|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,270
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,270 |
No, actually what I'm responding to is the information that Shefter thought we would trade down 3 or 4 times.
Unless someone is really willing to overpay for the second best QB in this draft, I don't see why someone would offer a huge deal to trade up to #2 to begin with.
But my point is, IF you trade down and CAN trade down, you shouldn't trade below the top 10. Top 5 preferably. I think it's fine to gain value from the #2 pick, but not at the risk of losing out on one of the top talents in the draft to do so.
I haven't really seen anyone that appears to me to be a big stand out in this draft. There are at least 5 or 6 guys I give almost the same value on. But the further you move back, the more depleted top talent becomes.
What I'm not in favor of is continuing to keep trading back to the point that the odds of getting impact talent greatly declines. That's the point where you're simply targeting more bodies rather than focusing on special talent that all teams need for success.
If I had my choice I'd draft Wentz at #2. Now I'm not sure he will be available and even if he is, I'm not so set on him that it would upset me. I just don't want our FO to pull moves that they believe that the body count means more than top flight talent.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
If we don't want a QB, then we should trade down as much as possible. We need multiple of everything besides left tackle.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
There are plenty of "playmakers" to be had outside the top ten.
Increase the picks, increase the odds of getting good players.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,270
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,270 |
Not really. The odds of landing a playmaker later in the draft is greatly reduced. Does it happen? Of course it does. The odds of that happening? Much lower.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
The odds of landing a playmaker later in the draft is greatly reduced. Does it happen? Of course it does. The odds of that happening? Much lower. I agree the odds are lower, but probably the difference is probably not as much as you'd expect. http://datascopeanalytics.com/blog/the-chance-of-a-bust-in-the-nfl-draft/
Last edited by cfrs15; 04/14/16 07:02 PM.
|
|
|
|
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 5,386
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 5,386 |
There are plenty of "playmakers" to be had outside the top ten.
Increase the picks, increase the odds of getting good players. Agreed and in this draft, there is not a huge difference between #15 and #45 in my opinion.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693 |
I am soooo sick of the overthinking. By the FO, press & fans. It's simple. There are seven difference makers in this draft, two of them are QBs, the other five don't matter. Why? Because we need a QB. It doesn't matter if the tackle, LB or corner are rated ahead of the 2 QBs. Why? Because we need a QB. It doesn't matter if the QBs aren't worth a #2 pick. Why? Because we need one and that is the pick we have. It doesn't matter if a trade offer comes along that gives us a bunch of picks for this mediocre draft and another number one next year. Why? Because we don't have a QB. Both Wentz and Goff have a lot to learn, but have the tools. We need to take one of them, and it doesn't really matter which one. Why? Because we need a QB.
It's good they'd get a chance to sit and learn for the four to six weeks until RG gets hurt, so we better have one of them.
The Rams trade affects the Brown's only correct decision either a little or not at all. They either take the guy they wanted all along, or they get the other guy. The only other option is making the wrong, stupid move. Again.
On a side note, it's hilarious seeing some of the hysterics at loosing a QB (whichever) to the Rams who 24 hours ago wasn't worth a top ten pick.
![[Linked Image from i.imgur.com]](https://i.imgur.com/hfMNC7T.jpg) "I am undeterred and I am undaunted." --Kevin Stefanski "Big hairy American winning machines." --Baker Mayfield #gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,270
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,270 |
That sounds great until you really look at that article. They are using the term "bust". That being a player who fell to a score of 5 or below.
That has nothing to do with the difference between an impact player and a marginal player. Which is exactly what I was referring to.
Maybe you should look at the percentage of pro bowl talent percentages if you wish to address what I was talking about.
Sure, we can acquire bodies that can play later in the draft, but the odds of drafting "impact players" later isn't the same thing.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
We need quality bodies at every position. Getting more picks allows us to have more success at acquiring more quality bodies.
(This is assuming we are getting picks that are in rounds one through three where more quality are available.)
|
|
|
|
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 5,386
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 5,386 |
That sounds great until you really look at that article. They are using the term "bust". That being a player who fell to a score of 5 or below.
That has nothing to do with the difference between an impact player and a marginal player. Which is exactly what I was referring to.
Maybe you should look at the percentage of pro bowl talent percentages if you wish to address what I was talking about.
Sure, we can acquire bodies that can play later in the draft, but the odds of drafting "impact players" later isn't the same thing. We've had a collection of Pro Bowl guys and still can't win because the other guys suck.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
We need quality bodies at every position. Getting more picks allows us to have more success at acquiring more quality bodies.
(This is assuming we are getting picks that are in rounds one through three where more quality are available.) I think we should trade down, but I don't think we should trade down 3 or 4 times before we even make a pick.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
No Phil, they traded up so they can finally start discussing it  Well, posters on this board didn't call Savage a "genius" for no reason. 
