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Great. Thanks.

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Question, for the thread:

What do you view as Darnold's weaknesses?

Last edited by edromeo; 03/19/18 12:06 PM.
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Just a heads up:

It's supposed to be very rainy in Southern California over the next several days. Sam Darnold's pro day is March 21st.

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Originally Posted By: edromeo
Question, for the thread:

What do you view as Darnold's weaknesses?


Been answered a lot in the Sam Darnold Chap 1 thread but:

His throwing motion/mechanics in his throwing motion.

Ball security his sophomore year, yikes. 13 INTs and he had it ripped out I forget how many times when he was scrambling.

Those two lurk out the most, but in all reality - can be corrected or improved. Now he said he wasn't going to change his throwing motion, but take it as you will...

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Originally Posted By: edromeo
Question, for the thread:

What do you view as Darnold's weaknesses?


I don't see what makes him so special. But I assume I'm just missing it and that it's there, because everyone else sees it to some degree.

So I think his flaws are that he has a lot of turnovers and makes bad decisions with the football sometimes. And he got destroyed by Ohio State, where Mayfield shined.

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Originally Posted By: 442Dawg
Originally Posted By: edromeo
Question, for the thread:

What do you view as Darnold's weaknesses?


I don't see what makes him so special. But I assume I'm just missing it and that it's there, because everyone else sees it to some degree.

So I think his flaws are that he has a lot of turnovers and makes bad decisions with the football sometimes. And he got destroyed by Ohio State, where Mayfield shined.


I think the big difference between Darnold and Mayfield vs. Ohio State is USC's OL got abused.

I think a thread looking at the UCLA and USC OLs could be good, but I don't have time to put one together at the moment. I've heard talk about UCLA's bad line, but USC's could be worse. Those two teams had opponents in common so should be a fairer comparison than others. OU's/Mayfield's offense didn't really have a weakness to exploit which I think helped him achieve the numbers he did.

Darnold was under fire from all angles ...a lot of the time.

Rosen may have delivered better while "staring down the barrel." He took some monster shots as a result though.

Darnold may have done it a lot more often (my recollection, Darnold was watched more recently.) I think he started to expect getting blasted as the season went on. I think sitting behind TT may help him get that out of his system.


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Info related to the topics you mentioned from PFF:


^^ Percentage of plays kept clean for the top 6 prospects


^^Passer rating under pressure

other PFF metrics posted here:
https://www.dawgtalkers.net/ubbthreads.php/topics/1423898/5

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turns over the ball in way too many ways. funky throwing motion, needs the most work mechanically out of any of the top 5 QB's.


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vs tOSU

Mayfield 27 of 35 for 386 yards
Darnold 26 of 45 for 356 yards

Difference TD's 3-0
And interceptions 0-1
And fumbles 0-2

1, Mayfield did have a better game
2, Darnold didn't get destroyed

3, If you re-watch the games pay attention to how much time each Qb had to throw
Per my recollection, Mayfield had great protection while tOSU d-line lived in the USC backfield.


Darnold definitely needs a lot of work. Biggest thing is the fumbling issue.
I am not advocating Darnold, I have purposefully chosen to not pick a QB and to trust Dorsey to know more than me. This way I won't be disappointed and I can fully get behind whoever the selection is. But I can't agree with Darnold got destroyed bu tOSU.


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The other thing is the criticism of his interception.
2017 he had 26 td and 13 int

Rosen 2017
26 td and 10 int

Yet Darnold had a bad season and Rosen had a good one.
Not a lot of difference in my mind.

I think what happens is that people talk about turnovers and lump in his fumbles.
Clearly the fumbling is an issue, I won't argue that, but the interception issue is overblown


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I thought fumbles were turnovers too?


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My comment was that people lump fumbles in with the interceptions and tend to think of all the turnovers as interceptions then criticize that.

While interceptions and fumbles are both turnovers, the mechanisms are different and need to be discussed separately.


