|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
You do realize that I was NOT including you in that group, right?
Also, I did include his college highlights just in case people wanted to compare them w/the QBs who are coming out this year.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307 |
Any of the naysayers wanna try answering these questions based on the available videos:
-quick or slow decision making
--accuracy
--arm strength
--ability to go through his progressons
--quick release
--anticipation
--pocket awareness
--mobility
--ability to throw on the move
--willingness to stand in there when throwing while being rushed
And if you have time to read the articles that are out there where his coaches and teammates talk about him, can you evaluate the following:
--leadership
--moxie
Anyone? You can start by showing, or pointing the video evidences you have on the attributes, that's how you break up film. You start, the rest will follow.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
I have given my breakdowns on Jimmy G many times, including before he was drafted. And I am not asking people to list times in each video. Just give us your general impression in each area or as many as you can. It's not a test. I just wanna understand what y'all are seeing to make you so negative about him.
Oh, and alright..........I'll go through those things one more time. But, it will have to be later. We have to take our son back to Charleston in a few minutes. They wanna do a biopsy now. Things were looking good, but .....now, we are back to not knowing.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 7,059
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 7,059 |
I have given my breakdowns on Jimmy G many times, including before he was drafted. And I am not asking people to list times in each video. Just give us your general impression in each area or as many as you can. It's not a test. I just wanna understand what y'all are seeing to make you so negative about him.
Oh, and alright..........I'll go through those things one more time. But, it will have to be later. We have to take our son back to Charleston in a few minutes. They wanna do a biopsy now. Things were looking good, but .....now, we are back to not knowing.
Wishing for the best of news for you all...
When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the losers...Socrates
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,253
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,253 |
Yes Swish, Jimmy G is a 3 year backup in New England. Can you name me any QB who would not be a backup in New England?
Plus why is it a bad thing he learned under Brady & Belly?
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307 |
OK, Miami game
6:25 1st Q bad decision, almost intercepted 3:13 1st Q very innacurate long pass
Does going play by play show something? I don't think so, its only used to ilustrate points about a QB.
So if I want to show problems in decision making for Garapollo, I can find film that validates it. The opposite is true also. All in all, I fail to see the Aaron Rogers arm, you were talking about.
I can see the quick release, which is something we all can recognise.
Pocket awareness: the plays were catered to Garapollo strengths and his quick release, so not much we can see there.
Hability to read defenses: playbook was dumbed down, so I don't think you can see much there to prove any point.
Did he put on a show on any off his starts? No he didn't, I also think BB would never allow for it.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 1,960
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 1,960 |
Let's just assume for a moment that you are correct in your statement about JG being the most ready per NFL teams opinion - then explain to me why every QB needy team is not beating down New England's door to get JG?
If the NYJ, CHI, SFO, NOS, SDC, ARI, BUF, HOU and WAS are looking for potential franchise QB's - why is Cleveland the only team ever mentioned in seeking JG's services? Please don't tell me it's because what we have to offer because any of these teams have the ability to outbid the Browns.
Secondly, if you put yourself in JG's shoes being a RFA, even if you went to the Browns, would you sign a long term deal with Cleveland when you know that if you perform that 2018 would either give you a franchise tag worth over 20 million from the Browns or a 100 million dollar offer from a potential contender to be their starter - in ARI, DEN, SDC, or even HOU?
The big unknown, and the Browns would never know, is even if you mortgage your draft picks to go after a player with huge question marks due to his lack of game experience (6 qtrs.)- what do you do if he refuses to sign a deal in order to test the market in 2018?
Whether your a JG fan or not, there are some huge variables with JG that scream out buyer beware. Outside of waiver signings, the Browns have been very active in Free Agency on the offensive side of the ball. However, the Browns have done nothing to improve their defense. Collins and Meder are resigns that doesn't improve but just keeps the same. The Browns Total Defense ranking has regressed over the last 3-years going from 23rd in 2014 to 27th in 2015 to 31st in 2016. Against the run it is even worse maintaining a consistent 32nd in 2014, to 30th in 2015 to 31st in 2016.
Wasting draft picks on JG's unknowns with so many holes in the team is not smart. No matter what, the Browns are locked into paying all or part of Oswielers contract so I say go with him or Kessler. Secondly, outside of RB which I think needs addressed, the Browns should use all their picks on defense. It doesn't matter who the Browns get to QB the team, if your defense is still ranked in the 30's they are going to have a losing season - GUARANTEED. A franchise QB needs to take the Browns to that next level as a contender. If the other parts are not in place I don't give a hoot who the QB is - you still lose.
