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This is what some posters do not get [FA].




I know I said I was done with Colt but if you're going to take a shot at me I'll respond.

I get what he wrote very well. I actually said the same thing. But what part don't you get that these type of QB's have not panned out well. There is a history of "project QB's" on the scrap heap of the NFL.

I'm sorry if I don't buy and hope that a guy is going to completely change at the NFL level. I think that is a huge transition and trying to learn it at this level on a practice squad/scout team is asking a lot.

I don't know what is wrong with you older generation guys that bring up past generation of players into an argument that they don't belong in.

I never said Colt should be starting, I was pointing out the other QB's are starting despite most of them played at a much lower level of competition and prestige than did Colt. Yes they played in a Pro Offense and that was my entire point that seems to have jumped over your head.

Now since he played in a gimmick offense at Texas he needs to learn a Pro Offense while sitting on the bench. And people like you think all Holmgren has to do is speak in his ear and he will be the next Tom Brady.

Now is it impossible? No, he might be the next {insert mid-late round pick turned superstar}. But forgive me if I don't bet my house on it in Vegas.

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FA,.....I don't no what History you are referring to.
For every QB who has failed to make it at the next level there is another player who has made it.
Most of the College QB's haven't come from a team that runs a pro set offense in the history of the League.
Yes there are many today that do, but there were far less QB's in the history of the league who did not have the benefit of playing in a pro set at College.

The point I was trying to make and why I
mentioned Ed Lothamer is because there are starters and there are jobs for backups even then.
To say from what little you have seen from Colt, that he is not NFL caliber is very premature.
There is no way someone should be speculating that he is the next BQ either.
That's just BS imo.
To say that you have already came to the conclusion that he is not NFL caliber says it all.


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FA,.....I don't no what History you are referring to.
For every QB who has failed to make it at the next level there is another player who has made it.
Most of the College QB's haven't come from a team that runs a pro set offense in the history of the League.
Yes there are many today that do, but there were far less QB's in the history of the league who did not have the benefit of playing in a pro set at College.

The point I was trying to make and why I
mentioned Ed Lothamer is because there are starters and there are jobs for backups even then.
To say from what little you have seen from Colt, that he is not NFL caliber is very premature.
There is no way someone should be speculating that he is the next BQ either.
That's just BS imo.
To say that you have already came to the conclusion that he is not NFL caliber says it all.




FL,
For every Mid-Late round pick QB that has won a Superbowl there are dozens that never took a snap. And the majority of ones that did make it came from a Pro Offense.

I've seen this over and over and over and over where people get up in arms that someone doesn't like a guy. They cry foul and claim we don't know anything, give the guy a chance. blah blah blah.

I have my opinion and I'm entitled to it. We are both on the same line of argument form different ends. You want to sit and wait, I want to wait and see. I've already said that I'm no NFL scout and I would gladly eat some crow.

But for you to act like it's a simple transition and all you need to do is sit a year or two learning a pro offense in practice and not on the field says all I need to know. Right back at you!


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my fellow DawgTalkers, you never cease to amaze me. Just wanted to give a kudos to all for continuing to create an epic thread on a topic that is universally panned as being media b.s. (and that seems to even be undebated here in this thread itself making it all the more impressive).

as for Colt, I just wish he would make a petition to the league for #45. outside of that, I hope not to see him play after the Bears preseason game until preseason next year.


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For every QB who has failed to make it at the next level there is another player who has made it.



I would say it is more like one out of every seven or eight that makes a name for himself in the NFL even as a journeyman back-up.

I bet 7 or 8 QBs are taken each year and I bet you end up with 1 starter, 1 long term back-up and 6 guys that are out of the league within 2 years..


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For every QB who has failed to make it at the next level there is another player who has made it.



I would say it is more like one out of every seven or eight that makes a name for himself in the NFL even as a journeyman back-up.

I bet 7 or 8 QBs are taken each year and I bet you end up with 1 starter, 1 long term back-up and 6 guys that are out of the league within 2 years..




