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"The Browns next ex-QB" quip was made by Chris Rose, an admitted Browns fan, and he remarked about that when questioned after the fact. The old rule, you can say things if you're a fan that you can't if you're not a fan. Fans give fellow fans more leeway.


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Originally Posted By: eotab
j/c...

Yesterday I was at my Mom - In Law's 1 year memorial. My boys (when we got to the Diner) was like... "DID you HEAR!?!"

"The NFL announcer who thought he was off mike after their discussion on QBs for the Browns."

he stated and my boys don't lie... " The Browns next EX-QB!"

I expected to see it discussed all over here...but not a word. What an insult I'm wondering who??? Nobody else heard about it? I wanted to start a boycott of NFL Network...I would take it off my Direct TV...of course when football comes after Labor day put it back on...lol laugh

I didn't hear it and haven't heard about it... but it's hard to blame them for saying those things until we prove them wrong.


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The percentage of NCAA players that play pro ball is small. Then you factor in schedules. It is not like the competition level week in and week out is what they will face at the pro-level.

Of course the power conferences get better players. No dispute there.

However, when you watch players; you scout the player.

Does the guy make football plays? The fact that Wentz is now considered a top ten pick or higher by the people that cover this means they believe he can play at the pro level.

I agree with you bonefish.. there are guys who succeed in college who do not have the skill set to succeed at the next level. For example, you have WRs and CBs who succeed in college for the simple reason that they are just faster than almost everybody they play against... so when they get to the NFL and everybody is faster, will they still succeed or can they run routes, use good technique, etc? You also see guys who succeed in college because they are very smart and tenacious.. is that enough to carry them in the NFL if they are lacking the ideal speed and strength?

You have to take what you see on tape, look at the measurables from the combine, and project into the future.. it's a very inexact science.


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For ten years I coached in East Cobb Baseball age bracket 13 to 19. Baseball America ranked the program number one in the USA.

During that time I saw twenty players make it to the Major Leagues.
Players came from all over to play in that program.

Never mattered where they came from. They were judged by the talent they came with.

The NFL and the Hall of Fame has plenty of players that came from small schools. You get your tryout. If you can cut it; you play.

The first time I saw Wentz on tape; I kept looking because I know what I saw. This young man can play. What I find the most interesting at this point is what this guy is made of off the field, behind the scenes, on the whiteboard, from his teamates and coaches, academically, leadership. All the kinds of things that show if he can lead a team and a franchise.

That is where they failed with Manziel.
There was no doubt he had some football skills. What he did not have rose to the top quickly.

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For ten years I coached in East Cobb Baseball age bracket 13 to 19. Baseball America ranked the program number one in the USA.

During that time I saw twenty players make it to the Major Leagues.
Players came from all over to play in that program.


Now there is proof that Wentz can play and Bosa can't.

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...has anyone said that Bosa can't play?

I think he can be a Michael Bennett type player, and hopefully he'll go to Jacksonville where he can play that role.

I'd rather have Wentz as a bigger Russell Wilson.


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Here is a little advice: There are a few of you who are actually making it very hard to like Wentz. Your bias is over the top. You are not objective, which automatically alienates people.

Try being a bit more fair. It will actually help your crusade.

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Here is a little advice: There is one of you who are making it very hard to take anything he says seriously. Your bias against Wentz is over the top. You are not objective which alienates people.

Try to post something constructive. It probably won't help your crusade, but at least it might be worth reading.


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Would you care to quote all the terrible things I have said about Wentz?

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It's not that you say terrible things about Wentz, it's that you refuse to admit any of the positives. Any time someone says something positive about Wentz, you have complained. Recently, you have literally been the most negative person I have ever met (and I've spent months at a time at sea, so I've been around some pretty negative people.) If you laid out the positives and negatives of both players and said you liked Bosa better, fine. But you act like Wentz has no redeeming qualities.

I'm sorry that I snapped at you a bit, but I'm kind of swamped with work right now and I'm feeling kind of grumpy.


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Here:

Wentz has:

--good size
--a good arm
--athletic ability
--running ability
--potential

Does that help?

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Yes

-straight A student

-showed football smarts while grilled on whiteboard

-doesn't drink like a fish and float on swans

Add your qualities= he's a contender

IN HUE I trust......go Browns!!!


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Originally Posted By: GrimmBrown
It's not that you say terrible things about Wentz, it's that you refuse to admit any of the positives. Any time someone says something positive about Wentz, you have complained. Recently, you have literally been the most negative person I have ever met (and I've spent months at a time at sea, so I've been around some pretty negative people.) If you laid out the positives and negatives of both players and said you liked Bosa better, fine. But you act like Wentz has no redeeming qualities.

