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I was looking forward to what Scott Adams had to say about this. I know he's the cartoon guy so he is obviously too funny to take seriously, but he has more accurately predicted the events of the last year of the election season than any of the experts. So just for the heck of it, here's how he scored the first debate: http://blog.dilbert.com/post/151007796236/i-score-the-first-debateTrump and Clinton debated each other for the first time last night. Here’s how I score the night.
Clinton won on points. She had more command of the details and the cleaner answers. Trump did a lot of interrupting and he was defensive. If this were a college debate competition, Clinton would be declared the winner. I call that victory on the 2D chess board. But voters don’t care about facts and debating style. They care about how they feel. So let’s talk about that.
For starters, Trump and Clinton both seemed “presidential” enough. That mattered more for Trump. We haven’t seen him off the teleprompter lately. So Trump passed that test by being sufficiently serious.
Clinton looked (to my eyes) as if she was drugged, tired, sick, or generally unhealthy, even though she was mentally alert and spoke well. But her eyes were telling a different story. She had the look of someone whose doctors had engineered 90 minutes of alertness for her just for the event. If she continues with a light campaign schedule, you should assume my observation is valid, and she wasn’t at 100%.
Some will say Clinton outperformed expectations because she didn’t cough, collapse, or die right on stage. That would be true if she also looked healthy in general, and her campaign schedule from here on out is full. We’ll know more this week, based on her schedule.
Clinton’s smile seemed forced, artificial, and frankly creepy. I’m already hearing on Twitter that mentioning a woman’s smile is sexist. I understand the point. But when someone goes full Joker-face and tests the uncanny valley hypothesis at the same time, that’s a bit different from telling a woman to “smile more.” My neighbor Kristina hypothesized that Botox was making her smile look unnatural. Science tells us that when a person’s mouth smiles, but their eyes don’t match the smile, they look disingenuous if not creepy. Botox on your crow’s feet lines around your eyes can give that effect. But whatever the reason, something looked off to me.
To be fair, Trump’s physical appearance won’t win him any votes either. But his makeup looked better than I have seen it (no orange), his haircut was as good as it gets for him, and he was otherwise his normal self that some voters hate and some like.
But the most interesting question has to do with what problem both of them were trying to solve with the debate. Clinton tried to look healthy, and as I mentioned, I don’t think she completely succeeded. But Trump needed to solve exactly one problem: Look less scary. Trump needed to counter Clinton’s successful branding of him as having a bad temperament to the point of being dangerous to the country. Trump accomplished exactly that…by…losing the debate.
Trump was defensive, and debated poorly at points, but he did not look crazy. And pundits noticed that he intentionally avoided using his strongest attacks regarding Bill Clinton’s scandals. In other words, he showed control. He stayed in the presidential zone under pressure. And in so doing, he solved for his only remaining problem. He looked safer.
By tomorrow, no one will remember what either of them said during the debate. But we will remember how they made us feel.
Clinton won the debate last night. And while she was doing it, Trump won the election. He had one thing to accomplish – being less scary – and he did it.
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This quote is disturbing and sad But voters don’t care about facts and debating style. They care about how they feel. If Americans base their decisions on pure emotions, this country is done. Also, the guy needs to stop pretending he's not conservative and a trump fan. Either he's really bad at arguing or he's trying to spin positivity for Trump.
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I was watching that morning show out of NY this morning before switching to the market. The show has a pretty good sized audience from all over the Country, mostly tourists.
The host asked the audience, "Has anyone changed their mind after last nights debate?"
You could hear a pin drop.
Last edited by 40YEARSWAITING; 09/27/16 10:05 AM.
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This quote is disturbing and sad But voters don’t care about facts and debating style. They care about how they feel. If Americans base their decisions on pure emotions, this country is done. Also, the guy needs to stop pretending he's not conservative and a trump fan. I agree that is disturbing. I also don't think he's wrong. Can anybody here really explain the pros and cons of various international trade details (in sufficient detail where an actual expert on the matter would take you seriously)? Can anybody tell me which specific cities in Syria and Iraq that ISIS has a stronghold in, and where the fighting is taking place (without looking it up)? I'm guessing probably not. There are dozens of other very complicated issues at play and at best, most of us probably know a couple of them pretty well. That's reality. He did switch his endorsement from Clinton to Trump not too long ago. He has actually been fairly objective and reasonably neutral throughout the year. I say 'reasonably neutral' because he has focused on persuasion so much and Trump does that so well (I do not think last night was his best performance, not even close).
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Mhmmm I love it. I'm not sure how one could possibly think Trump looked Presidential last night. They must have been watching Clinton. Between him bellowing one word statements in the microphone, to ignoring Lester Holt after the debate, to telling everyone to call Sean Hannity after admonishing Clinton and her ties to the mainstream media.