Just "KICKING THAT CAN DOWN the ROAD"
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,468
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,468 |
just clicking
Ever since the return, I have seen the Browns go after QBs and repeatedly lose out. They haven't built much of anything, on offense or defense. Butch's Playoff team was built on Free Agents, and all were gone in a year. QB after QB were signed, to no avail. The Browns should build somewhere. Someone stated that Hoyer's playoff Texans lost badly.. and Osweiler's won a game because Carr was hurt. Guess what... Those teams made the Playoffs.. they were not 1-15. They made the Playoffs because they built a defense. The Browns have a top Defensive coach. Why don't we get him some players ? Don't do another shotgun approach and blow picks and time with no plan. Build a defense and wins will come...
Last edited by Halfback32; 04/05/17 08:29 AM.
The Cleveland Browns - WE KNOW QUARTERBACKS ( Look at how many we've had ... )
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 12,065
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 12,065 |
The big unknown, and the Browns would never know, is even if you mortgage your draft picks to go after a player with huge question marks due to his lack of game experience (6 qtrs.)- what do you do if he refuses to sign a deal in order to test the market in 2018? Franchise him.
Am I the only one that pronounces hyperbole "Hyper-bowl" instead of "hy-per-bo-le"?
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307 |
just clicking
Ever since the return, I have seen the Browns go after QBs and repeatedly lose out. They haven't built much of anything, on offense or defense. Butch's Playoff team was built on Free Agents, and all were gone in a year. QB after QB were signed, to no avail. The Browns should build somewhere. Someone stated that Hoyer's playoff Texans lost badly.. and Osweiler's won a game because Carr was hurt. Guess what... Those teams made the Playoffs.. they were not 1-15. They made the Playoffs because they built a defense. The Browns have a top Defensive coach. Why don't we get him some players ? Don't do another shotgun approach and blow picks and time with no plan. Build a defense and wins will come... If we wantt to make a big splash on O, why not sign KAP? Why settle for JG? Just sign KAP and build our O around him and a strong D. Contrary to what many believe, I think this is a great year for QB's, there are many FA otions and many good projects to draft. I think we need to get a playmaker with the #12, just in the most probable case that Coleman is a bust.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,468
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,468 |
I would rather sign KAP and keep our draft picks for building blocks.
The Cleveland Browns - WE KNOW QUARTERBACKS ( Look at how many we've had ... )
|
|
|
|
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 15,188
Legend
|
OP
Legend
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 15,188 |
Actually, I am waiting for one person to go through those lists and critique some areas. Maybe Diam will. He has stones. I found a flaw or two........ I'm still waiting......... Did u get any results yesterday or you still waiting ... please update the thread in the other forum or shoot me a pm please .... A few things ... First ... Brady would sit on the bench behind Joe ...  Not sure why u keep beating your head against the wall with this one ... guess u must like it cause you sure never seem to learn ... *L* ... I watched the Miami tape .... will watch the college stuff and zona highlights over the next few days ... bummer they don't have all his throws against zona ... id like to see that one to possibly help me understand the miami game .... odd they have one but not the other .... My 1 and 1a attributes for a qb are accuracy and brains ... so i really liked this kid when i saw him in his brief stint this year and re-watching the miami tape was just a reminder as to why ... What stuck out to me ... before i get to Jimmy ... man is McDaniels good ... that game plan was INCREDIBLE .... first drive he was 7 - 7 and none of the passes was more than 10 yards and 5 of them went zero yards (thrown parrellel to the line of scrimmage) or parrelel to jimmy ... then the next series there was intermiedatte throws and then the deeper zones on the third series and then whatever they chose after that .... *L* ... loved how Josh gave him a bunch of easy throws to gain his confidence right out of the gate .... it was his first start at home ... jitters could seep in at the start .... On to JG .... - he was everything u say in your eval .... Accurate, quick, smart decisions and release ... there's nothing major to dislike other than the small sample size ... i actually watched it before i read small samples of the crap on this thread ... and i mean u also for saying the same damm thing 35 times ... u sound like mac ... *L* ... its a joke ... lighten up ...  The only negative i noticed as i was just watching to watch not to break down was that he threw from a few muddled pockets ... now they were complete passes but it appeared if he just slide a ways to either side he would have had clearer lanes ... but thats nit picky ... I'll watch the rest and report back if u promise to quit asking the folks that don't really understand what there watching anyway to go break tape down ... they only reason they don't want to do it cause they know they stink at it .. let it go ... OR just keep making the same point over and over again mac ...  ... I'll let u know after i watch the rest if i can find any other negatives ... will be curious to see what yours are ....
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693 |
I'm not a naysayer, I'd give #12 and move forward with him. I don't know about #12 and a 2nd rnd, but if the FO gets the deal done for that, I won't bitch. I will touch on your points for the fun of it though. And I admit I have not seen every throw so FWIW. Any of the naysayers wanna try answering these questions based on the available videos:
--quick or slow decision making - Very quick decision making. A lot to love about that
--accuracy - Very nice accuracy inside twenty yards. Questionable deep ball accuracy, and accuracy under pressure (from a very limited sample size).