You are underselling how many QBs are drafted each year. And, your %'s are a bit pessimistic. Let's take a look at two drafts that happen to be polar opposite in terms (one good for QBs and one terrible):


Take 2008 as the good example (and it is not out of the norm by any measure):

http://www.nfl.com/draft/2008/tracker#dt-tab-set-1:dt-by-position

13 QBs drafted

2 definite starters (Ryan/Flacco)
1 fringe starter (Henne) - still has to prove he can last as starter
2 solid backups (Dennis Dixon / Matt Flynn)

And the rest. Booty, Brennan, O'Connell, and Josh Johnson have shown some promise as backups. Brohm the biggest bust in this class (drafted round2)

Take 2007 as the bad example - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_NFL_Draft

11 QBs drafted

1 definite starter (and still unproven): Kevin Kolb
1 fringe starter (probably shouldn't be): Trent Edwards
2 decent backups: Troy Smith, Tyler Thigpen
2 big 1st round busts - Russell, Quinn

And the rest. John Beck sadly the best of the rest. However, even in this poor QB-talent draft, most are still in the league. Only Stanback, Rowe, and Russell are out of the NFL (and Russell likely will get 1 more shot at some point....unless that NO tryout was it).

this makes some sense when you think about it. With most teams going 3 QBs depth-wise that is 96 spots in the NFL with only 10-15 getting drafted each year. there's always going to be a couple Favre's playing into old age, but that still leaves a 3-5year window for any QB showing a little bit of promise (heck, Chris Simms and Charlie Frye were still getting shots this preseason in Tenn and Oakland respectively)



So, in a 2 year span 24 QBs were drafted and only 3 (4 at best) can be considered definitive starters for their teams going forward.

with another 5 being solid backup options.


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So, in a 2 year span 24 QBs were drafted and only 3 (4 at best) can be considered definitive starters for their teams going forward.

with another 5 being solid backup options.



So I said of 7 draft picks 2 would end up as starters or solid back ups.. that's 28%.

After your research you concluded that in those two years combined, you have 8 of 24 as starters or solid back-ups.. which is 33%...

So my percentages really aren't THAT pessimistic..


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So, in a 2 year span 24 QBs were drafted and only 3 (4 at best) can be considered definitive starters for their teams going forward.

with another 5 being solid backup options.



So I said of 7 draft picks 2 would end up as starters or solid back ups.. that's 28%.

After your research you concluded that in those two years combined, you have 8 of 24 as starters or solid back-ups.. which is 33%...

So my percentages really aren't THAT pessimistic..




You misread. That would be 9/24, which is 37.5%

and, you said 7or8, if i take the more pessimistic number, that means 2/8 = 25% which equates to 6/24. So, 3 less QBs making it every 2 drafts

actually the main thing I thought you were too pessimistic on was the out of the NFL after 2 years, but it's more fun to argue these minute details and keep this thread going anyway


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jc...Colt has a better chance of getting cut after the final cuts than before IMO. Both chances though are slim unless he's really not putting in the time and effort behind the scenes.

He does look like a kid back there when he plays. Like he's 15 or something.


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You seam to understand my point and explained it in terms that we all can understand.

There are teams who still do not have" their guy"
And with so many roster spots in the league.
I think teams like to have a proven #2, but that's just not the case with all teams.
Teams keep three around for a developmental guy. Some develop, others do not, but I don't see how one could formulate from one training camp weather or not the light will come on or not.
All draft picks 1st rounders included are gambles.
Just look at the 1st round picks who failed here.

Sorry Bernie,.....when I saw him in his 1st training camp I never thought he would make a good starter.
He looked like a high school QB. *L*
Okay, I learned that lesson, that is;
Not to come to any conclusions from a players 1st training camp


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You are right that Holmgren has never drafted a 1st round QB.... but he also hasn't needed to. He's had a Montana, a Young, a Hasselbeck and a Favre - all in the prime of their careers.




Exactly.
And while I don't think Homgren ever confirmed this (could be wrong), wasn't there speculation last April he was interested in moving up to get Bradford?


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He was damn near ready to give up this year's entire draft to do so.


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You misread. That would be 9/24, which is 37.5%

and, you said 7or8, if i take the more pessimistic number, that means 2/8 = 25% which equates to 6/24. So, 3 less QBs making it every 2 drafts



So if you cherry pick my worst numbers and your best numbers then it looks worse? sheesh..

Quote:

actually the main thing I thought you were too pessimistic on was the out of the NFL after 2 years,



Clearly I was exaggerating.. I didn't mean that some of them weren't still on a roster.. just that they were buried on a depth chart, on a practice squad or somewhere never to be heard from again... and I'm pretty sure that that applies to at least 78.4% of all QBs not taken in the first or second round by teams that were under .500 the year before.





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He was damn near ready to give up this year's entire draft to do so.




I didn't get that impression at all.. I remember him saying that he thought Bradford was the real deal and was going good... But I doubt that Holmgren would EVER pull a Ditka..


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He was damn near ready to give up this year's entire draft to do so.