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Full disclosure, Darnold is my guy.

His windup is an issue, but his delivery is quick enough to mitigate that. He's said to be working on shortening but not eliminating that wind up. He tends to carry the ball with 1 hand while scrambling, a correctable issue. Greg Cosell mentioned that many of his interceptions were over the middle, that he may have difficulty reading coverage in that area of the field. If true, that is a major concern. That is what the FO needs to determine.

What makes him special in my eyes is his leadership. Especially in his first year, but he showed it later in the 2nd year as well, he rallied his team to overcome deficits late in games. That is a rare quality. Rosen wins with his precision. He has rallied his team, but not as consistently as Sam. Both show accuracy. But in my mind, it's that intangible 'it' factor that Darnold has in spades.


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Originally Posted By: W84NxtYrAgain
Full disclosure, Darnold is my guy.

His windup is an issue, but his delivery is quick enough to mitigate that. He's said to be working on shortening but not eliminating that wind up. He tends to carry the ball with 1 hand while scrambling, a correctable issue. Greg Cosell mentioned that many of his interceptions were over the middle, that he may have difficulty reading coverage in that area of the field. If true, that is a major concern. That is what the FO needs to determine.


1. I don't think Sam Darnold is (or should) changing his windup at all.

https://twitter.com/clevezirm/status/975061041183944706

2. On the Move the Sticks podcast they talked to Jordan Palmer (whos is the QB coach for Darnold). He said they never let Darnold take his left hand off the ball, ever. Even when they are just standing around he has to hold the ball with his left hand. This is to get him in the habit of having both hands on the ball during games.

Originally Posted By: W84NxtYrAgain
What makes him special in my eyes is his leadership. Especially in his first year, but he showed it later in the 2nd year as well, he rallied his team to overcome deficits late in games. That is a rare quality. Rosen wins with his precision. He has rallied his team, but not as consistently as Sam. Both show accuracy. But in my mind, it's that intangible 'it' factor that Darnold has in spades.


There is no such thing as the "it" factor. It is made up. If there was such thing as the "it" factor we, people who have no access to these players, really don't know who has the "it" factor.

http://grantland.com/features/it-factor-nfl-quarterback-intangibles/

The above link is to an article written in 2014. It is about QBs who have been labeled as having "it". QBs mentioned:

Brock Osweiler
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Mark Sanchez
Matt Leinart
Colt McCoy
Tim Tebow
Brian Brohm
Josh Freeman
Matt Ryan
Aaron Rodgers
Matt McGloin
Mike Kafka
Ryan Nassib
Jimmy Clausen
Brady Quinn
Vince Young
Tony Romo
Tom Brady
Russell Wilson

And a story:

Quote:
If you want proof that nobody really has any handle on who has the It Factor when it really matters, go back to the two most prominent cases of the It Factor in football. Ask 100 personnel executives around the league to name a player with it, and the top two names that are going to come up are Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. You could build a cottage industry around ex-coaches, personnel men, and anonymous scouts who swear up and down today that they knew Brady and Wilson were going to be stars in the NFL because they had the It Factor.

You remember what happened at the time, right? Every single team in the league passed on Brady several times during the 2000 draft; the Patriots were9 debating whether to take Brady or Louisiana Tech quarterback Tim Rattay, eventually settling on Brady with the 199th pick because he was four inches taller than Rattay. In 2012, Wilson fell for the opposite reason, as his 5-foot-11 frame didn’t fit the quarterback paradigm. The Seahawks eventually snapped him up with the 75th pick, and like Brady, he was a Super Bowl champion by the end of his second season.

Think about that. Coaches swear up and down that they’re looking for a guy with the It Factor and how they can see it in a player by looking in his eyes or having a conversation or watching him practice. Every team in the league that might have been interested in a quarterback talked to Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. They saw each of them work out at the combine. They saw them on game tape and talked to their college teammates. And yet, because Brady’s arm was too erratic and because Wilson was too short, every team in the NFL passed. Presented with the most obvious It Factor guys in football, not a single team trusted their read enough to snap up Brady or Wilson with their first- or even their second-round pick. The next time you read about somebody having the It Factor, remember that the professionals couldn’t see it even when it was staring them in the face.