I'm sorry that I snapped at you a bit, but I'm kind of swamped with work right now and I'm feeling kind of grumpy.


I will provide context. Vers is a self described contrarian and has stated so. He is pretty faithful to the concept. Anything that is the general consensus he is against. That is his mantra, his motus operandi. So he loves anything the consensus is against and loves the opposite. Hence the love for Banner. He loves challenge. And he was right on Bridgewater, although Carr would have been the tougher but correct choice.

Feed him if you wish, and I will occasionally do so, but you have to understand the nature of the beast.


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after the injury history come out on lynch I think he will slide to the 3rd round. MIght could nab him there. Not sure he is worth the risk though anymore. The guy had tomo romo fragility issues.

I'm all on board for Wentz now at #2. It's time we take a QB at a spot where the team has no choice but to get on board with the pick and finally support that QB.


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Quote:
The first time I saw Wentz on tape; I kept looking because I know what I saw. This young man can play. What I find the most interesting at this point is what this guy is made of off the field, behind the scenes, on the whiteboard, from his teamates and coaches, academically, leadership. All the kinds of things that show if he can lead a team and a franchise.


I agree. I'm a little sick of hearing this level of competition BS.

It's time to go way beyond all the physical stuff and arm strength because this kid has it all. As Polian says, he checks ALL the boxes.

Now it's time to grill him on NFL level things. We're in good hands with Huey, Pep and Saunders. Put him through the ringer when he comes to Berea. Goff too.

I'll tell you what was impressive over the weekend. When Marriucci laid out that play on the whiteboard, talking quickly, then sat down and did his best to distract Wentz. Wentz walks up to the board and lays it out exactly as Mooch did. Loved it when Mooch was interrupting him and he said quickly, "Wait a minute, you didn't let me finish".

Nailed it. This kid can be our Rothlisberger going forward. Take him and get him ready.

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Sensible analysis. Billick wanted to knock him for school size, competition level, speed of the game, and just to gin up negatives to provoke controversy. Stinks.

Kid has played well, has the arm, and won everything he could. I think he will need to adjust to many things like every NFL rookie does. But to write him off for some of these reasons is baloney. I liked Wentz very much. Judge the individual is solid advice that I agree with.


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You probably should concentrate on diagnosing yourself rather than me.

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well personally I like to stick as close to the threads as possible.

This happens to be about Quarterback Shopping in the Draft forum. I would expect a lot of talk going on about drafting a QB on here. I try to skip posts that you have a back and forth with other poster that are not football related so I don't know all the facts.

Right now Wentz is starting to be most analyst #1 QB...and after they declare that they go - BUT THE BROWNS HAVE TO PICK GOFF... saywhat Typical Bozo stuff. A is the best QB but the Browns should pick B notallthere

And B has a 9 inch hand with Fumbling history in Sunny freaking California...yeah that's the ticket.

And I'm insulting the Analyst not posters here as several like Goff. Apologies.

If we Go #32 I like Cook always liked Cook this BS about not being voted QB and yet he was Game Day Captain (I believe, not 100% sure voted on by the players) 4 times during the season. They had something like 20+ Seniors on that team and many leaders. If that is all anyone has and again I'm disappointed with the analyst cause they didn't give any technical reason as a flag. Just the Captain thing.

If we go even later in the draft and skip the position all together or look to take a #3 I like Nate Sudfield from Indiana.

By the way Hattenberg I don't know if anyone mentioned it his hands are 9 inches as well. Which in a lot of cold weather games at Penn State or other cold weather I saw the ball like pop out of that hand and float way over the target. I think one of his first throws at the Combine di one of those too. How do such tall guys have such small hands. (No Trump Jokes please...lol laugh )

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Ok Vers: Here we go.

The "discussion" was about the level of competition. What I said about baseball was an analogy about competition level. You show up with what you have. If that is good enough; you play. Makes no difference where you came from.

You take a quote out of context to try and prove an argument I have never made about Bosa.

Here was what I said in another post about Bosa:
==================================================

"However, when you watch players; you scout the player.

Does the guy make football plays? The fact that Wentz is now considered a top ten pick or higher by the people that cover this means they believe he can play at the pro level.

That remains to be seen. The same goes for Bosa.
=========================================================

Please show any quote that I made in reference to Bosa that he can't play.

