I'm quoting what trump is saying. I know you hate when people do that. I know you're only comeback is to say you can't believe a word that comes out of his mouth. I know you want to make some false claim that biden and trump lie an equal amount. Even you know that's BS.
So trump wants Canada to fix its own immigration issues? That's why he is threatening to impose tariffs on Canada?
So you mean a politician, Trudeau, admits he's a human being and makes mistakes? I can see why you would find that an amazing thing to hear when the man you are making excuses for here would never do such a thing. He claims to be a Christian that does not need to repent of his sins. Mr. perfect!
So now the trump imagination machine of yours claims he is threatening Canada to fix their own immigration policy. And then you wonder why I say Murica! Freedumb!
A person would have to be an idiot to actually believe that BS.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
So you make up some fable about trump trying to control Canada's immigration laws which has zero impact on us and claim I'm the one playing troll games? So he's trying to Make Canada Great Again?
If that's the best you can do when you make up some BS theory that makes no sense then have at it. But then that's pretty much the type of response I expect at this point.
You should have put that story in purple font. You're making this way harder than this needs to be, but I think we all know why.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
I'm not the one who made up some crazy theory that claimed trump wanted Trudeau to fix his own immigration issues. And somehow that was why trump called for tariffs against Canada. I know somehow you wish to make that my fault and that calling you out on it is somehow playing Whack-a-Mole.
Drugs and illegal immigrants aren't flowing across Canada's borders. Their immigration issues have nothing to do with us. It's just some new line of BS to try and create a problem that doesn't exist. And trying to somehow make that my problem is a you problem. I don't even think you believe your own BS in this instance.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
He signed a trade agreement with Canada and Mexico. He bragged about how great that trade agreement was. Now he has threatened to break the very agreement with them that he himself made. And then you wonder why the world can't take America at their word. If you have an agreement in place with us it's worth no more than the paper it's written on.
But then again with as much lumber as we import from Canada, the price of paper will cost more soon. So will the cost of building new homes. So there's that.
Let's see if they actually come to pass. Most of the time that hammer is used to get what you really want. I am sure if Mexico and to whatever extent Canada start to reform the cause for this threat, we get what we really want.
We want to stop the influx of drugs and illegals from entering the country.
While that's true, I mean that we want to stop the influx of Drugs and Illegals, I guess you hadn't heard that both have dropped pretty well. That from the President of Mexico. Who by the way, Trump lied about the other day after their call. Go on X, Find the Mexico presidents account and read for your self what she wrote to Trump after their phone call., Don't believe me, go read it for yourself.
And if Trump is using Tariffs as a Hammer to the head of other countries, why would he and his admin say that out loud. That's stupid. Now they know it.. and they know they can ignore it., Like I said, stupid
His hope is that the negotiations start now and things don't have to wait until he is actually in office. Trudeau was in Florida to meet with the President a few days ago. It wasn't just to get some sun and attend one of the dinners. As long as the dialogue has started and heading to a fair settlement, I doubt that sanctions start day one.
Once again, if everyone knows that it's a scare tactic, they know they don't have to play Trumps game. They also know that as prices increase, Trump will get the blame due to tariffs.
Ain't buying it for a second.. But we'll wait and see
#GMSTRONG
“Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.” Daniel Patrick Moynahan
"Alternative facts hurt us all. Think before you blindly believe." Damanshot
Jared Kushner’s dad just got appointed an ambassador position.
“To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public.”
Trump picks Kash Patel to head FBI Sarah N. Lynch Updated Sat, November 30, 2024 at 8:28 PM EST·4 min read 1.6k
FILE PHOTO: Republican presidential nominee Trump holds a rally in Prescott Valley By Sarah N. Lynch
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Republican President-elect Donald Trump said on Saturday he wanted former National Security official and loyalist Kash Patel to lead the FBI, signaling an intent to drive out the bureau's current director, Christopher Wray.
