DawgTalkers.net Forums The Archives 2017 NFL Season Looking Back: Browns 7 Bengals 31 Predictions (why we lose)

Perhaps. From my POV, the outcome depends on who wins the battles of turnovers and penalties. Hope that it's us on the winning end...

Just pray Buttface doesn't intentionally knock Kizer out of the game.

i forgot burfict would be back ... dang

He was originally suspended, but the NFL had to shorten his suspension for us.

Who will he murder on the field?

He should be thrown out of football.

i think this will be more inline with the Ravens game. 24-10 Cinntucky

Dirty player... dang is right lol.

We start kizer

I hope I'm wrong but I really can't see us winning this game unless everything goes right. By that I mean DK has his best game, our D plays the way it did in game 1, very few penalties, minimizing our mistakes AND our WR's catching the ball. Based on our 1st 3 games, I can see us having a lot of trouble with A.J. Green and Joe Mixon. Andy Dalton will probably have his best game against us too. I want us to win in the worst way but.... JMO

Burfict let's his emotions get the best of him. He's a difference maker
The offense has to be aware of him at all times
I wish the Browns had a lb that played with his intensity

Last week I predicted kizer would throw 3 picks. Much to my dismay I was right. This week I predict 4 ints making it a easy day for the Bengals

Bengals 30
Browns 10

I am a Toledoan, and have been watching Deshon Kizer since his days QB-ing at Central Catholic High School. My fear for this game centers around the fact that Vontes Burfect is a thug, and will be head hunting our young protege, suspension be damned. Let's hope the O line does it's job all game long. If this proves true, I predict a win, finally, for our Browns this Sunday.

Good to see you post.

Hope you're right, tab (don't think you are but you never know) and good thoughts and prayers are with you!

Good luck Tab....Prayers for a speedie recovery

Prayers Brother

First off, best of luck to you Tab. You will be in my prayers. I don't think we will win this game unless we stop all the mistakes, penalties and drops. I hope you're right and we get our first win. We, as a fan base and franchise need one bad.

Myles Garrett is going to hurt the Browns run defense.

Bank it!

If the one of the Browns or Bengals gets 14 more rushing attempts than the other by their offense, that team will win.

Dayes, Duke, and Crowell, and the 3 tight ends,

If the Browns could get this offense to "condense" the wideouts and drop backs for productive running games,

Maybe the Browns could win going away.

Who knows. Probably not!

The Browns have started 0-3 for 7 of the last 12 years.

How does this happen with a rookie quarterback?

I’m sure I saw a Teledoan episode in Star Trek.

A win would be sweet

it's tough to fathom, but we've had like 1 win in 20+ months

I don't even MG will play. If he does, his snap count will be incredibly low and probably only on passing downs.

And people wonder why the enthusiasm for this team is low. It's a daunting fact you have there.

There's no way we are winning this game.

Cincy has a team that's been together for a long time. Their guys have been doing it a lot longer than the Browns. They are better at nearly every position across the board. They are starving for a win. They took GB to the wire last week.

The Browns lost to the Colts and looked awful doing it.

I think one thing we are learning about Hue is he isn't going to out coach anyone. He's going to coach the same way week after week whether it works or it doesn't. Hue is very robotic. Theres no stratetgy or game plan. It's a force feed type of situation. Hopefully when the team acquires more talent that approach will work.

But until then...

I will be putting a monetary wager on the Bengals today. I will also be pulling for them to win. I'm going to lay the points. With my luck, the Browns will lose and cover. LOL.

it's disheartening

I believe the game will be closer than some think. I did not, however, believe I would ever see someone say this...

Bengals 27
Browns 23

I can see this being close, but Cincy has experience and the better playmakers ... Green, Mixon, and Benard will be tough to stop

Cheap Shot thug. Better watch yourself. For him, fines have been the cost of doing business. I hope we have enough smarts to pound him every play.

Damn !! this thread should be put in the smack shack forum.

