for each age group for a long time?


I think this has been public? Though it is not usually among the top-reported numbers in the United States (maybe it has been stressed more in Europe?).

But I think the “~0.5%” death rate and “hits elderly the hardest and seems to spare kids” have both been reported pretty consistently by the media.

One thing that is important - I think — is that the “relative death rates between young people and old people” are fairly similar to things like the seasonal flu. Covid-19 is about 5-20x as deadly as the flu for young adults, 5-20x as deadly as the flu for middle-aged adults, and 5-20x as deadly as the flu for elderly adults. It does appear to spare kids a bit — It is more like 3-5x as deadly as the flu for kids.

The second thing that is important — is that this is a very new virus — and it is very difficult to figure out exactly how deadly it is. We have had tests for the flu for decades, we had to make up the Covid-19 tests from scratch. We know a lot about how many flu cases are asymptomatic - we didn’t know that for Covid-19. That makes researchers very hesitant to subdivide the data too much. We knew that kids rarely died from Coronavirus - but because we have no idea how many are asymptomatic, people are very hesitant to quote a number.


Quote:

If that is true, why in God's name would they keep that information from us? My two kids tested positive. I know jfan's son tested positive. Other folks on here have had loved one test positive. I know my wife and I were worried sick and people kept these numbers from us? Do I have that right?


I’m sorry your family went through that. I think the uncertainty of this disease is very scary for a lot of people.

The other side, of this - I think — is that the uncertainty makes a lot of people underestimate this. This disease really is **much** more deadly than the flu — for adults of every age. And we saw in NYC how the death rate spikes (even for younger people) when the hospital system becomes overwhelmed. It also becomes much more dangerous for Doctors and Nurses who are overrun trying to treat people. I’ve had several friends tell me about having to intubate probable Covid patients without masks, because the cases were coming in so fast that it was impossible to prepare.

Looking at all the data — I do honestly believe that we’d be around a million deaths today had we done nothing. (That is, no restaurant closures, no work from home, no social distancing etc.)

The panic, and the shutdown have real implications - but I think they have also saved a lot of lives.

Quote:

And before anyone goes off...........I KNOW that Covid is real. I practice all the safe habits. I can prove that I have been a proponent of the restrictions all along. I think we should continue to practice being safe.


That’s great - and I think it’s really all we can do (depending on your work and home environment, some people can do more or less.

Quote:

I just don't like being misled. And this is probably a political discussion, but I'm really irritated right now. The more I learn, the more I think that the deaths are to people who are people who were in groups that die from all kinds of things, such as pneumonia, dementia, diabetes, complications from obesity, internal concerns, cancer patients, broken hips, etc.


I feel like the numbers that were reported are **too** biased the other way. All of the “bad” is hidden in the 70+ number on the bottom right. But that number is really bad! The 50-69 number is pretty bad too, a 0.5% chance of death is really big.

Quote:

And once again..........I am NOT saying this is a hoax or we should not practice safe habits. We should do all we can to keep those people safer. However, I think the fact that the media has kept this information from us is some BS! I sure as hell wish my wife and I would have had this information when both of our children tested positive!

I'm furious w/the media!


Again - the situation is super scary when loved ones are at risk. And I’m sorry that you didn’t realize that - especially for kids — it is very likely that they will be fine.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 02:47 PM
Thanks for the response. It sounds genuine to me and I agree w/much of what you say. I was a bit emotional because I felt we were being lied to by the media. I did do a lot of research on the dangers of the virus, but I never bothered to research the survival rates. It bothers me that the media and certain posters on here did not let us know about those numbers because it would have helped ease the angst many of us endured.

I do get that it may have saved lives because we were all more cautious. I'm still processing how I feel about this. I'm probably more upset w/myself than anything. I knew better than to trust Trump and other politicians when they downplayed the virus. I should have also known not to trust the media and certain posters on here for accurate information.

But again, thanks for the response. I appreciate it.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 05:19 PM
One thing that I think the media is really bad at is “individual stories”

Sure, only 0.003% of Children who get Coronavirus die. But if 10M kids get the disease over the course of a year — that is still about 1 child death every day. I don’t know if the media is doing something wrong by writing about every child (every child death is a big deal, especially in their local community!) — but it definitely makes it feel like every child is dying...

To some extent - this is a big issue with the internet - which I don’t think anybody knows how to deal with yet. 20 years ago, those stories would be limited to local news. Now every one can get retweeted around the world and we are inundated with them.

I’m not sure if I heard this (and forgot the source) or made it up — but I think it is useful to think of things in terms of “billion person theory”. Which is — to say — there are 6 billion people in this world. That means, that every day, 6 billion days are lived. The average person only lives 30,000 days. Every day, 200,000 full lives are lived.

So think for a second about the (craziest, saddest, scariest, happiest, most unlikely, most coincidental, most meaningful) moment of your life. If you are living an average life — then there are 200,000 similar things happening every day in this world. And probably half of them are even more extreme. So every day, 100,000 things happen that are scarier than anything you will ever expereience, and sadder, and more ironic, and happier, etc. etc.

If you read all the stories of these events, it would be totally overwhelming. The brain isn’t good at contextualizing all that experience. We aren’t prepared for this, because — until recently — the daily world for most people only consisted of a local community of 100s or thousands of people.

I don’t know that the media is purposefully lying, or has a particular objective. The internet (and the interconnectivity of the world) is new, and hard to deal with. Their job is to get every notable story out there — and when the story is big — it can quickly become overwhelming.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 05:22 PM
I don't know either. But one thing I notice about such things. When you have someone in power claiming children are immune and how it doesn't effect children, you will have those who know better coming out strongly to show that it isn't true, when it isn't.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 05:55 PM
Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
I don't know either. But one thing I notice about such things. When you have someone in power claiming children are immune and how it doesn't effect children, you will have those who know better coming out strongly to show that it isn't true, when it isn't.


Yeah - “children are not affected” is pretty hyperbolic.

Children are dying by the thousands is also hyperbolic — and I want to agree with you — scientists haven’t said that. And the News Media (at least responsible members — media is so hard to define these days) haven’t said that either.

Where I think Vers is correct - is that the endless stories about Children dying can make it appear that it is thousands of Children dying per day. When in fact the individual risk to a Child who gets Covid is relatively low.

OTOH, they also close schools during flu outbreaks - and Covid-19 is more dangerous to kids than the flu. I don’t know what the right risk/reward is.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 06:16 PM
I tend to leave that up to healthcare professionals.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 09/30/20 09:55 PM
Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
I tend to leave that up to healthcare professionals.


I agree - though when you talk about multi-month shutdowns, I think professional economists should also play some role.

I think the scientists and doctors are doing their best - under very trying circumstances.

I think the shutdowns were, without a doubt the right policy.

I think if we could have got more people on board (which would have required us being less polarized as a nation) - we could have saved 100K lives - and been back to something that is closer to normality now.

I think that shutdowns are really really hard on a lot of people (both economically and personally) and that we shouldn’t discount the need for people to see each other and live lives.

I think maybe we should translate some of our newfound compassion to how we treat prisoners...
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/01/20 04:26 AM
https://www.yahoo.com/news/super-healthy-19-old-college-161300588.html

This is why I don't talk about population percentages for individuals.
This kid shouldn't have died but he did.

My mental approach is that for each individual patient (whether it is covid or something else life threatening) is that their survival is either 100% or zero. My job is to do anything and everything I can to push that patient toward the 100%.

On a related note, these percentages being referred to have been out there for a long time. And while exact numbers were not always mentioned, it was thrown in our faces over and over that the mortality risk significantly increased with age.

I don't know how much I posted here in the Spring, I was a little preoccupied, but I spent a lot of time trying to explain to people that, yes, the older you are the more likely you are to get really sick, but this is not just a disease of old people. Telling people that this week I have a 50 year old and two 40 year olds on the vent, or that now I have a previously healthy 24 year old on the ventilator.

So when I hear this president tell us that young people don't get sick, then have a young person on the brink of death or read a story like above, I frankly get pissed off. And I will leave it at that because this is not the political and if I keep going on, you will 2 pages on the federal governments mismanagement and lies related to covid.
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/01/20 03:29 PM
Some positive news, from Italy no less.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54356335
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/01/20 08:17 PM
Found out I was in contact with COVID positive patients last week. I was not made aware of their status until today. I thankfully had my monthly COVID test done on Monday. I’m awaiting results.
I treat everyone I come in contact with, besides my girlfriend, as though they are positive. At work I’m crazy diligent about my PPE. Coming home from seeing clients I strip in the garage... etc.
It’s all getting really old, fast. I miss my life, my career, before all this.
I know for the average person, that this may effect directly very little, it must seem like such a bore by now. I really do understand this.
But I don’t get a break. I don’t get to let my guard down.
Please stay diligent. If not for you, do it for the rest of us schlubs that have no choice but to face it.

Plea/rant over.
Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 10:56 AM
Hope it comes back negative.
How long is it taking to get results these days?

I expect with flu season starting soon, that we will begin seeing an upward trend in infections again very soon.

Or if we are lucky, all the sniffling, sneezing, coughing people will entice more people to mask up.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 01:23 PM
I’m hoping my result will be in today. We got our results back in two days last time. The lab must be busier this time around.
I don’t normally get a flu shot. I’ll be getting one next week. Anything I can do to boost my immune system for the coming winter I’ll take. My hope is mask wearing and social distancing will keep the flu numbers down this year.
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 01:40 PM
I've had to take a couple tests, and I've seen the CVS do-it-yourself test come back earlier than estimated, while the "brain poke" at urgent care took MUCH longer.

Thinking about you and hoping you get a good result.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 02:58 PM
Very useful graphic I saw today:

.


Edit: Larger, easier to read version, but messes up formatting here:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjToVjMXgAIjfsL?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 03:12 PM
Thank you for that.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 03:29 PM
Praying for you buddy.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 06:22 PM
Hoping for the best for you. I know this must be very hard on you having no real break from what the rest of us deal with on the daily. In comparison, most of us don't have to live it most every hour of every day.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/02/20 09:27 PM
Originally Posted By: Lyuokdea
Very useful graphic I saw today:

.


Edit: Larger, easier to read version, but messes up formatting here:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjToVjMXgAIjfsL?format=jpg&name=4096x4096


Looks like the rates/percentages have held steady since the onset of things. With the exception of actually have a percentage for asymptomatics, the rest seem to be just about exactly what we we talking about back in March.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/03/20 12:31 PM
Coronavirus vaccine trial participants report day-long exhaustion, fever and headaches — but say it’s worth it

KEY POINTS


  • High fever, body aches, headaches and exhaustion are some of the symptoms participants in Moderna and Pfizer’s coronavirus vaccine trials say they felt after receiving the shots.
  • While the symptoms were uncomfortable, and at times intense, they often went away after a day, sometimes less.
  • The phase three trials are a critical last step needed to get the vaccines cleared for distribution.


Luke Hutchison woke up in the middle of the night with chills and a fever after taking the Covid-19 booster shot in Moderna’s vaccine trial. Another coronavirus vaccine trial participant, testing Pfizer’s candidate, similarly woke up with chills, shaking so hard he cracked a tooth after taking the second dose.

High fever, body aches, bad headaches and exhaustion are just some of the symptoms five participants in two of the leading coronavirus vaccine trials say they felt after receiving the shots.

In interviews, all five participants — three in Moderna’s study and two in Pfizer’s late-stage trials — said they think the discomfort is worth it to protect themselves against the coronavirus. Four of them asked not to be identified, but CNBC reviewed documentation that verified their participation in the trials.

While the symptoms were uncomfortable, and at times intense, they often went away after a day, sometimes sooner, according to three participants in the Moderna trial and one in Pfizer’s as well as a person close to another participant in Moderna’s trial.

The phase three trials are a critical last step needed to get the vaccines cleared for distribution. At least 41 Covid-19 vaccines are in human trials worldwide but only four U.S.-backed candidates are in phase three: Moderna, Pfizer, AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson. Health officials expect to have at least one safe and effective vaccine by the end of the year.

Double-blind

The trials, which each have tens of thousands of participants, are double-blind, meaning half of them are receiving saline or another placebo and patients don’t know what treatment they are receiving. The health care worker administering the vaccine is also in the dark. While it’s possible some of the symptoms described could be attributed to an unrelated illness, Moderna and Pfizer previously said some participants in their phase one trials experienced mild Covid-19 symptoms. But Pfizer said it was in a minority of its cases. The trials are also still ongoing, so it remains to be seen how many participants who received the vaccine will report side effects.

Hutchison, a 44-year-old computational biologist in Utah, said he signed up for Moderna’s phase three trial because he’s healthy, physically fit and a big believer in vaccines. He specifically wanted to support Moderna’s effort, as he was intrigued by the company’s RNA-based approach. While still experimental, mRNA vaccines potentially offer faster development and production times, which could be a major benefit during a global pandemic that has led to more than 1 million fatalities.

“I had a high degree of confidence it would work and I wanted to contribute to the solution,” Hutchison said.

Bed bound

After getting the first shot on Aug. 18, he said he felt a little under the weather for several days with a low-grade fever. He got his second shot at a clinic on Sept. 15. Eight hours later, he said he was bed bound with a fever of over 101, shakes, chills, a pounding headache and shortness of breath. He said the pain in his arm, where he received the shot, felt like a “goose egg on my shoulder.” He hardly slept that night, recording that his temperature was higher than 100 degrees for five hours.

After 12 hours, Hutchison said he felt back to normal and his energy levels returned. Having signed a lengthy consent form, Hutchison was aware that he might experience symptoms. But he was still struck by the severity and duration, tweeting on Sept. 16 that he experienced “full on Covid-like symptoms.”

Two other participants in the Moderna trial, who asked to remain confidential because they feared backlash from the company, reported similar side effects. Likewise, one participant in the Pfizer trial said he experienced more severe symptoms than he expected.

Moderna and Pfizer have acknowledged that their vaccines could induce side effects that are similar to symptoms associated with mild Covid-19, such as muscle pain, chills and headache. As companies progressed through clinical trials, several vaccine makers abandoned their highest doses following reports of more severe reactions.

Infectious disease specialist Florian Krammer of New York’s Mount Sinai said on Twitter that the side effects reported in Moderna’s phase one trial are “unpleasant but not dangerous.” It remains to be seen whether kids and pregnant women will experience similar symptoms.

Short-term pain

If approved, the Covid-19 vaccine would not be the first to cause short-term pain and discomfort in some recipients. “It’s a simple fact that some vaccines are more unpleasant to take than others,” Stat News’ Helen Branswell recently wrote.

One North Carolina woman in the Moderna study who is in her 50s said she didn’t experience a fever but suffered a bad migraine that left her drained for a day and unable to focus. She said she woke up the next day feeling better after taking Excedrin, but added that Moderna may need to tell people to take a day off after a second dose.

She said other people in the trial have joined a couple of private Facebook groups and have shared similar experiences. She said members of the groups also reported a fever and pain in the arm similar to getting a tetanus shot, adding “you’re not going to be lifting weights or working out.”

“If this proves to work, people are going to have to toughen up,” she said. “The first dose is no big deal. And then the second dose will definitely put you down for the day for sure. ... You will need to take a day off after the second dose.”

Worth the risk

She said while uncomfortable, the apparent side effects are worth the risk of not getting Covid-19. “My hope is that this works but also that the communication [on side effects] is good,” she added.

A Maryland participant in his late 20s said he experienced nausea after the first shot, but it wasn’t until the second that he “really felt things.”

He said he woke up at 1 a.m. with chills and a 104 fever. He said the fever went down after he took Advil and Tylenol but it lasted until around 8 p.m. He said Moderna promptly responded, calling him within an hour after he reported his symptoms in the app.

“I wasn’t sure if I needed to go to the hospital or not because 104 is pretty high,” he said. “But other than that, it’s been fine.”

Side effects

Pfizer’s phase one study showed “short-lived fever, mostly mild to moderate in severity, can be expected in a minority of recipients of BNT162b2 30mcg,” spokeswoman Jerica Pitts said.

“No safety signals have been identified in the study,” Pitts said in an email. “As discussed earlier, safety and tolerability of our vaccine candidate are continuously monitored by Pfizer qualified personnel and a DMC, an independent external data monitoring committee, which has access to unblinded data.”

A Moderna spokeswoman said the company does not comment on participants in ongoing clinical trials, but added that the safety committee “has recommended that the study continue as planned” at each review.

A spokesperson from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, which is helping to develop Moderna’s vaccine, declined to comment and referred CNBC to a press release and Q&A for information about how participant safety is being monitored. The NIAID is not involved with the Pfizer trial.

‘Educating the public’

Hutchison said he’s concerned that the pharmaceutical manufacturers have not sufficiently informed the public about potential side effects. If the vaccines are approved, he fears, it might cause a widespread backlash if word spreads, which is why he decided to go public now. Polls show some 35% of Americans say they won’t get a coronavirus vaccine when it is available, because of misinformation or mistrust.

The White House has dubbed its project to bring a vaccine to market in record time as “Operation Warp Speed,” which has raised concern that drugmakers may take shortcuts to produce one quickly. President Donald Trump’s push to have a vaccine ready before the Nov. 3 election also isn’t helping to allay those fears. The pharmaceutical companies tried to tamp down those doubts by releasing a joint statement in September that pledged to “stand with science,” rather than politics, saying the clinical trials won’t sacrifice safety or the effectiveness of a vaccine.

Kolina Koltai, a vaccine researcher at the University of Washington at the Center for an Informed Public, said using “speed” to describe a national vaccine campaign can be counterproductive, even if the trials are robust.

“I’m hearing from people who say they want other people to test it (the vaccine) first,” she said. “There’s a lot of uncertainty.”

Young people

Another challenge with the vaccine is that young people, who don’t tend to get as sick as people over 40, may not think they are at high risk for severe health outcomes if they get the virus. If they hear about side effects via word of mouth, they may not deem the vaccine to be worth it.

The vaccine is “fairly unusual,” said Dr. Peter Bach, an epidemiologist and director of the Center for Health Policy and Outcomes at Memorial Sloan-Kettering, because the benefits to some young and healthy groups may be “secondary” in nature.

In order words, getting a coronavirus vaccine — like wearing a mask — may be an act of service to help protect others. But public health officials can have difficulty getting some people to wear a mask, indicating that even more people may be reluctant to get the vaccine.

Hutchison is continuing to report his symptoms via an app, which serves as a form of a diary. He has returned to the clinic for follow-up visits on several occasions, including after he received the second dose.

Since tweeting about his experience, Hutchison said he has received pushback from people who felt that he shouldn’t have said he received the vaccine rather than the placebo. Given his symptoms, he said he thinks it’s highly unlikely he was part of the control group that received a saltwater solution.

Up all night

A physician in Baltimore participating in the Pfizer study is due for his second dose on Saturday. While he said his symptoms were “very mild” for the first dose, he wouldn’t be surprised if others experienced symptoms more serious than a flu shot and said people should be prepared for that.

Another participant in Pfizer’s trial said he was up all night after the first shot from the pain of the injection. The booster injection he received caused more of that same pain in his arm, followed by intense flu-like symptoms that hit him around 1a.m. He couldn’t sleep that night without an electric blanket, and shook so hard that it became uncontrollable and he cracked part of his tooth from chattering them.