--arm strength - Good arm strength, though again, I wonder about his deep ball accuracy. (A big arm is no better that a weak arm if the ball doesn't hit the target.)
--ability to go through his progressions - Again, limited sample size , he usually went to the first or second read, but it looks like he scans the field quickly.
--quick release - Very quick release, bordering on exceptional, which really compliments his quick decision making.
--anticipation - Decent anticipation, not many throws behind the player, maybe two in a limited sampling. I also thought he threw well into tight windows.
--pocket awareness - Climbs the pocket well. Stays in "the cup".
--mobility - Decent escapability (I hate to keep saying it, from the limited sampling) and moves well outside the pocket.
--ability to throw on the move - Shows decent accuracy on the run, wasn't helped by the receivers on a couple throws that should've been caught, IIRC.
--willingness to stand in there when throwing while being rushed - Has a toughness to stand in, but again I wonder about his accuracy under pressure.
And if you have time to read the articles that are out there where his coaches and teammates talk about him, can you evaluate the following:
--leadership - By all accounts, he checks off the boxes.
--moxie - I don't know. The one big hit he took knocked him out of the game. I'm not saying he should have played with an injured throwing shoulder, I just don't know what his pain threshold is, or if he has the fortitude to play in the AFCN in the middle of winter. Not a knock, I just don't know.
![[Linked Image from i.imgur.com]](https://i.imgur.com/hfMNC7T.jpg) "I am undeterred and I am undaunted." --Kevin Stefanski "Big hairy American winning machines." --Baker Mayfield #gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 7,059
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 7,059 |
... break tape down ... they only reason they don't want to do it cause they know they stink at it .. No, I'll only watch game tape if they'll let me sit in the draft room (which they haven't asked me yet)... 
When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the losers...Socrates
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 5,620
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 5,620 |
If we wantt to make a big splash on O, why not sign KAP? Why settle for JG? Kap would be a big splash on O? What has he done lately? I mean on the field. And between the two, JG would be "settling" That is one of the most absurd things I have read on this board.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 74,732
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 74,732 |
if u want ... I'll bet u a cold one that Mitch is off the board first ...
His skill set is much better for the nfl than Watsons ... I really don't drink anymore, but I'll buy you a beer or you can buy me Mountain Dew. If that works for you, it works for me. As a matter of fact, I'll give you even better odds. I'll bet he doesn't go top 10. I don't even believe he'll be the first QB off the board.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
If we wantt to make a big splash on O, why not sign KAP? Why settle for JG? Kap would be a big splash on O? What has he done lately? 17 TDs and 4 INTs with 468 yards rushing in eleven starts. Not bad.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,188
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,188 |
Part one. The 49'ers and the Bears did show interest. Shanahan made it clear that he is very high on Garoppolo.
It is not over till day one of the draft. In addition NE has not at any point said they plan on trading Garoppolo. It has all been media speculation because of his contract and Brady saying he will not retire anytime soon. Adam Schefter has been adamant that NE has no plans on trading him. The speculation about the Browns is based upon their need at the position and their excess draft capital.
Contracts are negotiations. There are many factors in play including agents. First NE controls Garoppolo. It is their decision to trade or not. It is their decision this year. Even next year NE could franchise him. If he is traded to a team this year no team would make the trade unless he was willing to sign a deal long term.
The Browns have invested on defense. Shelton, Ogbah, Nassib, Orchard, Schobert, Cooper, and Jamie Collins. Most believe they will sign Garrett. Plus they have a bunch of picks this year and next.
They have plenty of positions that they can improve on. However, non more than quarterback. Osweiler is a fall back insurance policy or maybe just leverage to get a second round pick. Kessler is not the future. If he was Hue would not be talking about the position as unfinished business.
The Browns are in a great position to get much better quickly by amassing draft picks and money to spend.
Nothing is more important than having a quarterback. You are not wasting draft picks if you believe Garoppolo is a franchise guy and he delivers. You have no guarantee about the draft picks as well. In fact you are more likely to miss on draft picks.
There is no deal at this point so until that happens and it is known what they gave up??
