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My concern with flattening the curve is that there will be a longer duration of this virus being a big threat, and so businesses/schools/etc will be closed and it will hurt the economy and put a lot of people out of work. It will cause problems.

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I get what you're saying. I'm skeptical of it's ability to do what they want to do as we, as a nation, are not shutting down simultaneously. It's still going to spread and the curve will climb again as people come into contact with one another.

Also too, the economic impact is a concern. Where I work, I help run the bases Day Care centers and when NC Schools shut down, some staff will stay home, and that drops our staff to child ratio's and hinders our ability to provide our service accordingly. Which, in turn, means sooner than later the base has to shut down as well. FRCEast the largest employer on base is prepping for telework.

That's great for those employees but for those that can't telework, how do they get paid?

It's worrisome.

I'm worried, my friend.

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I think it will either way, Eve. We look at flattening the curve and tend to think that way, but it's not necessarily true. If there are a bunch of people that can't get adequate treatment - it might actually take longer.

It's the best approach to avoid mass chaos and an overwhelmed system, regardless of what it does to the treatment schedule.


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I hear you. Our family was having a discussion about the economics of this situation yesterday.

There really isn't any good news and people are going to suffer due to the resident evil that is COVID-19. We all have our opinions. We hate what this is going to do to people. My bottom line is that we have to try and save as many people as we can. Others may feel differently and I understand that.

I'm worried, too. And I have never been worried about any of these "scares" in the past. This one seems all too real.

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Originally Posted By: cfrs15
Originally Posted By: Southwestdawg
jc

This is getting nuts. My wife called and said people are lining up to fill up gas cans and are cleaning out all the canned goods. I wonder how many people are maxing out their credit cards and wiping out their savings for this? I plan on going to Total Wines and more and stock up on bourbon.


Some dude in Tennessee went bankrupt because he spent $17000 on hand sanitizer and now Amazon won't let him sell it because of price gouging.


Karma..... rofl

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/14/techn...pgtype=Homepage

He Has 17,700 Bottles of Hand Sanitizer and Nowhere to Sell Them
Amazon cracked down on coronavirus price gouging. Now, while the rest of the world searches, some sellers are holding stockpiles of sanitizer and masks.

Jack Nicas
By Jack Nicas
March 14, 2020
Updated 1:33 p.m. ET

On March 1, the day after the first coronavirus death in the United States was announced, brothers Matt and Noah Colvin set out in a silver S.U.V. to pick up some hand sanitizer. Driving around Chattanooga, Tenn., they hit a Dollar Tree, then a Walmart, a Staples and a Home Depot. At each store, they cleaned out the shelves.

Over the next three days, Noah Colvin took a 1,300-mile road trip across Tennessee and into Kentucky, filling a U-Haul truck with thousands of bottles of hand sanitizer and thousands of packs of antibacterial wipes, mostly from “little hole-in-the-wall dollar stores in the backwoods,” his brother said. “The major metro areas were cleaned out.”

Matt Colvin stayed home near Chattanooga, preparing for pallets of even more wipes and sanitizer he had ordered, and starting to list them on Amazon. Mr. Colvin said he had posted 300 bottles of hand sanitizer and immediately sold them all for between $8 and $70 each, multiples higher than what he had bought them for. To him, “it was crazy money.” To many others, it was profiteering from a pandemic.

The next day, Amazon pulled his items and thousands of other listings for sanitizer, wipes and face masks. The company suspended some of the sellers behind the listings and warned many others that if they kept running up prices, they’d lose their accounts. EBay soon followed with even stricter measures, prohibiting any U.S. sales of masks or sanitizer.

Now, while millions of people across the country search in vain for hand sanitizer to protect themselves from the spread of the coronavirus, Mr. Colvin is sitting on 17,700 bottles of the stuff with little idea where to sell them.

“It’s been a huge amount of whiplash,” he said. “From being in a situation where what I’ve got coming and going could potentially put my family in a really good place financially to ‘What the heck am I going to do with all of this?’”