“It hurt to even just lay in my bed sheet,” he said, before he decided to see a doctor.

Despite all that, he remains pro-vaccine and said he is a big advocate for science. Had he known in advance, he would have recommended getting the shot on a Friday so he could rest on the weekend. He recognizes that getting the virus would likely still be far worse for many people.

“If it gets approved, I still think a lot of people should get the vaccine,” he said, “and I hope that all the side effects are made clear upfront.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/01/coronavi...-headaches.html

Double posted for those who don't go to PP.
Posted By: Squires Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 02:00 AM
jc

Spam calls hindering efforts for contact tracing.
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 02:35 AM
Originally Posted By: Squires

If people would just report these callers to the National Do Not Call Registry, we wouldn't have this problem.
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 05:11 AM
I definetly had all of those symptoms 2+ years ago.

Especially the all awful chill shaking during the fever,(teeth chattering) My Gosh! my gosh! remembered, childhood swimming in very cold swimming pool and teeth would chatter, and telling about how this flu I had was like that, for up to 4 days , it would hit, and I'd take deep breaths, severe heart burn, accelerated heart rate, afraid to fall asleep, drinking water to try and calm it down, (and before January of 2019) 4 days, shook so bad, got so cold, had a very hot forehead, at the end I finaly took my temperature after days, and the return to normal temp was very low, 94 something.

If I've had this stuff once or twice before, I don't want to take a vaccine to give it another go round, s-c-r-e-w That! not again, no way, too dangerous. fudge.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 05:53 AM
mRNA vaccines holds a ton of promise.

Jester or Portland, have either of you read up on mRNA tech? I thought I read somewhere that this type of a vaccine could open up pathways to cures and treatments for other conditions besides viral infections.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 12:19 PM
Here's my reply to another post of this same article. Unless these questions can be answered, it's nothing more than a sensationalized attempt at scaring people.

Originally Posted By: jfanent
Am I reading this right? Just 5 people out of "tens of thousands" of participants (half of whom received a placebo) experienced these side effects. Unless the trials are complete, can we even be sure all of these 5 received the actual vaccine? It just says they were participants, meaning they could have been in the control group? Hopefully this isn't just a scare article.

Quote:
High fever, body aches, bad headaches and exhaustion are just some of the symptoms five participants in two of the leading coronavirus vaccine trials say they felt after receiving the shots.


Quote:
The trials, which each have tens of thousands of participants, are double-blind, meaning half of them are receiving saline or another placebo and patients don’t know what treatment they are receiving.

Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 01:31 PM
Originally Posted By: Squires


Maybe they will make a serious attempt to deal with spam calls now.

There is no reason in this day and age to be soliciting anything over the phone, unless your a scammer.

The robo calls are getting ridiculous, and lately they have been showing that number as the same area code and prefix as my phone, making one wonder if it is someone you know.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 01:44 PM
Originally Posted By: RocketOptimist
mRNA vaccines holds a ton of promise.

Jester or Portland, have either of you read up on mRNA tech? I thought I read somewhere that this type of a vaccine could open up pathways to cures and treatments for other conditions besides viral infections.


mRNA technology is really new, very promising, and seemingly has no ceiling.

Besides vaccines, theoretically we can come up with cures for cancer, crohn's dse, lupus and other things that have an immunologic basis. Thinking even further out, I don't see why we couldn't use it to find a way to fight heart disease.

But despite how promising it is, it is very young. Anyone who has been in medicine for any extended amount of time (probably true for any industry) has seen new drugs, new modalities, no approaches to doing things that are really exciting because of how promising the early data looks only have them fail miserably. To date, there has been no human vaccine or medication developed using this technology.

Here is an article I found that is pretty informative without being overly scientific.



Five things you need to know about: mRNA vaccines
01 April 2020


According to Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding, an approved mRNA coronavirus vaccine would be easier and faster to produce and thus deploy worldwide than a conventional vaccine. Image credit - Unsplash/Liliya Lisa
The race for a vaccine against the novel coronavirus, or SARS-CoV-2, is on, with 54 different vaccines under development, two of which are already being tested in humans, according to the World Health Organization. And among the different candidates is a new player on the scene – mRNA vaccines.

One mRNA vaccine developed by US company Moderna began its first human trials on 16 March, whereas another under development by German company CureVac has been offered €80 million in investment by the European Commission. But what exactly are mRNA vaccines and why could they be promising in the fight against the coronavirus? We spoke to Professor Isabelle Bekeredjian-Ding, head of the microbiology division of Germany’s Paul Ehrlich Institut, which provides scientific advice to companies, including CureVac, and who sits on the scientific committee of Europe's Innovative Medicines Initiative. Here are five things to know.

If an mRNA vaccine was approved for coronavirus, it would be the first of its type. ‘It's a very unique way of making a vaccine and, so far, no (such) vaccine has been licenced for infectious disease,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding.

Vaccines work by training the body to recognise and respond to the proteins produced by disease-causing organisms, such as a virus or bacteria. Traditional vaccines are made up of small or inactivated doses of the whole disease-causing organism, or the proteins that it produces, which are introduced into the body to provoke the immune system into mounting a response.

mRNA vaccines, in contrast, trick the body into producing some of the viral proteins itself. They work by using mRNA, or messenger RNA, which is the molecule that essentially puts DNA instructions into action. Inside a cell, mRNA is used as a template to build a protein. ‘An mRNA is basically like a pre-form of a protein and its (sequence encodes) what the protein is basically made of later on,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding.

To produce an mRNA vaccine, scientists produce a synthetic version of the mRNA that a virus uses to build its infectious proteins. This mRNA is delivered into the human body, whose cells read it as instructions to build that viral protein, and therefore create some of the virus’s molecules themselves. These proteins are solitary, so they do not assemble to form a virus. The immune system then detects these viral proteins and starts to produce a defensive response to them.

2. They could be more potent and straightforward to produce than traditional vaccines

There are two parts to our immune system: innate (the defences we’re born with) and acquired (which we develop as we come into contact with pathogens). Classical vaccine molecules usually only work with the acquired immune system and the innate immune system is activated by another ingredient, called an adjuvant. Interestingly, mRNA in vaccines could also trigger the innate immune system, providing an extra layer of defence without the need to add adjuvants.

‘All kinds of innate immune cells are being activated by the mRNA,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding. ‘This primes the immune system to get prepared for an endangering pathogen and thus the type of immune response that is triggered is very strong.’

There is still a lot of work to be done to understand this response, the length of the protection it could give and whether there are any downsides.

Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding also explains that because you’re not introducing the whole virus into the body, the virus can’t mount its own self-defence and so the immune system can concentrate on creating a response to the viral proteins without interference by the virus.

And by getting the human body to produce the viral proteins itself, mRNA vaccines cut out some of the manufacturing process and should be easier and quicker to produce than traditional vaccines. ‘In this situation, the major benefit is that it's easy to produce (and) it will also probably be relatively easy to do an upscaling of production, which of course, is very important if you think about deployment throughout Europe and the world,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding.


‘It's a very unique way of making a vaccine and, so far, no (such) vaccine has been licenced for infectious disease.’

Prof. Isabelle Bekeredjian-Ding, Paul Ehrlich Institut, Germany


3. Most of what we know about mRNA vaccines comes from work on cancer

Most work on using mRNA to provoke an immune response has so far been focused on cancer, with tumour mRNA being used to help people’s immune systems recognise and respond to the proteins produced by their specific tumours. ‘This technology was very good for the oncology field, because you can develop patient-specific vaccines because every tumour is different,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding.

Using tumour mRNA in this way activates the body’s T-cells – the part of the acquired immune system that kills cells, which is useful to destroy tumours. It could be important for coronavirus, too. ‘In viral infections, often we know that there is a need for a strong T-cell response because viruses like to hide in cells,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding. ‘There is a certain hope that, especially in this setting, this could really work … and thereby eliminate … the infected cells from the body.’

But to combat a virus such as SARS-CoV-2, it is likely that a different part of the acquired immune system also needs to be activated – the B cells, which produce antibodies that mark the virus out for destruction by the body. ‘And there is little experience with this (apart from animal infection models), because for the tumour model this was not that relevant.’

4. There are a lot of unknowns

Because mRNA vaccines are only now beginning to be tested in humans, there are a lot of fairly basic unknowns which can only be answered through human trials. ‘What is really the current challenge, I think, is to understand whether these vaccines will really be able to mount a sufficiently protective immune response in the human and to understand, for example, which quantities of mRNA will be needed to do this,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding.

Other outstanding questions include whether the proteins that have been chosen for the vaccine are the right ones to prevent a coronavirus infection in the body, how targeted the immune response is to this particular coronavirus, how long any immunity would last, and whether it causes side-effects such as increased inflammatory responses like redness and swelling or, in the worst case, aggravates disease.

5. It would be possible to vaccinate on a large scale.

Once an mRNA vaccine has been approved, which could take 12-18 months, it should be easy to scale up production. Because the manufacturing process is shorter than for other vaccines – Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding estimates a few months rather than 1-2 years for conventional vaccines – there is potential for these vaccines to be scaled up quickly. This is useful in the context of coronavirus, which will likely need mass immunisation programmes.

‘I think we will need a very high population coverage, but it depends a little bit on the countries and the epidemiology,’ said Prof. Bekeredjian-Ding. ‘In the countries where coronavirus has been spreading very fast, we also expect that there's many people who have been in contact with the virus and who have actually mounted a natural immune response. But on the other hand, if you look at Germany, for example, right now we're all at home, barred, and not allowed to leave the house except for necessities.

The population therefore remains susceptible to infection, she says. ‘And so here, you would definitely need to think about vaccinating the whole population.

‘That’s why also these vaccines are of interest, because you could probably manage that, while, with other vaccines, it's harder to produce these quantities (in a short period of time).’



https://horizon-magazine.eu/article/five-things-you-need-know-about-mrna-vaccines.html




Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 02:12 PM
Really amazing what they've done in medicine over the last 40-50 years, and the future will probably bring so many more amazing treatments and cures.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 03:18 PM
Originally Posted By: FATE
Originally Posted By: Squires

If people would just report these callers to the National Do Not Call Registry, we wouldn't have this problem.



If it's important, they'll leave a message.
Posted By: Ballpeen Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 06:37 PM
Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
Originally Posted By: FATE
Originally Posted By: Squires

If people would just report these callers to the National Do Not Call Registry, we wouldn't have this problem.






If it's important, they'll leave a message.


That is my attitude.

I am a old guy. To me, answering the phone is an option. I was probably around 42 or more before I had a cell phone.

If I don't know the number, I ignore it. Just like the old days, if the phone rings while I am doing something, I don't stop what I am doing to answer the darn phone unless I am expecting a call.

They will call back if it is important.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/07/20 07:58 PM
That's a nice thing about caller i.d. on a land line, or just a cell phone. If it's someone I know, I'll answer, generally. (cell phone, that is).

I won't answer if I'm driving though, because with my hearing loss, I wouldn't be able to understand them. I figure it's better if they leave a message that I can listen to when I'm not driving and call them back. As opposed to constantly saying "what?"
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/14/20 06:57 PM
Just wanting to give a little update on the Covid situation.

Some of you know that I live in Charlotte NC. The hospital I work at is a medium sized community hospital about 20 west of Charlotte. In the spring, we peaked out with about 40 covid + patients in the hospital at any one time. About 8 weeks ago we were down to 12 (the lowest we have been since this started). Today, we are up to 64.

The 2 main hospitals in Charlotte, one is about our size, the other 50-70% bigger, have fewer covid + patients combined than we do. I think the difference is that in Charlotte and Mecklenburg county the state mask mandate is being followed and enforced. My hospital is in the next county over where people are refusing to wear masks and businesses are not enforcing it.


My thoughts on the vaccine.
A couple have had some recent setbacks.I am not encouraged a vaccine is going to be the answer in the near future. There are still safety questions that need to be answered and how well they work is still in question. Will we need annual covid vaccinations? Twice a year? Quarterly?

Then, even if we have one that is determined to be safe and effective, about half of the most promising ones need to be stored at incredibly low temperatures. You won't be able to get those at your doctor's office. There are going to have to be Covid Vaccination Centers. To get a vaccine approved, produced, distributed across the country and people vaccinated is going to take months. April, May, June of 2021 would be optimistic.

What I think we need is a medication like tamiflu. Tamiflu is an antiviral pill that treats the flu. If you have the flu your doctor can call it into your pharmacy. We need something like that for covid. Right now, if you get covid all I can tell you to do is check your temps and monitor your oxygen levels and if your oxygen levels fall go to the hospital. That's because we have no medications to treat covid as an outpatient. We have some so-so therapies once you get bad enough to be admitted.

Merck has been working on a new drug to treat the flu. Is studying it, they found that it has activity against the coronavirus that caused the original SARS back in 2002 and against MERS in 2012. They are investigating its activity against covid.

To me that will be the game changer. You get diagnosed with covid and we give you this medication by pill to keep you out of the hospital.


Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/14/20 07:04 PM
j/c

At least 30 states report daily increase in COVID-19 cases

https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/News/video/30-states-report-daily-increase-covid-19-cases-73547062
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/14/20 07:04 PM
Regeneron showed promise before all the PR hype but that's expensive and needs more data.

Here's to hoping that can eventually be mass produced at a cheap cost to everyone.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/14/20 07:16 PM
But unlikely to be available widespread for outpatient usage. You will need to be hospitalized to get it.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/14/20 08:04 PM
Quote:
At least 30 states report daily increase in COVID-19 cases



I gotta bad feeling about this-
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/14/20 08:26 PM
GC. The shutdown mask message is becoming like the Iraq war, let me explain.

In 2003 ish, The USA invaded Iraq, and bad times moved on.

Somewhere in the following two years ish, 3 separate times I heard this message,
Somebody, congress the administration, somebody, (it was supposed to be a good message, and it was a daytime news story)
Iraq war.

"Somebody, has decided to cut troop deployments from 24 months to 18 months." (it may have been 18-12, my memory, what I am sure of is it was the SAME NUMBER, all 3 times)

Then Several weeks later, may have been 3 months, may have been most of a year, later,

A 2nd time, same story, same exact message, supposed to be good news, a daytime news story
"Somebody has decided to cut troop deployments from 24 months to 18 months"
THE EXACT SAME NUMBER OF MONTHS, so nothing had improved, a false narrative of a good news story.

Then a 3rd time, SEVERAL WEEKS LATER, may have been 2 and a half, or 3 months, may have been most of a year later,
same exact message,

"Somebody has decided to cut troop deployments from 24 months to 18 months."
The EXACT SAME NUMBER OF MONTHS, A 3RD TIME, so nothing had improved, a false narrative of a good news story.

Covid

has become like this,
We are getting the same message on, mask wearing, and shutdowns.

String everybody along until the masses are starving like Venezuela, or Cuba, or North Korea, or take your pick.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 06:47 AM
I'm glad you're not a doctor.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 09:00 AM
Muh mechanic is going to do my brain surgery right after he finishes this brake job...
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 09:50 AM
Paris Under Curfew: Europe Reacts As Countries See Highest-Ever Coronavirus Numbers

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus...ronavirus-numbe
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 10:55 AM
Ohio reports new single-day record high of 2,039 COVID-19 cases

https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/2020...day/5971439002/
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 01:42 PM
Good thing it’s just going to go away after the election.
Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 01:50 PM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Muh mechanic is going to do my brain surgery right after he finishes this brake job...


You know the difference between an Engine Mechanic and a Heart Surgeon right? smile









Heart Surgeon does his job while the motor is still running. tongue
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:00 PM
GC.

Dawgtalkers first topics, thread titles list.

Advanced Net gen. stats.

Braves

Covid 19 again,

New Research explores

Survivor Pool

How many lost.
________



Just saying.

Anybody have that picture where it was 3rd and 4, score 34-34, with 3:40 to go in the 3rd.
on the 34 yard line.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:04 PM
Pssst....

It's not actually "Covid 19 again". It's still Covid 19.

Hospitalizations Surge Anew As COVID Cases Rise In 39 States

https://khn.org/morning-breakout/hospitalizations-surge-anew-as-covid-cases-rise-in-39-states/
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:08 PM
So, it's going exactly as the experts told us it probably would?
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:10 PM
Yes. When you follow guidelines it goes down. When you start ignoring those guidelines the numbers go up.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:16 PM
Cuyahoga County, 28 other Ohio counties now under red alert for coronavirus

https://www.cleveland.com/coronavirus/20...source=facebook
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:23 PM
Again, it's doing exactly what we were told it would. Guidelines or not. Same in Europe. And Asia. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries


On a personal note: My niece was exposed. Had to quarantine. Her college room mate had it. She's fine. My nephew, a twin, was exposed, had to quarantine. His twin, which, get this, he lives with, didn't, neither did his mom, my sister, or his dad, my bil.

2 friends had it, they're fine. Mid 50's. My cousin and his wife, late 40's had it. Gave it to my aunt (his mom 76 years old), all are fine. My uncle didn't get it, cousins kids didn't get it.

Sis in law had it, She's 59 or 60. She's fine. Her husband, my brother, didn't get it, and neither did the 2 semi adopted kids they have.






Hey, some of us can't stay locked up in our houses forever, or even a year. Read today that 8 million americans have become poor/homeless because they can't work. Many more could work, but won't.

Guidelines are good, but not fool proof. I wear a mask when I'm out and about. Don't have a problem doing it.

But it's doing exactly what we were told it would do. Spread, and it will continue to do so, regardless of guidelines.
Posted By: dawglover05 Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:32 PM
FYI - I'm sorry if I missed this already being discussed, but I heard that Sokolowski's closed because of the pandemic. That's a real shame.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 07:35 PM
Guidelines do not mean staying locked up in your house. They require common sense. Like not having gatherings of 10,000 people with no social distancing and few wearing a mask.

Every expert worth their salt tells us that safety guidelines help. They all tell us it will cut down on infections and deaths.

I'm glad those within your circle recovered well. But there are in excess of 215,000 Americans who have died from it. I'm sure they knew a lot of people too.
Posted By: Milk Man Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/15/20 08:25 PM
Originally Posted By: dawglover05
FYI - I'm sorry if I missed this already being discussed, but I heard that Sokolowski's closed because of the pandemic. That's a real shame.


No doubt. That was a real bummer to read that after being open for 97 years. Such a great place.

However, there is a chance it still makes a comeback...
Posted By: Frenchy Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/16/20 12:10 AM
We are doing weekly covid tests now. Results in 48 hours or less. As of last night the prison I work in had 0 positives. But with visits starting up again, workers going out to work, and bringing in new inmates starting this week, I think that will change soon.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/16/20 03:55 PM
Hoping things go well for you.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/17/20 02:35 AM
Stay safe, bro.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/27/20 06:54 PM
j/c

Coronavirus: Hospitalized virus patients at ‘all-time high’ DeWine says

Ohio is at an all-time high for hospitalized coronavirus patients, Gov. Mike DeWine said Tuesday.