The discussion in reference to Wentz was that whether you come from OSU and the Big Ten, or NDST and the FCS you have to prove you can play. No matter the competition level.

Have I made myself clear?

If you don't like Wentz; so be it. Don't fabricate something about Bosa that I never made.

Just because myself and others are on the bandwagon about Wentz that does not mean that you can't like the guy.

You want my opinion about Bosa just ask on another thread that is not about quarterback shopping.

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Originally Posted By: Bard Dawg
Sensible analysis. Billick wanted to knock him for school size, competition level, speed of the game, and just to gin up negatives to provoke controversy. Stinks.

Kid has played well, has the arm, and won everything he could. I think he will need to adjust to many things like every NFL rookie does. But to write him off for some of these reasons is baloney. I liked Wentz very much. Judge the individual is solid advice that I agree with.



The issue I have is, even though Wentz may be the best of the bunch of QBs this draft, and I agree with that, I feel he is the best of a bunch of second tier QBs. I don't think there are any first tier QBs in this draft.

Nonetheless, the best of the bunch typically goes high in the first round even if they're not first tier talent. I think that's why the boom/bust rate for QBs drafted in the top 10 is about 50%. Too many of them are drafted above their talent level by QB needy teams.




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I think the boom bust rate is so high because they go to bad teams and dysfunctional organizations. I don't think busts at the top are position specific. (See Trent Richardson, Justin Gilbert, Barkevious Mingo)

How are you defining your tiers? Are you applying similar criteria to other positions? Who are your top tier prospects?

Wentz scouting report sounds a lot like Cam Newton's (Link) to me, except he didn't have the one year of mercenary work at a big school.

Would it make the projection easier if Wentz had played at an Auburn? Maybe (Most Likely). If Bosa (insert player you like) had played at NDSU would you like him any less? He'd still be the same person.

No matter who we pick he's gotta be in a "healthy" environment. Hopefully, we've finally got that figured out.

I like Bosa, Ramsey, and Wentz (along with a few other players at the top), but Wentz's leadership and positivity push him over the top for me. We've got to find a way to dispel the negativity that all too often seems to suck the life out of this team. We need a face of the franchise.


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j/c

I believe there are better players in this draft than Wentz. I believe Tunsil, Bosa, Buckner and even Jack would be better impact players right away.

However, the position of QB is always elevated in every draft. This isn't some new phenomenon or some shocking revelation. I can't think of a QB since Luck that didn't have question marks surrounding them. So this "sure fire bet" some keep promoting simply is almost never there.

I wouldn't be disappointed with any of the players I mentioned above with the #2 pick. I also won't be disappointed if they select a QB at #2. You're almost assured to NEVER be in the position to draft the top QB in the draft, and then, even when you are, there's almost never a "Luck type prospect" in the draft. Using that logic, we wouldn't draft another first round QB in 50 years.

While I'm not strictly promoting drafting a QB at #2, if they do, I believe that QB should be Carson Wentz. Yes, there are a few questions that surround him. But I do believe he has the potential to be a very good QB. Better than anyone else in this class.


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Fair enough Pit.

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Can someone, or has anyone already, broken down how the different QB's looked at the Combine?

I've been a bit out of the loop the past several days and missed pretty much all of the Combine coverage.


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Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
Can someone, or has anyone already, broken down how the different QB's looked at the Combine?

I've been a bit out of the loop the past several days and missed pretty much all of the Combine coverage.


I posted the videos of both Goff and Wentz somewhere in this thread.

From what I've read it seems like it's still Goff and Wentz competing for the #1 spot with Lynch being a distant third.

The only real definitive thing that I've read about the QBs is that Hackenberg did not perform well.

Edit:

Wentz's workout:

http://www.houstontexans.com/tv-media/vi...6d-160d15329fd0

Goff's workout:

http://www.houstontexans.com/tv-media/vi...28-ca46b4682067

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Originally Posted By: ddubia
Purp, ddubia also posted these which could give you an idea of their FB IQ.


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Originally Posted By: W84NxtYrAgain
Originally Posted By: ddubia
Purp, ddubia also posted these which could give you an idea of their FB IQ.


I always wondered what the producers of these pieces would do if these guys totally flopped.