You either believe that Garoppolo can be the guy or don't.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,189
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,189 |
Keep in mind when reading this that it was written in September of 2016.Is Jimmy Garoppolo the Patriots' future, or somebody else's? ESPN Sep 22, 2016Bill Barnwell ESPN Staff Writer The New England Patriots have a problem that just about every other team in football would love: They have a talented young quarterback and a Hall of Famer in his way. Jimmy Garoppolo was magnificent in six quarters of action this season, upsetting the Cardinals in Arizona and slicing apart the Dolphins for a half before suffering a shoulder injury that is likely to keep him out Thursday night against the Texans. Even if he makes it back next week, Garoppolo is sure to give way the following week to Tom Brady, who will handle the starting duties the rest of the way, barring injury or a remarkable decline in performance. Get the best of ESPN sent to your inbox ESPN Daily delivers the biggest sports news and moments every weekday. So, then what? When the season ends, the Patriots will most likely have a superstar quarterback entering his age-40 season with no public intentions of retiring and one entering his age-26 season with one year left on his rookie contract (and worth a lot in trade value). Now, nobody has moved on from his team's stars more ruthlessly than Bill Belichick -- and almost without fail correctly, too -- but he can't do that to Tom Brady, right? Right?? And if you keep Brady, then, what do you do with Garoppolo? It's a fascinating question, and I'm not sure there's a right answer. But there are scenarios. Let's run through the context by answering some questions, and see whether we can gain any insight into the bigger picture and the future of the Patriots. Starting with the really, really short term ... Would playing Thursday night have been worth the risk?We now know Garoppolo isn't expected to suit up, but let's give a little background. Reports suggest Garoppolo has a sprained AC joint in his throwing shoulder, which is an incredibly painful injury. Other reports have suggested that the Patriots were pressuring Garoppolo to be available for the game -- that's obviously not the case -- noting that Brady has played through a similar injury in the past. Brady most recently played through a sprained AC joint (also known as a separated shoulder) during the 2011 playoffs, but that was in his nonthrowing shoulder. Brady suffered a first-degree separation of his shoulder in December 2002 and played through it, but it didn't go well. Brady posted a passer rating of 91.7 in the 13 games before separating his shoulder. He separated his shoulder in Week 15 and put up a passer rating of 59.2 over the final three games of the year while also suffering a second-degree shoulder separation in Week 17. Brady then subsequently underwent shoulder surgery in 2004. It's possible to play through a sprained AC joint at a certain level of severity, as Ben Roethlisberger did during the 2015 playoffs, but it would have been shortsighted and foolish in this case. Even if Garoppolo comes back for Week 4, the Patriots are almost surely better off going with Jacoby Brissett on a short week. Now, if Brissett gets hurt and the Pats have to go to Julian Edelman under center, that might be another question. I suspect the Patriots at least wanted the Texans to think there was a shot Garoppolo would play Thursday night, if only to give them something else to think about in practice this week. Has Garoppolo really played that well?Brilliantly, in fact. Better than anybody could have realistically expected. Through two weeks, he leads the league with a 91.1 QBR, more than seven points ahead of second-placed Matt Ryan. He has completed more than 70 percent of his passes and averaged 8.4 yards per attempt, throwing four touchdowns without tossing a pick. And perhaps most impressively, Garoppolo has done all of this without the best player on the roster, Rob Gronkowski, who has missed the first two games with a hamstring injury. Garoppolo's statistics are backed up by a closer look at how he has performed on tape. I wrote about his performance against the Cardinals after Week 1, but against a lesser opponent in Miami, Garoppolo looked like a seasoned veteran. The biggest concern for an inexperienced quarterback will always be finding out how he handles blitzes and pressure, and Garoppolo passed that test in Week 2 with flying colors. The Dolphins blitzed him on 37.0 percent of his dropbacks and got pressure on 40.7 percent of Garoppolo's pass plays, a higher percentage than any other quarterback in football faced last week. While the third-year quarterback naturally had moments where he struggled to account for the pressure -- he shifted a protection to move James White away from where the blitz eventually arrived, as an example -- he was calm and collected in a way that other veteran quarterbacks with far more experience struggle to emulate. He didn't have the sort of preternatural footwork and feel for the rush in and around the pocket of a 15-year veteran like Brady, but Garoppolo rarely panicked, even when there was a free rusher in his face or Marcus Cannon locked up and needing a reboot. Watch Garoppolo's first pass of the game, where a rusher comes clean and Garoppolo doesn't flinch while finding Edelman for an easy first down. That's a sign of Garoppolo's toughness, but even more so, it's a measure of his discipline. There are plenty of guys in the league who feel that defender bearing down on them and try to escape the pocket to get away. Garoppolo kept his eyes upfield. That weighs on the minds of defensive coordinators: If you can scheme to get a guy totally free with a blitz and the quarterback doesn't care, what can you do to rattle him? Garoppolo did get plenty of help from offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, whose second stint as a head coach is surely coming sooner rather than later. After picking apart overmatched Cardinals cornerback Brandon Williams in the opener, McDaniels cooked up a scheme designed to stretch Miami's linebackers, notably weakside linebacker Jelani Jenkins, who was coming off of an August knee scope and was walked around the middle of the field