There have been 18,433 hospitalizations reported in Ohio throughout the pandemic, including 198 reported Tuesday, according to the Ohio Department of Health. There are 1,456 COVID-19 patients in Ohio’s hospitals, including 459 in southwest Ohio.

“We have no indication that we’ve plateaued out at all,” DeWine said. “We’re not at the point where any of our hospitals are overflowing, but our trend line is not good.”

Ohio has 82 counties with a high incidence of coronavirus spread, meaning a county has more than 100 cases per 100,000 people.

“As you can see, this virus is everywhere, and it is spreading,” the governor said. “This community spread endangers our schools, our nursing homes, and our hospitals.”

DeWine called for Ohioans to go back to the basics: wearing face masks, social distancing and avoiding large gatherings.

“We are Ohioans, we always come together," he said.

He asked that people living in high incidence counties reconsider attending gatherings of any size and to wear masks inside and outside where social distancing isn’t possible.

The governor also called on county leaders to double down on efforts to slow the spread of the virus. DeWine said his team will meet with county leaders via Zoom to discuss what each community is doing and what it can do in the future. The meetings will start with counties on the level 4 watch list, Clark, Cuyahoga and Hamilton, and then by counties with the highest incidence rate.

“Our goal will be to bring people together to learn what we can do to help the community, and for the community to chart a course to safely get them through this winter,” he said.

More than 2,500 cases of coronavirus were reported in Ohio Tuesday, bringing the total to 202,740, according to the ODH.

Ohio has doubled its positivity rate in the last month. As of Sunday, the state’s seven-day positivity rate average is 5.7% compared to 2.8% on Sept. 25.

On Monday, Ohio broke 200,000 total cases of coronavirus. The state added 2,116 cases, bringing the total to 200,231.

Over the weekend the governor called for Ohioans to come together to slow the spread of the virus.

“We’re seeing in Ohio a huge increase in cases - much more than we saw in the spring and summer,” DeWine said. “Ohioans rallied together two other times, and I’m asking them to rally again now.”

He noted that though small events, such as birthday parties, bonfires, sleepovers and family get-togethers, seem innocent, they’re helping spread coronavirus.

“What’s so dangerous is that some people are carriers but don’t know it,” the governor said.

https://www.daytondailynews.com/news/cor...JIMQOBWEZ2UFDI/
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/27/20 07:19 PM
https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/...6u2cspQg4xuO5d0



Nurses Make Up Most Hospitalized Coronavirus Health Care Workers, CDC Finds


MOST OF THE HEALTH CARE workers hospitalized with the coronavirus are nurses, according to a new Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report.
The report found that nearly 6% of all patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were health care workers, with 36.3% of those patients being nurses. More than two-thirds, 67.4%, had direct patient contact and more than 4% of the health care workers who were hospitalized died....


As a nurse this is why I plead that everybody just wear a damned mask, stay distanced, stay home when able, and stay diligent.
I haven’t hugged anybody except my girlfriend since March. I haven’t seen my family in over a year now... and don’t expect to be able to travel home until likely 2022. I don’t get to live in denial if not facing this. I get no break from it. No breathing room. No respite.
I know it sucks to have this dragging out. Be diligent. If not for yourself. For others.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/27/20 07:55 PM
Thanks for all you do for others as a nurse bro thumbsup I for one respect and look up to you for that. My wife has covid right now and we are quarantined now. I am having the mask argument right now on facebook. His response as to why he won't wear a mask and bashes the hell out of anybody that does.

"I hate useless people pushing useless platitudes to make people feel like they’re doing something. Following their arbitrary rules and orders makes us robots, sheep, cattle."
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/27/20 08:01 PM
Somehow there are people who feel their personal freedom mean that gives them the right to infect and possibly kill other Americans. We have freedom of speech but we can't yell fire in a theater or scream bomb on an airplane.

Endangering others is not anyone's right.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/27/20 08:13 PM
He may be the 2nd person I ever deleated on facebook.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 01:32 AM
I've been doing a wholotta housecleaning lately. I'm not the slightest bit sentimental about it, either- even if they and I go back decades.


"You crossed a line. My line. You are not the person I thought you were, and the person I see now isn't welcome in my life. I'm done with you. Please lose my phone number."

Haven't lost a wink of sleep.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 01:36 AM
IS that why you are not in my friends list any more?... tsktsk
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 01:45 AM
Not wearing a mask is inexcusable. Thankfully, the two counties that I frequent mandate masks. It's not optional when you enter a commercial facility. That eliminates a lot of jerks. Of course, some people pull them down, but for the most part, people comply w/the mandate.

I think that erring on the side of caution is the way to go. Put others ahead of yourself. Be safe. Be responsible. Be kind.

On the other hand, I have seen atrocities that I can not and will not forgive. People are actually wishing for large groups of people to die because of their political/social beliefs. I can not and will not accept that under any circumstances. I have witnessed a ton of lies, false statements, partial truths, bullying, etc, etc all in the name of one's political/social ideologies. Instead of people uniting to fight this dreadful virus, people are using it to further their own preferences on certain issues.

Bridges have been burned. Friends have become adversaries. I do lose some sleep over that. It won't change my feelings on what is right or wrong, but it does sadden me that so many have chosen to take the low road and have turned their back on true friends.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 02:23 AM
Totally respect what you just said. My only line is this mask thing. If they can't bring themselves to pull along with all of us, then they are not the kind of people I want in my circle. You have to be some kind of stupid/arrogant/willfully oppositional to reject the logic, reason, common sense- and all those freakin' science classes you were forced to take in HS

I have close family who refuse to wear face coverings when they go to church twice each Sunday. They post group portraits on fb- none are protected from each other. They are consciously doing this with real intent. They have openly said that they believe this is the way they should live, because Jesus will protect them. They are citizens of Christ's community before they are citizens of the USA. They have drawn their line, and they are doing this with real purpose.

I simply cannot condone or be a part of something like this. I just told them that it might be 2-3 years before we ever get to see each other again, because I'm following the protocol- and their behavior is prolonging the crisis. They seem to be fine with that. So I am, too.

.02

Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 02:27 AM
Totally agree w/that part. Everyone should wear a mask. I get that some people don't think it helps, but put the thoughts of feelings of others ahead of oneself. It's not that hard. Error on the side of caution and be a kind human being.

I am truly saddened by the behavior of Americans during this pandemic. You said early on that it was going to "reveal character." It certainly has.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 02:29 AM
They had no answer when I asked them what advice Jesus would give in regards to protecting others.

That's why I put they asses on hold.


Come back when you can talk sense.
I prefer it not be "in tongues," too.
Posted By: bonefish Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/28/20 04:10 PM

You know that I am in your corner Port.

Thanks again for all you and your colleagues do.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 12:42 AM
j/c

I wear a mask. Have since asked to.

Let me back up a bit - I got banned 5 or 6 days ago. I was tired of 2 certain people bullying me, imo, over my daughter, and my job. "joking" as they say.

My message was "banned for name calling - multiple times" Yup. Not even bad names, no swearing etc. (turns out lug nut is a name I guess?)

I got banned after reading crap day after day after day about me, and my political views (from the group that says they accept everyone?) AND, finding out that particular morning that both of my parents were covid positive. Now, I feel I had it back in January, as well as my daughter.

My sis in law had it in July, no problems. My brother in CO is getting over it. Aunt had it, 2 cousins had it.

But, that day, finding out my parents were positive and had been dealing with it for a couple of weeks, well...

Dad was not good, mom seemed fine. Even on Sunday, til my sis called and said "they're not eating. Dad has fallen several times, ...." etc. I had only been at their house to do leaves.

Til yesterday. My dad called and said he was taken mom to the e.r. She couldn't hardly walk. (exactly my fear from last week - they have other health issues.....my fear last week was 'will they make it'?)

Dad had done a good job on the phone with me, downplaying everything.

He, somehow, got mom in the car and drove to the e.r. They took her in, then looked at him, and took him in also. "Phone call: Arch, your mom and dad are both in the e.r."

Dad was discharged shortly after a chest x ray. Mom spent 5 hours there.

So, yeah, my fears from last week for my parents - came true.

Sis and I are alternating meal nights for them. Sucks to see them so week.

I am not asking for 1 iota of sympathy, from ANYONE, especially 2 certain people.

Oh, work has been just fine, for those 2 that mocked me, and have, while being coy about it. Daughter is doing great also, despite having a bad dad.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 12:47 AM
Hang in there, arch. I'll be praying for your parents. I will also pray that God gives you and your siblings the strength to help care for your parents.

Don't let the bullies get you down. I think a lot of people see what is going on here. There is a group of them that dominate these two forums and they get away w/much, much worse than others.

It is what it is.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 12:55 AM
Sorry to hear that Arch. Our thoughts and prayers are with your parents and you.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 01:01 AM
Is Halloween going to be cancelled?
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 01:12 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
Is Halloween going to be cancelled?


I know my porch light will be off. No vectors are getting an open door from me. Masked or not.
Posted By: Squires Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 01:28 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
Is Halloween going to be cancelled?


I'm not handing out candy because I don't have coworkers to dump the leftovers on this year.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 02:00 AM
Not a fan of trick or treating. All year long we try to teach our kids: don't take candy from strangers. Then we tell tell them when it gets dark enough we are going to as many stranger's houses to take candy from them. Talk about mixed messages.

What else are we teaching them? How to beg (please give me some candy) and how extortion (trick or treat ie give me some candy or I am going to do something to your house.

But that's just me.
Posted By: jaybird Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 02:11 AM
totally agree... just wear the damn mask... it aint that hard...
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 03:36 AM
New study suggests COVID-19 immunity is 'waning,' researchers say
The Week
Brendan Morrow
,The Week•October 27, 2020


Researchers in the United Kingdom say they've observed a "significant" decline in the percentage of the population with COVID-19 antibodies, potentially pointing to "waning immunity."

Imperial College London scientists in the study found the prevalence of COVID-19 antibodies declined from six percent of the British population in June to 4.4 percent in September, Reuters reports. They came to the conclusion that there has been a "significant decline in the proportion of the population with detectable antibodies" by sending out finger-[censored] tests to a randomly selected group of over 365,000 people in England, according to CNN.

"On the balance of evidence I would say, with what we know for other coronaviruses, it would look as if immunity declines away at the same rate as antibodies decline away, and that this is an indication of waning immunity at the population level," Wendy Barclay, head of Imperial College London's Department of Infectious Disease, said, per Reuters.

The researchers were specifically looking for IgG antibodies in the study, and CNN notes that some other research has suggested "that other types of antibodies may persist longer than IgG does."

But Imperial College London's Helen Ward told BBC News the study suggests that "immunity is waning quite rapidly." Ward added in a statement, "We don't yet know whether this will leave these people at risk of reinfection with the virus that causes COVID-19, but it is essential that everyone continues to follow guidance to reduce the risk to themselves and others."


https://www.yahoo.com/news/study-suggests-covid-19-immunity-124442413.html
Posted By: tastybrownies Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 03:47 AM
I usually wear a mask in establishments when required but as soon as I hit the parking lot I immediately take it off. That or if I'm outside not close to people there's no need to wear one.

The only thing I don't understand is people have been wearing masks for months, including myself, is there proof it does any good? Like has it helped as a whole or not? I'm just not seeing the effectiveness. I mean, maybe it's hard to see. I'm not sick but it doesn't seem to be doing much good as a whole.

I want verifiable scientific, mathematical proof that since the Mask order was put in for Ohio that it's worked. I've yet to receive or see that data, I don't like that.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 05:15 AM
This thing is going to eventually affect us all.

Wife&Me are doing what we can to keep each other safe, but we both realize that it's only a matter of time before we get that phone call. Her fam isn't being particularly diligent about precautions, and my fam seems to treat it like it's not happening at all.

I've already told my sis that we won't be hosting Thanksgiving like we have for decades. I also told her that we won't be attending any gatherings in her neck of the woods, and also that it might be another year or two before we can all get together, face-to-face.

They responded like I'd insulted them.
I don't know how I'll repair the 'fam-damage,' but I do know this:

I'd much rather be forced to to mend relationships, than to mourn lost relationships at funerals I can't attend.

Stay safe. Do what you can for yours.

I'm already sending out all of The Good Stuff I can. Call it thoughts, prayers, whatever.

I want your folks to make it to the other side of this crisis, arch- I really do. I want to see us all make it.

in your corner,
clem.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 05:18 AM
Isn't there speculation that the cells have a working memory to make antibodies when they're needed?
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 05:21 AM
There is, but it isn't verifiable science yet, as far as I have learned.

If others have better data, I'd love to see it.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 09:41 AM
Originally Posted By: RocketOptimist
Isn't there speculation that the cells have a working memory to make antibodies when they're needed?


Not an expert - but most for most diseases the number of antibodies decrease a lot as time passes.

For common colds - that tends to mean you can get sick again after some number of months or maybe a year or two.

But the number of antibodies goes down even for Chickenpox (see Figure 1) but people seem to have lifelong immunity there.

http://www.newmicrobiologica.org/PUB/allegati_pdf/2018/2/95.pdf

The only real way to know is to wait and see how many people get reaffected -- but that takes time since nobody got infected more than 10 months ago.
Posted By: bonefish Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 10:55 AM

Sorry to hear that.

This virus is scary and lethal. Glad to hear that they are not in the danger zone.

Damn about an hour ago a huge pine tree came down in a storm and hit my house.

To dark and rainy to see the damage. But it is laying against the deck and is on the roof. Given the tree and where it hit I am lucky not be crushed. It is like ten feet from my bed. I was awake because there was lots of rain and storm noise. Scared the crap out of me.

If that tree had come down at a different angle it would have gone right through the roof.

Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 01:43 PM
Originally Posted By: RocketOptimist
Isn't there speculation that the cells have a working memory to make antibodies when they're needed?


Yes, and I read an article about it yesterday. It had the same basic gist of this article, but it explained that it's not a big deal. The antiebodies fight the virus. The immune cells remember what the virus is and produce new antibodies for it if needed. Basically.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 03:36 PM
Not to outright poo-poo the study, but when less than 2% of your population has been confirmed to have had the virus, is a 2% decline in antibodies actually significant at all when you are randomly selecting the subjects? It doesn't seem to me that it would be.

I mean, what's the expected margin of error there?

I would much rather see them doing a study on a known group that has antibodies and tracking how long people continue to have them. This seems like a poorly contrived study.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 03:49 PM
Most things I've seen say Covid antibodies last three to four months. After that you're open to getting it again.
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 06:59 PM
GC.
Can I be serious for a second!
gather round.


You all know August 2020, round about 60 days ago, before I kind of got fatigue with the subject, and numbers were still being reported differently.

I had a glance, at numbers, with a calculator, state by state, all across the nation, Just some 60 days ago, and percentage of reported cases, and reported deaths, in each state was, 4%, sometimes 5% sometimes 6or more percent, New Jersey's was High, New Yorks was high.

And at the time, it does not fit with conservative talking heads telling me the death rate of this virus is something 2%, 1% 1 half of one percent or 1 tenth of one percent sometimes they would say.

Because the numbers were right in front of all of us, Ohio, x cases in August and at the same time, x number of deaths, in the state, and the real number was about 4 and a half percent.

This virus, up until even August 2020, was having deaths reported, per cases reported, in each state, were, (now a couple states were really low, a couple in the ones and twos,) but the overall average rate in the states, the several I looked at,
was 5, .. 4,5, 6, or 7 percent, maybe 4-5 is the more accurate.

So last night, on a natl. network newscast I saw, the USA, had , it was an enormous number
8, million 350 thousand, or something, cases.

Well, I got my calculator out, and 4% of that number, is over 300,000, 334,000

The fact the USA is not anywhere near 334,000 deaths, Today! is a testament that the treatments for this disease are becoming more effective.

Even in the last 60 days!
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 09:38 PM
While you may have a point that is yet to be seen as to how much. Certainly the more we know about the virus the better we should be able to fight it.

One thing happens every time however. People generally don't die from Covid right away. Sometimes they remain in the hospital for an extended period of time before they pass on.

So what we've seen every time, is the death count lag well behind drastic spikes in infections. We're already seeing hospitalizations spike. Next we will get a better idea of how this will impact the death count as the next month or so passes.
Posted By: Squires Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 10:31 PM
jc

Quote:
Study finds 12% of Orange County residents had coronavirus by summer
Findings suggest virus more widespread but less deadly

A carefully designed study of blood samples from Orange County residents found that 12% had coronavirus antibodies — meaning their immune systems had fought the virus at some point — an infection rate more than seven times higher than official case counts suggest.

That means at least 371,000 people in Orange County have had COVID-19, researchers found.

Rates were highest among Latino residents and low-income adults, and lowest among non-Latino White and Black residents and those earning more than $100,000 a year.

The results also suggest that the virus is extraordinarily contagious and far more widespread than case data indicate, but also that the fatality rate is much lower. Still, it remains higher than the seasonal flu.

What was most surprising among the researchers was how high the seroprevalence of COVID was,” said Tim Bruckner, a study principal and associate professor of public health at UC Irvine. “We had a suspicion there would be more cases if we looked in the overall community rather than just at those asking for testing, but we didn’t understand how widespread it was already.”

The majority of people studied who tested positive had no symptoms, Bruckner said. Focus may fall on so-called “superspreader” events, but the virus really is spreading regularly, quietly, unseen.

While more than 10% of Orange County residents tested over the summer had COVID-19 antibodies, that’s still a long way from “herd immunity,” when so many people have antibodies that the virus runs out of new hosts. Scientists say some 60% to 70% of the population must be immune before infections will fizzle out.

“We are nowhere near herd immunity,” Bruckner said. “The argument that we’re very close and will turn the corner soon isn’t borne out by the data.”

A city-size case load
The prospect that more people have caught coronavirus in Orange County than live in Anaheim, its largest city, didn’t surprise Dr. Matt Zahn, medical director of the county Health Care Agency’s Communicable Disease Control Division.

“That number is simultaneously a very large and very small number,” Zahn said during a news conference Wednesday, Oct. 28.

It’s research-backed evidence of how easily COVID-19 spreads, he said. At the same time, it shows that the virus still has lots of room to proliferate.

For Bernadette Boden-Albala, dean of UC Irvine’s public health program, an expert in social epidemiology and study principal, it also speaks to the fact that there’s huge variability in how people show symptoms, if at all.

“Obviously, we hear about the most severe cases, the hospitalized cases, the deaths, but we have this whole range of asymptomatic and mild symptoms that didn’t get picked up because people didn’t think they were sick and were transmitting the disease,” she said.

“This is really important data to help us think about planning for the future.”

More evidence of health inequity
While data from active infections already show that lower-income and Latino communities are hard hit by infection, the study underscored that in a powerful way.

Latino residents had a prevalence of 17%, and low-income residents were at 15%. That could be due to relatively dense housing conditions and work in settings that don’t allow for physical distancing, the study said.

That tracks with high-volume swab testing in lower-income Latino neighborhoods in Anaheim and Santa Ana.

“In a city like Santa Ana, we were as high as close to 30% positivity,” Boden-Albala said.

The disproportionately high rates of tests returning positive in the county’s hot spots have been tamped down by the Orange County Health Care Agency in partnership with nonprofit groups like Latino Health Access, Boden-Albala said. Such campaigns have brought more testing and resources to neighborhoods where many residents can’t work from home and have little access to health care.

