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2016 NFL Draft: Bold Opinions and Initial Prospect Rankings for Each Position
By: Jonah Tuls
2016 NFL Draft season has begun with the All Star games now over and with the NFL Combine coming up later this month. Throughout the draft community, there are several different opinions and views on prospects in this year’s draft class, just like any other, and I too have some intriguing thoughts as well. In this article, I’m going to go through one “bold opinion” for each position in the 2016 NFL Draft. Enjoy.
Quarterbacks
Dak Prescott
Bold Opinion: I would draft Dak Prescott over Connor Cook and Christian Hackenberg.
Analysis: What an intense way to start off this piece, but this is not because I am completely enamored with Dak Prescott as much as it is that I just do not want to touch the other two quarterbacks. I think both Cook and Hackenberg have some incredible tools to work with including their size and arm strength, but I’m just not convinced that either of them will have success in this league. Sure, Dak Prescott may not be as gifted as Hackenberg or Cook, but his eye discipline and footwork in the pocket is light years better than what I have seen from the latter. People may dismiss Prescott because of his 2014 tape, but he totally redefined himself as a prospect this past year showing huge improvement in the pocket with his footwork, pocket presence, eye discipline, and overall ball placement. As for Cook and Hackenberg, they have found themselves getting worse as the years have gone on. I still do think that Prescott has a lot to do to be considered a future starting quarterback, but I would much rather have him as my developmental quarterback than Connor Cook and Christian Hackenberg. As of right now, I have a fourth round grade on both Dak Prescott and Connor Cook, while having a fifth round grade on Christian Hackenberg.
Initial Quarterback Rankings
1. Jared Goff, California Golden Bears
2. Carson Wentz, North Dakota State Bison
3. Paxton Lynch, Memphis Tigers
4. Cardale Jones, Ohio State Buckeyes
5. Dak Prescott, Mississippi State Bulldogs
Running Backs
Bold Opinion: Devontae Booker is the second best running back in the 2016 NFL Draft.
Analysis: Many draft analysts out there believe that the Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry is the clear cut number two running back behind Ohio State’s Ezekiel Elliott, but after watching comprehensive game film on the running backs in this draft class, I have come to the conclusion that Devontae Booker is the second best running back in the 2016 NFL Draft. I will say that Louisiana Tech’s Kenneth Dixon is only a hair behind Booker, but it is the complete package that got me sold on Booker. It seems as if he never goes down on first contact, and if he does get an ounce of daylight, he has the explosiveness to take it to the house. Booker’s most impressive trait to me was his balance and vision as a runner as he found ways to get skinny in the hole and make plays out of nothing. He will be 24 to enter his rookie season, but I don’t see that as much of an issue as others do and I am of the mindset that he can be a workhorse running back for a team in the near future.
Initial Running Back Rankings
1. Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State Buckeyes
2. Devontae Booker, Utah Utes
3. Kenneth Dixon, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
4. Derrick Henry, Alabama Crimson Tide
5. Paul Perkins, UCLA Bruins
Wide Receivers
Bold Opinion: Tyler Boyd is not only the second best wide receiver in this draft, but also a Top 15 talent.
Analysis: I’ve been beating the drum for Tyler Boyd for a long time now, but there are some draft analysts who I highly respect that believe he is nothing more than a second/third round prospect. Much of the talk is that he does not have many weaknesses, but not a dominant trait either. While I believe that the first part of that statement is true, I do think he has the strongest hands in this draft, especially in contested situations. In addition, he is one of the most advanced route runners in this class in that he sets up and deceives cornerbacks to perfection. Does he have blow-by speed? No, but he does have a certain bit of burst and quickness in his release that can beat any type of coverage, whether that be Press or Off. I think his skills translate to being an extremely reliable WR2 for an offense with the upside to become a strong WR1.
Initial Wide Receiver Rankings
1. Laquon Treadwell, Ole Miss Rebels
2. Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh Panthers
3. Sterling Shepard, Oklahoma Sooners
4. Michael Thomas, Ohio State Buckeyes
5. Josh Doctson, TCU Horned Frogs
Tight Ends
Bold Opinion: Jerell Adams is close to overtaking Hunter Henry as the top tight end on my board.
Analysis: Some may not know who Jerell Adams is quite yet, but after a good week at the Senior Bowl, he is shouting to the world that he should be in consideration when talking about the best tight ends in this class. While Hunter Henry may be the overall better route runner and receiver, Jerell Adams is a better athlete with strong hands and is a much better blocker. If you are looking for a tight end who can stretch the field vertically as well as being able to block on early downs, Jerell Adams is your guy. For me, it is neck and neck between the two, but I am on the fence with who my top tight end is at the moment between Hunter Henry and Jerell Adams.
Initial Tight End Rankings
1. Hunter Henry, Arkansas Razorbacks
2. Jerell Adams, South Carolina Gamecocks
3. Tyler Higbee, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
4. Nick Vannett, Ohio State Buckeyes
5. Darion Griswold, Arkansas State Red Wolves
Offensive Tackles
Bold Opinion: I would not touch Germain Ifedi, Le’Raven Clark, and Shon Coleman before the fourth round.
Analysis: Too many times, draft analysts and scouts fall in love with offensive tackle prospects who are extremely raw, but have insane upside because of their physical tools and measurables. It is the same case for the 2016 NFL Draft as players like Germain Ifedi of Texas A&M, Le’Raven Clark of Texas Tech, and Shon Coleman of Auburn all have promise, but they are all projects, especially in pass protection. We all saw Ereck Flowers go ninth overall in the first round to the New York Giants last year, so I do believe teams will repeat themselves and reach for these players, but I will let these three prospects be someone else’s hero.