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
It would have happened, you know as well as I do that no matter what this team does it is wrong according to certain posters ... It would have happened? cfrs was talking about what did happen.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
We need quality bodies at every position. Getting more picks allows us to have more success at acquiring more quality bodies.
(This is assuming we are getting picks that are in rounds one through three where more quality are available.) I think we should trade down, but I don't think we should trade down 3 or 4 times before we even make a pick. It depends on what the return is really. If we are getting a bunch of second round picks, then we should do it.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Building off of Pastor's comment that people will bad mouth the FO no matter what..........we should take a poll on what the Browns should do in the draft w/the second overall pick. And then make a rule where you can't trash the FO, or DEFEND them, unless you have participated in the poll. I say this because I think there are a far, far greater number of posters who will defend the FO no matter what and say stuff.....that's what I thought we should do all along than there are posters who will trash them no matter what. Maybe it will help shut some people up? 
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog Originally Posted By: cfrs15 We need quality bodies at every position. Getting more picks allows us to have more success at acquiring more quality bodies.
(This is assuming we are getting picks that are in rounds one through three where more quality are available.)
I think we should trade down, but I don't think we should trade down 3 or 4 times before we even make a pick.
It depends on what the return is really. If we are getting a bunch of second round picks, then we should do it. Okay..........it's just opinion, but man, I don't think that is a good idea.
Last edited by Versatile Dog; 04/14/16 08:06 PM. Reason: Provided previous conversation for clarity
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
Building off of Pastor's comment that people will bad mouth the FO no matter what..........we should take a poll on what the Browns should do in the draft w/the second overall pick. In the poll I created about a month ago thirty-four people voted to draft a QB (thirty for Wentz and four for Goff) and ten voted not to draft a QB.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Thanks..........but my idea is like preventative medicine. You can't talk about how good---or bad---the draft was if you don't participate.
That could stop people from making crap up. Right Pastor?
Forgive me Father for I have sinned...........
|
|
|
|
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 1,692
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 1,692 |
Great news! How often does the best player in the draft fall in your lap?
Laremy Tunsil or trade down I love it! Especially with having an aging Thomas and glaring need at RT! Play Tunsil at RT while we have Joe then move him to LT upon his retirement. That just makes sense. People would argue that #2 is high for a RT, but we have insurance in the long run. Not to mention that RG Knee is going to need the most protection he can get. 
|
|
|
|
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 165
Practice Squad
|
Practice Squad
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 165 |
I am soooo sick of the overthinking. By the FO, press & fans. It's simple. There are seven difference makers in this draft, two of them are QBs, the other five don't matter. Why? Because we need a QB. It doesn't matter if the tackle, LB or corner are rated ahead of the 2 QBs. Why? Because we need a QB. It doesn't matter if the QBs aren't worth a #2 pick. Why? Because we need one and that is the pick we have. It doesn't matter if a trade offer comes along that gives us a bunch of picks for this mediocre draft and another number one next year. Why? Because we don't have a QB. Both Wentz and Goff have a lot to learn, but have the tools. We need to take one of them, and it doesn't really matter which one. Why? Because we need a QB.
It's good they'd get a chance to sit and learn for the four to six weeks until RG gets hurt, so we better have one of them.
The Rams trade affects the Brown's only correct decision either a little or not at all. They either take the guy they wanted all along, or they get the other guy. The only other option is making the wrong, stupid move. Again.
On a side note, it's hilarious seeing some of the hysterics at loosing a QB (whichever) to the Rams who 24 hours ago wasn't worth a top ten pick. Finally, the voice of reason. I'm so sick of hanging our hats on retreads, old men & midget head cases. Here's an idea, lets draft a QB with a ton of upside, develop him with coaches that know how & actually move forward for a change.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 4,041
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 4,041 |
Trading down 3-4 times doesn't mean those trade downs are all gonna happen with the same pick (#2). They could trade down from #2, they could trade down from #32 they could trade down in the later end (4/5) of the draft to build depth and the back end of the roster.
My guess is the aim is to get as many picks in the top 50 as possible and enough picks to manipulate and acquire players they target in the later part of the draft.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887 |
We have had the best LT and a Probowl CB for years. 0 playoff appearances because we don't have a signal caller. We have to get a QB. Had a chance to get the best one. Now we have to settle for the "other" guy, whether it's the guy we wanted or not!