Public health officials on Oct. 6 installed coronavirus disparities tracking into the state’s four-tier pandemic monitoring system, which looks at metrics such as case rates and testing positivity in the state’s 58 counties and determines what can reopen when.

More prevalent, less deadly
Case data — drawn from sick people who wind up at diagnostic testing sites, clinics and hospitals — peg the COVID death rate at about 10% for those 65 and older in Orange County.

“That’s another part of the story that’s very interesting,” Bruckner said. “Clearly, COVID is a killer and I would never want to make light of that. That said, as you count more cases that are asymptomatic and lightly symptomatic, the case fatality rate is going to go down.

“The take-home point is that, depending on the different ways you’d calculate COVID deaths, we’re overestimating deaths in OC between four- to 10-fold.”

Put more simply, the study estimates about one death per thousand infected people for those younger than 65, and about 10 deaths per thousand for those 65 and older.

“Based on our estimates, that means about 1 in 100 adults over 65 who gets COVID dies of it,” Bruckner said. “That’s pretty serious. But it’s not 10 in 100, which is the estimate based on who presents at the clinic.”

Recommendations
The widespread prevalence of COVID in Orange County warrants continued public health measures, the study said: physical distancing, proper and consistent use of face masks, ventilation and hand hygiene.

And, in addition to contact tracing, county health authorities “may want to consider active surveillance of novel infections.” That would involve some 800 to 1,000 tests per week in a representative sample of residents, as well as a targeted component for higher-risk groups or places such as nursing home residents, laborers in high-density settings and highly impacted neighborhoods.

“Such surveillance, unlike clinic- or hospital-based strategies, would provide a less biased estimate of the rate of new SARS-CoV-2 infections,” the study said.

Finally, as fatality rate estimates are several-fold lower, “This updated estimate should inform the broader policy debate in the U.S. regarding the relative benefits and limitations of various SARS-CoV-2 mitigation strategies.”

How it was done
UCI researchers led the project in partnership with the OC Health Care Agency, which provided funding, testing sites and input on the study’s survey methods.

It was designed to be more comprehensive and rigorous than its predecessors, including many more people than were tested in L.A. or Santa Clara counties. Researchers went to the homes of people who couldn’t make it to drive-through sites, with a special eye toward reaching under-served communities, and didn’t initially indicate they’d be offering blood, or serology, tests, to avoid pre-selecting for people who might want them.

Fingers were pricked and blood collected from 2,979 adults from July 10 to Aug. 16, later in the pandemic than similar studies done in Los Angeles and Santa Clara counties in the spring. Researchers at UCI are planning more work on racial and ethnic disparities, geographic hot spots, and tracking people who’ve tested positive over time to see how long immunity lasts.

Neeraj Sood, professor of public policy at the USC Price School for Public Policy and principal investigator for the groundbreaking serology study done by USC and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health in the spring, said that’s one of the outstanding questions.

“The level of antibodies you have, and how fast they decline, might correlate with how severe your disease was,” said Sood, who’s also planning to study people who’ve tested positive over time in L.A. County. “There’s more and more evidence which suggests seroprevalence declines over time. So even serological testing might be underestimating the true prevalence — we might only be catching infections over the last few months, rather than since the pandemic began.”

A big takeaway from O.C.’s work is that many people had COVID and didn’t know it, supporting the notion that the virus is a silent spreader, said UCI’s Bruckner. “Ongoing public health strategies that relate to the whole population — and not just those who think they’re sick — are warranted,” he said.


Link
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 11:53 PM
Kroger Pharmacies now have an antibody finger p r i c k test with results in 15 minutes. 25 bucks.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/29/20 11:54 PM
Just wondering, are all these states with increasing covid, states which never had a second wave?

Because it looks like Europe never had a second wave.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/29/europe/europe-coronavirus-local-national-lockdown-intl/index.html

Georgia had a second wave months ago.
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/30/20 01:01 PM
Isn't Europe's second wave going on now? I believe it is, at least in certain areas (ex. UK).
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/30/20 02:14 PM
Europe is definitely having a second wave. Belgium is getting hammered again (and was also the worst hit country of the first wave).
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/30/20 03:14 PM
Yes they are. It's been all over the news for anyone who has been watching. France too just imposed stronger restrictions.
Posted By: Squires Re: Covid-19: Again - 10/30/20 09:32 PM
jc

AI model detects covid infections through cell phone recorded coughs
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/01/20 02:20 PM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
Just wondering, are all these states with increasing covid, states which never had a second wave?

Because it looks like Europe never had a second wave.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/29/europe/europe-coronavirus-local-national-lockdown-intl/index.html

Georgia had a second wave months ago.


England is shutting down for a month. Boris Johnson said yesterday that this is spreading even faster than the worst case scenario
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/01/20 02:37 PM
Had a couple different things happen this week that I don't understand-at both ends of the age scale to people in our area with covid.

The first is a friend of my wifes family-The father and mother both got covid about a week ago. They are about 80 yrs old. The father went in the hospital after the second or third day-he has heart issues and couldn't breathe. The wife was sent back home. The father was in the hospital for about 4 days and sent back home. The wife was at home and got really sick, couldn't breathe, fever and dehydration. She got in the car and went back to the ER and they checked her out and told her she isn't bad enough-go home. She called her daughter and son in law (my wifes friends) and they went to the hospital to get the mom. She was so out of it she left the hospital and turned the wrong way (she lives 5 minutes away) so the kids got her to stop and turn around. She went back down past the hospital and went out to the main road and made another wrong turn-so the son in law got her to stop again-put on his mask and drove her home. Now the son in law and daughter have to get tested and are self quarantining for 2 weeks. They thought mom was going to kill her or somebody else. And they are really pissed at the hospital but the hospital said come back if you get worse.

Another woman is a nurse who has a daughter who is 19 with asthma who tested positive. She said she couldn't breathe so she went to her doctor-doctor said he couldn't treat her- she had to go to a med express medical clinic. They said they couldn't do nothing, went to ER. The hospital said they know she is sick and can't breathe, she is not bad enough yet to be in the hospital. They sent her home with a prednisone prescription and told her to call if it gets worse.

I know when I went to my doctor a couple months ago for yearly checkup and labs, I asked my doctor what were his practice plans for the fall and winter flu season. He is part of a larger practice of doctors and they said they got a memo in mid summer that their practice wanted no covid patients coming to doctors offices. They are going to set up a covid clinic (which I still have not heard they have done) or if you are bad, you have to go to the emergency room.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/01/20 11:46 PM
As I've stated before, my 'elderly' parents had it. They've been told they are not contagious anymore, but I and my sis have been taking food to them.

They are exhausted, all the time. Both were in the e.r. Tuesday. Both got sent home later in the day.

I've done their leaves twice this week. (they live in a wooded area - leaves are terrible.)

Did the leaves yesterday,and dad waved at me while I was outside. From his chair. 3 1/2 hours later, when I was done, I went in to tell them I was done. Both were sleeping, again/still. They had food.

Texted dad during the game today. He said they were fine, just tired. That was 2 pm.

Called my sis about an hour ago to see if dad was being honest about the food. She said yea, but dad took mom to the e.r. again, around 5. ER took her in, but made dad go outside. He went to the car since he couldn't even be in the waiting room.

Blah blah blah........mom's in the e.r. currently. The coughing she was having may be pneumonia, but I've not heard anything for sure. Dad is at home, a wreck.

They've been assured they are not contagious, and just friday they had gone to get gas, and eat - got food at a drive thru - and that was a big plus as far as I was concerned. They had the energy to walk to their car, and drive. Big improvement over earlier in the week.

And now this......
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 12:35 AM
Gas Pump Handles. thumbsdown
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 12:46 AM
Arch,
Don't blah blah blah.
I have been through this with my dad in the nursing home telling us he has a 50/50 shot and we can't go and see him until he is near the end.

It killed our family not being able to be there for a parent and waiting that if you got "the call" that he was going to pass.

It really sucks-you don't know what its like until you have to go through it-not being there

But he made it though and was put in hospice a short time ago. Now they tell us we can't go visit him because there is another outbreak at his nursing home.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 12:53 AM
I'm not sure what you mean by "don't blah blah blah". I said that, yes, but it was not to make light of the situation. Instead it was an attempt for me to not go into anymore detail.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 07:15 AM
Originally Posted By: archbolddawg
I'm not sure what you mean by "don't blah blah blah". I said that, yes, but it was not to make light of the situation. Instead it was an attempt for me to not go into anymore detail.



Take the time.
Use the extra words.
Tell the complete story.

Haven't you figured it out, yet?
THIS is exactly the time and place to truly make a connection with your community.

How else are we to know what you truly mean, if we don't have context?
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 04:09 PM
I'm sorry to hear your parents are going through this arch. Sadly, when anyone in our family has to deal with something like this, it not only impacts them, but their entire family, friends and the community in general.

I will keep all of you in my thoughts and prayers.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 04:14 PM
Sorry to hear what you are going through. As this thing spreads throughout our nation, more and more families, friends and communities are going through similar situations. It's a matter people overall need to take much more seriously than some do. The prayer list just keeps getting longer but there's always room for more. You and your family are added to that list.
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 05:10 PM
Originally Posted By: Clemdawg
Originally Posted By: archbolddawg
I'm not sure what you mean by "don't blah blah blah". I said that, yes, but it was not to make light of the situation. Instead it was an attempt for me to not go into anymore detail.



Take the time.
Use the extra words.
Tell the complete story.

Haven't you figured it out, yet?
THIS is exactly the time and place to truly make a connection with your community.

How else are we to know what you truly mean, if we don't have context?


Arch, Clem said what I was thinking-use the extra words.
Thanks Clem
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 07:46 PM
The blah blah blah bit:

Knowing their age, mom's 79 tomorrow, dad will be in a few months. Mom's diabetic, They are both overweight. Dad's got bladder issues - not leakage, but a cyst like growth that keeps coming back.

Dad taking mom to the e.r. ?? It just doesn't happen, although it's twice now in less than a week.

Seeing them, literally exhausted all the time, knowing how dad felt when he was sitting in the car at the hospital because he couldn't go in. Then driving home to be by himself, truthfully not knowing if he'd ever see his wife again - things like that go through all of our heads.

He's doing better than mom now, but that isn't saying much. Her x-rays show her lungs are ok, but she coughs, all the time.

Knowing the situation, knowing these after effects could take 1 of them - and what that would do to the other one - and knowing it could take both of them.....

Thankfully I'm not an only child, and with 2 brothers living out of state, it's up to me and my sister right now - to get them fed, take care of things, etc. It's stressful.

Then, I get to fill in my brothers. They want to assist, but distance prevents that. Bro in Indiana said he and his wife would try to bring a meal. I said WHY? You have a 2 hour drive just to get here.

Brother in Colorado, retired, keeps saying "Hey, I can come if I'm needed." Well, come, we have a spare room. But what would you do? He's just getting over covid himself. I guess he could cook, he's good at that - but my parents aren't good at eating.

Dad, obviously not as spry as he was 5 years ago, or last year even, loved having the 2 of us out side working together. Now, he sits inside, sleeping, while I, and a time or 2 my nephews, do stuff outside.

The blah blah blah was just "this is stressful. And it's not getting much better. When you're told, during the Browns game on Sunday that "oh, we're doing better", and 2 hours later you hear "mom's back in the e.r.", you start to question the truthfulness of what you're being told, know what I mean?

I stopped in today. Opened the garage, went in the house. First thing I did was look in the fridge. Sure enough, there's food that my sis and I had taken over. A lot of it. Dad did walk into the kitchen without needing to sit down - so that's good. An improvement from just a few days ago.

Dad's temperament has changed. Lethargic, testy - from the stress. He's 'short', if you will. Still covering for himself, and mom. I guess that is normal for older couples though?

I hope that helps.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/02/20 08:57 PM
My Dad has been around three people with Covid. He is still not happy that he didn't catch it. He really wants to go onto his next life and see/hear my MOM frown
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/03/20 04:06 AM
8 1/2 hours after I gave 'context'. Nothing.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/03/20 04:25 AM
I pretty much understood the "blah, blah, blah" comment the first time you said it. I am sorry you are having to deal w/this. It is very easy for me to visualize your words because I know people just like your dad and understand what you and your siblings are going through.

It is a tough situation and there are no easy answers. No right vs wrong. As an outsider, all I can do is to say I sympathize w/your situation and offer my support and prayers.
Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/03/20 12:40 PM
Arch, if you have any doubt about their condition, or ability to overcome anything, then I would encourage your brothers to come visit.

I lost my sister this past April on Easter weekend to cancer. Due to COVID, and her staying with my mom and uncle (My uncle is undergoing cancer treatment and is on oxygen), I restricted my visits to see them. I was still working and around other people daily, I did not want to bring anything to my mom's house.

Sadly, I didn't get to see my sister much in her last few weeks, and it's something that still bothers me today. We just had her celebration of life 2 weeks ago finally.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/03/20 04:19 PM
Here's a pic from our local HS taken yesterday.

Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/03/20 07:26 PM
j/c

NFL COVID update: Broncos GM John Elway, team president Joe Ellis positive for coronavirus

https://www.newsnationnow.com/sports/bro...ce=facebook.com
Posted By: willitevachange Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/07/20 11:06 PM
J/C

My test came back positive yesterday.

My I got it from my father and mother, who I am worried about. They are doing ok, sick as dogs - but Dad heart issues so we are keeping an eye on him, and Mom beat colon cancer just two years ago and is diabetic, so worried as well.

I started out with a small cough on Tuesday night (I was with them Saturday and Sunday), that went into one of the worst headaches I ever had. Sore muscles accompanied the headach, with a light cough, dizziness.

All those lasted all day Wednesday, in which I never got up other than to go to the restroom. Couldnt eat, couldnt open my eyes my head hurt so bad. Thursday the headache continued throughout the morning, and into the night. The dizziness picked up as well.

Friday morning the headache started to subside, but the dizziness picked up. Neck is really sore (not sure from covid, or just because i have been laying so much). Friday night i lost all smell and most of my taste and have not got it back. Headache is almost gone, but the dizziness is extremely bad. I feel like I am going to pass out everytime I stand up.

Its not fun.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/07/20 11:16 PM
Praying for you, and your parents. Hope you get over this quickly.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/07/20 11:21 PM
Sorry to hear that, will.

I had it, too. Lasted about 3.5 weeks. Symptoms were similar to yours but I did not lose sense of smell. The diarrhea and constant nausea was the worst part.
Posted By: willitevachange Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 03:14 AM
Thank you.

I havent really had the runny stuff yet smile

The loss of smell and taste is weird. I cant tell if i can taste something a little bit, or its just my brain telling me what its supposed to taste like, if that makes sense.

The loss of smell and taste has had its benefits, as my wife has been doing the cooking since ive been sick smile
Posted By: willitevachange Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 03:14 AM
Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog
Sorry to hear that, will.

I had it, too. Lasted about 3.5 weeks. Symptoms were similar to yours but I did not lose sense of smell. The diarrhea and constant nausea was the worst part.
Thank you.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 04:37 AM
Get well. Load up on Zinc and Vitamin C. If you’re able to get out into the sun, do so. Sun on skin. Vitamin D3 from the sun contacting our skin is powerful stuff.
Stay hydrated.
Posted By: YTownBrownsFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 05:06 AM
I've been taking 10,000 IU Vitamin D3 and a couple of Cold-Eze every day since this started. So far (knock on wood) so good.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 05:20 AM
Your symptoms sound exactly like several people I know that had it. Mid 50's, other wise good health.

Be prepared, with your parents. My parents are in their late 70s. Both had it, both have other health issues. Several e.r. visits, but never admitted. Worst for them was the absolute lack of any energy. Walking 20-30 feet left them breathless. No appetite, etc. They are past the virus, have been for a couple of weeks (dad - 10 days or so for mom), and aside from their fears, just dealing with the after affects, and the duration of those, has been tough.

Mom texted this morning "For the first time in 3 1/2 weeks, I feel like a person again." It'll take time for your parents, and maybe even you, but you and they will get there.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 01:05 PM
Yeah, the biggest worry is for the elderly. It's gotta be tough for folks who have Covid and have parents who have it at the same time. Almost impossible to care for them.
Posted By: sk8termom Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 01:09 PM
Originally Posted By: willitevachange
J/C

My test came back positive yesterday.

My I got it from my father and mother, who I am worried about. They are doing ok, sick as dogs - but Dad heart issues so we are keeping an eye on him, and Mom beat colon cancer just two years ago and is diabetic, so worried as well.

I started out with a small cough on Tuesday night (I was with them Saturday and Sunday), that went into one of the worst headaches I ever had. Sore muscles accompanied the headach, with a light cough, dizziness.

All those lasted all day Wednesday, in which I never got up other than to go to the restroom. Couldnt eat, couldnt open my eyes my head hurt so bad. Thursday the headache continued throughout the morning, and into the night. The dizziness picked up as well.

Friday morning the headache started to subside, but the dizziness picked up. Neck is really sore (not sure from covid, or just because i have been laying so much). Friday night i lost all smell and most of my taste and have not got it back. Headache is almost gone, but the dizziness is extremely bad. I feel like I am going to pass out everytime I stand up.

Its not fun.


Praying that you and your parents get well soon.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/08/20 01:12 PM
Take care of yourself Willit and try to keep us updated. Hoping you and your family come through this with minimum difficulty.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/09/20 11:55 AM
Pfizer Announces Vaccine is 90% Effective - No Major Side Effects!!!!

https://investors.pfizer.com/investor-ne...dy/default.aspx
Posted By: Bard Dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/10/20 06:55 AM
Prayers for you. Hope all get better ASAP. Be as well as possible. Special prayers for parents. My Mom is locked down in nursing home. Hope to visit her.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/12/20 06:27 AM
DeWine: Mask mandate will be enforced, other restrictions coming; bars, restaurants, fitness centers may be closed

COLUMBUS — Speaking in a somber tone in a statewide broadcast from his Statehouse office, Gov. Mike DeWine Wednesday told Ohioans he will step up enforcement of his mandatory mask order and some new restrictions will be ordered.

It comes in response to record high numbers of new COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. The Ohio Department of Health figures show there were 5,784 new coronavirus cases reported in the last 24 hours period and 253 new people hospitalized in that same period.

DeWine ordered that businesses must post a Face Covering Requirement sign at all entrances. Most businesses have them already but many have told employees not to challenge customers who are not wearing a mask, out of fear of angering them.

Also each store will be responsible for employees and customers wearing a mask. The governor said a new Retail Compliance Unit from the Ohio Bureau of Workers Compensation will inspect stores for compliance.

In April the state issued an order limiting public gatherings to ten people and DeWine reminded people that the order remains in effect.

“Despite this order we have seen rampant spread of the order as a result of banquets, wedding receptions, and social gatherings following funerals. We have seen great tragedy associated with these events,” DeWine said.

A new order coming in the next few days will address those gatherings, requiring people to be seated and wearing a mask unless they are actively consuming food. Congregate areas cannot be open. Dancing and games will be prohibited

Other categories of businesses are also being targeted by DeWine.