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Why so wound up? It's called an 'it' factor because it's impossible to define. And maybe it doesn't exist, but people still use the phrase to indicate that a player has an unmeasurable ability to find a way to win against the odds. And that is what I like about Darnold. He has repeatedly shown an ability to rally his team to win against the odds. (He certainly failed to do so against tOSU, but in that game the OL was way over matched.)


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Originally Posted By: W84NxtYrAgain
Why so wound up? It's called an 'it' factor because it's impossible to define. And maybe it doesn't exist, but people still use the phrase to indicate that a player has an unmeasurable ability to find a way to win against the odds. And that is what I like about Darnold. He has repeatedly shown an ability to rally his team to win against the odds. (He certainly failed to do so against tOSU, but in that game the OL was way over matched.)


I am not wound up. I think it is fair to respond with what I did. If someone said that Sam Darnold is actually left handed, I would respond that he is right handed. You said something I disagreed with, so I responded (with evidence).

As for "an unmeasurable ability to find a way to win against the odds," why are we trying to measure something that is unmeasurable? I prefer to just go off of what we know.

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This is from an article by Josh Edwards;


NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah polled five executives to gauge which player has the advantage early in the process.
All five executive picked Darnold, plus Jeremiah.

"They are both going to be good. Rosen is more polished and a finished product now, but I'm a Darnold guy. He (has) 'it,'" one anonymous executive said.

Jeremiah explained his conclusion.

"It's rare to get a unanimous result with these weekly Ask 5 questions. However, all five of these executives prefer Darnold over Rosen at the moment. I thought it was interesting that three of the executives mentioned the "it" factor. I hear that a lot when discussing Darnold and I agree with their assessment of him. He has a special quality that's hard to define. He's clutch and thrives in chaotic moments. I think Rosen is a more refined passer, but Darnold would get my vote right now."


https://247sports.com/nfl/cleveland-brow...Rosen-110621672

You might not like the term, but it is still used by NFL people. And it conveys a message, that's why they use it. I use it because I see what I think they mean.


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"It", sounds like a social disease.


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Originally Posted By: W84NxtYrAgain
This is from an article by Josh Edwards;


NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah polled five executives to gauge which player has the advantage early in the process.
All five executive picked Darnold, plus Jeremiah.

"They are both going to be good. Rosen is more polished and a finished product now, but I'm a Darnold guy. He (has) 'it,'" one anonymous executive said.

Jeremiah explained his conclusion.

"It's rare to get a unanimous result with these weekly Ask 5 questions. However, all five of these executives prefer Darnold over Rosen at the moment. I thought it was interesting that three of the executives mentioned the "it" factor. I hear that a lot when discussing Darnold and I agree with their assessment of him. He has a special quality that's hard to define. He's clutch and thrives in chaotic moments. I think Rosen is a more refined passer, but Darnold would get my vote right now."


https://247sports.com/nfl/cleveland-brow...Rosen-110621672

You might not like the term, but it is still used by NFL people. And it conveys a message, that's why they use it. I use it because I see what I think they mean.


People use meaningless terms all the time. Also, the NFL front offices fail on first round picks 60% of the time. They are basically guessing.

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I'm not going to continue this argument. We've both made our points, we disagree.


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"It' sounds like clutch to me and that is somewhat measurable.

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For guessing they sure get paid a lot.

They sure put a bunch of time and money into it.

I would think that they do not see it as guess work.

The "it" as it relates to Darnold is simple.

He is a play maker and he makes big plays when they are needed most.

You watch his games and you see how his team looks to him.

These GM's and many of the analysts like Darnold. Guys like Casserly see him as the top guy. Why?