by New England's receivers. McDaniels does a great job of showing one look early in a game and taking advantage shortly thereafter by playing off of that concept with an adjustment. On the first drive of the game, he set up a play-action pass that amounted to a screen, with Martellus Bennett sprinting horizontally across the formation away from the play fake behind a pair of wide receivers blocking downfield. (If you think this is offensive pass interference, well, you're not wrong.) It went for 26 yards when Reshad Jones took a bad angle to Bennett and was tripped up by a fallen Jenkins. On the first play of New England's second drive, McDaniels showed the same look, drawing three Dolphins defenders toward Bennett, only for Garoppolo to drop an easy crossing route over their heads to a wide-open Chris Hogan for 19 yards. Later on, the Patriots went play-action and managed to get three receivers wide open: Bennett, who ran past an overpursuing Jenkins (who then slipped trying to catch up) on a shallow cross; Edelman; and special-teams star Matthew Slater, who torched Xavien Howard on a deep post. Garoppolo passed up the easy completions to go for the glory, but he overthrew an open Slater by a couple of yards. What McDaniels has done without his stars has been downright impressive. Without Gronkowski and his formidable blocking skills, the Patriots have gone with three-wideout sets more frequently than they likely intended after acquiring Bennett. Instead of bringing on a lesser tight end to telegraph running plays, they've motioned Edelman into the backfield almost as an H-back and used him as a lead blocker alongside Bennett at times. They've used RPOs (run-pass options) designed to give Garoppolo simple one-read decisions from the shotgun. Garoppolo has contributed plenty, but McDaniels' ability to scheme at his opponent's weaknesses should be of some comfort to Patriots fans who are worried about Brissett on Thursday night. So ... what happens after 2016?Here's where it gets juicy. In a perfect world, the Patriots would hold on to Brady until he's no longer interested or able to play and move on to Garoppolo, who would hold the job for a decade. There's a chance it breaks that way, but the NFL is not a perfect world. For contractual reasons, it's far more likely that the Patriots have to make a move with Garoppolo before Brady's time is up, one conspiracy theory aside. Let's start with the current starting quarterback. Before this season, Brady renegotiated his deal to drop his base salary while paying him a $28 million signing bonus. The move was seen as a way to reduce Brady's financial exposure to a four-game suspension, but the structure also revealed that Brady isn't going anywhere anytime soon. If Brady is not on the Pats' roster in 2017, his cap hit would rise from $14 million to $27 million in dead money, making the idea of Brady retiring or leaving the team a nonstarter. It's feasible in 2018, when the Patriots could cut his cap from $22 million to $14 million in dead money if he left, but the more plausible likelihood is that Brady is off the roster in 2019, when his cap hit would fall from $22 million to $7 million. (And if he's still on the roster by then, chances are the Pats will have renegotiated his deal.) Garoppolo's deal is much simpler. He's in the third year of a four-year rookie contract that will occupy just $1.1 million of New England's cap in 2017. After that, he will be an unrestricted free agent with no fifth-year option, given that Garoppolo was a second-round pick. The Patriots do as impressive of a job managing their cap as any team in football, but money is getting tight with their young defensive core coming up for extensions this offseason. What would Garoppolo get on the open market as a free agent? My answer to this question a year ago would have been a bunch of question marks, but we have a useful reference point now, and it's the quarterback the Patriots will face on Thursday: Brock Osweiler, who hit free agency at 26 after 305 league-average pass attempts spread over four years. Osweiler picked up a four-year, $72 million deal that really boils down to two years and $37 million in guarantees from the Texans. It's too early to say whether Houston will end up being happy with its purchase, but Osweiler basically got league-average starter money with a limited track record. We don't know what Garoppolo will do over the next two years, but if he doesn't take another snap, he'll hit the market with 91 pass attempts of excellent game tape and superstar-rate statistics. He has posted a 108.6 passer rating on those throws. The sample size is smaller than Osweiler's, but he has played at a much higher level on the attempts he has made. I think it would be fair to say that teams would roughly value him at around the same level as Osweiler. With two years of salary-cap inflation on the books between the 2016 and 2018 free-agent periods, it's not crazy to imagine Garoppolo looking at two years and $40 million or so in guarantees as part of a longer-term deal, just based on what he has done already. That's a prohibitive sum for the Patriots and their cap situation; they just can't pay Brady $22 million of their cap in 2018 and throw Garoppolo another $20 million as a backup. The natural follow-up for Pats fans is to hope that Garoppolo follows in Brady's footsteps and takes less money to try to build a better team, but the context is very different. By the time Brady was deliberately taking notably smaller deals than he could have extracted, he already was a national superstar, had millions of dollars in sponsorships and, crucially, had made it through multiple contract extensions. There's nothing in the reports about his 2002 contract or his 2005 extension to suggest that he was getting anything less than market value. This might be Garoppolo's only shot at getting the sort of money that guarantees him lifetime financial security. It would be professionally irresponsible and imprudent for Garoppolo and his agent to take even upper-tier backup money, which would then be in the $8 million range, in the early years of Garoppolo's next extension. Garoppolo's agent, by the way, might be the key to making this all work with the Patriots. His name is Don Yee. His most famous client, of course, is Brady. It's in Yee's