“If the current trend continues and cases keep increasing, we will be forced to close bars, restaurants and fitness centers. We will look at this one week from tomorrow. I’m very well aware of the burden this will place on employees. I’m very well aware of the burden this will place on the owners, but these are places candidly where it is impossible to maintain mask wearing which we know is the chief way of slowing this virus,” DeWine said.

As some school districts have begun to shift the virtual learning, DeWine said people must do everything in their power to slow the virus down so kids can stay in school.

“It is up to each and every one of us. What you do in the community …what we all do in the community impacts whether our kids can stay in schools. Because no matter how good our schools are they cannot overcome widespread COVID in the community that will get into the schools,” DeWine said.

The governor also thanked universities for moving students off-campuses after the Thanksgiving break and through the end of the year. If the virus continues to spread, DeWine said, universities may have to remain virtual when they return in January.

DeWine quoted former British Prime Minister Winston Churchill, who led his battered nation through World War II, when he said “When you’re going through hell, keep going.”

he governor asked Ohioans to keep going.

“Recommit your individual efforts to stay safe. Because what you do in your private lives effects everyone. Please, please don’t host that birthday party, that baby shower or kids' sleepover or that get-together to watch he football game,” DeWine said.

Like several other governors around the state, DeWine urged people to stay home when they can, to work from home when they can and to remember to avoid letting someone into their homes, including extended family members to come into their home for Thanksgiving.

He urged people if they are attending a gathering, to make sure everyone is wearing a mask.

https://www.whio.com/news/local/dewine-m...DO5MROT4WUUMIY/
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/12/20 10:24 PM
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/study-pi...-173213085.html

Summarizing the article:

On average, the researchers determined that the following locations “produced the largest predicted increases in infections when reopened”:

Full-service restaurants

Gyms

Hotels

Cafés

Religious organizations

Limited-service restaurants

In fact, the study linked more than 80 percent of infections to these locations.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/13/20 09:56 PM
Sweden dealing with massive Covid-19 surge.

Hi Prp. Want to walk back those herd immunity claims, yet?
Posted By: PastorMarc Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/13/20 11:35 PM
Originally Posted By: Jester
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/study-pi...-173213085.html

Summarizing the article:

On average, the researchers determined that the following locations “produced the largest predicted increases in infections when reopened”:

Full-service restaurants

Gyms

Hotels

Cafés

Religious organizations

Limited-service restaurants

In fact, the study linked more than 80 percent of infections to these locations.


Not true with our church, NOT ONE person has contracted COVID 19, yes we have taken precautions but still no cases ...
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/13/20 11:44 PM
Originally Posted By: PastorMarc
Originally Posted By: Jester
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/study-pi...-173213085.html

Summarizing the article:

On average, the researchers determined that the following locations “produced the largest predicted increases in infections when reopened”:

Full-service restaurants

Gyms

Hotels

Cafés

Religious organizations

Limited-service restaurants

In fact, the study linked more than 80 percent of infections to these locations.


Not true with our church, NOT ONE person has contracted COVID 19, yes we have taken precautions but still no cases ...



It’s raining in Portland. Proof there’s no drought in Africa.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/14/20 12:05 AM
I sure bless those rain down there, though.
Posted By: Versatile Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/14/20 12:13 AM
Originally Posted By: PastorMarc
Originally Posted By: Jester
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/study-pi...-173213085.html

Summarizing the article:

On average, the researchers determined that the following locations “produced the largest predicted increases in infections when reopened”:

Full-service restaurants

Gyms

Hotels

Cafés

Religious organizations

Limited-service restaurants

In fact, the study linked more than 80 percent of infections to these locations.


Not true with our church, NOT ONE person has contracted COVID 19, yes we have taken precautions but still no cases ...


Glad to hear that, Pastor. Nice to see you are taking the proper precautions and that everyone is healthy thus far.

Ignore those that think that because it is raining in their part of the country that it is raining in every single location across the globe. Especially ignore those who think this is some sort of contest and mock others because more people are getting Covid.

They are the same people who want people of a certain age group to all die and support those who want all people who disagree w/them politically to also die. It's best to steer clear of that particular group of people.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/14/20 12:19 AM
Originally Posted By: RocketOptimist
Sweden dealing with massive Covid-19 surge.

Hi Prp. Want to walk back those herd immunity claims, yet?


Nope, not yet.

They still have fewer cases per day than Ohio, like almost by half, so I'm thinking they're still doing just fine.
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/14/20 07:06 PM
Man what?

If we tried herdimmunity here in this country, we’re talking millions dying.

Just so everyone is aware, the state of Ohio has about a million more people than all of Sweden.

And yet purp is here acting like the COUNTRY will have comparable numbers to Sweden if we tried herd immunity.

Which to re-emphasize, ISNT working over there. They tried it and have way more deaths than the surrounding countries.

I mean Damn purp. Millions would die trying that, and all you would do is *shoulder shrug*
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/14/20 08:16 PM
I mean he thinks there’s no lasting effects of covid despite the research by scientists and doctors, and he also buys into nonsense that it escaped from a lab in Wuhan.

Doubt he’ll ever come to reality.
Posted By: 3rd_and_20 Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/15/20 02:40 PM
j/c:

Arthritis drug 'cuts elderly Covid-19 deaths by two-thirds', say researchers - raising hopes that it will save the most vulnerable

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...esearchers.html
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/16/20 07:52 AM


For fun. Not that any part of this is fun.
Posted By: Ballpeen Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/16/20 03:09 PM
Originally Posted By: RocketOptimist
I mean he thinks there’s no lasting effects of covid despite the research by scientists and doctors, and he also buys into nonsense that it escaped from a lab in Wuhan.

Doubt he’ll ever come to reality.


https://besacenter.org/perspectives-papers/covid19-origin/

A interesting read.
Posted By: 3rd_and_20 Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 03:10 PM
j/c:

Pfizer will seek FDA approval for COVID-19 vaccine in DAYS as final trial analysis shows it is 95% effective... days after Moderna's breakthrough

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...n.html#comments
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 06:45 PM
The problem with the Pfizer vaccine is that it needs to be stored at negative 100 degrees Fahrenheit. You won't be able to get this at your local pharmacy like you do with the flu shot. You won't be able to get it at your primary care doctor's office. You won't be able to get it at the hospital either. Charlotte is home to the 3rd largest hospital system in the nation and even they do not have a refrigerator capable of storing this vaccine. I haven't heard of any plans on how this vaccine can be distributed throughout the country.

The Moderna vaccine only needs to be stored at negative 4 degrees Fahrenheit.
Posted By: mac Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 07:07 PM

Why Does Pfizer's COVID-19 Vaccine Need To Be Kept Colder Than Antarctica?

November 17, 20205:01 AM ET
NPR WGTE
SELENA SIMMONS-DUFFIN

link
Posted By: bonefish Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 07:25 PM

During the middle ages they celebrated the end of the plague with wine and orgies. Does anyone know if there is anything planned when this one ends?
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 07:46 PM
Originally Posted By: bonefish

During the middle ages they celebrated the end of the plague with wine and orgies. Does anyone know if there is anything planned when this one ends?


Well there are a lot of whining and the government has told us to go screw ourselves...
Posted By: bonefish Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 09:50 PM

Perfect comeback
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/18/20 11:48 PM
It can't be "perfect" if I can "think of" better. That was a very nice set up line you used, the punch is obvious, but insulting, and it's not subject matter to continue a discussion on.

In other covid news, I'm having a sad solemn attitude toward the severe spike in spread.

I'm not changing my mind. We must continue on, when we have done all that we can, then stand.
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 12:16 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg


For fun. Not that any part of this is fun.


If the economy ends in one day, it is the mystery, biblical fall of Babylon, if anyone is keeping notes.

Wan Chung lyrics anyone? "the whole world is Babylon", what year did they write that song? 1981?
Posted By: cfrs15 Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 12:26 AM
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/nostradamus-covid-19/
Posted By: JulesDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 12:50 AM
Shocking
Posted By: 3rd_and_20 Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 04:32 PM
j/c:

Cleveland and Cuyahoga County issue stay-at-home advisory to residents in effort to slow coronavirus spread

https://www.cleveland.com/coronavirus/20...rus-spread.html
Posted By: YTownBrownsFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 05:19 PM
Make sure you're stocked up on food and staples. We could well see runs on stuff like TP, hand soap, and similar items.
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 05:26 PM
Already are seeing some of that.
We went out in March and bought a full size freezer to go along with our other 2 freezer/fridges and they are stocked full.
along with the other stuff like tp, tissues, hand soap, sanitizer and the dry staples we are ready for the long haul
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 05:26 PM
CDC advises Americans not to travel for Thanksgiving
Marisa Fernandez
Marisa Fernandez
Illustration of woman presenting a thanksgiving platter with virus in place of a turkey
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

The CDC issued new guidance on Thursday advising Americans not to travel for Thanksgiving, warning doing so may increase the chance of getting and spreading COVID-19.

Why it matters: The U.S. has seen over 1 million new coronavirus case in just this past week — and indoor household gatherings nationwide could make the situation even worse.

The state of play: The agency said that Thanksgiving celebrations should only include current household members when possible.

It also redefined its definition of "household" to people currently living in one's home for the past 14 days — which could exclude college students and older relatives.
What they're saying: "Postponing travel and staying home is the best way to protect yourself and others this year," the guidance says.

"We're alarmed with the exponential increase in cases, rising hospitalizations and deaths, Henry Walke, the CDC’s COVID-19 incident manager, said on a call with reporters.
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/19/20 11:00 PM
From Dewine's briefing today.

DeWine said the 24-hour case change of 7,787 is probably not accurate and lower than the actual number. The Department of Health has been double-checking the results of antigen tests for COVID-19, and a backlog has developed since Monday. DeWine said 12,000 such tests are being double-checked, with most of them expected to be confirmed. DeWine said he should have an update Friday.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/20/20 06:27 PM


OMG
Posted By: TI84_Plus Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/21/20 02:35 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg


OMG


RIGHT?

It’s gonna be ridiculous, entertaining, and frustrating AF.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/21/20 04:16 AM
Just noticed today that our 2 year old Five Guys went out of business and our 5 year old Golden Corral Buffet that has been closed since covid began is now gone with the building up for sale or lease. Chain franchises are going under now, tons of mom and pops have closed around here too.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/21/20 04:21 AM
Ruby Tuesday filed for bankrupcy.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/21/20 04:42 AM
Originally Posted By: TI84_Plus
Originally Posted By: EveDawg


OMG


RIGHT?

It’s gonna be ridiculous, entertaining, and frustrating AF.


That stresses me out just looking at it.
Posted By: BuckDawg1946 Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/21/20 05:00 AM
Covid is the enemy, the main combatant in a war America never gave enough attention, and enough respect.

WW2 was unifying, every American stepped up, and did their job. We didn’t give this war enough respect. It’s remorseful, when every American can’t even wear a mask. Yes, this is the wish of every health care worker in tusa.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/22/20 02:33 AM
The enemy is our own brain dead neighbors. I spent more time this morning being attacked by a friend and 25 of his friends. WHy???? because I believe in wearing a mask. This guy and many of his friends laugh and bitch about masks. They are still going into stores maskless, not social distancing, and calling folks everything under the sun for those who care about others and themselves.

They get away with it why???? Because there are so many others just like them. I went to get groceries today. I counted 5 people not wearing masks in walmart. Another 30 wearing their mask under their nose including 5 freaking employees. We will never get covid under control until we start locking these idiots up. It's just fine for them to spread covid everywhere and nobody does a damn thing about it. But I bet you 100 bucks if I lit up a cigarette and blew smoke in their faces in the store the po po would treat me like MR Floyd.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/22/20 02:48 AM
Back in July, we didn't have too much spread, I saw a hospital employee at the local grocery store wearing a surgical facemask below his chin.

GM, we'd be millionaries for every person we saw breaking these rules. Maybe one day people will understand?
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/23/20 07:57 PM
Cleveland coronavirus cases up 1,200 percent since early October

The Cleveland area has seen its number of coronavirus cases skyrocket by 1,259 percent in the past seven weeks according to the Ohio Department of Health, as cases across the country continue to climb.

On Oct. 1, when Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine (R) released an advisory alert map, the Cleveland/Akron area was reporting an average of 83 cases a day, according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer. Now, the area is averaging 1,134 cases a day.

The Buckeye State, like many states in recent weeks, on Friday broke its record for new cases in a single day, reporting 8,808 cases. So far, 343,286 coronavirus cases and 5,984 deaths have been reported in Ohio.

Last week Franklin County, where the state’s capital of Columbus is located, was elevated to the highest public emergency level, indicating a risk of “severe exposure and spread.” The recommendation for residents in a county at this level is to “only leave home for supplies and services.”

Last week, Columbus health officials announced a month-long health advisory, urging residents to only leave the home for essential needs, work and school.

“I'm not going to mince words: We have entered a dangerous time in our fight against COVID-19. This surge is much scarier than we saw in the spring or again in the summer," Columbus Mayor Andrew Ginther (D) said after the advisory was announced.

When the advisory system was first released on Oct. 1, 11 counties were classified as Level 3. Now, of Ohio's 88 counties, 15 are at Level 2, one is at Level 4 and the rest are Level 3.

In a tweet last week, DeWine warned that “Other counties may not yet be seeing continuous, uninterrupted increases in the same way that is causing Franklin to move to purple, but make no mistake—almost all counties are seeing more cases and more healthcare use that could threaten the medical system if they continue.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch...e-early-october
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/24/20 09:46 PM
Wife was at 3 stores Sunday, no TP in any of them. WTH is wrong with people.
Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/25/20 01:52 PM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Wife was at 3 stores Sunday, no TP in any of them. WTH is wrong with people.


I don't get it either. Of all the things I would need if the world shut down, TP is not all that high on the list. Mankind lived a long time without TP.

Just get a bidet attachment if their so worried about wiping ability.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/25/20 01:55 PM
Oh sure a bidet? Watch my water bill triple willynilly willynilly willynilly
Posted By: FloridaFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/25/20 01:58 PM
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
Oh sure a bidet? Watch my water bill triple willynilly willynilly willynilly


rofl
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/25/20 02:09 PM
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
Oh sure a bidet? Watch my water bill triple willynilly willynilly willynilly


Sounds like you have something to talk about with your doctor.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/25/20 03:39 PM
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
Oh sure a bidet? Watch my water bill triple willynilly willynilly willynilly


Well in all fairness, if you are using that much water you are not practicing hygiene, you are pleasuring yourself.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/25/20 05:26 PM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
Oh sure a bidet? Watch my water bill triple willynilly willynilly willynilly


Well in all fairness, if you are using that much water you are not practicing hygiene, you are pleasuring yourself.


Not that there's anything wrong with that.

Moving to the country; I'll have a well soon enough. No more water bill smile
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/26/20 01:18 PM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
Oh sure a bidet? Watch my water bill triple willynilly willynilly willynilly


Well in all fairness, if you are using that much water you are not practicing hygiene, you are pleasuring yourself.



Maybe both brownie
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 02:08 PM
My aunt is in the hospital with covid as of last night. She's 83.

When she went in, she had mild symptoms and low O2 levels, apparently from pneumonia. They immediately admitted her and put her in ICU and put her on O2.

This morning, her O2 levels are steady at 90% on a mask... and they want to intubate her. She is, rightfully, I feel, fighting them on it. Their response is to contact family in an attempt to override her on the decision with the argument of "she could go into cardiac arrest", despite the fact that she is breathing just fine. It's rather infuriating and seems to me that the hospitals are just padding their numbers & billing.

Can one of y'all that are actually working a COVID floor explain why you would intubate someone whose O2 is at 90% and rising?
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 02:25 PM
Got my own answers.... 90% is LOW, especially for someone on a mask.

These are details that weren't relayed to us.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 02:50 PM
Complicated but I will try my best to explain some things.
I am doing this quickly and trying to keep it short so it may not be all encompassing.

Reasons to intubate someone:
They stop breathing (obviously)
They are optimized on noninvasive oxygen and sats are not adequate
They are optimized on oxygen with good sats but struggling and look like they are going to tire out so the decision is made to intubate under a controlled situation rather than waiting for them to stop breathing and have to do it emergently.

As for your aunt, unless she looks like she is struggling to breathe then I would discourage intubation. What we have learned since the start of this pandemic is that with covid pneumonia you can tolerate lower oxygen saturations. Generally we like to keep the oxygen saturation above 93% but with covid patients I am fine with them as low as 88%. This is a struggle because I turn down the patients oxygen because it gets them out of the hospital faster but the respiratory therapist comes by and turns it up. or the nurse moves the patient and the sats drop so they rightfully turn it up but then forget to wean it back down.

The other thing we have learned is that once intubated patients do worse. So we try to wait as long as possible before putting our covid patients on the vent.

So I would say that your aunt is more right than the doctors from the information that you provided.

I don't think the doctors are trying to pad their numbers and billing though. The difference in billing is minuscule is anything at all. I would be more concerned with the quality of doctor that you are dealing with. Sometimes it is just that they have trouble changing from the mantra they have used for decades, other times they just aren't very good. There are good and bad doctors at every hospital including world class institutions like the Cleveland Clinic. More so at hospitals that are "Cleveland Clinic" hospitals but not the main campus. The smaller satellite hospitals that are part of the Cleveland Clinic system but are not actually the Cleveland Clinic. If that makes sense.

Take all this with a grain of salt as I don't know specifics about your aunt's case of anything about her doctors or the hospital she is in. So this information is more guideline than rule.

Hope that helps. Let me know if you need anything clarified. And feel free to PM me if you want.
Posted By: Jester Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 02:55 PM
90% is low, especially on a mask. But if she is comfortable I wouldn't intubate her. You need to look at the patient and not just the numbers, even though numbers are important.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 03:13 PM
Thanks, Jester!

This is *exactly* the sorts of clarification we don't get, especially if we're not the one talking to the doctors. It's like playing the kid's game 'Telephone' and what gets passed to us is only as good as the understanding of the person relaying it.

My Dad just got his results (he had been over my aunt's house last week); he is also positive, so he & my step mom are doing the self-quarantine thing for a couple weeks. His symptoms are staying really mild, so far, thankfully.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 04:08 PM
Sorry to hear about your Aunt. IMO 90 is not that low as long as she is not having trouble breathing. They freaked out at the Cleveland Clinic when I had my first surgery. I run between 90 and 95 almost every time I check mine, and I have never been over 95. After 7 surgery's they now know mine runs low and they don't worry about it.
Posted By: THROW LONG Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 06:53 PM
Say that reminds me,

Yesterday I was going to make the point, ...

Jax is 1-9, have 4 dbs out for the game, so when the Browns play em,...

Any Wr who drops a ball vs the jaguars, needs CUT, WAIVED, NOT BROUGHT BACK FOR NEXT YEAR. (Cept maybe, .. Higgins has earned some overlook on this but.

What reminded me, is. about 3 minutes ago, we saw Taiwan Taylor drop a pass, a late, hard to get knee high pass at the sideline but,

C'mon, is Taiwan Taylor the best the Browns can do, offer as a roster spot?
Long term?
Posted By: JulesDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 06:55 PM
Dude
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 07:25 PM
Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
Got my own answers.... 90% is LOW, especially for someone on a mask.