Patel, who during Trump's first term advised both the director of national intelligence and the secretary of defense, has previously called for stripping the FBI of its intelligence-gathering role and purging its ranks of any employee who refuses to support Trump's agenda.
"The biggest problem the FBI has had, has come out of its intel shops. I'd break that component out of it. I'd shut down the FBI Hoover building on day one and reopen it the next day as a museum of the deep state," Patel said in a September interview on the conservative Shawn Ryan Show.
Advertisement "And I'd take the 7,000 employees that work in that building and send them across America to chase down criminals. Go be cops. You're cops. Go be cops."
With the nomination of Patel, Trump is signaling that he is preparing to carry out his threat to oust Wray, a Republican first appointed by Trump, whose 10-year term at the FBI does not expire until 2027.
Asked about Patel's nomination, which will need Senate confirmation, an FBI spokesperson said on Saturday: "Every day, the men and women of the FBI continue to work to protect Americans from a growing array of threats. Director Wray's focus remains on the men and women of the FBI, the people we do the work with, and the people we do the work for."
FBI directors by law are appointed to 10-year terms as a means of insulating the bureau from politics.
Wray, whom Trump tapped after firing James Comey in 2017 for investigating his 2016 campaign, has been a frequent target of Trump supporters' ire.
During Wray's tenure, the FBI carried out a court-approved search at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate to look for classified documents and he has also faced criticism for his oversight role of a directive by Attorney General Merrick Garland aimed at working to protect local school boards from violent threats and harassment.
Special Counsel Jack Smith, who led the two federal prosecutions against Trump for his role in subverting the 2020 election and retaining classified documents, asked on Nov. 25 the judges overseeing those cases to dismiss them before Trump takes office on Jan. 20, citing a Justice Department policy of not prosecuting a sitting president.
Wray had previously signaled no intention of stepping down early and was busy planning events well into his 2025 calendar, according to a person familiar with the matter.
FORMER FEDERAL PUBLIC DEFENDER, PROSECUTOR
Patel, 44, previously worked as a federal public defender and a federal prosecutor.
He was instrumental in working to lead House Republicans' probe into the FBI's 2016 investigation into contacts between Trump's 2016 campaign and Russia during his stint as an aide to former House Intelligence Committee Chair Devin Nunes.
Later, during Trump's first impeachment trial, ex-National Security Council official Fiona Hill told House investigators she was concerned Patel was secretly serving as a back channel between Trump and Ukraine without authorization.
Patel denied those allegations.
After Trump left office in January 2021, Patel was one of several people Trump designated as a representative for access to his presidential records. He was one of the few former Trump administration officials who claimed, without evidence, that Trump had declassified all of the records in question.
He was later subpoenaed to appear before a grand jury in connection with the probe.
As a private citizen, Patel wrote a book called "Government Gangsters" which Trump in 2023 declared would be used as a "roadmap to end the Deep State's Reign."
Patel's nomination is likely to garner pushback from Senate Democrats and possibly even some Republicans, though Patel has received public support from some high-profile Republicans such as Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton.
“Patel, who during Trump's first term advised both the director of national intelligence and the secretary of defense, has previously called for stripping the FBI of its intelligence-gathering role and purging its ranks of any employee who refuses to support Trump's agenda.”
Own it.
Blue ostriches on crack float on milkshakes between the sidewalk titans of gurglefitz. --YTown
For more than 50 years, the whips I've driven have been mean, clean, and 100% pristine. For the very first time in my life, I'm tempted to slap a custom bumper sticker on my current car:
"Don't blame me- I voted for The Other Choice. "
America deserves what She elects. May God help us all.
“Patel, who during Trump's first term advised both the director of national intelligence and the secretary of defense, has previously called for stripping the FBI of its intelligence-gathering role and purging its ranks of any employee who refuses to support Trump's agenda.”
Own it.
