Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Matchup Preview (11/15/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
By Ryan Taylor | Nov 10, 2020, 1:52pm
The Houston Texans will take on the Cleveland Browns in an AFC South vs. North matchup in week 10. The Cleveland Browns are coming off of their bye week in week nine after losing to the Las Vegas Raiders in week 8. The Houston Texans are coming off of their second win of the season against their division rivals Jacksonville Jaguars. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Matchup Page.
TV Schedule
Date: Sunday, November 15th, 2020
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Location: FirstEnergy Stadium – Cleveland, Ohio
TV Coverage: FOX
Injuries:
Cleveland Browns: Questionable: Austin Hooper (appendix), Jacob Phillips (knee), Wyatt Teller (calf), Vincent Taylor (concussion), Myles Garrett (knee), IR: Baker Mayfield (COVID)
Houston Texans: Questionable: Kyle Emanuel (concussion), Charles Omenihu (leg), David Johnson (concussion), Senio Kelemete (concussion), Brennan Scarlett (forearm), IR (COVID): Jake Martin, Max Scharping, Whitney Mercilus, Dylan Cole
Cleveland Browns Analysis
Cleveland Browns
The Cleveland Browns are 5-3 for a tough third spot in the AFC North behind the undefeated Steelers and the 6-2 Ravens. The Browns are coming off of their bye week this week and will take on the Texans in a must-win situation to stay in the hunt. The Texans’ weak defense and offensive struggles should be taken advantage of by the Browns next week. However, they are still waiting to see if Baker Mayfield will be able to come off of the COVID IR list, in which case he may be paired up with Nick Chubb in the backfield after he was on IR since week four.
The run game for the Cleveland Browns is their biggest offensive strength this season. They are top ten in the NFL in rushing attempts and yards led by Kareem Hunt’s 529 yards, which is 10th in the NFL. Their offensive line has been terrific in the run game with 4.87 adjusted line yards, which is third in the NFL, and their 1.59 average 2nd level yards value, which leads the league. With the return of Nick Chubb this week, their run game will improve dramatically with two healthy elite running backs. The Texans are the second most rushed against team, giving up 5.1 yards per carry to opponents and nearly 160 rushing yards per game, the worst in the NFL.
With the loss of Odell Beckham Jr., this passing offense has received quite a shock. Even before, the Browns are a below-average passing team behind Baker Mayfield. Baker has thrown for just over 1,500 yards this season with a 15:7 TD: INT ratio. He is below average in almost every category except for touchdowns. The Browns have just two receivers in the top 100 for yards with Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. Without OBJ, they will be left with Landry, Rashard Higgins, and tight end Hunter Bryant and David Njoku for the rest of the season. With Houston’s starting corner Bradley Roby out next week, the hope is they can take advantage of the passing game as well as the run game.
The Cleveland Browns defense has disappointingly allowed nearly 30 points per game and 371 yards per game to their opponents, but they have a lot of solid players helping out their defense. Myles Garrett is tied with Aaron Donald with 9 total sacks on the season for the best in the league. Denzel Ward and Terrence Mitchell have combined for nearly 20 passes defended, both of which rank in the top ten amongst all defenders. The Houston Texans have the ability to score the ball, especially with deep threats Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks. Safeties Ronnie Harrison Jr. and Andrew Sendejo will be key in defending the open field next week.
The Browns are in a tough spot in their division, with two of the best teams in football competing high in the AFC. The Browns will need to try to stay competitive with the Ravens to have a shot at the playoffs. Houston is certainly one of the easier teams they will have on their schedule, making this a pretty important game for them. If they can succeed in the run game and contain Deshaun Watson, they will have a great shot at winning this game.
Cleveland Browns Depth Chart
QB: Baker Mayfield
RB1: Nick Chubb
RB2: Kareem Hunt
WR1: Odell Beckham Jr.