Hopefully Hue and company does their homework and The Rams pick Sam Bowie at #1 and we get Jordan at #2!!!!!!
|
|
|
|
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 15,574
Legend
|
OP
Legend
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 15,574 |
Building off of Pastor's comment that people will bad mouth the FO no matter what..........we should take a poll on what the Browns should do in the draft w/the second overall pick. In the poll I created about a month ago thirty-four people voted to draft a QB (thirty for Wentz and four for Goff) and ten voted not to draft a QB. My vote is cast, make it 5 for Goff.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 4,753
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 4,753 |
Tradewise, I'd agree with the writer, but not on the rest. If the FO is happy enough with RGIII and taking another player at #2 vs. having to take a QB, the rest of his argument is pretty much invalid. The RGIII signing made me think we're going in a different direction, and nothing since then has changed my mind.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,827
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,827 |
Trading down 3-4 times doesn't mean those trade downs are all gonna happen with the same pick (#2). They could trade down from #2, they could trade down from #32 they could trade down in the later end (4/5) of the draft to build depth and the back end of the roster.
My guess is the aim is to get as many picks in the top 50 as possible and enough picks to manipulate and acquire players they target in the later part of the draft. Good point. I think he said 3-4 times. I don't think he said 3-4 times in the 1st round. But that was hours ago so I can't say for sure.
Am I perfect? No Am I trying to be a better person? Also no
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 2,331
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 2,331 |
We need quality bodies at every position. Getting more picks allows us to have more success at acquiring more quality bodies.
(This is assuming we are getting picks that are in rounds one through three where more quality are available.) It also assuming that the group in charge can effectively identify quality bodies. I'm sorry, but there is ZERO proof at this point that they can. And given the history of this franchise in doing so, I just cringe at the possibility of trading down AGAIN so another team can grab the play maker the Browns COULD have had. Take the BPA...not necessarily the BQBA. At this point, I have to ask this: Who does the best job of evaluating talent that any of you follow?
After 55 years, I'm walking away from this dumpster fire. Good luck to everyone who continues to hang on. You'll need it.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,856
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,856 |
[quote=The Beast At this point, I have to ask this: Who does the best job of evaluating talent that any of you follow? [/quote]
Clevesteve
#gmstrong
A smart person knows what to say.
A wise person knows whether or not to say it.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887 |
I take the QB that the Rams don't take and not look back. Develop him, let him sit, even if its all year.
When you don't have a Franchise QB and you are in position to draft a potential franchise QB, you don't pass on him.
Both Wentz and Goff have the potential to be a Franchise QB. There are Pro's and Con's for both but I think it would be madness to pass up on either of them when we don't have a Franchise QB on our team.
We have had a Probowl Left Tackle and Center with high 2nd round picks at Right Tackle and Left Guard.....Zero playoffs.
We've had a Probowl at Corner, TE, S, WR, LT & C on our team in the same year....no playoffs and if I remember correctly 4 wins.
I understand we need more talent at skill positions, but we also NEED a franchise QB and will continue to see 3-4 win seasons until we find that guy. Every now and then we will get lucky with a weak schedule and Journeyman QB and celebrate a 7 win season like we won the Superbowl.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,656
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,656 |
J/C
A thought I had last night (admittedly while half asleep) was this: I've read different thoughts on how analytics will be used for the draft. Some suppose that means getting players who can play immediately, thus getting more bang for the buck so to speak. I'm wondering if Haslam has told his guys that the #1 thing they need to use analytics for in this draft is to find a quarterback. If that's the goal, then maybe it really does come down to which QB projects better over the long haul.
I guess what I suggesting is the possibility that it's "use analytics to first find a QB, then best player at the spots after that."
There may be people who have more talent than you, but there's no excuse for anyone to work harder than you do. -Derek Jeter
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 12,635
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 12,635 |
Yeah, I mean do they really think they're fooling us after coughing up the bounty they did NOT knowing who they wanted to pull the trigger on?
Doesn't take the sharpest knife in the drawer to cut through that bs. OR they are really, really, really, really, dumb. I think they are dumb, but not really, really, really, really, dumb.  I guess they could've pulled and had themselves a Josh Gordon moment of utmost stupidity!
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Both Wentz and Goff have the potential to be a Franchise QB. There are Pro's and Con's for both but I think it would be madness to pass up on either of them when we don't have a Franchise QB on our team.
We have had a Probowl Left Tackle and Center with high 2nd round picks at Right Tackle and Left Guard.....Zero playoffs.
We've had a Probowl at Corner, TE, S, WR, LT & C on our team in the same year....no playoffs and if I remember correctly 4 wins. I think the Browns need a qb, too. However, I have a question for you: Do you remember last year's games? If so, how many games was the qb responsible for losing? I can post the opponent's scores if it will help refresh your memory.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,842
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,842 |
I take the QB that the Rams don't take and not look back. free...the Browns have no choice but to take the QB who is left and now they will have to wait until the Rams make their choice.
Looking at the QBs of 2017...I don't see anyone who I would consider better than either Wentz or Goff.
Unless there is a QB that may be available later in the draft, that Hue believes he can coach up, the Browns will need to take the QB that the Rams don't take. jmho
FOOTBALL IS NOT BASEBALL
Home of the Free, Because of the Brave...