These are details that weren't relayed to us.


Never had covid, but I've been at that O2 level and as low as 88 a couple times. They did talk about intubating me then and I thought they were nuts. Both times I improved over night on steroids and was discharged the next day. My COPD causes me to live my life at 92%-94%.
Posted By: Squires Re: Covid-19: Again - 11/29/20 10:32 PM
jc

Quote:
In Japan, more people died from suicide last month than from Covid in all of 2020. And women have been impacted most
By Selina [censored], Rebecca Wright and Yoko Wakatsuki, CNN

Updated 6:46 AM ET, Sun November 29, 2020

Tokyo (CNN)Eriko Kobayashi has tried to kill herself four times.

The first time, she was just 22 years old with a full-time job in publishing that didn't pay enough to cover her rent and grocery bills in Tokyo. "I was really poor," said Kobayashi, who spent three days unconscious in hospital after the incident.
Now 43, Kobayashi has written books on her mental health struggles and has a steady job at an NGO. But the coronavirus is bringing back the stress she used to feel.
"My salary was cut, and I cannot see the light at the end of the tunnel," she said. "I constantly feel a sense of crisis that I might fall back into poverty."
Experts have warned that the pandemic could lead to a mental health crisis. Mass unemployment, social isolation, and anxiety are taking their toll on people globally.
In Japan, government statistics show suicide claimed more lives in October than Covid-19 has over the entire year to date. The monthly number of Japanese suicides rose to 2,153 in October, according to Japan's National Police Agency. As of Friday, Japan's total Covid-19 toll was 2,087, the health ministry said.

Japan is one of the few major economies to disclose timely suicide data -- the most recent national data for the US, for example, is from 2018. The Japanese data could give other countries insights into the impact of pandemic measures on mental health, and which groups are the most vulnerable.

"We didn't even have a lockdown, and the impact of Covid is very minimal compared to other countries ... but still we see this big increase in the number of suicides," said Michiko Ueda, an associate professor at Waseda University in Tokyo, and an expert on suicides.

"That suggests other countries might see a similar or even bigger increase in the number of suicides in the future."

Covid's toll on women
Japan has long struggled with one of the highest suicide rates in the world, according to the World Health Organization. In 2016, Japan had a suicide mortality rate of 18.5 per 100,000 people, second only to South Korea in the Western Pacific region and almost triple the annual global average of 10.6 per 100,000 people.


While the reasons for Japan's high suicide rate are complex, long working hours, school pressure, social isolation and a cultural stigma around mental health issues have all been cited as contributing factors.
But for the 10 years leading up to 2019, the number of suicides had been decreasing in Japan, falling to about 20,000 last year, according to the health ministry -- the lowest number since the country's health authorities started keeping records in 1978.

The pandemic appears to have reversed that trend, and the rise in suicides has disproportionately affected women. Although they represent a smaller proportion of total suicides than men, the number of women taking their own lives is increasing. In October, suicides among women in Japan increased almost 83% compared to the same month the previous year. For comparison, male suicides rose almost 22% over the same time period.
There are several potential reasons for this. Women make up a larger percentage of part-time workers in the hotel, food service and retail industries -- where layoffs have been deep. Kobayashi said many of her friends have been laid off. "Japan has been ignoring women," she said. "This is a society where the weakest people are cut off first when something bad happens."

In a global study of more than 10,000 people, conducted by non-profit international aid organization CARE, 27% of women reported increased challenges with mental health during the pandemic, compared to 10% of men.

Compounding those worries about income, women have been dealing with skyrocketing unpaid care burdens, according to the study. For those who keep their jobs, when children are sent home from school or childcare centers, it often falls to mothers to take on those responsibilities, as well as their normal work duties.

Increased anxiety about the health and well-being of children has also put an extra burden on mothers during the pandemic.
Akari, a 35-year-old who did not want to use her real name, said she sought professional help this year when her premature son was hospitalized for six weeks. "I was pretty much worried 24 hours," Akari said. "I didn't have any mental illness history before, but I could see myself really, really anxious all the time."
Her feelings got worse as the pandemic intensified, and she worried her son would get Covid-19.
"I felt there was no hope, I felt like I always thought about the worst-case scenario," she said.

"A Place for You"
In March, Koki Ozora, a 21-year-old university student, started a 24-hour mental health hotline called Anata no Ibasho (A Place for You). He said the hotline, a nonprofit funded by private donations, receives an average of over 200 calls a day, and that the vast majority of callers are women.
"They lost their jobs, and they need to raise their kids, but they didn't have any money," Ozora said. "So, they attempted suicide."
Most of the calls come through the night -- from 10 p.m. to 4 a.m. The nonprofit's 600 volunteers live around the world in different timezones and are awake to answer them. But there aren't enough volunteers to keep up with the volume of messages, Ozora said.

They prioritize the texts that are most urgent -- looking for keywords such as suicide or sexual abuse. He said they respond to 60% of texts within five minutes, and volunteers spend an average of 40 minutes with each person.

Anonymously, over online messaging, people share their deepest struggles. Unlike most mental health hotlines in Japan, which take requests over the phone, Ozora says many people -- especially the younger generation -- are more comfortable asking for help via text.

n April, he said the most common messages were from mothers who were feeling stressed about raising their kids, with some confessing to thoughts of killing their own children. These days, he says messages from women about job losses and financial difficulties are common -- as well as domestic violence.
"I've been accepting messages, like 'I'm being raped by my father' or 'My husband tried to kill me,'" Ozora said. "Women send these kinds of texts almost every day. And it's increasing." He added that the spike in messages is because of the pandemic. Before, there were more places to "escape," like schools, offices or friend's homes.
Pressure on children
Japan is the only G-7 country where suicide is the leading manner of death for young people aged 15 to 39. And suicides among those under 20 had been increasing even before the pandemic, according to health ministry.
As pandemic restrictions take children out of school and social situations, they're dealing with abuse, stressful home lives, and pressures from falling behind on homework, Ozora said. Some children as young as five years old had messaged the hotline, he added.
School closures during the pandemic in the spring have contributed to homework piling up; kids also have less freedom to see friends, which is also contributing to stress, according to Naho Morisaki, of the National Center for Child Health and Development. The center recently conducted an internet survey of more than 8,700 parents and children and found that 75% of Japanese schoolchildren showed signs of stress due to the pandemic.
Morisaki says he thinks there's a big correlation between the anxiety of children and their parents. "The children who are self-injuring themselves have the stress, and then they can't speak out to their family because probably they see that their moms or dads are not able to listen to them."

Stigma of solving the problem
In Japan, there is still a stigma against admitting loneliness and struggle. Ozora said it's common for women and parents to start the conversation with his service with the phrase: "I know it's bad to ask for help, but can I talk?"
Ueda says the "shame" of talking about depression often holds people back.
"It's not something that you talk about in public, you don't talk about it with friends or anything," she said. "(It) could lead to a delay in seeking help, so that's one potential cultural factor that we have in here."

Akari, the mother of the premature baby, agrees. She had previously lived in the US, where she says it seems easier to seek help. "When I lived in America, I knew people who went through therapy, and it's a more common thing to do, but in Japan it's very difficult," she said.
Following the financial crisis in the 1990s, Japan's suicide rate surged to a record high in 2003, when roughly 34,000 people took their own lives. Experts say the shame and anxiety from layoffs, of mostly men at the time, contributed to depression and increased suicide rates. In the early 2000s, the Japanese government accelerated investment and efforts around suicide prevention and survivor support, including passing the Basic Act for Suicide Prevention in 2006 to provide support to those affected by the issue.
But both Ozora and Kobayashi say it has not been nearly enough: reducing the suicide rate requires Japanese society to change.
"It's shameful for others to know your weakness, so you hide everything, hold it in yourself, and endure," Kobayashi said. "We need to create the culture where it's OK to show your weakness and misery."

Celebrity suicides
A succession of Japanese celebrities have taken their lives in recent months. While the Japanese media rarely details the specifics of such deaths -- deliberately not dwelling on method or motive -- the mere reporting on these cases often causes an increase in suicide in the general public, according to experts such as Ueda.
Hana Kimura, a 22-year-old professional wrestler and star of the reality show "Terrace House," died by suicide over the summer, after social media users bombarded her with hateful messages. Hana's mother, Kyoko Kimura, says she was conscious that media reports on her daughter's death may have affected others who were feeling suicidal.

"When Hana died, I asked the police repeatedly not to disclose any concrete situation of her death, but still, I see the reporting of information only the police knew," Kimura said. "It's a chain reaction of grief."

Kimura said the pandemic led her daughter to spend more time reading toxic social media messages, as she was unable to wrestle because of coronavirus restrictions. Kimura is now setting up an NGO called "Remember Hana" to raise awareness about cyberbullying.

"She found her reason to live by fighting as a professional wrestler. It was a big part of her. She was in a really tough situation as she could not wrestle," Kimura said. "The coronavirus pandemic made society more suffocating."

The third wave
In recent weeks, Japan has reported record-high daily Covid-19 cases, as doctors warn of a third wave that could intensify in the winter months. Experts worry that the high suicide rate will get worse as the economic fallout continues.
"We haven't even experienced the full economic consequences of the pandemic," Ueda said. "The pandemic itself can get worse, then maybe there's a semi-lockdown again; if that happens, then the impact can be huge."
Compared with some other nations, Japan's coronavirus restrictions have been relatively relaxed. The country declared a state of emergency but has never imposed a strict lockdown, for example, and its quarantine restrictions for international arrivals have not been as unbending as those in China.

But as cases rise, some worry harsher restrictions will be needed -- and are concerned about how that could affect mental health.
"We didn't even have a lockdown, and the impact of Covid is very minimal compared to other countries ... but still we see this big increase in the number of suicides," Ueda said. "That suggests other countries might see a similar or even bigger increase in the number of suicides in the future."
Despite having to deal with a salary cut and constant financial insecurity, Kobayashi says she is now much better at managing her anxiety. She hopes that by speaking publicly about her fears, more people will do the same and realize they are not alone, before it's too late.
"I come out to the public and say that I have been mentally ill and suffered from depression in the hope that others might be encouraged to speak out," Kobayashi said. "I am 43 now and life starts to get more fun in the middle of my life. So, I feel it's good that I am still alive."


Link
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 06:02 PM
Counting my blessings and hoping my test comes back positive.

Brother and sister-in-law tested positive and that was my contact. They were able to get a rapid test, I could not. Got tested yesterday and will wait up to five days.

My symptoms started the day after Thanksgiving. By that evening I felt like I got hit by a TRUCK. As I kept telling my wife - it was like my bones actually hurt. Ringing in my ears, massive headaches. Spent three days laying around and taking multiple naps. Never had anything other than a mild fever. I've lost ALL taste and smell. Spent two days having a hard time breathing - that was pretty scary. Did breathing exercises all day yesterday. It's day five and I can actually move around and have a little energy. "Viral load" must not have been very high. Wouldn't wish this on anyone and my case was pretty mild in comparison.
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 06:34 PM
Not to take away from the current discussion, but those on the front lines (healthcare workers as well as first responders) can take advantage of free coffee from Starbucks for the entire month of December. I believe it's just for a tall hot or iced coffee, but there's no limit how many times you can come in.

Regardless of how you feel about Starbucks or their coffee, this is nice.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 07:27 PM
Happy Birthday Fate. Sorry to hear about your illness, hope it's negative and/or you recover quickly and fully.
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 08:22 PM
Thanks bro!
Posted By: 3rd_and_20 Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 09:13 PM
Originally Posted By: FATE
Counting my blessings and hoping my test comes back positive.

Brother and sister-in-law tested positive and that was my contact. They were able to get a rapid test, I could not. Got tested yesterday and will wait up to five days.

My symptoms started the day after Thanksgiving. By that evening I felt like I got hit by a TRUCK. As I kept telling my wife - it was like my bones actually hurt. Ringing in my ears, massive headaches. Spent three days laying around and taking multiple naps. Never had anything other than a mild fever. I've lost ALL taste and smell. Spent two days having a hard time breathing - that was pretty scary. Did breathing exercises all day yesterday. It's day five and I can actually move around and have a little energy. "Viral load" must not have been very high. Wouldn't wish this on anyone and my case was pretty mild in comparison.



Happy birthday and hope you feel better soon. thumbsup
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 09:15 PM
Happy Birthday. Hope you get over it fast.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/01/20 09:46 PM
Wow. Happy frickin' birthday, huh? Sounds like you're on the mend and I hope you've got a lifetime of antibodies for your effort!
Posted By: Dawgs4Life Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/02/20 12:57 AM
Happy bday FATE .. hope you stay well
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/02/20 01:05 AM
Haha. Yes, naturally it would have to be on my birthday. Thanks for all the bday wishes, you guys are awesome!
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/02/20 01:21 AM
Happy birthday, FATE!

Even if you have it, you're not knocked down for the count... that's a pretty good present smile

Get well!
Posted By: YTownBrownsFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/02/20 01:40 AM
Man Fate, I hope you manage to recover from this quickly and completely.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/03/20 04:56 PM
More Americans Died from Covid-19 Yesterday than were Killed on 9-11

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/mor...911/ar-BB1bBotR
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/03/20 05:25 PM
One every 30 seconds.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/03/20 08:39 PM
More covid deaths than deaths in the Vietnam and korean wars combined. cry
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:05 AM
I guess it must be a little worse than the cold or flu... rolleyes
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:07 AM
My friend just died this afternoon.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:10 AM
Sorry for your loss, Arch. frown
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:11 AM
Sorry arch.

I hope his family, yourself, and all that are impacted by this are able to find peace.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:25 AM
Oh man. Sorry to hear that.
Posted By: JulesDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:27 AM
A family friend died from Covid complications this morning. Not elderly and in good shape before he contracted the virus. Young children and a wife left behind. The hospital I’m working with right now is starting to get overwhelmed.

I’m becoming less and less tolerant of people downplaying this virus or dismissing it altogether. Reasonable people do not behave this way in the midst of something like this pandemic.
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:31 AM
Very sorry to hear that, Arch. May he R.I.P.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 12:58 AM
Sorry, Jules. frown . Hope everyone involved is able to find peace and comfort.

Stay safe. Both of my parents work at hospitals in the Cleveland area and I worry about them on a daily basis.

Stuff like this keeps my head on a swivel. Only leaving the house to pick up mail now with trying to keep ourselves safe.
Posted By: Dawgs4Life Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 01:10 AM
So sorry to hear that from you guys ... hoping for peace and health
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 02:06 AM
Sorry for your loss bro. We will keep his family and friends in our prayers
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 02:07 AM
I'm sorry for your loss jules.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 02:18 AM
Wife and 2 kids.....high school and jr. high. Dad/husband/ friend is dead. Today.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 02:45 AM
So sorry for what everyone that this crap effects is going through. So much tragic loss. The vaccines can’t come soon enough.
The numbers are getting worse and worse. I’m now being tested twice a week for work.
Stay safe everyone. Hunker down. Keep your circles small. Be diligent about mask wearing and hand hygiene.
There’s a light at the end of this tunnel. Keep focused.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 03:12 AM
Sorry to hear that arch. Horrible. So sad for somebody in their prime to be taken by this when it was mostly preventable.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 03:17 AM
Sorry to hear this Jules. I'm with you on the losing patience, lost mine a while back. I currently have another houseful of my kids and grandkids on quarantine for close contact. My Grandsons played basketball after school with a kid who was infected. The group of about a dozen who were there have had 7 positive tests. Luckily on day 8 these two have no symptoms.

I will just be glad when the vaccines roll out and we get a handle on this monster.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 06:04 AM
damn, I'm so sorry arch frown
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 06:06 AM
Holy crap, I'm so sorry, Jules frown
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 01:43 PM
So sorry to hear the news Arch frown
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 03:06 PM
j/c

To both Jules and arch, I'm so sorry to hear the news. Sadly the impact of this virus is becoming more wide spread by the day and is impacting the life of more and more people. Those who play this down and think their freedom includes risking the life of everyone around them need a wake up call.

I don't have the answer or know what it will take for them to wake up, but until they do it's people like your friends and everyone surrounding them that will pay the price.

My heart goes out to them, their family and friends. Hopefully you will all find peace and closure.
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 03:32 PM
Arch and Jules, sorry for your loss.

Everybody please stay safe. Do the right thing.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 04:39 PM
Just found out my (step) brother in law got admitted to the hospital today for COVID related pneumonia. Ex marine with a bad heart and a little over weight. He and my step sis have been mask wearers and such through all this.
Frustratingly his sister in law, my other step sister, is asking for thoughts and prayers.... meanwhile her Facebook page is covered in anti mask nonsense. Such cognitive disconnect it’s shockingly sad.

For those that do pray, say a prayer for him... and wear your masks.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 04:56 PM
Prayers sent. The world is full or morons.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 06:27 PM
Prayers sent for everyone affected. I'm pretty sure we all new that the frequency and quantity of these stories would increase here on Dawgtalkers, but it doesn't minimize the disheartening shock felt when we read them. We are also seeing these increases in the hospital I work at with both staff and patients. I just hope the anti maskers will overcome their ignorance and see just how wrong they are.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 06:48 PM
It's sad that there is such a thing as an "anti-masker".
Posted By: DCDAWGFAN Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/04/20 11:11 PM
I'm not anti-mask, I'm not anti-vaxx.. I am though, as a rule, anti-government mandate.
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 02:05 AM
Like speeding?
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 02:05 AM
Or wearing a seat belt?
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 02:12 AM
Originally Posted By: DCDAWGFAN
I'm not anti-mask, I'm not anti-vaxx.. I am though, as a rule, anti-government mandate.


Nobody likes a government mandate except for snowflakes. However, wearing a mask may be uncomfortable, but having a cotton swab shoved up your sinuses is probably more uncomfortable. Not to mention getting covid.

Sometimes you gotta pick your battles in a smart way.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 02:39 AM
both of those are regulating a privilege.
Being alive and walking around is not a privilege.... that's the difference.

And, I absolutely should be allowed to skip wearing a seat belt if I so choose.
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 02:48 AM
The act of driving itself is a privilege. Everything else is a law.

It’s why you get fined and/or jailed depending on which one you violate, obviously depending on if
You get caught or not.

A privilege is something that can be taken away with no other consequence attached to it.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 03:04 AM
Deep condolences, arch.
I pray that we can all get on the other side of this.
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 03:11 AM
j/c

Click here for a story that might lift some spirits.

As awful as this time of life is, we are still neighbors with people who are a ray of sunshine.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 03:42 AM
Yes, they are laws, and those laws can be made to restrict driving BECAUSE driving is a privilege. If driving were a right, those laws would be infringing upon that right and would be deemed unconstitutional.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 03:52 AM
https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/co...ger-for-economy

New covid breathalyzer tests coming!
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 11:49 AM
You just said the same thing I said.

Good lord. Some of y’all are trying to be difficult just for the sake of it. Remind me of those sovereign citizens types. Please don’t be like that.
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 11:54 AM
Anyways.

2nd day in a row we’ve reached over 225k cases and over 2500 deaths.