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Mhmmm I love it. I'm not sure how one could possibly think Trump looked Presidential last night. They must have been watching Clinton. Between him bellowing one word statements in the microphone, to ignoring Lester Holt after the debate, to telling everyone to call Sean Hannity after admonishing Clinton and her ties to the mainstream media. He was rude to the moderator a few times, I'll give you that. That's not really dangerous in the sense that some have painted him as though.
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Ok, but I never called Trump dangerous. I just said he looked extremely unpresidential. In fact, I'm not sure he had a Presidential moment in that debate outside NAFTA. He looked extremely flustered, extremely angry and very, very irresponsible.
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Ok, but I never called Trump dangerous. I just said he looked extremely unpresidential. In fact, I'm not sure he had a Presidential moment in that debate outside NAFTA. He looked extremely flustered, extremely angry and very, very irresponsible. agreed that he was flustered and maybe even angry at times. Disagree that he was very, very irresponsible-- I'm not sure what we are talking about? I think some on here were expecting him to become dangerously unhinged, go off on some bizarre rants with racial or religious undertones, make some very dangerous comments in regards to nuclear strategy, etc. What actually happened: he became flustered, talked over the moderator a few times, and interrupted Hillary while she was speaking on some other occasions. Again poor form, I think he should have handled it with a bit more professionalism but I don't really think it was anything all that serious.
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What did you think about Hillary outright calling him a racist and sexist at two different points in the debate? If we want to talk about being presidential, that is not being presidential! Those comments were completely unprovoked, and weren't even in response to anything about race or gender.
edit: I still have no idea where Hillary came up with those quotes near the end of the debate in regards to sexism. They sounded made up to me.
Last edited by Haus; 09/27/16 10:47 AM.
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I hate them both. We are screwed. The end.
#gmstrong #gmlapdance
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What hurt Trump last night was that Hillary didn't act like the other RNC candidates did and try to constantly interrupt him. It just made Trump look like a loud mouth who was cutting Clinton off.
I said this during the debates. I don't think Hillary is trying to beat Trump. I think she is trying to rally the troops and convince her apathetic base to get off their behinds and vote. If she does that and wins 2-3% of the undecided vote, she wins the debates and the election. I'd expect her to heavily cover climate change at some point to appeal to millennials.
Last night was to stop Trump's momentum. The 2nd debate will be to continue to get her base to support her. Tim Kain's job is to not look like an idiot.
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She also did a good job reminding black people why they don't want to vote for Trump. Damn that birther issue and policing just scorch earthered the last few months of effort Trump put in trying to win the black vote.
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Looking forward to the next debate  VS 
I AM ALWAYS RIGHT... except when I am wrong.
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What hurt Trump last night was that Hillary didn't act like the other RNC candidates did and try to constantly interrupt him. It just made Trump look like a loud mouth who was cutting Clinton off.
I said this during the debates. I don't think Hillary is trying to beat Trump. I think she is trying to rally the troops and convince her apathetic base to get off their behinds and vote. If she does that and wins 2-3% of the undecided vote, she wins the debates and the election. I'd expect her to heavily cover climate change at some point to appeal to millennials.
Last night was to stop Trump's momentum. The 2nd debate will be to continue to get her base to support her. Tim Kain's job is to not look like an idiot. Yeah I agree that was bad form by Trump. My point is that bad form in a debate is kind of a meh deal overall. He did not say anything of substance that was particularly offensive or dangerous. He really should allow Hillary more time to speak. Its benefits are twofold: it would make him appear more 'presidential' or 'polite' or whatever you want to say. It also would give Hillary more time to speak, and she is one of the most unenthusiastic speakers I have ever heard. Give her more time to speak so people get tired of listening to her. Hopefully he will learn from this and improve in the next debate (of course, this first one was arguably the most important).
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Something that will be in commercials everywhere. I thought it was a poor line to say he was smart in avoiding taxes. Also, the "good business" comment on the housing crisis was bad.
Joe Biden is destroying him right now over it.
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I understood what you said about Trump being a good persuader. However, that doesn't translate to being a good debater. He can't just keep creating sound bytes that non decided voters will hear.
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Trump double downed on calling Mrs. Universe "Miss Piggy" today.
Just another dumbass comment.
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I hate them both. We are screwed. The end. Yep. I don't see how anyone can say that either candidate looked good. They were both dreadful. I guess we are back to which one looked worse.
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I hate them both. We are screwed. The end. Yep. I don't see how anyone can say that either candidate looked good. They were both dreadful. I guess we are back to which one looked worse. Hillary looked bad on trade. Trump destroyed her on that. However, she dodged the hell out of everything else. She looked bad for dodging, however she didn't give too many bad responses because she barely spoke.
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Johnson really needs to get in to the next debate...not because I think he has a shot in hell to win, but because I think (even given his bizarre quirkiness) that he'll be the most poised one up there. I doubt he stoops to their level of childishness.