Initial Offensive Tackle Rankings
1. Laremy Tunsil, Ole Miss Rebels
2. Taylor Decker, Ohio State Buckeyes
3. Ronnie Stanley, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4. Jack Conklin, Michigan State Spartans
5. Jason Spriggs, Indiana Hoosiers
Interior Offensive Linemen
Bold Opinion: Not just one, but two offensive guard prospects are worthy of first round consideration, Joshua Garnett and Cody Whitehair.
Analysis: Two of the “safest” picks in this draft come at the offensive guard spot in my opinion in both Cody Whitehair and Joshua Garnett. Both players are extremely well rounded and the clear-cut top two prospects at their position, and will both provide immediate production at the next level as reliable starters. Whitehair could develop more of a mean streak in the run game, while Garnett could work on his feet in pass protection. Nonetheless, they will both be impact starters right away in my opinion.
Initial Interior Offensive Linemen Rankings
1. Joshua Garnett, Stanford Cardinal
2. Cody Whitehair, Kansas State Wildcats
3. Ryan Kelly, Alabama Crimson Tide
4. Nick Martin, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5. Christian Westerman, Arizona State Sun Devils
Interior Defensive Linemen
Bold Opinion: The earliest I would take Robert Nkemdiche would be in the 3rd round.
Analysis: Based on natural talent, I would have Nkemdiche in the first round most likely, but I have more questions than answers with him as a prospect at the moment. His interviews will be more important than his actual physical testing at the NFL Combine later this month. It is not just his off field issues that concern me though, as I saw an inconsistent player on tape who needs to play up to his natural gifts. I think Nkemdiche has the HIGHEST upside of any prospect in this draft, but with the combination of his off field issues and constant underachieving on the field, he is a player that could cost people their jobs.
Initial Interior Defensive Linemen Rankings
1. DeForest Buckner, Oregon Ducks
2. Sheldon Rankins, Louisville Cardinals
3. Andrew Billings, Baylor Bears
4. Kenny Clark, UCLA Bruins
5. Jarran Reed, Alabama Crimson Tide
EDGE Rushers
Bold Opinion: Noah Spence is the best EDGE rusher on my board, higher than both Joey Bosa and Shaq Lawson.
Analysis: Many people will have Joey Bosa and Shaq Lawson as the unchallenged top EDGE defender in this draft, but I strongly believe that Noah Spence is far and away the best pass rusher here. He may not have the length the other two have, but his bend, athleticism, and hand usage outweigh the opposition that he faces consistently. He is the only player in this draft class that I think could be a consistent double digit sack guy in his career.
Initial EDGE Rusher Rankings
1. Noah Spence, Eastern Kentucky Colonels
2. Joey Bosa, Ohio State Buckeyes
3. Shaq Lawson, Clemson Tigers
4. Kamalei Correa, Boise State Broncos
5. Kevin Dodd, Clemson Tigers
Linebackers
Bold Opinion: I have four linebackers with Top 20 grades, but the drop off to the next linebacker will be to the third round.
Analysis: While I do believe that Myles Jack, Jaylon Smith, Darron Lee, and Reggie Ragland are worthy of Top 20 selections, I do not see another off ball linebacker worthy of selection until the third round. I am not as high on players like Su’a Cravens or Joshua Perry, but I do believe that players like Kentrell Brothers and Jatavis Brown provide excellent value on the late part of Day 2.
Initial Linebacker Rankings
1. Myles Jack, UCLA Bruins
2. Jaylon Smith, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
3. Darron Lee, Ohio State Buckeyes
4. Reggie Ragland, Alabama Crimson Tide
5. Kentrell Brothers, Missouri Tigers
Cornerbacks
Bold Opinion: William Jackson III is the best cornerback in the 2016 NFL Draft.
Analysis: This opinion is probably the boldest one I have, but after watching William Jackson III comprehensively as of late, I’m pretty convinced that he is the top cornerback prospect in this draft class. It took me too long to realize this considering I am a big time advocate for Vernon Hargreaves III as a Top 15 player, but I honestly do believe that William Jackson III is exactly what Hargreaves would be if he was three inches taller. Jackson has the size, length, and fluid athleticism that NFL teams are looking for in cornerbacks, as well as having some of the best pure closing speed in this draft. In terms of underneath routes, Jackson breaks on the ball quicker than any cornerback I have seen in the past two draft classes. I don’t worry about his deep speed to turn vertical with the receiver, but it is more if he can recover if initially beat on a double move. Other than that, he is a physical, instinctive cornerback who can play either Off or Press in man coverage with fluidity and can only get better with his high ceiling.
Initial Cornerback Rankings
1. William Jackson III, Houston Cougars
2. Vernon Hargreaves III, Florida Gators
3. Mackensie Alexander, Clemson Tigers
4. Xavien Howard, Baylor Bears
5. Jalen Mills, LSU Tigers
Safeties
Bold Opinion: Karl Joseph is a Top 20 player in this class despite ACL tear early in the 2015 season.
Analysis: I wrote a piece on Karl Joseph a couple days ago describing how he is the only roadblock to his own success in the NFL with his undisciplined and aggressive mentality. With that being said, he can do everything you ask for in a safety at the next level. His supreme athletic ability to close and stick in man coverage is outstanding, and his ball skills at both the catch point and in terms of location is also excellent. In addition, he is one scary player in run support in that he hits so hard that I could see unwarranted penalties thrown his way. I’m a big fan, and I believe that he will be one of the most impactful players to come out of this draft class.
Initial Safety Rankings
1. Jalen Ramsey, Florida State Seminoles
2. Karl Joseph, West Virginia Mountaineers
3. Darian Thompson, Boise State Broncos
4. Vonn Bell, Ohio State Buckeyes
5. Justin Simmons, Boston College Eagles
http://thedraftwire.usatoday.com/2016/02...-each-position/