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Quote:
Arians said that in evaluating quarterbacks, he tends to focus less on the arm strength, mechanics and several other factors that scouts and experts tend to obsess over this time of year. “To me, the quarterback position is just about one thing: that’s processing information really fast,” Arians says. “If you can process it, I don’t care how weak your arm is or how strong your arm is, you’ll get the ball to the receiver at the right spot, the right time. If you can’t process the information and you’re going to wait to see him open, you’re going to throw a lot of interceptions.”


http://mmqb.si.com/mmqb/2016/02/25/nfl-combine-notes-cleveland-browns-la-rams

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Things at Qb have clearly delineated to Goff vs Wentz as the top 2.
Lynch and Cook are clearly 3 and 4 but there is a huge separation between the 2 groups.

Pre combine, I liked Lynch but after seeing him try to do some of the things he was asked to do, I was disappointed. I thought he needed to sit a year but now I think he will need to sit 3-4 years. He is just sooo far behind the others. As a franchise we don't have that luxury. It may be an overreaction but I think I would move Cook ahead of Lynch at this point (for the Browns).


Comparing Goff and Wentz:


Goff has a quicker release

Wentz is bigger and has a stronger arm

Wentz had good footwork but Goff's was a little smoother

Goff seemed to throw with better anticipation - related to difference in arm strength?

Both seem to carry themselves well overall but neither came across as having that compelling personality. Last year, I see Mariota and think this is a dude I would like to chill out with a beer and just hang with. I look at Winston and don't like him. He seemed fake and insincere to me. I wouldn't have beers with him if he was paying for them. This year I look at both of these guys and get the same ambivalent feeling.

Both had good accuracy at the combine. Every throw I saw from Goff was perfect. I saw one bad throw from Wentz and one maybe throw (it was hard to see clearly). Obviously I didn't see every one of their throws.

Conclusion: I would be okay with either. I think the decision comes down to a couple things.

1, What all does Hue want his ideal Qb to be able to do physically and can both guys do it. I think Wentz can do pretty much anything you ask. I am not 100% certain Goff can. He might but I don't know. Hue should be able to tell rather easily.

2, How quick are they at making decisions? Goff has shown us exactly what his decision making skills are as compared to other Qb's who have come out in recent years. How quick of a decision maker is Wentz? I don't know. With his arm strength and the competition he played against he didn't need to be a quick decision maker to be successful. Vs that competition Weeden would look like a quick decision maker. This is not to say that Wentz is a slow decision maker. It raises the question of how quick/slow he is. It isn't as clear cut a comparison with him. I think this will be more difficult for Hue to figure out.

I don't know which of the 2 I would pick. I will put my trust in Hue and completely back whomever he decides is the best fit for his offense. These are my own personal observations. I think I did a pretty good job of staying unbiased because I don't have a favorite dog in this show.

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And yet his team drafted Logan Thomas.


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I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..

Hoping we trade down a spot or two.. Dallas isn't drafting a QB. Not this year.


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Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..

Hoping we trade down a spot or two.. Dallas isn't drafting a QB. Not this year.


Trade down AND get our QB?

If we think one of these QBs can be our starter for the long-term, we need to take them at the 2 spot. Getting cute is just too risky.


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Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..


My guess is that many numbers are going to give Goff a pretty big nudge over Wentz because of the strength of competition he faced.

Say what you want about the Pac-12 and its defenses, but how many guys are getting drafted out of the Missouri Valley Conference?

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Originally Posted By: cfrs15
Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..


My guess is that many numbers are going to give Goff a pretty big nudge over Wentz because of the strength of competition he faced.

Say what you want about the Pac-12 and its defenses, but how many guys are getting drafted out of the Missouri Valley Conference?


As Daniel Jeremiah said: "Don't judge the helmet; judge the player".


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Originally Posted By: bbrowns32
Originally Posted By: cfrs15
Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..


My guess is that many numbers are going to give Goff a pretty big nudge over Wentz because of the strength of competition he faced.

Say what you want about the Pac-12 and its defenses, but how many guys are getting drafted out of the Missouri Valley Conference?


As Daniel Jeremiah said: "Don't judge the helmet; judge the player".


Which analytics should do... judge the player and not the helmet.


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Originally Posted By: PeteyDangerous
Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..

Hoping we trade down a spot or two.. Dallas isn't drafting a QB. Not this year.


Trade down AND get our QB?

If we think one of these QBs can be our starter for the long-term, we need to take them at the 2 spot. Getting cute is just too risky.


I want to trade down and get the best player, not QB.

In my opinion, none of these guys are "franchise" QB's. So when they mess up and start losing, the scouts will immediately start looking at the next draft class for a replacement. Wentz, Goff, and Lynch will all have short strings.