I wonder just how many terrorist attacks get discovered and prevented each year by the FBI doing intelligence gathering.
Am I perfect? No Am I trying to be a better person? Also no
“Patel, who during Trump's first term advised both the director of national intelligence and the secretary of defense, has previously called for stripping the FBI of its intelligence-gathering role and purging its ranks of any employee who refuses to support Trump's agenda.”
Own it.
I wonder just how many terrorist attacks get discovered and prevented each year by the FBI doing intelligence gathering.
I’m wondering just how much intelligence gathering will actually be done with all the government layoffs and cuts that are coming down the pike.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson.
Looking at what happened to specific industries where tariffs were enacted isn't "picking and choosing". It's simple cause and effect.
There is no level of sucking we haven't seen; in fact, I'm pretty sure we hold the patents on a few levels of sucking NOBODY had seen until the past few years.
This whole Deep State nonsense was popularized by Alex Jones and his ilk... and the vast majority of the sane populace continually ridiculed him for it. It was nonsense before and it's nonsense now.
There is no level of sucking we haven't seen; in fact, I'm pretty sure we hold the patents on a few levels of sucking NOBODY had seen until the past few years.
This whole Deep State nonsense was popularized by Alex Jones and his ilk... and the vast majority of the sane populace continually ridiculed him for it. It was nonsense before and it's nonsense now.
His response was to a quote by Patel, not Alex Jones. Not sure how you jumped to that.
With that said, I think it's "weird" to insist that anyone that believes there are power-plays going on in the military and intelligence community is an Alex-Jones-type. But I know you like throwing around that term. On that level, "military, intelligence and government officials who try to manipulate government", I would guess about half of America agrees. Unless you believe polls -- if you believe polls, it was at 48% in 2017 and has gone down to 39% in 2024 -- because, you know, there has been nothing to indicate a "deep state" over the past eight years. 🤣 But we all know how valuable polls have become.
On a side note, a 2024 poll showed that nearly half of Americans (45%) believe Republicans are determined to stay in power, even if that means resorting to political violence. Now that's some true Alex Jones stuff.
"As a private citizen, Patel wrote a book called "Government Gangsters" which Trump in 2023 declared would be used as a "roadmap to end the Deep State's Reign.""
Deep State is a dog whistle... an extremely effective one for supporters of one side of the aisle. It's a baseless boogie-man idea that gets people riled up and distracted.
Trump clearly violating tax laws? Deep State. Trump being put on trial for storing Top Secret docs next to the guest crapper? Deep State.
It's a Get-Out-of-Jail-Free Card (sometimes literally) that he uses on his supporters.
Hilariously, Biden (IMO) kinda tried the same thing with his pardoning of Hunter... saying that his son was targeted by DoJ. In case you haven't seen, I don't hold back in that thread either.
As for your last statement... are you trying to say it's ridiculous to think that MAGA Republicans (in this case) would violently try to overturn a legit election? Up until a couple years ago, I would've agreed with you.
There is no level of sucking we haven't seen; in fact, I'm pretty sure we hold the patents on a few levels of sucking NOBODY had seen until the past few years.
And we all know what they think it means for an election to be compromised. It means if trump and his ilk say it was. And as the article states it's 1 in 4 for all Republicans but 1 in 3 who have a favorable view of trump.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
And we all know what they think it means for an election to be compromised. It means if trump and his ilk say it was. And as the article states it's 1 in 4 for all Republicans but 1 in 3 who have a favorable view of trump.
You're changing the rules, the language and inserting your own rhetoric, aka, Monday.
The question is clear "“if the 2024 presidential election is compromised by voter fraud, everyday Americans will need to ensure that the rightful leader takes office, even if it requires violence actions”
It doesn't say "might be", it doesn't say "if Trump thinks it is", it presents a clear, concise statement that Americans either agreed with or disagreed with.