interest to keep both Brady and Garoppolo happy, and it's in the Patriots' interest to have one of them under center for as long as possible. The chances of an orderly transition are higher than they would be with competing agents, and the Patriots already have a healthy enough relationship with Yee to make the act of negotiating a bit easier. At the end of the day, though, it's hard to believe that Yee would advise his client to leave $20 million in guaranteed money of his second contract on the table to stay with the Patriots. The best thing for Garoppolo is going to be to start regularly for a team paying him a lot of money. And the Patriots might not be able to offer either end of that bargain anytime soon. What if the Patriots decide to move on from Garoppolo?Here's where we have to really start guessing. If the Patriots don't want to pay Garoppolo what he would make on the free market (or close), or if they think they can do better with a different long-term Brady replacement, or if they really think Brady will play until he's 45 years old, they'll either trade Garoppolo or let him leave as an unrestricted free agent. The question then becomes a matter of how much different sorts of compensation are worth to New England. If Garoppolo hits unrestricted free agency before the 2018 season and gets the sort of contract I mentioned above, he will almost surely net the Patriots a third-round compensatory pick in the 2019 draft. In addition, by holding on to Garoppolo, the Patriots also would get one additional year in 2017 of an above-average backup at a huge discount on what it would cost to procure a quality veteran backup (about $6 million per year), let alone a worthwhile starting quarterback. That's our baseline return for the Patriots. The other alternative is to trade Garoppolo after this season, with a year to go before free agency, to a team in need of a starting quarterback. That is a group that is likely to include the Jets, Browns and 49ers, with secondary options such as the Bears, Dolphins and Washington as possible suitors. These teams would be trading for Garoppolo on a one-year deal at about $900,000. Instead of paying Garoppolo that one-year deal, though, the teams would be likely to use it as leverage to negotiate a new long-term deal for a smaller amount of money than what Garoppolo would have picked up as an unrestricted free agent. Those trades were in popular fashion years ago, although the rookie cap has since capped first contracts for players. While several current starting quarterbacks were acquired via trade, none were acquired under similar circumstances to Garoppolo, as a buy-low opportunity for a player who has looked promising as a backup on a rookie deal. The closest current example, I suppose, would be Blaine Gabbert, and Gabbert doesn't really compare in terms of style or career path. You have to look at the recent past for comps, and there are a few. Matt Cassel is the most obvious one, as the only drafted Patriots quarterback to deliver a meaningful return after some impressive performances on a rookie deal. Cassel took over one of the best offenses in league history and struggled early before settling in, with the 16-0 Patriots falling to 11-5 despite returning the vast majority of the other starters from the previous year. His numbers were right around league average after adjusting for era. With Cassel about to hit unrestricted free agency, they sent veteran linebacker Mike Vrabel with Cassel to Kansas City and picked up the 34th overall pick in that year's draft, a high second-round pick. The Texans found their quarterback when they made a deal with Atlanta for Matt Schaub, who had thrown 161 passes over his first three seasons at a much less impressive rate than Garoppolo. Schaub had as many touchdown passes as interceptions (six). They swapped the eighth pick with Atlanta for the 10th overall selection and also nabbed two second-rounders for their troubles. According to Chase Stuart's draft pick value calculator, in valuing those picks as mid-second-rounders, Houston sent 39.7 points of value and received just 21.4 points of value in return. That 18.3-point difference is roughly equivalent to the 13th pick of the draft on its own. They also gave Schaub a six-year, $48 million deal the following day. Looking back further, you would have to head toward Matt Hasselbeck, whom the Seahawks acquired in 2001 by dealing the 10th and 72nd selections in exchange for the 17th pick and Hasselbeck. This valued Hasselbeck as being worth the 42nd pick, which is a mid-second-rounder. Hasselbeck eventually became a star in Seattle, but at the time, he had thrown just 29 pass attempts in three seasons in Green Bay. As a sixth-round pick, he was far more of a flier than a second-rounder like Garoppolo. Just based on the evidence, and given the existence of a quarterback market that valued an average-to-worse veteran on a market deal like Sam Bradford at the level of a first- and fourth-round pick, I suspect the Patriots would have little trouble getting a first-round pick's worth of value for Garoppolo. That might not come as a first-rounder from a team selecting in the upper half of the draft -- the Patriots might have to take it as a pair of second-rounders from a team like the Browns -- but Garoppolo's team-friendly contract (and long-term contract leverage) and level of play make him a valuable commodity. For the Patriots, only they can know whether it would be better to take a first-round pick for Garoppolo now or a third-rounder in two years. It will depend on a lot of things that have little to do with Garoppolo. They have a better idea of whether Brady is really going to make it to 45, or if Brissett can be a useful backup quarterback for four years on the cheap. The reality is this: If they keep Garoppolo past 2017, it will almost definitely have to be as part of a clear succession plan for Brady. You simply can't pay two really good quarterbacks. And even given how great Garoppolo has looked in limited time this year, the idea of a Patriots team without Brady for an entire season is still plenty scary for Pats fans.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,188
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,188 |
For those who believe that the Garoppolo deal is dead; have patience.