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Originally Posted By: bbrowns32
Originally Posted By: cfrs15
Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..


My guess is that many numbers are going to give Goff a pretty big nudge over Wentz because of the strength of competition he faced.

Say what you want about the Pac-12 and its defenses, but how many guys are getting drafted out of the Missouri Valley Conference?


As Daniel Jeremiah said: "Don't judge the helmet; judge the player".


Part of judging a player objectively is leveling the playing field.

For example, it's why when judging a baseball player's talents, statisticians use park effects (and many other variables).

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re-HotBYoungTurk

Who are these mystical best players?

Who says they'll mess up and start losing? I know that's the prevailing attitude, but it's part of the problem. We expect failure at that position/as a team.

It's a scout's job to look at the next draft class anyways.

What position wouldn't have a short string? What's the average tenure of a player on the Brown's roster?

Last edited by GrimmBrown; 03/01/16 10:41 PM. Reason: brain dead

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Originally Posted By: cfrs15
Originally Posted By: bbrowns32
Originally Posted By: cfrs15
Originally Posted By: HotBYoungTurk
I think analytics should push us towards one QB over the other..


My guess is that many numbers are going to give Goff a pretty big nudge over Wentz because of the strength of competition he faced.

Say what you want about the Pac-12 and its defenses, but how many guys are getting drafted out of the Missouri Valley Conference?


As Daniel Jeremiah said: "Don't judge the helmet; judge the player".


Part of judging a player objectively is leveling the playing field.

For example, it's why when judging a baseball player's talents, statisticians use park effects (and many other variables).


I don't think where they park their cars has anything to do with it.

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Originally Posted By: GrimmBrown
I think the boom bust rate is so high because they go to bad teams and dysfunctional organizations.

I think that's a part of it too. But I'm not overlooking desperate, needy teams reaching for lesser talent high in the draft.

I don't think busts at the top are position specific. (See Trent Richardson, Justin Gilbert, Barkevious Mingo)

I agree, it's not just QBs.

How are you defining your tiers? Are you applying similar criteria to other positions? Who are your top tier prospects?

I have never tried to evaluate draft talent. The most I've done is read a couple of easy to find scouting reports to get an idea of some players. That and I pay close attention to a few members of this board who have their finger on the pulse and a good track record predicting draft players. This year I've read tons of reports on Wentz and Goff. There were a few that rated both QBs as proposed 2nd round picks. That's what made me think about tiers.


Wentz scouting report sounds a lot like Cam Newton's (Link) to me, except he didn't have the one year of mercenary work at a big school.


In that link you posted they graded Cam at 8.19 and Wentz at 6.23. Below is how they describe their grading system:

GRADE TITLE
9.00-10 Once-in-lifetime player
8.00-8.99 Perennial All-Pro (Cam)
7.50-7.99 Future All-Pro
7.00-7.49 Pro Bowl-caliber player
6.50-6.99 Chance to become Pro Bowl-caliber player
6.00-6.49 Should become instant starter (Wentz)
5.50-5.99 Chance to become NFL starter
5.20-5.49 NFL backup or special teams potential
5.01-5.19 Better-than-average chance to make NFL roster
5.00 50-50 Chance to make NFL roster
4.75-4.99 Should be in an NFL training camp
4.50-4.74 Chance to be in an NFL training camp
NO GRADE Likely needs time in developmental league.

If their grading system is correct then Wentz barely makes the tier of "should become an instant starter". With both of them graded as rookies by the same people/system Wentz has a ways to go to go to reach a Cam Newton rookie grade of "Perennal All Pro", and a year of mercenary work ain't gonna put him there.

I think that grading system defines the tiers pretty well. By the looks of it, and remember, you posted it first, for accuracy, Wentz is well below a 1st tier player. I don't want to draft a player at that tier at #2 overall. It's reaching.

As shown, his score is closer to the tier below his, "Has a chance to become NFL starter" than he is the tier just above, "Chance to become Pro Bowl-caliber player.


Would it make the projection easier if Wentz had played at an Auburn? Maybe (Most Likely). If Bosa (insert player you like) had played at NDSU would you like him any less? He'd still be the same person.

For that you'd have to ask the people who actually grade them.


I like Bosa, Ramsey, and Wentz (along with a few other players at the top), but Wentz's leadership and positivity push him over the top for me. We've got to find a way to dispel the negativity that all too often seems to suck the life out of this team. We need a face of the franchise.

I agree somewhat with what you say there. But I caution that we don't make another mistake of reaching for a player through desperation.


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