I remember when this country was making fun of the Ebola running through countries in Africa.

Boy do we not have any room to judge on anything......
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 02:52 PM
Quote:
For those that do pray, say a prayer for him... and wear your masks.


I would like to add one thing to that.

and while wearing a mask, wear it correctly. We shouldn't all see your nose hair and boogers when you have a mask on. banghead
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 03:22 PM
It's a good thing that life isn't a privilege. That somehow risking the health, safety and the life of others can't be mandated. That people somehow think they have some God given right to risk the life of their fellow Americans. I mean you can't yell fire in a theater or yell bomb on an airplane, but risking the health, safety and life of your fellow Americans in some other way is perfectly fine. That's just BS.

I don't like mandates either. But when your rights negatively impact the life of others, it's no longer your right. Your rights can't include the possibility of killing other people through intentional tort or negligence.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 04:31 PM
Originally Posted By: GMdawg
Quote:
For those that do pray, say a prayer for him... and wear your masks.


I would like to add one thing to that.

and while wearing a mask, wear it correctly. We shouldn't all see your nose hair and boogers when you have a mask on. banghead


Agreed... and keep your dirty paws off of it. Place it on while touching only the ear bands. Take it off the same. Ideally using hand sanitizer before and after. Put it on. Keep it on. Stop playing with it. Stop touching it. Your not a toddler. Have some self control.
Posted By: YTownBrownsFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 06:44 PM
Sorry, but my masks always ride up into my glasses and eyes, They fog my glasses, especially after I 1st enter a store. I am not going to walk around blindfolded by the damn thing, or with it in my eyes.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 07:53 PM
Here is a list for you buddy.

https://www.health.com/condition/infectious-diseases/coronavirus/best-face-masks-with-nose-wires

You need a few washable masks with both a moldable nose wire, and adjustable elastic ear loops. Mine don't slip at all and I have had very little trouble with fogging.
Posted By: tastybrownies Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 08:28 PM
I'd like to see the death toll so far caused by the government shutdowns and isolation combined with mental illness. I've yet to see those statistics and its not something that's talked about very often. We need more communication around it everyday.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 08:52 PM
Originally Posted By: tastybrownies
I'd like to see the death toll so far caused by the government shutdowns and isolation combined with mental illness. I've yet to see those statistics and its not something that's talked about very often. We need more communication around it everyday.


I don't know that it actually caused any mental illness BUT it certainly revealed a whole lot of people with pre existing mental issues.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/05/20 08:52 PM
Originally Posted By: tastybrownies
I'd like to see the death toll so far caused by the government shutdowns and isolation combined with mental illness. I've yet to see those statistics and its not something that's talked about very often. We need more communication around it everyday.


It does show up in the excess mortality numbers -- as will the lives that are saved by the Covid-19 response (e.g., fatal car accidents are down this year).

I think there are about 350,000 excess deaths so far this year - compared to about 250,000 confirmed Covid-19 deaths. So it's a big difference.

Some of the other excess deaths are almost certainly undiagnosed Covid (especially in March/April when testing was bad).

A scarily high number of excess deaths are people who didn't seek medical care because of Covid (Bob felt a bit tight in the chest, but didn't want to go to the doctor because of the pandemic, then had a heart attack the next day).

Some of those are more directly caused by the pandemic (e.g., ER doctors who have been working overtime shifts for months miss the symptoms of an internal bleed and send a bicycle accident victim home).

Sadly, we won't even know about all of these for some time (the cancers that would have been detected in routine checkups in August - but those checkups were pushed back and the cancers will be detected too late).

And some are probably suicides, food insecurity, etc.
Posted By: Frenchy Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/06/20 01:19 AM
The covid test I take at work every Monday is a self administered test. It is like a very thin qtip, you roll inside each nostril ten times about a half inch deep. Very tolerable
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/06/20 01:38 AM
Originally Posted By: Lyuokdea
Originally Posted By: tastybrownies
I'd like to see the death toll so far caused by the government shutdowns and isolation combined with mental illness. I've yet to see those statistics and its not something that's talked about very often. We need more communication around it everyday.


It does show up in the excess mortality numbers -- as will the lives that are saved by the Covid-19 response (e.g., fatal car accidents are down this year).

I think there are about 350,000 excess deaths so far this year - compared to about 250,000 confirmed Covid-19 deaths. So it's a big difference.

Some of the other excess deaths are almost certainly undiagnosed Covid (especially in March/April when testing was bad).

A scarily high number of excess deaths are people who didn't seek medical care because of Covid (Bob felt a bit tight in the chest, but didn't want to go to the doctor because of the pandemic, then had a heart attack the next day).

Some of those are more directly caused by the pandemic (e.g., ER doctors who have been working overtime shifts for months miss the symptoms of an internal bleed and send a bicycle accident victim home).

Sadly, we won't even know about all of these for some time (the cancers that would have been detected in routine checkups in August - but those checkups were pushed back and the cancers will be detected too late).

And some are probably suicides, food insecurity, etc.


I had my police scanner in my office during the snow last week for a couple days.

I was truly amazed at both the number of calls for people wanting an ambulance for covid conditions that they wanted to go to the hospital (they always said universal precautions), the number of people that already had covid and had to go to the hospital and the number of ambulance calls for overdoses.
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/06/20 01:41 AM
So very sorry for your loss Arch
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/06/20 01:43 AM
Originally Posted By: JulesDawg
A family friend died from Covid complications this morning. Not elderly and in good shape before he contracted the virus. Young children and a wife left behind. The hospital I’m working with right now is starting to get overwhelmed.

I’m becoming less and less tolerant of people downplaying this virus or dismissing it altogether. Reasonable people do not behave this way in the midst of something like this pandemic.


I am so very sorry to hear Jules.

And yes reasonable people don't act this way
Posted By: Homewood Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/06/20 04:51 PM
I'm very sorry to hear this also. I've taken this seriously since this started in March. I can't believe some people didn't take it seriously and refused to wear masks and social distance. My wife has health issues right now and the family is scared she will catch it. I myself am over 60 and have to be cautious. I really feel for the family's that have lost loved ones to this miserable virus.
Posted By: WooferDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/07/20 05:06 AM
Arch and Jules, I am sorry for your loss...

My MIL and FIL have both tested positive. They are both 84. So far they are ok.

Typing this is a bit surreal. They are good people.
Posted By: YepTheBrownsRule Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/07/20 01:30 PM
I'm sorry for your losses arch and Jules.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/07/20 04:03 PM
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/07/20 05:02 PM
We should bomb China.
Posted By: Milk Man Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/08/20 07:48 PM
j/c...



Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/09/20 07:59 PM
Originally Posted By: FATE


My symptoms started the day after Thanksgiving. By that evening I felt like I got hit by a TRUCK. As I kept telling my wife - it was like my bones actually hurt. Ringing in my ears, massive headaches. Spent three days laying around and taking multiple naps. Never had anything other than a mild fever. I've lost ALL taste and smell. Spent two days having a hard time breathing - that was pretty scary. Did breathing exercises all day yesterday. It's day five and I can actually move around and have a little energy. "Viral load" must not have been very high. Wouldn't wish this on anyone and my case was pretty mild in comparison.



I posted a while back about my 'elderly' parents - 78 and 79, and all they went through, the length of time they were just exhausted, my sis and I having to take food to them, etc.

They are as recovered as they'll possibly ever be, which is good news.

Just this afternoon I went over to cut up a tree that had fallen from their yard into a field. Dad had asked last week if I could do it.

So, I did it. Imagine my surprise when dad walked out as I was sawing and started picking up the logs to put in the wheel barrow. Now, he wasn't overdoing it by any stretch, but it was so nice to see him actually doing work.

And when I left, he said "I may as well get my walk in now." They have a long lane, and when it's nice, and when they weren't/aren't sick from covid they like to walk at least a half mile a day. In the summer, longer distances.

And my brother, 57, over covid for about a month or so, still doesn't have his energy levels up to snuff. Said he still can't get to even 80% of his workout routine pre covid.

And, of course, my friend that just died Friday.

And now I'm hearing you can get it a second time???

Most recover, make no doubt about that, but geez......A friends' 13 year old son was positive. He's recovered, but the doctor told him if he's exposed again after 90 days, he may get it again.

Another friend, 2 years older than me, had it. His son, sophomore in h.s. had to quarantine, as well as my friends wife. Didn't get it. Went back to school - he plays basketball - and someone on the team had covid, so back to quarantine for him. Gets that done, back to school, and lo and behold, someone he sat by in class was positive, so he's now BACK in quarantine for a third time.
Posted By: mac Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/09/20 09:38 PM
arch...thoughts and prayers for your family and all the folks up in your area...sounds like it's been a tough time for everyone.

Stay safe, be smart and keep fighting..we will get through this COVID thing.
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/09/20 09:50 PM
I could write a book about this experience.

Family members infected:

Me
My wife
My son
Mother-in-law
Father-in-law
Sister-in-law
Brother-in-law

All of us are fairly healthy individuals.

Sister-in-law was common denominator, she's a teacher and probably picked it up in class. Symptoms range from non-existent to mild (in Covid terms).

It was a 10 day ordeal with me, symptoms were a roller-coaster from day to day, especially in the energy department. Body aches and headaches were brutal for four days. Just now (two weeks) starting to taste food, still very little sense of smell.

Hot topic in my family is "getting reinfected". Mom and pop still scared to be around any of us... which just makes absolutely no sense to me, but hey, to each his own.

CDC, has said basically nothing on the subject other than "reinfection is rare".

For my money -- if you have antibodies you are in much better shape than if you don't. It will be a while before we have hard facts. As since the beginning, everybody is quick to relay anecdotal stories, pass them off as some measurement of fact, parrot them every chance they get, and fear-monger.

My son has been quarantined three times as he is a college student in a dorm. A roommate tested positive, none of the other three contracted it -- I was pretty surprised about that. I'm also shocked that colleges have been allowed to require on-campus learning when it was all just a means to justify tuition and dorm rentals. Go figure.

One brother-in-law and family have not been infected. They've been hiding under a rock since January. They were complete germaphobes before this started. Required family members to get shots before they could be around their newborns years ago (no thanks). They have always constantly "disinfected" their kids hands, isolated them from being around others, etc... Their kids are sick constantly, more than any kids I've ever seen.

Since Covid, they are on a power trip with the in-laws, who babysit. Constantly question them about who they've been around, where they go, etc. Whenever mom or dad are have been around another human, they are not allowed to babysit for 14 days, while they put them on guilt trips for daycare costs. This has been a huge strain on our family as my wife is afraid to go around her mom for fear her brother will find out and get mad. Mind you, everyone always wears masks and stays apart, and we only ever see them when outside.

The latest issue is whether we should all get together for Christmas. You can guess from reading above which family won't participate. Unfortunately, they also seem to think it is unfair if the rest of us decide to as they would be excluded.

Covid is more than a "virus" for some families.

===============================

On the other side of the tracks is my step-dad. He's had health problems. Had heart surgery last year and discovered cancer this year. No one has been around him (besides my mom and caretakers) since he started chemo. Went to the hospital when he got sick - tested negative. They sent him home... five days later had Covid symptoms and tested positive. More than likely got it during hospital visit. Yesterday they put him on a vent and don't expect him to survive.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/09/20 10:32 PM
https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/

This website is very fascinating. So, if I go to a bar with 50 people in it, in my county, there is a 59% chance at least 1 person has covid. willynilly
Posted By: Homewood Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/09/20 10:54 PM
Stay home and drink. It's safer, cheaper and you don't have to worry about a DUI. thumbsup
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/09/20 11:01 PM
If there’s 50 people currently in the bar likely there’s been far more coming and going over the previous 3 to 4 hours. Any one of them breathing potentially dangerous air from their lungs that still hangs in air at the bar.
Nope. No way. I’ll get take out food but you won’t see me pulling my mask off in a place like that for quite some time.
Posted By: oobernoober Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/10/20 03:13 PM
I'm posting because I'm stuck in the middle of the two sides of my family.

My siblings and my dad are far closer to the "it's a hoax" side of the conversation (they don't believe it's a hoax, but have said it's no different than the flu). My wife's side of the family treat the virus like it's some sort of alien, sentient boogyman-type threat. It's exhausting talking to both sides, as nobody actually listens to experts and just sticks to their extreme opinions about how to handle it. Honestly, my wife's side of the family is the most frustrating to talk to. They have no problem making fun of people that are too cavalier about the virus, but then turn around and say that a quarantine is no good unless it's well over 2 weeks. How can you make fun of people for not listening to the experts and then not listen to the experts? Obviously, falling on the conservative side is better than the other way, but it's that previous sentence I wrote that just drives me bonkers.

Thank you for allowing me to rant.
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/10/20 03:36 PM
The whole thing is exhausting bro. I'm to the point where it's just easier to nod and agree with all sides, no matter how crazy their stories are.

Last week, the sister-in-law from the "sentient boogyman" side of the fence was telling us how we might lose our hair and teeth from the virus.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/10/20 03:52 PM
j/c

On December 9th the deaths of 3,054 Americans were recorded in one day do to Covid 19, setting a new record.

I implore all of you to take practical measures to keep you and those you care about safe.
Posted By: waterdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/10/20 08:08 PM
" take practical measures " absolutely right .. Some folks have a problem with " follow the science " .. Don't consider ; wear a mask , social distance and wash hands frequently as Science .. Common sense , yes .
Posted By: tastybrownies Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/10/20 08:50 PM
I think social distancing is one of the easiest things in the world to do. Then you don't even have to wear a mask! I'd prefer to be social distanced from others because I don't like people in general. ooo However, for an introvert like me it allows a lot of time to self reflect and pick up new hobbies such as writing and meditation. I'd much rather be at home than out and about, there's just no need in most cases...
Posted By: Frenchy Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/10/20 11:33 PM
For the first time since we started getting tested every week, kinda nervous for the results tomorrow, two people I work with on 3rd shift tested positive last week. I talked with both, handed them both equipment, received equipment back from them. Have no symptoms but still kinda worried.
Posted By: GMdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 11:34 AM
Quote:
Last week, the sister-in-law from the "sentient boogyman" side of the fence was telling us how we might lose our hair and teeth from the virus.


Hell I don't need corona to do that grin
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 01:08 PM
Hope it's negative Frenchy.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 04:19 PM
Hope all turns out well.
Posted By: Homewood Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 04:55 PM
Frenchy I hope your OK too.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 11:33 PM
Originally Posted By: archbolddawg
My friend just died this afternoon.


He was cremated. They had a drive thru (? drive by) viewing in light of everything.

It was really tough seeing big tough Ray, reduced to a tiny box of ashes...................
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 11:41 PM
I literally HATE this time of year. I don't hate Christmas, and what it is............I hate all the......ah, hell. Everyone wanting to be together, asking me to arrange for my son.......having to be here at a certain time, there at a certain time, can't stay long, pissing people off............wife's family stuck on "we ALWAYS get together on Christmas Eve, and we ALWAYS have this Christmas on Christmas day, giving no thought to others in the family that have their own traditions, let alone the fact WE havent had our own traditions.


And then I see Ray, in a box.

I love the idea, the REAL meaning of Christmas.....I just hate how it plays out, the stress, the issues it brings up. I hate this time of year, especially now. Hate it.

I can see how it depresses people, because it sure as hell depresses me. I'd rather just work, or go on vacation for a month. I can see why the holidays are prime time for suicide.
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/11/20 11:48 PM
Prayers to everyone dealing with this b.s. Hang in there Arch... hope your test is negative, Frenchy.

My step-dad lost his battle last night. My mom spent the last ten minutes with him on a @#$%@# Ipad. Heart-breaking. "Big Jim" was tough as nails, he laughed at cancer and said "it didn't know who it was screwing with". He was no match for Covid.

He and mom had been taking care of grandma as well. She's 94. Dementia has taken her down in a hurry. Hospice told my mom this morning that they don't expect her to make it through the day. Having a hard time getting a grip on all of this.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 12:15 AM
So sorry to hear of this. Thoughts out to you, your family, and your mom........
Posted By: mac Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 12:22 AM
Fate...sorry to hear the news of your step father's passing.

Thoughts and prayers for you and your family during this tough time.
Posted By: PortlandDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 12:53 AM
My heart goes out to all those suffering.
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 02:47 AM
So very sorry Fate.
Posted By: northlima dawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 02:47 AM
I keep hearing/seeing/reading about when everything gets back to normal. However, for many people things will never be the same as they were 9-10 months ago.
Posted By: WooferDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 03:42 AM
I am sorry for your losses, arch and fate....

My MIL seems to be handling thing ok. My FIL is in the hospital.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 03:58 AM
Sorry to read this news, Fate. I hope all of you are able to find some peace and comfort with all this going on now.

Stepfathers are very special people.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 04:15 AM
Condolences Fate and arch. This is tough.
Posted By: waterdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 04:27 AM
My heart breaks for you and your family .. Prayers go out you..
Posted By: Clemdawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 04:36 AM
j/c


arch and FATE: deepest condolences to you. This hateful thing is taking too many good people away from us all.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 04:46 AM
Hugs Arch and Fate. frown
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 04:52 AM
I have no words. My truest, most sincere condolences FATE, and arch, too. Hang in there man.
Posted By: Frenchy Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 07:37 AM
Should be good havent heard anything, thanks for your thoughts. Although thoughts for my dog Luna who was spayed yesterday would be appreciated.
Posted By: BuckDawg1946 Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 08:08 AM
Ahem, just chiming in.

When are we going to treat this like a war? By my count, Covid is at least 4 times as deadly as the common flu. 3,858 dead today alone.

Pathetic
Posted By: Swish Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 11:37 AM
What do you mean? We’re treating it like Vietnam and the war on terror.

Ya know, the ones we lost.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 04:14 PM
j/c

To arch and Fate.... My deepest condolences. There is so much death in our nation right now and the longer this thing goes on, the more people and families it will touch. Stay strong and remember the fallen fondly.
Posted By: jfanent Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 05:21 PM
Arch and Fate. So sorry.
Posted By: YTownBrownsFan Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 07:32 PM
My sincerest condolences to all those who have lost a loved one.

In many ways, this feels more challenging than even 9/11 was. We could get together and collectively share our hurt and challenges, well as our strength following 9/11. This disease has made this far more difficult, and riskier, for us to do such things. Loved ones have passed with no ability to spend time with their loved ones. I just pray that the vaccine will be as effective as the testing numbers indicate. I also pray for those afflicted, that they would be able to successfully battle this disease, and emerge healthy.
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/12/20 08:36 PM
Posted By: Homewood Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/13/20 03:17 PM
Arch and Fate my deepest condolences. May the good Lord give you the strength to get through this. I've had my own issues with my wife as she had a reoccurrence of cancer 4 months ago. After a serious operation and treatments she is doing much better but has a ways to go. It's been a tough year for all and I really feel for those who have lost loved ones. God Bless
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/13/20 04:00 PM
God bless you and your family as well Homewood.
Posted By: Homewood Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/13/20 05:38 PM
Thanks Pit. I do have to say, being a crazy Browns fan that I am, us winning has made things a little bit easier to take. I hope it continues. Only a Browns fan would understand that.
Posted By: lampdogg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 12:49 AM
I don’t often click into COVID threads because I hear enough about it in real life.