WR2: Jarvis Landry
WR3: Rashard Higgins
TE: Austin Hooper
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Houston Texans Analysis
Houston Texans
The Houston Texans are third in the AFC South with a 2-6 record on the season. The Texans’ only two wins this season are against their division rivals, the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, they played competitively against the Tennessee Titans and the Pittsburgh Steelers this season, who are two of the best teams in the NFL. They will take on the Cleveland Browns on the road next week.
Deshaun Watson is really the only thing keeping this team alive on offense outside of their other tremendous skill players. Even though the Texans pass the ball near the bottom of the league comparatively, Deshaun Watson still averages 280 yards per game and two passing touchdowns, which both ranks top ten in the league. Last week, he put up almost exactly that with 281 yards and touchdowns while running 10 times for 50 yards. Even though Jacksonville gave them a scare behind Jake Luton, the Texans held on to win.
Their starting running back, David Johnson, suffered a concussion last week against the Jaguars that may keep him out next game. Even though the Texans have one of the worst run-blocking lines in the league, David Johnson is still averaging 4.0 yards per carry and is top 20 in the league in yards. Last week, backup Duke Johnson put up 41 yards off of 16 carries for one rushing touchdown along with four receptions for 32 yards. He will be key against the Browns’ rushing defense that is near the top ten for yards allowed to running backs with 106 yards per game.
The Texans’ defense withholds one of the worst defensive DVOA ratings in the league with a 9.7% value that places them at 28th in the league in that category. Zach Cunningham and J.J Watt are the only two members giving them hope on defense. Cunningham is seventh in the league in total tackles with 78, while Watt has put up four sacks on the year. They will need to focus their energy on the run game to try to keep the Browns out of the endzone.
The Texans are heading in the right direction after relieving Bill O’Brien of his duties weeks ago. However, their offensive line has been a huge issue this season, allowing the mobile Deshaun Watson to be sacked 24 times this season. Not to mention, their defense has been playing subpar for them this year too. They will catch a break without Odell Beckham Jr. playing against them next week, but the presence of Nick Chubb will certainly be tough to handle. They will need to control the run game on defense while attacking the passing game on offense in a quick manner against the Browns’ extremely efficient defensive line.
Houston Texans Depth Chart
QB: Deshaun Watson
RB1: David Johnson
RB2: Duke Johnson
WR1: Will Fuller
WR2: Brandin Cooks
WR3: Randall Cobb
TE: Darren Fells
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Betting Corner Browns -3
Spread: +/- 3
Moneyline: Browns -165, Texans +145
Over/Under: 54
Prediction
Spread: Browns -3
Moneyline: Browns -165
Over/Under: u54
The Cleveland Browns have been exceeding their expectations this season with a 5-3 record, and they could seriously use this win to stay in the hunt for the playoffs. The Browns are in a difficult division, and the Texans offer them an easier game to take a win from. I would take the Browns in this one for the spread and the money line.
While both of these teams possess solid skill players who can score the ball effectively, the Browns’ insistence on running the ball makes me point towards the under in this game. Especially if they control the Texans’ offense, this should not be a high scoring game.
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Love/Hate Fantasy Picks
Love
Duke Johnson
Duke Johnson has not seen much fantasy action this season, but if David Johnson cannot play this week, I love Duke as a waiver wire RB2 streamer. Last week he put up 15.3 fantasy points without David in the backfield. Even though the Browns have a solid defense against the run, he will be important to their offense to try to grab a win. Johnson is a solid RB2 streamer or flex option for week ten.
Hate
Will Fuller
Will Fuller has been unbelievable this season, averaging 16.4 fantasy points per week and has gotten in the endzone each game in the last six games. There really aren’t any fantasy players I hate this week because both defenses are not great. But, Fuller’s matchup with Denzel Ward could be troublesome to his numbers, considering the Browns will probably also get to Deshaun Watson a lot during the game. Fuller will probably still be a great and inevitable fantasy starter but just may not exceed his expectations. [/quote]
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