This Garoppolo deal has no time frame other the end of the drafts first day.
The Pat's are doing everything right regarding how to negotiate. Telling everyone we have no intention of trading him. Raising the expected value of Garoppolo.
Teams in need now believe the price will be steep.
However, as draft day comes closer all this can change.
The Brows should be patient. Wait. Listen. Stay on top of the situation.
If need be wait till pick 12 is one the clock. See who is left. Let the Pat's see who is on the Board.
Then say to the Pat's "pick 12 is yours straight up for Jimmy."
Put the pressure on them to turn down the 12th pick in the draft.
If they pass or come back with another offer then weigh the offer and be prepared to move on it or move on.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,275
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,275 |
Agreed...I'd add that I don't think "it's" dead until after we make our selections in the second Rd on day 2.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,307 |
This article is full of alternative facts...
JG wasn't leading the QBR stats at the time, Matt Ryan, was the leader.
And if we take into consideration the Pre-season, then many other QB's had better QBR. AJ Macarron, RGIII, Colt Mccoy...
Also, I would hardly says the Cardinals game was an outstanding game for JG, Carson Palmer in that game was the better QB, for example.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693 |
Are the Browns falling in love with Mahommes? He's reportedly back today for a second visit. That sound you hear may be the faint squeak of waining interest.
![[Linked Image from i.imgur.com]](https://i.imgur.com/hfMNC7T.jpg) "I am undeterred and I am undaunted." --Kevin Stefanski "Big hairy American winning machines." --Baker Mayfield #gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 42,413 |
Are the Browns falling in love with Mahommes? He's reportedly back today for a second visit. That sound you hear may be the faint squeak of waining interest. I think we've had two workouts with most of the big time QBs.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693 |
Are the Browns falling in love with Mahommes? He's reportedly back today for a second visit. That sound you hear may be the faint squeak of waining interest. I think we've had two workouts with most of the big time QBs. What makes you think that?
![[Linked Image from i.imgur.com]](https://i.imgur.com/hfMNC7T.jpg) "I am undeterred and I am undaunted." --Kevin Stefanski "Big hairy American winning machines." --Baker Mayfield #gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,161
Dawg Talker
|
Dawg Talker
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 2,161 |
Are the Browns falling in love with Mahommes? He's reportedly back today for a second visit. That sound you hear may be the faint squeak of waining interest. Oooppps, per source... Cleveland is in love with every rookie QB, trade for QB, FA QB, and anything else that has letters "Q" and "B" related!
Last edited by bugs; 04/07/17 01:26 PM.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,188
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,188 |
Mahomes may be on their radar but not at pick 12.
I believe Mahomes is part of plan B or C.
An option if things go wrong with pick 12.
The Browns have made it clear they will look at every option available and they are right for doing that.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,331
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,331 |
Mahomes may be on their radar but not at pick 12.
I believe Mahomes is part of plan B or C.
An option if things go wrong with pick 12.
The Browns have made it clear they will look at every option available and they are right for doing that.
I wouldn't really want Mahomes before pick 33. And I don't think I'd want to trade up for him neither. I see this draft as, Trubisky (Best) Watson (2nd Best) and the rest. Mahommes and Kizer as early 2nd round picks. Perrimen, Dobbs, Webb at the mid-2nd all the way through the 3rd round.
UCONN HUSKIES 2014 Champions of Basketball
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 7,059
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 7,059 |
Mahomes may be on their radar but not at pick 12.
I believe Mahomes is part of plan B or C.
An option if things go wrong with pick 12.
The Browns have made it clear they will look at every option available and they are right for doing that.
I wouldn't really want Mahomes before pick 33. And I don't think I'd want to trade up for him neither.
I see this draft as, Trubisky (Best) Watson (2nd Best) and the rest. Mahommes and Kizer as early 2nd round picks. Perrimen, Dobbs, Webb at the mid-2nd all the way through the 3rd round. I don't believe that Mahomes makes it to #33. He may not get past Pittsburg...
When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the losers...Socrates
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,331
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,331 |
I don't believe that Mahomes makes it to #33. He may not get past Pittsburg...
Fair enough. Then we'll pick someone else at 33. It's just not worth trading up for that guy, and he's certainly not worth the 12. The 33 is a good pick. Teams have all night to call us up and make an offer. And we have time to decide whether or not to accept.
UCONN HUSKIES 2014 Champions of Basketball
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,189
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,189 |
Mahomes may be on their radar but not at pick 12.
I believe Mahomes is part of plan B or C.
An option if things go wrong with pick 12.
The Browns have made it clear they will look at every option available and they are right for doing that.