Mr. Colvin is one of probably thousands of sellers who have amassed stockpiles of hand sanitizer and crucial respirator masks that many hospitals are now rationing, according to interviews with eight Amazon sellers and posts in private Facebook and Telegram groups from dozens more. Amazon said it had recently removed hundreds of thousands of listings and suspended thousands of sellers’ accounts for price gouging related to the coronavirus.

Amazon, eBay, Walmart and other online-commerce platforms are trying to stop their sellers from making excessive profits from a public health crisis. While the companies aimed to discourage people from hoarding such products and jacking up their prices, many sellers had already cleared out their local stores and started selling the goods online.

Now both the physical and digital shelves are nearly empty.

Mikeala Kozlowski, a nurse in Dudley, Mass., has been searching for hand sanitizer since before she gave birth to her first child, Nora, on March 5. When she searched stores, which were sold out, she skipped getting gas to avoid handling the pump. And when she checked Amazon, she couldn’t find it for less than $50.

Get an informed guide to the global outbreak with our daily coronavirus newsletter.

“You’re being selfish, hoarding resources for your own personal gain,” she said of the sellers.

Sites like Amazon and eBay have given rise to a growing industry of independent sellers who snatch up discounted or hard-to-find items in stores to post online and sell around the world.

These sellers call it retail arbitrage, a 21st-century career that has adults buying up everything from limited-run cereals to Fingerling Monkeys, a once hot toy. The bargain hunters look for anything they can sell at a sharp markup. In recent weeks, they found perhaps their biggest opportunity: a pandemic.

As they watched the list of Amazon’s most popular searches crowd with terms like “Purell,” “N95 mask” and “Clorox wipes,” sellers said, they did what they had learned to do: Suck up supply and sell it for what the market would bear.

Initially, the strategy worked. For several weeks, prices soared for some of the top results to searches for sanitizer, masks and wipes on Amazon, according to a New York Times analysis of historical prices from Jungle Scout, which tracks data for Amazon sellers. The data shows that both Amazon and third-party sellers like Mr. Colvin increased their prices, which then mostly dropped when Amazon took action against price gouging this month.

Prices Have Spiked for Pandemic Supplies on Amazon.

Average daily prices from Jan. 1 through March 7 for some of the most popular products returned in keyword searches on Amazon.com. | Source: Jungle Scout | By Ella Koeze
At the high prices, people still bought the products en masse, and Amazon took a cut of roughly 15 percent and eBay roughly 10 percent, depending on the price and the seller.

Then the companies, pressured by growing criticism from regulators and customers, cracked down. After the measures last week, Amazon went further on Wednesday, restricting sales of any coronavirus-related products from certain sellers.

“Price gouging is a clear violation of our policies, unethical, and in some areas, illegal,” Amazon said in a statement. “In addition to terminating these third party accounts, we welcome the opportunity to work directly with states attorneys general to prosecute bad actors.”

Mr. Colvin, 36, a former Air Force technical sergeant, said he started selling on Amazon in 2015, developing it into a six-figure career by selling Nike shoes and pet toys, and by following trends.

In early February, as headlines announced the coronavirus’s spread in China, Mr. Colvin spotted a chance to capitalize. A nearby liquidation firm was selling 2,000 “pandemic packs,” leftovers from a defunct company. Each came with 50 face masks, four small bottles of hand sanitizer and a thermometer. The price was $5 a pack. Mr. Colvin haggled it to $3.50 and bought them all.

Hand sanitizer that Mr. Colvin is keeping in a storage locker.
Hand sanitizer that Mr. Colvin is keeping in a storage locker.

He quickly sold all 2,000 of the 50-packs of masks on eBay, pricing them from $40 to $50 each, and sometimes higher. He declined to disclose his profit on the record but said it was substantial.

The success stoked his appetite. When he saw the panicked public starting to pounce on sanitizer and wipes, he and his brother set out to stock up.

Elsewhere in the country, other Amazon sellers were doing the same.

Chris Anderson, an Amazon seller in central Pennsylvania, said he and a friend had driven around Ohio, buying about 10,000 masks from stores. He used coupons to buy packs of 10 for around $15 each and resold them for $40 to $50. After Amazon’s cut and other costs, he estimates, he made a $25,000 profit.