Count me in with the percentage that agrees that all things must be done to insure the rightful leader takes place. Yes, even if it requires violence. This is not a third-world country. Presidents should not be installed here. Full stop.
And therein lies your problem. Over 60 court cases were lost claiming the election was stolen. Trump's own hand picked AG, Barr stated plainly there was no mass voter fraud that could have possibly changed the outcome of the election. Yet Republican believe the 2020 election was stolen.......
CNN Poll: Percentage of Republicans who think Biden’s 2020 win was illegitimate ticks back up near 70%
When they believe something happened, to them it actually happened. And what caused them to believe that? False information and conspiracy theories from the right and repeated even since the end of the 2020 election by trump. The only one in denial here is you. Just ask them. They'll tell you that's what happened. And if trump had lost this election they would be saying the exact same thing and you know that.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
We'll try again. Read it like you actually want to understand the study's question as posed to respondents:
“if the 2024 presidential election is compromised by voter fraud, everyday Americans will need to ensure that the rightful leader takes office, even if it requires violence actions”
What part of this are you missing? They STILL say the 2020 election was stolen.
"if the 2024 presidential election is compromised by voter fraud"... which they believe the 2020 election was....."everyday Americans will need to ensure that the rightful leader takes office, even if it requires violence actions”......
So given the exact same threshold that was used in 2020, being convinced into believing the election was compromised so that the rightful leader, trump wasn't installed as president by voter fraud, they claim it would need to use violence if that's what it took to resolve it.
Read it like you want to understand what they're saying.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
I'm not outraged. If you pay attention you can easily learn what to expect.
The exact same conditions would have a applied if trump had lost. The right wing politicians would have said the election was stolen. trump was already saying that if he lost it would be a stolen election on the campaign trail.
That's exactly the same thing that happened in 2020 and 70% of Republicans believe that. The same thing would have happened this time. Nearly 1 in 3 trump supporters said that if the same thing happened violence would be okay to install the winner, trump.
There's nothing complicated about this. It's very obvious.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
How can I explain what the word "is" means to a four-year-old?
Answer
Explaining the word "is" to a four-year-old can be a fun and engaging experience! Here’s a simple way to break it down:
Use Simple Language 1. Basic Definition Start by explaining that "is" is a word we use to say what something is or to describe something. Example: "When we say 'The sky is blue,' we are saying what color the sky is."
2. Use Examples with Familiar Objects Use familiar objects or situations to illustrate the concept. Example Sentences: "This is a cat." (Point to a cat.) "You are my friend." (Point to them.) "The toy is red." (Show them a red toy.)
3. Ask Questions Encourage interaction by asking questions that require them to use "is." Questions: "What color is your shirt?" (They might say, "My shirt is blue.") "What animal is that?" (They might answer, "That is a dog.")
4. Play with Scenarios Create playful scenarios where they can use the word. Playful Example: You could say, “I see something in my hand. It is a ball!” Then ask them, “What is in your hand?”
5. Use Visual Aids If possible, use pictures or toys to show examples of sentences using "is."
Conclusion By using simple explanations, relatable examples, and interactive questions, you can effectively teach a four-year-old what the word "is" means in an enjoyable way!
Besides Gaetz, Hegseth and Trump himself we have this.
In an exclusive interview with USA TODAY, Eliza Cooney confirmed the allegations that Kennedy groped her after a yoga class in 1998 when she was 23 years old and working as his family's live-in nanny.
Kennedy publicly dismissed the assault allegation as part of his "rambunctious youth" but privately apologized to Cooney in a text message, since reviewed by USA TODAY.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson.
Trump lays out sweeping early acts on deportation and January 6 pardons, says Cheney and others ‘should go to jail’
President-elect Donald Trump in a television interview that aired Sunday previewed a sweeping agenda for his first days in office, outlining how his administration will prioritize deporting migrants with criminal records, vowing to pursue pardons for January 6 defendants on his first day, and raising the possibility that former Rep. Liz Cheney and other political opponents could face jail time.
