http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/story/11390228Here are five teams that can go from zero to hero
Feb. 17, 2009
By Clark Judge
CBSSports.com Senior Writer
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Two years ago it was the New York Giants that emerged out of nowhere. A year later it was Miami, Atlanta and Arizona that made improbable runs to the playoffs -- with the Cards overcoming gargantuan odds to reach the Super Bowl.
Don't blame the Packers' subpar '08 on quarterback Aaron Rodgers. (US Presswire)
So who's next? Pay attention, class, because you're about to find out. I'll give you five possibilities, with one caveat: To qualify you must have had a losing record in 2008.
That means Denver and New Orleans and Houston -- clubs that should be dangerous -- just checked out, and the field narrowed. Still, it's not wide enough to include Detroit. Not yet, anyway. Jim Schwartz can coach; he just can't produce miracles. Sorry, Detroit, but if you're looking for rebounds I suggest you start here first:
Green Bay
There are three reasons to embrace this team: 1) It lost seven games by four points or fewer; 2) It has a franchise quarterback in place; and 3) It plays in the NFC North, where anything is possible. The Packers are only one year removed from the club that reached the NFC Championship Game and it looks as if they have a reliable quarterback in Aaron Rodgers.
He wasn't the reason the club swooned last season; the league's 20th-ranked defense was, with a 24-21 loss to Houston Exhibit A. Texans' quarterback Matt Schaub threw for 414 yards, and running back Steve Slaton ran for 120. It doesn't take a genius to figure out that you can't win while hemorrhaging over 500 yards to an opponent. That's why the Packers jumped at the chance to hire Dom Capers as defensive coordinator. Of course, having Capers means switching to a 3-4 alignment, and that may take some adjusting.
The Packers could use another pass rusher. They could use a defensive tackle. They could use a cornerback. Maybe two. They need help, which is why the NFL invented free agency and the draft and why the club reached out to Capers. This team is not far away, and with Minnesota and Chicago in front of them moving to the front of the class is not out of the question.
Kansas City
The Chiefs lost 23 of their last 25 games under Herm Edwards and a slew of quarterbacks in between. Nevertheless, I think they have a chance, and it's not based on Scott Pioli as the new GM. Nope, I like them because they have a passel of young and talented players who gained experience a year ago; because they had five oh-so-close calls, losing four by a total of nine points (including two to San Diego by two points); and because they play in the AFC West, where a .500 record can get you to the top.
First, of course, the Chiefs must find a quarterback, and they might be close with Tyler Thigpen. All I know is that his wide-open play should suit new coach Todd Haley. They must settle things with running back Larry Johnson, too, especially after he made it clear he wants to play somewhere else. I don't care what Johnson wants; I care what this team needs, and it needs a running back that is productive, unselfish and trustworthy.
One out of three won't cut it for Johnson, but there's Jamaal Charles, Kolby Smith and whoever Pioli finds in this year's draft. Then, of course, they must rediscover a pass rush. Former Chiefs linebacker Derrick Thomas once had seven sacks in a game. He had six in another. The Chiefs had 10 all of last season. Disgraceful. Fix that, and you start moving up in the standings.
Cleveland
Eric Mangini had instant success at his last job. (Getty Images)
Eric Mangini inherits a club that is better than the Jets outfit he took over in 2006, but there's one problem that can't be ignored: The AFC North. Not only does the best team in football play there; the best two teams in the AFC do.
That's a concern, especially with a young quarterback and an offense that didn't produce a touchdown in the last six games. Brady Quinn should be OK, and I like Kellen Winslow in a new offense and Braylon Edwards if someone dips his hands in glue. I don't worry about the offensive line. But running back? Not so fast.
Jamal Lewis isn't the answer. A younger version is. So find him. The defense stunk, but you would, too, if you spent three-quarters of the game on a short field. Still, the Browns must be better against the run -- especially in this division -- and produce more than 17 sacks. All I know is that this club has the talent to make a move; the biggest problem is that it must budge Pittsburgh and Baltimore. But Mangini had to contend with the Patriots in 2006, and he beat them at their stadium en route to a 10-6 finish. He could pull the upset again, but he will need help in all the right places.
San Francisco
I can't believe I'm making this pitch either, not with a club that hasn't had a winning season since 2002. But the 49ers were a different unit under coach Mike Singletary, winning four of their last five and resembling, yes, a professional football team for the first time in years.
They should've beaten Arizona in Arizona. They came this close to Miami in Miami. OK, I admit it, one thing that bothers me is their record against playoff opponents: They were 0-5. There's another thing, too: I'm not sure how far they go with Shaun Hill at quarterback. I love his passion. I love his tenacity. I just don't know that he has the ability to lift this team.
The 49ers have productive, young players in a lot of positions, and they should. They've been collecting top 10 draft picks for years. Still, they need a franchise wide receiver, and they need tight end Vernon Davis to do something other than show up every third weekend. Most of all, they need a refresher course in turnovers, and I mean how not to commit them.
So they had 18 takeaways. I know that stinks, but this is what concerns me more: 35 turnovers, including 16 lost fumbles. This is a team that fumbled 36 times, so the good news is it recovered more than it lost. The bad? If that doesn't stop and stop now, the only thing going up in San Francisco is Hayes Street.
Seattle
The Seahawks can't be as bad as they were a year ago, and they were dreadful. But they lost a zillion receivers and played most of the year without Matt Hasselbeck. I don't see that happening again. I also don't see the defense playing as miserably as it did in 2008, when it ranked 30th overall and was shredded for 25 touchdown passes. Only Arizona was worse in the NFC.
The Seahawks have a lot of work ahead of them, beginning with the offensive line and working outside to wide receiver where it's time they gave Hasselbeck a go-to guy. It would be nice to settle on an every-down back, too, though I thought Julius Jones was that man. Apparently not. That's not a deal breaker. Arizona made it to the top with the league's worst rushing attack.
Hasselbeck's bad back concerns me, but if he plays there's no reason this club can't be in the middle of things. Remember, the last time Jim Mora took over a club he had it in the conference championship game his first season. I like Mora, but I don't like his chances of pulling an encore. I do, however, believe the Seahawks should be a factor in a division they once owned.