GC.
Can the Browns defense score more points

than the Browns offense gives up?

We can win this game .... its going to be a lot tougher w/o garrett and collins ... but cinci isn't that good ....

I don't think we'll win but don't write this team off of sunday just yet ....

Against this ol it sure would be nice to have MG and JC ...

Come on dk ... your due for a good one ...

Browns come out and show some pride...Kizer wins his first on a late game winning drive.

Garrett a non-factor...

If we don't win one of the next two 0-16 becomes avery real possibility.... 8(

Screw cincy. WE WIN BY 4....

Trot kizer out there an 0-4 it is. Until he proves otherwise he is just another weeden 2.0

Browns 16 bungals 30

Cincy is a 3 point favorite?

It doesn't matter what any other facts are.

This is a fact:

3 point favorites win (3.33% * 3) + 50% = 60% of the time.

To summarize the formula:

(3.33% * point spread) + 50% = chance of favorite winning.

Both teams in a "pick 'em" (zero point spread) win 50%.

For every point a team is favored, their odds of winning goes up 3.33%.

In other words a

1 point favorite wins 53.33% of the time.
2 point favorite wins 56.67% of the time.
3 point favorite wins 60.00% of the time.

This equation is not completely linear though (obviously since you can never get to 100% or more)

It loses accuracy for 14 point favorites or more.

PS. Don't go into the "Well the point spread is so that equal money is bet on either.....blah, blah, blah..."

That doesn't matter.

There's a 40% the Browns win today.

And a .00000001% chance Hell freezes over.

Browns-Bengals predictions: Who will win on Sunday?

http://www.cleveland.com/browns/index.ss...art_river_index

Updated on September 30, 2017 at 10:39 PM Posted on September 30, 2017 at 10:38 AM

By Dan Labbe, cleveland.com dlabbe@cleveland.com

CLEVELAND, Ohio -- The Browns return home on Sunday to face the Cincinnati Bengals at 1 p.m. at FirstEnergy Stadium. Both teams come into the game at 0-3.

Hue Jackson will face his old team with rookie quarterback DeShone Kizer. The Bengals will have linebacker Vontaze Burfict back off suspension along with the rest of their front seven to chase after Kizer.

Our predictions for Browns vs. Bengals:

Doug Lesmerises (3-0): Browns 23, Bengals 19

Colts backup QB Jacoby Brissett, who beat the Browns last week, is more dangerous then Bengals QB Andy Dalton. Figure lessons learned on defense and at least one or two fewer dropped passes, and that equals a win.

Bud Shaw (3-0): Bengals 20, Browns 16

You are what your record says you are but the Bengals are the better 0-3 team.

Mary Kay Cabot (2-1): Bengals 27, Browns 20

Burfict's return sparks Cincinnati.

Dan Labbe (2-1): Bengals 20, Browns 17

The Browns come close, but not close enough as turnovers and A.J. Green are just too much.

Scott Patsko (2-1): Browns 24, Bengals 21

I thought when the season began that the Browns would steal an AFC North win at home. This sounds about right.

i'll go something like bud shaw

Browns cannot establish the run and have very little pass catching talent/ability. It's not Kizer all the time. He's young and needs to learn the speed of the game. He also needs to understand that it's OK to check down. Whether that option is built into most passing plays remains to be seen but I hope it would be.

Wow sounds like you are longing for Mangini !

That said I just want to see them get better, that has to be the goal. last week they played like crap to start the game but they made some nice adjustments at the half and played pretty good in the second half.

Look this team was destined to lose this year. The release of Haden told us all we needed to know about how they viewed this season.

When they took this team down to the studs they insured this was going to be what happened. If Kizer could up his game fine if he couldn't than they would be in a position to do something about it next year.

I believe the target is next season to turn our fortunes we must stay the course as distasteful as that is. There simply is no turning back at this point.

I believe the future to be bright but its painful for now.

That said this should be a good game, and at this point thats what I hope for, with us suffering a close lose, because we need high draft picks.