I didn't get that impression at all.. I remember him saying that he thought Bradford was the real deal and was going good... But I doubt that Holmgren would EVER pull a Ditka..




Well the word from the Rams camp was he offered a lot of picks from this year and next and they said no they were staying put. Many believe if the Rams were not up for sale they might have took it, but the value of the team with a #1 QB was much higher.


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JC..

I think the surrounding team also affects a bust or not, an average QB drafted to a bad team I think is more likely to end up a bust, where as an average QB on a good team could be turned into a legitimate starter.

And sadly, often top 10 draft picked QBs go to bad teams.


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I hope Colt gets a couple series with the (1's) Thursday. It'd be nice to see what he does with guys like Bender on the sideline rather than protecting his arse.

He looked better against the Lions than the previous two games...not very good...but better.

I think his ceiling is as a slightly smaller version of Delhomme.

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as for Colt, I just wish he would make a petition to the league for #45.


You can't give him Ernie Davis' retired number!!!!!!

I don't care how cool it would sound


I thought I was wrong once....but I was mistaken...

What's the use of wearing your lucky rocketship underpants if nobody wants to see them????
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Quote:

as for Colt, I just wish he would make a petition to the league for #45.


You can't give him Ernie Davis' retired number!!!!!!

I don't care how cool it would sound




I was joking, but I apologize if you found it in poor taste.


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and I'm pretty sure that that applies to at least 78.4% of all QBs not taken in the first or second round by teams that were under .500 the year before.




it's actually 78.375%. let's not get hasty with the estimations here


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So now that Colt had a solid showing, giving everyone a peek of that heralded accuracy of his can we put these outrageous rumors to rest? I think Colt needed a good outing just for his own peace of mind. With what he will learn over the season, and having a full off-season with the team. I imagine by this point next season Colt will look like a much better QB. Maybe someone we can feel confident taking the team from Jake (should we be moving on from him next season, really too early to tell.)

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If Jake plays all season like he has in pre-season, then McCoy isn't touching this team until Jake retires.


Browns is the Browns

... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.

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If Jake plays all season like he has in pre-season, then McCoy isn't touching this team until Jake retires.



I don't know that he has to retire but then I don't know how many more years he plans to play.. McCoy just has to prove that he's ready to take the job and at that point, he will get it..


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Once Jake retires I'm all for picking up another aging proven Vet...

We can start McCoy when he's 30

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McBoy is not there yet; really looked rough with the tenth string out there. Still, 13/13 is great stuff. Jake is clearly a mile ahead of the quebeez we have had.


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Just clicking

Recognizing that Colt led the 3rd stringers, some of which won't be here come 6pm on Saturday,,, and also recognizing he was playing against 3 stringers, many of which won't make the Bears roster.. he did pretty good..

Outside of the fumble he was 13 for 13.. no real long passes but very accurate and he moved the team down field.

Put him with the 1st string Oline and receivers,, he might not have had that fumble.. not sure. but for sure he'd have had better protection. Who knows what that could have meant.

Ratliff had roughly the same guys and didn't really do anything that makes me thing he should be retained.

Yeah, I think we can put the rumors of McCoy being on the bubble to rest..


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Most of his passes were dump offs underneath but if they are going to basically give you a short toss and run for 12-13 yards per play.. why would we be hoping he zings some into coverage down the field? Just so we can see it?


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Most of his passes were dump offs underneath but if they are going to basically give you a short toss and run for 12-13 yards per play.. why would we be hoping he zings some into coverage down the field? Just so we can see it?




in preseason game4 that basically means nothing and we aren't going to see him until preseason next year (hopefully )....

yes, just so we can see it. i think Daboll should have drawn something up that forced him to make a tough pass a bit deeper just to see how he reads downfield progressions and his mechanics. Preseason is for testing/teaching afterall.

that said, I suspect he was playing within the gameplan and I am not going to complain too much about a QB going 13/13. Better he does that than go for the underneath stuff and end up 5/13 or worse as we have had here before.


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I thought he played a very competent game for the most part.

He was also sacked 3 times in a little more than a half. I don't believe that Ratliff was sacked at all. Young "mobile" QBs often run themselves into as much trouble as they run out of.

One thing I noticed when Ratliff was in ..... he was pressured .... flushed out of the pocket ...ran to the sideline .... and fired the ball downfield where it could not be picked off. He saved a big sack there. McCoy needs to learn this.

All in all, McCoy showed some promise .. but he also has a long, long way to go. The defense never started taking away the RB screens as they would in normal game situations.

He did hit a couple of receivers dead on in stride aas well. Nice to see.