Mr. Anderson is now holding 500 packs of antibacterial wipes after Amazon blocked him from selling them for $19 each, up from $16 weeks earlier. He bought the packs for $3 each.

Eric, a truck driver from Ohio who spoke on the condition that his surname not be published because he feared Amazon would retaliate, said he had also collected about 10,000 masks at stores. He bought each 10-pack for about $20 and sold most for roughly $80 each, though some he priced at $125.

“Even at $125 a box, they were selling almost instantly,” he said. “It was mind-blowing as far as what you could charge.” He estimates he made $35,000 to $40,000 in profit.

Now he has 1,000 more masks on order, but he’s not sure what to do with them. He said Amazon had been vague about what constituted price gouging, scaring away sellers who don’t want to risk losing their ability to sell on its site.

To regulators and many others, the sellers are sitting on a stockpile of medical supplies during a pandemic. The attorney general’s offices in California, Washington and New York are all investigating price gouging related to the coronavirus. California’s price-gouging law bars sellers from increasing prices by more than 10 percent after officials declare an emergency. New York’s law prohibits sellers from charging an “unconscionably excessive price” during emergencies.

An official at the Washington attorney general’s office said the agency believed it could apply the state’s consumer-protection law to sue platforms or sellers, even if they aren’t in Washington, as long as they were trying to sell to Washington residents.

Mr. Colvin does not believe he was price gouging. While he charged $20 on Amazon for two bottles of Purell that retail for $1 each, he said people forget that his price includes his labor, Amazon’s fees and about $10 in shipping. (Alcohol-based sanitizer is pricey to ship because officials consider it a hazardous material.)

Current price-gouging laws “are not built for today’s day and age,” Mr. Colvin said. “They’re built for Billy Bob’s gas station doubling the amount he charges for gas during a hurricane.”

He added, “Just because it cost me $2 in the store doesn’t mean it’s not going to cost me $16 to get it to your door.”

But what about the morality of hoarding products that can prevent the spread of the virus, just to turn a profit?

Mr. Colvin said he was simply fixing “inefficiencies in the marketplace.” Some areas of the country need these products more than others, and he’s helping send the supply toward the demand.

“There’s a crushing overwhelming demand in certain cities right now,” he said. “The Dollar General in the middle of nowhere outside of Lexington, Ky., doesn’t have that.”

He thought about it more. “I honestly feel like it’s a public service,” he added. “I’m being paid for my public service.”

As for his stockpile, Mr. Colvin said he would now probably try to sell it locally. “If I can make a slight profit, that’s fine,” he said. “But I’m not looking to be in a situation where I make the front page of the news for being that guy who hoarded 20,000 bottles of sanitizer that I’m selling for 20 times what they cost me.”

After The Times published this article on Saturday morning, Mr. Colvin said he was exploring ways to donate all the supplies.





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Originally Posted By: bluecollarball

And I'm running low on TP paper!!


Got to a fast food joint and take a ton of napkins. lol

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Also around here some convenience gas stations, pharmacies, and convenience stores still have TP.

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Closing everything and all of the moves you are seeing IS the attempt at a guardrail.

This car we're all in has still lost control, and it is absolutely going to crash, but if we can just get it to do a rollover and flip on the road and NOT go off the cliff all at once, then just maybe we can skid to a stop without a complete disaster.


Browns is the Browns

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The biggest hope, and Hail Mary, is that flattening the curve works long enough for some antiviral treatments to come about and maybe allow us the be able to mitigate the worst cases.

If a treatment can be found that reduces or manages to prevent just 50% of the hospitalizations, or shortens the stays to just a week or two, then this disease is suddenly not such a terrible animal.....but, that is a ways off. To get us there, to buy us time, without imploding along the way, this is the new normal.


This isn't a weekend or a two week change..... think of this as a COVID Winter. Three to five months.


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Lots of places around here are getting restocked. Hopefully the StupidFest has passed and people get back to buying reasonable amounts.


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I can tell you, the public will not cope well with this staying at home stuff.