I think too a lot of the visits are to get a good feel on a guy as a future consideration, and not only the QBs. Three or four years from now if a guy becomes available the Browns will already have interviewed, worked-out and have a good feel for him from his pre-draft visit. I'm guessing, but also believe there's something to it.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,693 |
Mahomes may be on their radar but not at pick 12.
I believe Mahomes is part of plan B or C.
An option if things go wrong with pick 12.
The Browns have made it clear they will look at every option available and they are right for doing that.uu
You're probably right, but if they think he is THE guy (and I'm not saying they do) I wouldn't be shocked to see us take him at twelve. Nor would I be upset if they truly felt that way, and if they are smart enough to not start him right away. The problem is the pressure to start a QB taken that high.
![[Linked Image from i.imgur.com]](https://i.imgur.com/hfMNC7T.jpg) "I am undeterred and I am undaunted." --Kevin Stefanski "Big hairy American winning machines." --Baker Mayfield #gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
First of all, thanks for answering the questions and trying to evaluate his skill set. Secondly: and i mean u also for saying the same damm thing 35 times ... u sound like mac ... Actually bro, I brought up the skill set because there are so many others who keep saying the same damn things over and over and over. You know, the parts about being a back-up, the comparisons to Cassell and Hoyer, him not being worth a first round pick, him being drafted in the second round. I mean, it's been going on for months and not one of those guys address his skill set.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 15,188
Legend
|
OP
Legend
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 15,188 |
First of all, thanks for answering the questions and trying to evaluate his skill set. Secondly: and i mean u also for saying the same damm thing 35 times ... u sound like mac ... Actually bro, I brought up the skill set because there are so many others who keep saying the same damn things over and over and over. You know, the parts about being a back-up, the comparisons to Cassell and Hoyer, him not being worth a first round pick, him being drafted in the second round. I mean, it's been going on for months and not one of those guys address his skill set. What is it u saw u didn't like? ... u can pm me that one if u want ... cause if u put it out here the a-hole portion part of your posse will never let u live it down ... I hear you on the fact most have no clue what his skill set is ... like i said though ... even if they watched the film, most of them have no clue what there watching as far as evaluating a qb ...
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,189
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 7,189 |
They're watching the ball.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Two things----well, maybe three, but the last one might not be a negative.
1. I thought in the college tapes I watched, not sure if you can tell on the highlight video, that he really trusted his arm too much. I mean, I like that.......it's kinda the anti-Cody thing. It's like what Rodgers and Ben do. However, I thought that if he tried that in the NFL, the speed of the d-backs would result in too many picks.
With that said, he studied under Brady for a few years and learned the NE way. Maybe he has learned you can't just think you can make any throw you want? I didn't see signs of it in his NFL tapes.
2. This is kinda nitpicking, but his front foot on the quick throws over the middle over-extended a bit and a few throws were high. They were complete, but I'd like to see him get those throws down because high overthrows lead to picks against zone coverages.
3. If you watch every throw in the Miami game, it's amazing how many times that he throws before the receiver makes his break. That's called "anticipation" for those who are confused about it...not you, Diam. Heck, I don't know if I saw a qb do that more all year than he did in that game. It was incredible. The thing is that he could trust NE's receivers to be in the right spot and make the right reads. Edelman is awesome at that.....probably because he is a former qb. However, in Cleveland he will be throwing to the likes of Coleman, Britt, Louis, etc............will those guys make the right reads and run precise routes? At this point it seems unlikely and that could lead to picks due to WR error. Thus, the same fans and media types who call him a "backup" and apply other negatives towards him, will be blaming him for the picks and the last thing this team needs is more controversy.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,550
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,550 |
I actually thought Jimmy's arm looked improved from his college tape. He tihgtened up his mechanics and was throwing a tighter spiral ball came out clean.
I still expect the trade to happen on draft night. I think it ends up costing us Nate orchard and maybe a pair of 2nds. Pats liked Orchard a lot coming out.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
I think Jimmy G has always had the arm. His mechanics are pure. This is a smart dude who knows how to accept coaching and utilize the tips that they give him. Hmmmm.........I know that sounds like BS. Let me try this: Watch his arm motion. He can vary it. Throws over the top and three quarters to counter the rush. Has one of the quickest releases that you will ever, ever see. Here is a good article w/video and pics that addresses positives and negatives. I know most won't read it and their minds are made up, but for those of you w/an open mind..........check it out: http://www.patspulpit.com/2014/5/10/5702504/film-room-patriots-quarterback-jimmy-garoppolo
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 891
All Pro
|
All Pro
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 891 |
If It was so easy for some of you to see how good Jimmy G was coming out of college, how come he didn't go in the first round? I mean you seem to make the case that he showed all his talents that MIGHT make him a franchise QB in college. So how did everyone miss on him?
Last edited by dean_fairchild; 04/11/17 08:51 AM.
|
|
|
DawgTalkers.net
Forums DawgTalk Pure Football Forum JG - Chapter 8
|
|