Something that caught my ear after the debate was what's-his face-talking about how unruly the audience was...what did he expect given how the candidates act?
#gmstrong #gmlapdance
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I was telling my wife last night that it was very disappointing that Johnson was not allowed to participate. He would have stood out in such a favorable light w/the other two acting childish and buffoonish.
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I was telling my wife last night that it was very disappointing that Johnson was not allowed to participate. He would have stood out in such a favorable light w/the other two acting childish and buffoonish. Yeah he'd be the Jeb! of the debate 
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson.
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I understood what you said about Trump being a good persuader. However, that doesn't translate to being a good debater. He can't just keep creating sound bytes that non decided voters will hear. Especially when the sound bytes are ones that he has used before and they have been fact check as false. Ford put out a tweet last night that said there will be no US lost jobs from the new plant in Mexico. The plants in the US will be getting 2 new cars. The CEO of Ford Mark Fields has stated that Trump was told about that 2 weeks ago and he told CNN around September 15, 2016 and still Trump uses the same false info. The Focus will be made in Mexico for global competitiveness. Trump seemed unprepared last night, tired and then he got rattled. He didn't seem like he had the stamina to make it through 90 minutes and she just let him go on some items and dig the hole deeper and was smiling and having a good time. I think she really got under his skin in the last 45 minutes.
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Just joking that Johnston in a debate with these two would probably end up making him look like Jeb Bush did in the republican debates. He'd say all the right things and be the candidate of substance, as the majority of U.S. voters would generally ignore him waiting for the next gaff to come out from the other two.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson.
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Oh...........Got it, now.
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This quote is disturbing and sad But voters don’t care about facts and debating style. They care about how they feel. If Americans base their decisions on pure emotions, this country is done. Also, the guy needs to stop pretending he's not conservative and a trump fan. Either he's really bad at arguing or he's trying to spin positivity for Trump. This guy is as much a liberal as Lester Holt is a conservative.
#GMSTRONG
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Trump seemed unprepared last night, tired and then he got rattled. He didn't seem like he had the stamina to make it through 90 minutes Not to mention he sounded like Darth Vader with his breathing. Maybe he had a cold, flu, or worse. He should check into a hospital and have that checked out.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson.
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Great, two decrepit old farts to choose from. This keeps getting better.
#gmstrong #gmlapdance
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Trump seemed unprepared last night, tired and then he got rattled. He didn't seem like he had the stamina to make it through 90 minutes Not to mention he sounded like Darth Vader with his breathing. Maybe he had a cold, flu, or worse. He should check into a hospital and have that checked out. I said something to my wife last night that with his babbling and the sniffling, did he try to perk up before the debate. The internet is wondering the same thing today; shall he need to submit a drug test with his taxes
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I'm not sure how one could possibly think Trump looked Presidential last night. They must have been watching Clinton. So you prefer the polished liar to the unpolished one...
yebat' Putin
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New debate rule: Have an off button for Trumps microphone so when his time is up, it can be turned off.
Also, when Hillary is talking, have his microphone turned off.
That way when he refuses to follow the rules his campaign agreed to, he can be effectively muzzled.
When you refuse to follow common decorum, you appear to be a petulant child.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
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Him constantly talking helped Hillary in all honesty. His long tangent rants were brutal.
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Hillary needs to have Pennsylvania locked down. She needs Biden, Obama, Warren, maybe Sanders, and others pretty much camping there.
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When Trump is elected, we will see growth in the economy almost instantly as he gets rid of Dodd/Frank and Obamacare. At least one half of one percent in GDP there. Trump 
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It's wonderful to see that you actually believe Trump can do squat by himself. Like there's no such thing as Congress, the Senate or the Supreme Court. lol
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
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Try to keep up now. Congress is Republican as is the Senate. They agree with the need to fix Dodd/Frank and get rid of Obamacare. Trump will lead the way on both. The result will be at least a 1/2 percent increase in growth, at least.
And getting rid of either does not involve the Supremes because Obamacare is only a tax.
Last edited by 40YEARSWAITING; 09/27/16 03:26 PM.
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Hillary on the other hand is to be a continuation of the Obama legacy which means the slowest growth since the Great Depression as she tosses in a raise in the minimum raise to $15 per hour and free college. Everything will cost more. She will tax the rich to pay for it all so the rich will stop donating to charity to make up the difference in income. This will mean more suffering and Hill will need to raise taxes on everyone else to make it up. Most of her tax and spend ideas will be lost in Congress and go nowhere which is also part of Obama's legacy.
I for one have had enough of Obamanomics and look forward to growth again.
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Hillary needs to have Pennsylvania locked down. She needs Biden, Obama, Warren, maybe Sanders, and others pretty much camping there. Trump signs everywhere in PA. You do know we cling to our guns and religion.:-)
#gmstrong
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Forums DawgTalk Everything Else... Presidential Campaign, Thread 9
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