It is not because of his turnovers or arm motion.

It is because of what he can do. It is because of what be has done and how he did it. It is because he is 20 and
his issues are correctable.

Watch the games. Not just OSU where his OL was totally overmatched.

Everybody can choose who they like but at least watch enough to make a educated guess.

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I agree w/your takes. The "it" thing is real and anyone who actually played the game knows that. Those who just read do not.

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Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog
I agree w/your takes. The "it" thing is real and anyone who actually played the game knows that. Those who just read do not.


The "it" thing is real. I'm not sure what works in college necessarily translates to the professional ranks though.

I prefer Darnold's "it" to Mayfield's "it."

I'm not sure doing the "Stanky Leg" plays as well in an NFL locker room.
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Winning plays in the NFL locker room, however.

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Originally Posted By: bonefish
Everybody can choose who they like but at least watch enough to make a educated guess.


Where did I say I didn't like Sam Darnold (I didn't).

I think I may have been the first one to ever mention Darnold's name on this message board as I had heard about him very early on living in LA.

https://www.dawgtalkers.net/ubbthreads.ph...ont#Post1197134

If "it" factor is a thing, why do so many get labeled with as having "it"? I listed the names of players above who had that label attached to them and many of them amounted to nothing.

I prefer to talk about what a player does on the field than talk about some unknowable attribute that we definitely can't see from our seats.

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ed...in those QB breakdowns you present.

Mayfield just stands out in every single one of them...not even close! Man if only the kid was 6'3" there would be no discussion.

Don't wish the Jets to look smart trading for #3 and getting the 3rd QB and him being Mayfield!

I really hope we get the kid, its up to Dorsey. I'm pretty sure Hue is not in favor due to the height. Hope Mayfield kills it when he gives us his private workout!

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Fair enough.

However, "it" is defined it something you want.

As in it is good to have.

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Originally Posted By: Jester
My comment was that people lump fumbles in with the interceptions and tend to think of all the turnovers as interceptions then criticize that.

While interceptions and fumbles are both turnovers, the mechanisms are different and need to be discussed separately.


We'll just have to disagree on this one. One big difference people point out between Darnold and Rosen is that Darnold is more mobile. If that's a dimension people wish to be able to use as a positive, ball security is what I see as the issue whether that be via the ground or the air.

It's hard to accentuate a positive without looking at the negative of it. The ability to scramble can't be considered a positive if you fumble the ball while doing it. I consider ball security a single issue no matter how you turn the ball over.


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"It" is most certainly a thing. Johnny Manziel had "it" in college. Not to by any means compare the two prospect, but he was special, his instincts and awareness were off the charts in pads. He had "it" that thing you can't quite measure, for some guys it's processing brain speed, for guys like Johnny it was a 6th sense.

I can understand why people see this in Darnold. I just wonder are they seeing "it" in college or are they projecting "it" to the pros. The NFL draft is a projection game as much as it is an evaluation game.

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Do you believe that ball security is coachable?


Apparently given that Darnold was quoted that he let his team down with turnovers; that he is aware of it.

Additionally, the entire time he has working with Jordan Palmer he has been keeping both hands on the ball. Even during rest periods and non- drill time.

I have seen runners who fumble been coached up. So, to my way of thinking; if you are aware and work to correct, then you can fix it.

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I think some players get better with good coaching and some don't. I've seen it work both ways. We've drafted some of the winningest QB's in college football that never progressed. Yet I was a huge proponent of drafting Wentz who had never played in a pro style O and had a lot to learn.

So I believe the evidence is overwhelming that it can go either way. There's not a pat answer to that question.


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Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
I think some players get better with good coaching and some don't. I've seen it work both ways. We've drafted some of the winningest QB's in college football that never progressed. Yet I was a huge proponent of drafting Wentz who had never played in a pro style O and had a lot to learn.

So I believe the evidence is overwhelming that it can go either way. There's not a pat answer to that question.