It might be fun to work from home for a week, but you can only stay home for so long before the cabin fever sets in and you climb the walls to get out.

That's why I go to the bar so much. Because I have worked from home for the last 8 years. And being isolated sucks and isn't healthy for you.

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Here in Tulsa there wasn’t anyone staying at home today. People were out everywhere.


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j/c...

My brother is nurse anesthetist in NY and one of the ortho surgeons was confirmed to have the virus. They have had meetings recently about shutting down all elective procedures (which is the right thing to do) and have limited the number of family members to 1 as visitors.

Two of their seven facilities have already completely cancelled elective procedures.

No need for someone to get a knee replacement, increase their risk of infection and have seven family members their for support in the waiting room increasing the risk for everyone.

Have to flatten the bubble so doctors are not choosing who gets a hospital bed and netilator and who does not.

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Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
Closing everything and all of the moves you are seeing IS the attempt at a guardrail.

This car we're all in has still lost control, and it is absolutely going to crash, but if we can just get it to do a rollover and flip on the road and NOT go off the cliff all at once, then just maybe we can skid to a stop without a complete disaster.


I pray it's strong enough.

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My wife has the same position. Her hospital hasn't done squat yet.

She was scheduled to go to a conference in Boston, but that particular hospital has already canceled all elective surgeries.

My wife is older and I worry...

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And this is why we probably will end up in the same boat as Italy and the guardrail will fail.

Nobody will take this seriously beyond a week. By the time people wise up and say "oh, you really meant it! Why didn't you say so?!", it will be too late.

Last edited by PrplPplEater; 03/14/20 08:23 PM.

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I have never once given any of these "scares" more than a second thought.

This one is different. I didn't pay much attention at first, but it's grabbed my attention. This blank is real and we gotta fight our best to help minimize the catastrophe that is in our midst.

I am glad to see others talking about flattening the curve. I really think that is of ultra importance. There are no easy answers here. People are going to suffer in many ways. I think we need to focus on saving as many lives as possible.

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J/c

I just drove through downtown Erie after picking up a few things ... there were more cars and people out than normal .. it’s like a huge party. Certainly St. Patrick’s Day weekend won’t help the idea to limit socialization


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Originally Posted By: Versatile Dog
My wife has the same position. Her hospital hasn't done squat yet.


That's troubling.

My primary care physician's office, that is a Cleveland Clinic facility, has already cancelled all appointments for patients deemed non-essential.

I already was notified my appointment was cancelled (annual well visit) and needs to be rescheduled at a time TBD.

Kudos to Ohio for being very proactive.

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CDC new recommendations regarding school closings...


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Same here.
Hell, during bird flu, if you dared me, I'd have ran out and caught a pigeon just to lick it. Ditto with swine flu. I have never given any of them any creedence whatsoever.

When I read the details on this one back in January, I had a legitimate "oh, crap" moment. Like, is this real?

The battle for containment was lost weeks and weeks ago. While people were still talking about containing - including WHO, we should have already been in "flatten the curve" mode. Singapore and South Korea have had model responses.... everyone else is going to pay for their inaction.

Of course, the flip side of that is that without this being as alarmingly in-your-face as it is now, nobody would have bought into ANY of the measures being implemented. That is, unfortunately, the nature of our society versus theirs.


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We were talking today about Ohio being so proactive. I'm proud of them. I wish the dumb asses down here in SC would follow suit.

My wife works at a more rural hospital and there are a lot of folks in the area w/terrible health concerns. Overweight, diabetes, no insurance, living below the poverty line, etc, etc. She gets paid more than she would in other hospitals due to it being hard to attract CRNA's, but again........I worry.

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I have a weird type of asthma that can go bonkers when hit with a viral infection. I can keep it in check if I catch it quickly and hit it with strong doses of steroids and aerosol treatments, and I've gotten quite good at it. I haven't been hospitalized in 6 years. But this is a new animal, and from what I've been reading about how it affects the lungs, I'll have quite a challenge if I become infected.


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p.s. I'm still annoyed that this virus doesn't make zombies.