At the same time, Trump said he’s open to working with Democrats to preserve the legal status of “Dreamers” — an often-used term for immigrants who were brought to the US as children — even as he stood by campaign pledges of mass deportations and ending birthright citizenship.
“We have to do something about the Dreamers, because these are people that have been brought here at a very young age, and many of these are middle-aged people now. They don’t even speak the language of their country. And yes, we’re going to do something about that,” Trump said in a “Meet the Press” interview with NBC’s Kristen Welker that taped Friday, his first broadcast sit-down since he was elected.
“I will work with the Democrats on a plan, and if we can come up with a plan — but the Democrats have made it very, very difficult to do anything. Republicans are very open to the Dreamers,” he added.
Trump had previously expressed some support for protecting Dreamers during his first term, although his administration tried to end Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, the Obama-era program that protects them from deportation. That attempt was blocked by the Supreme Court in 2020.
Trump said his administration’s mass deportation efforts will target people with criminal histories, but indicated it could go beyond deporting criminals — without specifying who the “other people outside of criminals” would be. When asked whether he plans to deport every person who has entered the country illegally, he said, “I think you have to do it.”
“It’s a very tough thing to do,” he said, adding, “you know, you have rules, regulations, laws. They came in illegally.”
Asked about families with mixed immigration status — where parents are in the country illegally but their children are not — Trump said, “I don’t want to be breaking up families, so the only way you don’t break up the family is you keep them together, and you have to send them all back.”
Trump also doubled down on his campaign promise to end birthright citizenship, which is protected by the 14th Amendment, and suggested he may attempt to overturn the right through executive action.
“We’re gonna have to get it changed, or maybe I would go back to the people, but we have to end it. We’re the only country that has it,” he said, echoing a false statement he’s made in the past. “If we can, through executive action. I was going to do it through executive action, but then we had to fix Covid first, to be honest with you.”
As CNN has reported, about three dozen countries provide automatic citizenship to people born on their soil. Investigations and pardons
Trump said he would not seek “retribution” against President Joe Biden and against his political enemies, but he repeatedly left room for his appointees to decide whether to go after specific people. He suggested members of Congress who led the investigations into his conduct during the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol should be put in jail and that he’ll look on his first day at issuing pardons to supporters involved in the riot.
“These people have been there, how long is it? Three or four years? You know, by the way, they’ve been in there for years, and they’re in a filthy, disgusting place that shouldn’t even be allowed to be open,” he said. Nearly 1,200 people either have pleaded guilty or were found guilty at trial for crimes connected to the January 6 attack, according to the Justice Department. More than 645 defendants were ordered to serve some jail time.
Trump said he would not direct his Justice Department to investigate members of Congress and Biden administration officials who led the investigations into his role in January 6, but continued to suggest his DOJ would be justified in deciding to launch investigations without his input.
When asked about the possibility of investigating special counsel Jack Smith, who brought the two since-dropped federal cases against him, Trump said he wants his pick for attorney general, Pam Bondi, to “do what she wants to do.”
“She’s very experienced. I want her to do what she wants to do. I’m not going to instruct her to do it,” he said.
Trump was more direct when speaking about the members of Congress who led the January 6 committee, telling Welker that the co-chairs of the committee — Republican Cheney, who has since left Congress, and Democrat Bennie Thompson — should “go to jail.”
“Cheney was behind it. So is Bennie Thompson and everybody on that committee,” he said. “For what they did, honestly, they should go to jail.”
Trump also suggested that committee members might do well to receive preemptive pardons from Biden to protect themselves from criminal prosecution. CNN reported last week that Biden White House aides, administration officials and prominent defense attorneys in Washington were discussing potential preemptive pardons or legal aid for people who might be targeted by Trump.
“Biden can give them a pardon if he wants to,” Trump said. “And maybe he should.”