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Most of his passes were dump offs underneath but if they are going to basically give you a short toss and run for 12-13 yards per play.. why would we be hoping he zings some into coverage down the field? Just so we can see it?




I don't see why that's even a problem.. someone on the gameday thread was calling him the second coming of Captain Checkdown..

Again, to me it's, whatever works.. that's what they gave him, that's what he took and the kid was accurate.. nothing behind or to far in front of or over the head of his receivers.. he was pretty much on target.

Think about how well Joe Montana made that look.... think about who his QB coach was.... Then think about who the president of the Browns is...

Coincidence? I don't think so


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I am not going to complain too much about a QB going 13/13




That's ok.. somebody will.


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Yeah, I think we can put the rumors of McCoy being on the bubble to rest..





Daman...maybe the "Colt is on the bubble" bunch will fold up their tents and thank Tony Grossi for pushing such a ridiculous story line.

But, IMO, Grossi continues push a somewhat anti-McCoy storyline, writing the following in one of his updates of game, last night...

..."Shawn Lauvao started at center for some much-needed experience there. It's obvious the Browns want Lauvao to double as the team's starting right guard and backup center. Well, wouldn't you know? Lauvao's first snap to Colt McCoy was fumbled and recovered by the Bears at the Browns' 19."...

..."McCoy's second series was almost as bad. On third-and-1, McCoy tap-danced in the pocket until he was sacked."...

web page

Grossi wrote the following in a 10:56 pm update last night...

..."Speaking of McCoy, the rookie finally had some fun and reason to feel good about his first NFL preseason. But it didn't start out that way.

McCoy fumbled the first snap from rookie Shawn Lauvao -- who started at center and probably added that backup role to his starting job at right guard. McCoy then suffered a sack on his fourth play when he tap-danced in a well-formed pocket.

But McCoy showed the resiliency that made him the NCAA's all-time winningest quarterback at Texas. Playing into the third quarter, McCoy regrouped and went on to complete all 13 passes he attempted for 131 yards. He was sacked three times.



Last week, McCoy said he never practiced a single play he ran in the Detroit game. He obviously got more reps in two days of practice this week, and it showed.

McCoy, though, may have broken a bone in his left (non-throwing) hand."

web page

Maybe Grossi will stop his ridiculous story line against McCoy now that McCoy had a decent showing last night..

Anyone know anything about Grossi's comment about Colt breaking a bone in his left hand?




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You know, I was thinking along those lines.

People complain we didn't throw downfield. But, if we march down the field with 10 yard passes, who the heck cares?

If it takes us 9 plays to go 90, but we actually go the 90, then who cares that it *could* have taken us 1 play to go that 90?

"Well, that's not going to be available during the season."

Who cares? It was available last night. And like others have said, would we have been happy if he had just chucked it downfield into coverage just because we wanted to see it? No, then we'd be bashing him for making poor decisions.

Now, could he have held on to the ball a little longer, maybe allowing guys to free up? Maybe. I have no idea how well covered the guys downfield were.

And, if I'm a QB, and I see a guy I could throw to in a few seconds who may or may not be open, or a guy I can throw to now for 3 yards with 7 yards of green space in front of him, I'd probably take the checkdown, too.

Then, when the D starts creeping up, I hit one over their heads.

I'll take 4 yards a play all day.


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I just find it hilarious that people think there is even enough to grade beyond identifying a few things the kid needs to work on...

In his first preseason, after going, 20/37 (54%) for 172 yards (4.6 ypa) with 1 td, and 2 ints.. was Aaron Rodgers on the bubble? No, he was a first round pick.. McCoy was a third round pick and he outplayed him through their first preseason with a much better completion percentage and a better ypa.. so you know what that tells me? Nothing, which is what we can get from one preseason.


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I just find it hilarious that people think there is even enough to grade beyond identifying a few things the kid needs to work on...

In his first preseason, after going, 20/37 (54%) for 172 yards (4.6 ypa) with 1 td, and 2 ints.. was Aaron Rodgers on the bubble? No, he was a first round pick.. McCoy was a third round pick and he outplayed him through their first preseason with a much better completion percentage and a better ypa.. so you know what that tells me? Nothing, which is what we can get from one preseason.




Exactly,, We've seen nothing that will really tell us what the kid will grow up to be.. Rogers is a very good example..

It's like this Hardesty thing.. People thinking we are doomed without him this year.. hell, I don't think that is even remotely true but some naysayers already feel as if we are down for the count,,,LOL

Cracks me up.


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