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100 percent agreed!

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Jfan, you just need to close yourself off from people for a long while.
For real.

Versus, I feel for your wife, man... the good news is that you could be a little insulated out in the country. It's still coming, but hopefully it will move slower.


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Every nation in South America has it.
Just about every island in the Caribbean, too.
Down to only like two countries in Central America that don't have it.

Once they fall, and West Virginia and Alaska, that will be the entire Western Hemisphere. In under 90 days.


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ski resorts across the country closing down.

As far as people going out, some aren't afraid. Others are trying to help local businesses by going out to eat and stuff.


It's supposed to be hard! If it wasn't hard, everyone would do it. The hard... is what makes it great!
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I work as a programmer for the Federal government in downtown Cleveland. Due to my husband's medical history and my health risks, I am allowed to work from home indefinitely.

I went out today and bought 3 24 packs of bottled water (at Big Lots Beachwood and they are getting more Monday). I also got a six pack of paper towel there. Also bought 2 packages of 280 napkins for emergencies if the TP and paper towels run out.

At very small stores around NE Ohio I've been able to purchase 18 rolls of toilet paper and about a dozen cans of canned veggies from Dollar General.
I also got a Clorox disinfectant, 2 bottle, from Petco. Even though its for pet odos, the EPA said it's also good as a general bacterial/viral disinfectant.

We have lots of frozen meats, so I think we are set for now. Good luck to everyone getting the supplies they need.

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Originally Posted By: OldColdDawg
Originally Posted By: bluecollarball

And I'm running low on TP paper!!


Got to a fast food joint and take a ton of napkins. lol


I'm not sure what other restaurants are doing, but chik filet pulled all of that. They had a stand where you can get your napkins, condiments, silverware etc. Thats completely empty. They are not using trays either. All orders are bagged, carry out or dine in.


It's supposed to be hard! If it wasn't hard, everyone would do it. The hard... is what makes it great!
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They’re recommending closures of 8 weeks for schools. That puts us into mid May. That’s gonna be tough


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
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We have had our differences, but please take care of yourself.

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I think Alaska fell and West Virginny is the poll winner.

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Originally Posted By: sk8termom
I work as a programmer for the Federal government in downtown Cleveland.


Do you know a guy named Sven?


The Aldi's stores in the area have been doing a great job and restocking, as has the one Sav-a-Lot I go to.


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Originally Posted By: PrplPplEater
Originally Posted By: sk8termom
I work as a programmer for the Federal government in downtown Cleveland.


Do you know a guy named Sven?


The Aldi's stores in the area have been doing a great job and restocking, as has the one Sav-a-Lot I go to.



No, I don't know anyone named Sven. Do you know what department he works in? Glad the stores in your area are able to restock.


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Originally Posted By: Dawgs4Life
They’re recommending closures of 8 weeks for schools. That puts us into mid May. That’s gonna be tough


People may be slow to bite on it at first, but I expect every school system to fall in line with it shortly. Expect everything to go out that long, at best.

It's simple math: IF we accept DeWine's statement that 1% is infected, and the number of infections double every six days, and "herd immunity" doesn't begin to be a thing until about 70% of a population has a disease, then we are looking at minimum of six weeks. If the efforts to slow the spread work, that also extends the timeline.

This is not a short-term change in life.


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The Publix grocery stores that I frequent closed early today. Thy are doing a deep cleaning and restocking.

It's a great food chain here in the south. Glad to see them taking a proactive approach.

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Eh, he might work for the state and not the Feds. Used to work with him ages ago at Ceridian Corp.

My stores are in Old Brooklyn, but the Aldi up in Mayfield Heights has been good, too.


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I agree again.

On a somewhat related note, my wife wants me to suspend all of my tutoring business.

A couple of them are rather gross, but giving up that income and disappointing my clients would be a tough thing to do.

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Alaska still looks clear, but the map might be slow to update.

Look into using online collaboration tools for your tutoring. You can get video conferencing, virtual whiteboards, etc...

It's not the same as being in-person, but it could keep everyone going while keeping everyone safe.


Browns is the Browns

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