But, I just read this page; sorry for the losses and other tough moments you guys have been going through. Hope I won’t have to do the same.
Posted By: WooferDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 06:12 AM
My FIL was released from the Hospital today... That is the best news of the day.
Posted By: YepTheBrownsRule Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 01:47 PM
Sorry for your loss Fate.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 05:51 PM
My aunt was extubated and has been moved out of ICU to a regular room. She still has a nose cannula for oxygen, but she is breathing on her own, speaking, and cognizant. A few more days to regain some strength and she might be allowed to go home. Home for Christmas!
Posted By: Homewood Dog Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 06:23 PM
That's good news. We all need some of that!!
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 07:30 PM
That's awesome news and we're glad to hear it. Prayers for a full recovery!
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 10:50 PM
I saw a statistic on the news that said 73% of people who get covid get it from household gatherings and only 1.43% get it from bars/restaurants. In NY.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 11:22 PM
We just had my family Christmas get together last night. 20 of us from 3 different states, 6 different cities/towns.

We did a Zoom meeting for originally 40 minutes, but it last 1 1/2 hours.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/14/20 11:37 PM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I saw a statistic on the news that said 73% of people who get covid get it from household gatherings and only 1.43% get it from bars/restaurants. In NY.


Because fewer people are going to bars?
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 12:14 AM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I saw a statistic on the news that said 73% of people who get covid get it from household gatherings and only 1.43% get it from bars/restaurants. In NY.


Because fewer people are going to bars?


Not the bars I go to.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 12:30 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I saw a statistic on the news that said 73% of people who get covid get it from household gatherings and only 1.43% get it from bars/restaurants. In NY.


Because fewer people are going to bars?


Not the bars I go to.


Well you live in a RED state, so no surprise there.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 01:05 AM
Today we pass 300K deaths AND started vaccinations in the states. How many more will die before we get a grip on this thing?
Posted By: Squires Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 02:42 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I saw a statistic on the news that said 73% of people who get covid get it from household gatherings and only 1.43% get it from bars/restaurants. In NY.


Saw similar stats for my city. About 3% of cases came from restaurants. They cited 53 outbreaks tied to restaurants since this started and only 6 of those occurred in the last 2 months(during the recent spike).

This tells me the limited capacity is effective and there is no need to completely shut them down. If the government wants to get this under control, they need to start putting effective restrictions into place instead of ineffective restrictions just for the sake of doing something.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 08:30 AM
These are very bad statistics - and you shouldn't go to restaurants because of them.

The biggest group of people out there are people who "Don't Know" where they got Covid from -- but this statistic leaves that group out of the percentages entirely.

If you get Covid at a household gathering, then you got it from somebody you know, and then you are very likely to know that you got it from them.

If you get Covid at a restaurant, you usually do not know the person you got it from, and then you don't know where you got it.

Indoor dining in restaurants is a major source of transmission.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 05:20 PM
Originally Posted By: Lyuokdea
These are very bad statistics - and you shouldn't go to restaurants because of them.

The biggest group of people out there are people who "Don't Know" where they got Covid from -- but this statistic leaves that group out of the percentages entirely.

If you get Covid at a household gathering, then you got it from somebody you know, and then you are very likely to know that you got it from them.

If you get Covid at a restaurant, you usually do not know the person you got it from, and then you don't know where you got it.

Indoor dining in restaurants is a major source of transmission.


If 73% of people get it from their household then how can "The biggest group of people out there are people who "Don't Know" where they got Covid from" be true.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 05:26 PM
People can only tell you where they got it from if they know where they got it from. Your survey only takes into account the people who know where they got it from.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 05:28 PM
Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
People can only tell you where they got it from if they know where they got it from. Your survey only takes into account the people who know where they got it from.


You don't know that.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 05:43 PM
What? Are you saying that everyone who contracts Covid knows where and who they contracted it from? Seriously?

rofl
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:01 PM
And you're saying that if you don't know where you got it, it for sure must come from a bar or restaurant? Despite most people knowing they get it from family? rofl
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:03 PM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
And you're saying that if you don't know where you got it, it for sure must come from a bar or restaurant? Despite most people knowing they get it from family? rofl


No - most of the people who "know where they got it from" got it from family.

That's a very different thing.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:04 PM
No I'm not. I never even hinted at that. I'm saying the percentage is higher than they survey indicates because if one of your family members is diagnosed with Covid and you were in close contact with them, you pretty much know where you got it. If you were at three or four public locations last week, you have no idea where you got it. But you just keep reaching.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:13 PM
I have to disagree with both of you. If I spend hours hanging out at a bar and catch covid I can pretty much know that's where I got it from.

If most people catch it from random places, grocery stores, gas stations, etc, we would have statistics about that. In fact we would have far more cases than we have now.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:17 PM
What if you just go out to dinner, the groceries and the hardware store? Which place did you get it?

You do realize that most Americans don't just go and spend, "hours at the bar", right?
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:31 PM
I just followed all of y'alls posts and the biggest takeaway I have is don't knowingly go out to dinner with family.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:33 PM
Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
What if you just go out to dinner, the groceries and the hardware store? Which place did you get it?

You do realize that most Americans don't just go and spend, "hours at the bar", right?


It depends what's happening at the bar. Regardless, if you spend 1+ hours at a busy restaurant or bar unmasked, and 10 minutes masked up at a hardware store or gas station, pretty much you can know where you got it.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:35 PM
I find it amazing that you can do all of your grocery shopping in ten minutes. And actually, you can get it from anyone who is carrying it. So no, that won't tell you at which location you contracted it.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:38 PM
Some people are smarter than you, I'd guess.
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 06:51 PM
Present company excluded?
Posted By: FATE Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 07:22 PM
Here's what I'm wondering. I'll try to be brief.

I got Covid. It was from a family member. Six people in our family got it. There was obviously an initial infection outside the family circle. Yesterday the Trumbull Co Health Board called to ask a litany of questions. My wife looked at me like I was from Mars as I answered question after question.

When I hung up she asked "why in the world would you answer all those questions?" Well, that's simple, if no one answered questions they would have no data. Then I thought about a lot of the questions: Were you at a funeral? Were you at a party? Wedding? Sporting event? Concert? A BAR? DINING IN AT RESTAURANTS?

It occurred to me that they never asked how I suspected I got it. Seems strange. So is it a slanted effort to establish the danger of being in crowds? Not sure.

Then I thought of something else... If I had been in any of those situations would I answer honestly? If someone is pretty sure they got it from hanging out in bars are they going to admit that?

Bottom line... Can we really trust any of the data?
Posted By: PitDAWG Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 07:33 PM
I don't think you can to a great extent. It's only based on what people are willing to say or admit to. I mean let's face it, we can't even get a lot of people to use the common sense approach and wear a mask, much less be trusted to tell the truth to a questionnaire.

There are a lot of people who want to help and be accurate. It sounds as if you are a part of that group. But there's enough people who don't or won't to feel fairly confident those numbers are relatively inaccurate.
Posted By: Dawgs4Life Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 07:37 PM
Great news ... all my best
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 07:50 PM
You can't (generally) trust data that is self reported.

There have been targeted studies of infection tracking, and if you actually have samples of each person, you can track the infection directly. That is extremely reliable.

https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/sto...ng-for-covid-19

This, for example, is a specific case study (so it doesn't say much about how probable transmission at long distances at a restaurant is -- I'm not claiming that from this data at all).

However, in cases like this - the authorities were able to match samples from each person, and so you can be absolutely sure that A/C/D got the virus from Person B.
Posted By: 3rd_and_20 Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 09:14 PM
j/c:

They recommend we stay at home and then....

Household spread of Covid-19 is common and quick, a new CDC study finds

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/30/health/household-spread-covid-19-wellness/index.html

________________________________

This is good:

Ultraviolet LED lights kill 99.9 per cent of coronavirus pathogens in just 30 seconds and could sterilize rooms cheaply via air conditioning systems

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/...s.html#comments

P.S. My condolences to everyone that posted above that lost a friend or loved one recently due to Covid. I really thought it was gonna burn out in the summer/run its course.... nope.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 09:17 PM
I've been wondering for months why there hasn't been a major push for the in-duct UV systems. UV lights that destroy the virus are fairly inexpensive.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 09:58 PM
Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
I've been wondering for months why there hasn't been a major push for the in-duct UV systems. UV lights that destroy the virus are fairly inexpensive.


UV is less effective and more expensive than HEPA filters...

What is amazing is that you can currently go on amazon and buy a HEPA filter -- crazy that those aren't sold out everywhere.
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 10:34 PM
What MERV level do you need to filter a virus?

What I'm seeing is that the virus is 60 to 140 nanometers in size - or 0.060 to 0.140 micron, and a MERV 16 filter will only be good to 0.3 micron. The virus is going right through your average HEPA filter.
Posted By: Lyuokdea Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/15/20 11:56 PM
Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
What MERV level do you need to filter a virus?

What I'm seeing is that the virus is 60 to 140 nanometers in size - or 0.060 to 0.140 micron, and a MERV 16 filter will only be good to 0.3 micron. The virus is going right through your average HEPA filter.


HEPA filters are good for particles that are much much smaller than 0.3 micron -- 0.3 micron is just the standardized value that they use for testing -- not the limit of the technology.

https://www.nytimes.com/wirecutter/blog/can-hepa-air-purifiers-capture-coronavirus/
Posted By: PrplPplEater Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 01:23 AM
Just educated myself on the difference between MERV & HEPA.
Yup, HEPA would be good.

https://www.sy-klone.com/merv-vs-hepa-how-air-filters-work.html
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 01:46 AM
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I have to disagree with both of you. If I spend hours hanging out at a bar and catch covid I can pretty much know that's where I got it from.

If most people catch it from random places, grocery stores, gas stations, etc, we would have statistics about that. In fact we would have far more cases than we have now.


Who even goes to bars anymore? I don't drink, so it's an honest question. And I know you do , but you are a special case because that is a major part of your socializing.

Alcohol is da devil. And she done got her hooks into you! jk, but I had the waterboy's mama in my mind telling me to do it.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 01:49 AM
Originally Posted By: 3rd_and_20
j/c:

They recommend we stay at home and then....

Household spread of Covid-19 is common and quick, a new CDC study finds

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/30/health/household-spread-covid-19-wellness/index.html

________________________________

This is good:

Ultraviolet LED lights kill 99.9 per cent of coronavirus pathogens in just 30 seconds and could sterilize rooms cheaply via air conditioning systems

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/...s.html#comments

P.S. My condolences to everyone that posted above that lost a friend or loved one recently due to Covid. I really thought it was gonna burn out in the summer/run its course.... nope.



If you stay home, the others in your family stay home, and nobody is sick with covid when you start staying home, then it works out well. If grandma stays home while mom and dad work and go out to eat and the kids go to school and football games and such... then everybody comes home at night, grandma is a goner. That's why we bought christmas early and went and seen everyone when the numbers were down before school started back up. Christmas is not worth dying over.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 01:52 AM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I have to disagree with both of you. If I spend hours hanging out at a bar and catch covid I can pretty much know that's where I got it from.

If most people catch it from random places, grocery stores, gas stations, etc, we would have statistics about that. In fact we would have far more cases than we have now.


Who even goes to bars anymore? I don't drink, so it's an honest question. And I know you do , but you are a special case because that is a major part of your socializing.

Alcohol is da devil. And she done got her hooks into you! jk, but I had the waterboy's mama in my mind telling me to do it.


Lots of people go to bars. Especially sports bars. I meet all kinds of people there from all walks of life. Also some restaurant/bar chains (think Applebees) have a lot of out of town business people clientele. A lot of people like happy hour with their buds. Other people like kareoke or live band or trivia night. Then there are also breweries with their taproom.

Its more fun than sitting around bored.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 02:01 AM
I can see that. I just haven't ran the bars since before dating apps became mainstream. And when I did, most of them were either dead or meat markets.

It's not that I never go to a bar for a game or a quick social drink... but that is very rare for me. My wife can't drink because she is a recovered/recovering (not sure how to say it) alcoholic.

It has been years and she doesn't care if others drink in front of her or around her, but going to the bar regularly would just be playing with fire.

PLUS, I don't like people in general and I can't stand a drunk hanging on you talking to you all in your face, you know the type and it's a pet peeve of mine.

We used to bowl on a league and quit that for the same reasons.
Posted By: archbolddawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 02:03 AM
What about those of us that have to work, and we aren't on the public dole? Just stay home? Lose the house? Lose everything we've worked for? Some of us need to work.

Wife and I don't live an extravagant lifestyle by any means, but staying at home won't do anything but cost us our savings, our stocks, our jobs, and our livelihood. Some of us peons don't get monthly checks from the gov't. like some of you.

Ya know, the people trying to lock down the economy/jobs are the exact people that haven't missed a paycheck yet.

Up in northern michigan a few weeks ago..........I was amazed at the number of businesses that had shuttered the doors. I see it here as well - small businesses.

On the other hand, I see, daily, companies hiring at starting off wages of $15 to $20 an hour.........yet no one fills those jobs. Why?
Posted By: RocketOptimist Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 02:16 AM
I support people who wish to help small business owners like you in times of need like this. People who run their own businesses should be getting more covid assistance than executives of fortune 500 companies.
Posted By: OldColdDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 02:53 AM
First, I don't get a check from the government arch. You have insinuated that many times and I have told you that many times. AND if you are referring to the left, I'd have to check those numbers but am fairly confident that there are more checks going out in red states than blue ones.

Now my wife gets a partial disability from the VA, but that is no effin' hand out bud. She paid the price for that long ago and people like you should thank her for it, not scoff at her.

As for your right to earn, yes you need to be able to take care of yourself! I fight for you every day, you just don't see that because you hate me so much. YOU ARE WORKING CLASS BRO.

I think if we have to shut down, people like you should be taken care of until you can safely work. But since our government screwed that up, they more or less forced you to go back to work before it was safe to do so and take your chances. I don't blame you for that and even tried to help you with whatever I could find, I know you won't give me any credit for that but it doesn't make it less true.

When I bash people for not quarantining or taking covid more seriously, it never included people trying not to starve. It's the idiots like spring breakers, summer parties, going out to eat or to bars etc. when doing so was considered highly unsafe... Heck I don't even fault the diners and drinkers that much, but the anti maskers... they are idiots IMHO and super selfish. But at the end of the day, it's all on the government. People are going to do things that people do no matter what and a large percentage of them make bad choices on a regular basis.

The government sent out $1200 checks then told people to get by on that for months... You can't do that. People had to do whatever was necessary to survive. Those on unemployment didn't have it any easier in most cases either. And a lot of small businesses and gig workers qualified for help that all ran out before it should have as well. This was all a formula for disaster.

So nobody that I know blames you or thinks bad of you for going out and doing what you do to get by. I've worked and my wife has worked all through covid. Yes, I work from home (which was more rare pre-covid) but I still work just like you but not as physically of course. And a week or two into the lockdown I was super busy with clients wanting help to set up system for remote working. I had to learn some things like zoom on the fly early to get them up and running. It was about 3-4 weeks of very lucrative work and it helped us out a ton. I'm still busy, especially for this time of year, but I know a slow down is coming. January to mid February will be slower.

My wife started out during the shut down working remotely from home too, but in September she had to start going back to the office because the one 30 something woman that said she didn't want to be stuck at home with her damn kids started crying about having to pick up orders off the fax and carrying them to the production plant 200 feet away. So everybody had to come back to the office.

So I have no idea why you think the things you do about me, but you are wrong on your assumptions about my money. Hell I lived most of my life doing the kind of stuff you do and running my own business, I know it can be hard as hell at times. But when my health went south, and the 08 crapfest took out a solid business at no fault of my own, I went through all of this type of huge hit then. That changed my perspective on a lot of things, politics most of all. I don't have as much expendable income as I used to have, but I'm far from needing any kind of handout bro. And I'm humble and thankful for that in a non religious way.
Posted By: ScottPlayersFacemask Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 06:50 AM
Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: EveDawg
I have to disagree with both of you. If I spend hours hanging out at a bar and catch covid I can pretty much know that's where I got it from.

If most people catch it from random places, grocery stores, gas stations, etc, we would have statistics about that. In fact we would have far more cases than we have now.


Who even goes to bars anymore? I don't drink, so it's an honest question. And I know you do , but you are a special case because that is a major part of your socializing.

Alcohol is da devil. And she done got her hooks into you! jk, but I had the waterboy's mama in my mind telling me to do it.


I just wanted to add on to what Eve said.

I obviously can't speak for everywhere, but places I've traveled for work.....San Antonio, the little over a month I was there was off the hook on the weekends. What I mean is: I would drive through the downtown Riverwalk area and the sidewalks were really busy with people. Restaurants were packed (to the allowable capacity). It was the same throughout most of the suburbs too.

I live in the DMV area right now. If I go to the National Harbor (lots of restaurants and etc) to eat during the week its not bad. During the weekends, every restaurant is packed with most having a wait time. The whole area there are people everywhere. It's not as crazy as before Covid, but if you were an outsider coming to the place. I would compare it to a smaller city with rush hour traffic and the person saying our traffic is bad, which I would say come to DC and I'll show you what traffic looks like. My point is it's still a ton of people there, just not elbow to elbow crowds.

Old Town/Alexandria - weekends: streets are very busy, bars/restaurants are close or to capacity. I had lunch at a new place I wanted to try today and asked about Friday. The waitress said by 5 pm they will be filled with a wait time of at least an hour.

National Mall - area has been really busy (I'm talking besides the rallies/etc) during the weekends.

Buffalo Wild Wings was filled close to allowable capacity on Sunday with fans of all teams when i was there.

Same for the trail along the Potomac, but yea, that is at least outside.

Baltimore was the same when I went up for a weekend....but as I said, it was a weekend. I would be lying if I said it was like that always.

I know this sounds like I go drinking every weekend, lol. But I usually go out once every few weeks. I usually go for a cruise through the areas about every weekend just to get out of the house, see all the beautiful scenery of the area and seeing people do their thing.
Posted By: EveDawg Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 07:13 AM
OCD is just an old fogey. In the ATL metro area the restaurant and bar scene is very trendy. Gameday at the sports bars here is extremely fun. All kinds of fans, smack talk, high fives, bar food, and good times.

Social distancing is a mixed bag. Some bars have social distanced seats at the bar, some dont. Most have social distanced tables. Some have plexi-glass dividers on top of booths.

Posted By: ScottPlayersFacemask Re: Covid-19: Again - 12/16/20 07:46 AM
I bet it is, I enjoyed the metro area when I've visited a few times (that was before Covid). I agree about the sports bars. The bar area was spaced with tables, but everyone was having fun and joking with each other and keeping their distance.

Every place i've been has social distancing at the bar. They've replaced the side-by-side stools with regular tables at the bar. In Alexandria, they've blocked off the parking on the streets (that are in front of the restaurants) and added tables there for outdoor seating. It's been that way...since I would say July/August timeframe. Since it's getting colder they added open ended tents with heaters. There was a few people sitting outside today at the outside bar having lunch and it was 40 degrees out. That's a little too much for me, lol.
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