In a statement later Sunday, Cheney said, “Donald Trump’s suggestion that members of Congress who later investigated his illegal and unconstitutional actions should be jailed is a continuation of his assault on the rule of law and the foundations of our republic.”
Republican former Rep. Adam Kinzinger, who served on the committee, told CNN’s Manu Raju on Sunday he’s “not worried” about the Trump administration investigating him or his fellow committee members.
The Constitution’s Speech or Debate Clause protects lawmakers from certain law enforcement actions targeted at their legislative duties.
CNN has reached out to Thompson for comment.
Pressed whether he’d direct Bondi or Kash Patel, his pick to lead the FBI, to send them to jail, Trump said, “No, not at all,” before adding, “I think they’ll have to look at that.”
Asked whether he plans to follow up on his frequent campaign promise to investigate Biden — whom he repeatedly labeled as “corrupt” and a “criminal” on the campaign trail — Trump said he doesn’t want to “go back into the past.”
“I’m really looking to make our country successful. I’m not looking to go back into the past,” he said, adding, “Retribution will be through success.”
When asked about previously saying he would direct his Justice Department to appoint a special prosecutor to investigate Biden, Trump said he would not do that but left the door open for top DOJ officials to make their own determinations.
“No, I’m not doing that unless I find something that I think is reasonable,” he said. “But that’s not going to be my decision. That’s going to be Pam Bondi’s decision, and, to a different extent, Kash Patel, assuming they’re both there, and I think they’re both going to get approved.” Trump has tapped Patel to lead the FBI, despite the current director, Trump appointee Christopher Wray, still having several years left in his 10-year term.
Throughout the interview, Trump at times struck a more temperate tone toward his political opponents and appeared to prioritize uniting the country over exacting vengeance. He said he plans to make unity a central theme of his inauguration address and expressed confidence that his administration will achieve a level of success that will bring the country together.
But Trump invoked similar calls for unity at various points throughout his campaign — including in the wake of the first assassination attempt against him — before often reverting to bitter, divisive rhetoric and personal attacks. During the NBC interview, Trump again refused to concede that he lost the 2020 presidential election.
‘Can’t guarantee’ tariffs won’t raise prices
In the interview, Trump further previewed his plan to levy additional tariffs on three of the nation’s largest trading partners — Mexico, Canada and China. He again argued the US is “subsidizing” those countries and said tariff hikes will create a more equitable economy for the US and its allies. But Trump said he “can’t guarantee” tariffs won’t lead to increased prices on goods for Americans, as economists have suggested.
“I can’t guarantee anything. I can’t guarantee tomorrow,” he said, before claiming that during his first presidency “we had no inflation” and that the tariffs he imposed “cost Americans nothing.” Both of these claims are false, as CNN has fact-checked.
Trump also said he does not intend to replace Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, when he takes office.
Responding to concerns that his initiative to reduce government spending, spearheaded by tech entrepreneurs Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, could lead to cuts to entitlement programs, Trump promised not to make cuts to Social Security or raise the retirement age to begin receiving benefits. But he did say his administration would look to make the program “more efficient.”
Ramaswamy has previously said his and Musk’s initiative, the Department of Government Efficiency, would seek to eliminate “waste, fraud and abuse” in entitlement programs.
After tapping Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a leading vaccine skeptic who has promoted anti-vaccine conspiracy theories, as his pick to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, Trump said he’s open to Kennedy looking into eliminating childhood vaccines “if they’re dangerous for the children.” He then falsely suggested that vaccines have contributed to a rise in autism diagnoses, a claim that has been repeatedly debunked.
Trump continued to tout his isolationist foreign policy agenda, teasing possible movements away from US allies in Europe. He refused to commit to keeping the US in NATO for the duration of his term, saying if NATO allies did not increase their contributions to funding the organization’s defense expenditures, he would “absolutely” consider withdrawing. And when asked whether Ukraine should prepare to receive less US aid when he takes office, Trump said “possibly, probably, sure.”
