Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 19,302
M
Legend
OP Online
Legend
M
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 19,302
BLS revision shows hiring was overstated by 911,000 jobs in past year

U.S. employers are adding far fewer jobs than initially tallied, in the latest sign that the labor market may be weaker than expected, according to a preliminary report from the Labor Department on Tuesday.

The report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows hiring for the 12 months ending in March was overstated by an estimated 911,000 jobs. That large revision was somewhat expected, but still on the high end of what both economists and White House officials predicted.

In a research note published Sunday, economists at Goldman Sachs predicted that the revision would be between 550,000 and 950,000 jobs. And in a Sunday interview with NBC's Meet the Press, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent put his estimate at up to 800,000 jobs.

The revision is part of a routine, annual exercise in which the government checks its monthly jobs numbers — which come from a sampling of employers — against much more complete data from state tax records. Tuesday's estimate is preliminary. A final tally will be released early next year.

But it has been closely watched this year, after President Trump fired the previous BLS head last month after a weaker-than-expected report. Trump claimed without evidence that the agency was manipulating the numbers to make the economy under his term look bad.

This year's revision comes at a time when the Federal Reserve is closely monitoring signs of weakness in the labor market, ahead of a key decision on interest rates next week. The central bank is widely expected to cut its benchmark borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point in an effort to prevent widespread job losses.

Investors largely shrugged off the revision on Tuesday morning. All three major U.S. stock-market indices were flat.

Last week, the Labor Department reported lackluster job growth during the summer months, with employers adding just 22,000 jobs in August and a net loss of jobs in June for the first time since the pandemic winter of 2020.

The latest preliminary annual revision is further likely to compound concerns about the labor market.

Trump's attacks against the BLS have raised concerns about whether the government's number crunchers will face political pressure, fueling worries about the integrity of the country's economic data.

President Trump last month nominated conservative economist E.J. Antoni to lead the BLS. Antoni previously worked at the right-leaning Heritage Foundation, and many commentators have raised concerns about whether he has the experience to run the agency or whether he will protect it from political influences. Antoni would need to be confirmed by the Senate.


https://www.npr.org/2025/09/09/nx-s1-5527000/bls-us-job-growth-numbers-revised

rofl Not again!!


At DT, context and meaning are a scarecrow kicking at moving goalposts.
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 76,259
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 76,259
Quote
The revision is part of a routine, annual exercise in which the government checks its monthly jobs numbers — which come from a sampling of employers — against much more complete data from state tax records. Tuesday's estimate is preliminary. A final tally will be released early next year.


So you mean the August numbers wasn't some "fake numbers" out to get trump and he fired somebody who didn't deserve it in a tantrum? Imagine that.

rofl


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,092
Hall of Famer
Offline
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,092
Who gets fired for this?


Joe Thomas #73
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 43,180
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 43,180
Two Comments:

1: Who did this count? By that I mean, was it those that took the Trump Loyalty Pledge?

2: It went from an average of 147,000 per month to 71,000 to 74,000 so while it's a hit, it's still better than Trumps record this time or last time.

Here is some info

The U.S. added 911,000 fewer jobs from April 2024 to March 2025 than previously reported, according to a preliminary revision by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released on September 9, 2025. This is one of the largest downward revisions to federal employment data on record. The revised data indicates a significantly weaker labor market during that 12-month period, with average monthly job gains falling from about 147,000 to roughly 71,000-74,000.
Key Details of the Revision

Downward Revision:
The BLS's preliminary benchmark revision reduced job creation by 911,000 for the period of April 2024 through March 2025.

Weaker Labor Market:
The revised data shows that the U.S. labor market was weaker than previously thought.
Impact on Average Monthly Gains:
The average monthly job gain for the period dropped from approximately 147,000 to about 71,000-74,000.
Sector-Specific Revisions:
Significant downward revisions were seen in sectors such as leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and information.
Benchmark Revisions:
These annual revisions use administrative data to adjust the preliminary estimates from monthly employer surveys, ensuring the data remains representative of the actual labor market.
Further Revisions:
The data is still preliminary and will be updated again with a final estimate in early 2026.


#GMSTRONG

“Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.”
Daniel Patrick Moynahan

"Alternative facts hurt us all. Think before you blindly believe."
Damanshot
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 34,676
O
OCD Offline
Legend
Offline
Legend
O
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 34,676
I don’t believe any info manufactured underTrump nor rightwing outlets. Liars one and all. But it’s obvious, no matter the number of real jobs Biden created; 15 or 16 million over 4 years… he still had a better economy and better everything else when compared to Trump. When the boards’ MAGA posters post this kind of propaganda as a gotcha, one can’t help but laugh and send the snark.

DawgTalkers.net Forums DawgTalk Palus Politicus BLS revision shows hiring was overstated by 911,000 jobs for the 12 month ending in March.

Link Copied to Clipboard
Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.5