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,864
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,864 |
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887 |
Both Wentz and Goff have the potential to be a Franchise QB. There are Pro's and Con's for both but I think it would be madness to pass up on either of them when we don't have a Franchise QB on our team.
We have had a Probowl Left Tackle and Center with high 2nd round picks at Right Tackle and Left Guard.....Zero playoffs.
We've had a Probowl at Corner, TE, S, WR, LT & C on our team in the same year....no playoffs and if I remember correctly 4 wins. I think the Browns need a qb, too. However, I have a question for you: Do you remember last year's games? If so, how many games was the qb responsible for losing? I can post the opponent's scores if it will help refresh your memory. Can you get by with a Journeyman QB? Sure, but sustaining year on year success typically doesn't happen. How many game just on the QB? Well typically that's a hard question to answer, people come up with many excuses as to why we lose, play calling....drop passes....wrong routes ect... The only game that comes to mind is the Oakland game where McCown threw a horrible INT for Oakland to seal the game despite McCown having a pretty good game IIRC. But many will say Haden lost us that game when Cooper torched him all game. But that is just off the top of my head on a frustrating year and I was switching around watching other games to keep track of my fantasy players.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,842
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,842 |
We have had a Probowl Left Tackle and Center with high 2nd round picks at Right Tackle and Left Guard.....Zero playoffs. free...understand...the offensive line does not throw the ball and they do not run the ball.
Do you have any clue as how many times a Browns RB failed to recognize the "cut back lane".
At QB, the Browns had a drunk and an retread competing for the starting job...that was the quality of the Browns QB position.
The offensive line consists of just 5 of the 11 players on offense...but they don't run the ball nor do they throw the ball.
The offensive line can do their job, but if the other 6 guys on offense don't do their job, you want to blame the Oline.
The individual honors the members of the Browns Oline earned are the only positives they earned while with the Browns....and guys like you want to hold that against them.
FOOTBALL IS NOT BASEBALL
Home of the Free, Because of the Brave...
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,556
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,556 |
I take the QB that the Rams don't take and not look back. free...the Browns have no choice but to take the QB who is left and now they will have to wait until the Rams make their choice.
Looking at the QBs of 2017...I don't see anyone who I would consider better than either Wentz or Goff.
Unless there is a QB that may be available later in the draft, that Hue believes he can coach up, the Browns will need to take the QB that the Rams don't take. jmho There is the issue. My guess is when they started analyzing all these QBs the guy with the cannon arm, good mobility and an inate toughness is the guy that the Browns want. Problem is that its not the small school 24 year old QB and it isnt the weak armed Cal kid. It is Paxton Lynch. The Browns have RG3 for 2 years andif RG3 studs woo hoo. If he doesnt, hey you have Lynch learning and growing in your system. Everyone knows Lynch has the highest ceiling and we are in position to get him and a lot of other picks to build so when he is ready to take over, the team is ready to be taken over.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,887 |
We have had a Probowl Left Tackle and Center with high 2nd round picks at Right Tackle and Left Guard.....Zero playoffs. free...understand...the offensive line does not throw the ball and they do not run the ball.
Do you have any clue as how many times a Browns RB failed to recognize the "cut back lane".
At QB, the Browns had a drunk and an retread competing for the starting job...that was the quality of the Browns QB position.
The offensive line consists of just 5 of the 11 players on offense...but they don't run the ball nor do they throw the ball.
The offensive line can do their job, but if the other 6 guys on offense don't do their job, you want to blame the Oline.
The individual honors the members of the Browns Oline earned are the only positives they earned while with the Browns....and guys like you want to hold that against them.
You completely misread the point of my post.....The point is you can have those guys (Which are important) but if you don't have a QB it's not going to matter. I'm looking at this draft and see Tunsil, Ramsey....those are good players and if we had a QB I would take them, but if I'm in position to draft a Potentail franchise QB or draft the Potential Franchise LT....I'll go with the QB if I don't already have one 100% of the time.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,842
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,842 |
BpG...will Watson be a senior next season?
FOOTBALL IS NOT BASEBALL
Home of the Free, Because of the Brave...
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,864
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,864 |
No he'll be a Junior and likely a first round pick, so I would be shocked if he did not enter the draft unless he has just an awful season or gets injured. Actually even if he gets injured he's going to be a top pick.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 802
All Pro
|
All Pro
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 802 |
Mourgrym, I am open to thinking about Lynch. You make a good point about Wentz being 24, and Goff's arm is not a strength. But are you saying to trade down and still target him? Because I am not positive you can do that. Maybe if Chip really wants Goff, but I don't know.
|
|
|
DawgTalkers.net
Forums The Archives 2016 NFL Season 2016 NFL Draft Titans Trade No. 1 Pick to LA Rams
|
|