You can progress in some areas and regress in others...

Take Tim Couch or Frye for example... Brady and Weeden ...all the mental attributes are really though to coach..

Somethings that should be easy to coach, turn out to be very hard, like the sliding thing with RGIII..

Ball security has a part that can be coached, but all the parts that involve the "internal clock"of the QB,pocket awareness, etc are really hard to coach...

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Ball security.

From the perspective of fumbles is a matter of holding on to the ball.

Darnold is 20. Has not until recently been coached by professionals full time.

He fell into a bad habit of holding the ball in one hand. That to me is very coachable.

Int's is different. His TD to Int's is actually better than Rosens.

When you remove tipped balls; it is bad decisions. They all throw int's.

Mayfield has been the best at that part. But he has other concerns.

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Originally Posted By: bonefish
Ball security.

From the perspective of fumbles is a matter of holding on to the ball.

Darnold is 20. Has not until recently been coached by professionals full time.

He fell into a bad habit of holding the ball in one hand. That to me is very coachable.

Int's is different. His TD to Int's is actually better than Rosens.

When you remove tipped balls; it is bad decisions. They all throw int's.

Mayfield has been the best at that part. But he has other concerns.


IMHO, QB fumbles have more to do with decision making and awareness than any coachable ability.

To some degree it can be coached, specially the plays where he crosses the scrimmage line, but in most situations you cannot expect a QB to be able to hold on to the ball when he's being challenged to an NFL defender playing the ball...

For me, the most important it so see if the fumbles was him trying to do to much and risking to make the play, or because he was holding the ball to much

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We'll just bave to agree to disagree. Hell, RG3 couldn't even be coached to slide with the ball. Some RB's never get over fumblitous. It works or doesn't work on an individual basis. There's no one size fits all answer here. It's a question left be to be answered.


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Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
We'll just bave to agree to disagree. Hell, RG3 couldn't even be coached to slide with the ball. Some RB's never get over fumblitous. It works or doesn't work on an individual basis. There's no one size fits all answer here. It's a question left be to be answered.


You are only taking into consideration when the Qb is running and past the los... that would be the least of my problems...

And comparing him to Lamar... I would be surprised if Darnold's fumbles were caused by him running the ball with one hand alone...

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I don't believe that you can tout a QB's ability to scramble without speaking about his lack of ability in securing the ball. They are directly related.


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Originally Posted By: PitDAWG
I don't believe that you can tout a QB's ability to scramble without speaking about his lack of ability in securing the ball. They are directly related.


Scrambling has all to do with decision making and awareness, securing the ball, IMHO, in a QB is the ability to throw it away in due time, or fall on it when pockets colapse..

Some QB's have the ability to scramble and avoid pressure, but I wouldn't classify it has ball security, at least not seeing how Bin Ben or Wentz or Wilson or DW hold the ball...

For example we had Charlie Frye who was prone to fumbling andwas clearly a problem with his decision making ability..

Not saying its the case of Darnold though, but he sure fumbles the ball a lot....

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interesting that the convo turned to int and fumbles with darnold.

Sam darnold had a 8.6 yards per pass, 26 TD's, 13 picks, 29 sacks, and had 8 fumbles lost. so 21 turnovers total. that doesn't count the fumbles that were recovered by a teammate.

Lamar had 8.5 yards per pass, 27 TD's, 10 picks, 29 sacks, and only 3 fumbles lost, again, not including fumbles that were recovered by a teammate.

So, less talent around them? lamar
tougher conference? lamar
better passing TD-int ratio? lamar
Better overall TD-turnover ratio? lamar

i also love how people talk about this "it" factor with darnold, as if lamar hasn't shown more offensive explosions and such over Darnold, and it aint close whatsoever.

lamar has better numbers, and protects the ball better despite playing with less talent and having a different style of play.



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DawgTalkers.net Forums The Archives 2018 NFL Season 2018 NFL Draft Sam Darnold ... Chapter two ...

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