Trump, who will be the oldest person sworn in as president, again committed to releasing his medical records, saying he has “no problem with it” and “I think anybody should.” He has previously released letters from his personal physicians outlining his health but has not released detailed accounts of his medical history.
America’s economy ‘risks massive Trump slump’ US GDP could contract by as much as two to three percentage points, according to NIESR
Tim Wallace Deputy Economics Editor Tim Wallace Related Topics Donald Trump, North America 09 December 2024 8:00am GMT
Trump’s policies threaten to reverse his promises to boost the economy and tackle high living costs Credit: Brian Snyder/Reuters Donald Trump risks tipping the US into recession if he follows through with the promises made on the campaign trail, a top economist has warned.
Paul Mortimer-Lee of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) said the “ill-considered, rushed and damaging” combination of tariffs, the mass expulsion of illegal immigrants, tax cuts and spending efficiencies was “likely to tip the US economy into recession.”
Mr Mortimer-Lee said: “In a worst-case scenario, where immigrant expulsions are massive, tariff increases hit straight away and retaliation is swift and effective, GDP could contract by two to three percentage points.”
Such an outcome would mark a massive slump when compared to the strong growth enjoyed by the US this year. NIESR estimates America’s economy will expand by 2.8pc in 2024.
It would also represent a significant challenge to Mr Trump who ran much of his campaign on a promise to boost the economy and tackle the cost of living crisis that many citizens blamed on President Joe Biden.
A recession in the world’s largest economy would send shockwaves across the globe, with China, Mexico, Canada and Germany all likely to struggle given their deep economic links to the US.
Mr Trump campaigned on a promise to impose steep tariffs on imports, including of up to 60pc on China, to tighten the US’s borders and cut taxes while slashing government spending. He has stepped up his rhetoric around tariffs since his election victory last month and appointed Elon Musk to the newly created Department of Government Efficiency. The billionaire has said he hopes to cut $2 trillion of spending.
Mr Mortimer-Lee said Mr Trump’s immigration policies would be the most damaging, given the important role this group plays in the US economy.
He said: “Expelling five million workers could reduce GDP by close to 2.5pc. Since expulsions would continue for years, the reduced rate of growth in GDP would be persistent – not a one-off shock like tariffs.”
Shortages of workers, particularly in migrant-heavy industries such as agriculture, retail and construction, are likely to send wages spiralling and stoke inflation. Mr Mortimer-Lee also warned that tariffs would also stoke inflation.
The Federal Reserve would usually be expected to raise interest rates to try to rein in price rises but there is a risk that the future president could successfully pressure officials into keeping borrowing costs low.
“How large the eventual inflation effect and how long it lasts will depend on whether Mr Trump succeeds in bending the Federal Reserve to his will, which would mean a softer monetary policy stance,” Mr Mortimer-Lee said. “Contrary to the consensus, I take the view that he will be successful, so that the initial shocks to prices from his other policies will feed through to second and third-round effects.
“As a result, inflation could rise to 7pc or 8pc by 2027, especially if an economic downturn were met by an outsized money-financed fiscal deficit, which is a very real prospect.”
Mr Trump has suggested he wants the president to have a greater role in setting interest rates and there has been speculation that he could seek to sack Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.
However, the president-elect on Sunday said he did not plan to sack Mr Powell, telling NBC’s Meet the Press: “I don’t see it.”
Mr Mortimer-Lee said foreign investors would be reluctant to lend to the US if the Fed’s independence were undermined, resulting in higher borrowing costs for the government.
“The possible outcomes include a funding crisis, pro-cyclical fiscal tightening, fiscal dominance of the Fed, and a dollar crisis,” he said.
Just a note about Trump going after Congressional Representatives
I believe that the speech and debate clause in the constitution would preclude and charges being made. Congressional representatives have immunity for their actions as representatives.