Simmons, if available at 10 is a beast. If he gets picked before 10, you gotta go, Xavier McKinney S from Alabama. He reminds me of Ed Reed. While OL is a need, it isnt as bad as Browns fans think it is. OL is not a difference maker. You dont waste Top 10 picks in the Draft on OL. The Browns have a ton of holes on defense. Joe Thomas proved, OT doesn't translate to wins
McKinney should be available in the late teens. No way you take him at #10. If he is a target, he is a great player, trade back 5-6 slots and grab him there and get a 3rd or 4th rounder in the deal. Maybe a 2nd if you can wait until next year for the pick.
If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
I can understand why some would like us to draft Simmons or a good SS, CB etc. We are going to have to face Lamar twice a year and probably Joe Burrow. If we somehow manage to finally make the playoffs we will probably have to face D. Watson and for sure Patrick Mahomes. We certainly will need players on D who can cover and get to the QB. Seems to me we will have to get very lucky to fill all our holes with 1 draft and 1 FA period. We probably need 2 and that's hoping we can keep the good players we already have.
I read your post a couple of times before responding. I think I understand you to say if Simmons were there at 10 take him don't trade down. Right?
I might not be following you and you correct me if I am not.
But, I am thinking that you are talking about my comment on the Vertical vs Horizontal board????
If so, I am steadfast in that I believe in the Belichick's Vertical board that guys like Ozzie, Demhoff, etc have followed.
Don't deviate from your Vertical board by more than 1-2 spots because of need. Most of the time, 2 spots is too many. Of course, there are exceptions and BB even said he went 3 spots down "one" time.
So, if you have Simmons rated as your 7th overall player [I'm making this part up because I have no idea] and an OT as your 10th or 11th best overall player, it would be a mistake to take the OT instead of Simmons. Draft BPA almost always!!!
I know that might sound odd to a lot of you. Let me try this...........Remember the J. Ogden/Lawrence Phillips thing I talked about on your thread? Ozzie had Ogden higher on the Vertical board. Modell wanted Phillips because the team needed a RB and for other reasons. Ozzie stayed true to his board and drafted Ogden. He's in the HOF. Phillips, I believe, was killed in prison.
That's to dramatic. The key is to remember that you can always fill need in upcoming years, via trades, or in FA. Your draft picks........and this is extremely important is to draft players [especially in rounds 1 and 2[ that will be the cornerstones of your franchise for years and years.
Good conversation and feel free to ask me questions if I wasn't clear. I kind of feel I wasn't. Or, debate me. It's all good.
Do you put Burrow on your board, even though you have no intention of drafting a QB ? Or do you build your board based on positions you plan to draft, based on need ? I can see using both boards. One to track the draft, to follow what other teams are doing, and to focus on the positions you have planned to draft for. Or is that what you meant by Horizontal and vertical boards ?
The Cleveland Browns - WE KNOW QUARTERBACKS ( Look at how many we've had ... )
Yes, Burrow would be on your boards. You rank the players all the way from 1 to ??. I'm not sure how many players they rank. I just know it is a lot.
The horizontal board will slot the draftee into your team's positional group. Your team has obviously identified positions/units that need an upgrade, but the Horizontal board allows you to be more precise.
Thanks, I understand better what you are saying. I originally thought when you said "two slots" you were referring to draft slots. But now I realize that you were talking about evaluation/grades. When faced with a dire need for Oline and possible perennial pro-bowler like Simpson it would take quite a bit of discipline to resits addressing the need. Especially when the need involves supporting your biggest investment at QB. You would have to practice draft scenarios where you did not draft OT in the first round. Winging it while on the clock would be disastrous.
I do now understand the logic behind your post. Thanks again.
The question that I raised before in regards to the Browns is:
Who does the ranking and how do they derive at the final ranking?
Scouts handle a territory. Then there are positional scouts. They report to a director of scouting. Then there is a VP of Player Personnel and a VP of Football Administration. Then there are assistant directors for pro scouting, and scouting. Then at the top the GM.
Then the head coach and coordinators have a say as well as position coaches.
Lots of layers. Lots of people judging players in the league and college players.
So building a vertical and horizontal board and final rankings are where the meat is.
Mis rank someone and the Board is wrong.
Consensus must be difficult? Add analytics to the process.
Link of the chain bad evaluators. Bad ranking = poor draft.
So how this is set up, who is involved, and how does it end in ranking and the ultimate decision (owner)?
You bring up a good point about having the discipline to resist moving too far off your Vertical board and filling a need.
I think it's pretty obvious that a lot of teams have lacked that discipline over the years. Sometimes, we all say "how did that guy fall so far in the draft," and sometimes the answer is that there were teams who did not have a need at the player's particular position. [Note: obviously it can for other reasons, like off-the field issues, etc.]
I just think history shows that you hurt the long-range success if you pass on better players for guys who fit a need. That's why I chose the stories of Ogden/Phillips and Ed Reed/Lito Sheppard in your BPA vs Need thread.
With all of that said, I have no idea what the boards look like. Simmons might not be ranked higher than one of the OTs on some of the team's boards. I was just speaking in hypothetical terms.
Could anybody with more expertise than myself compare Simmons to Edmunds (the athletic LB drafted by Buffalo).
"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
I think Simmons is going to better, but I think 4Life found a pretty good comparison. Both guys are big, fast, and are versatile enough to play multiple positions.
I will add that I believe Edmunds skipped a year of high school. That's something to consider when evaluating his potential.
That is why I have refrained from the draft and free agency etc.
When the final roster is set I will look at the players that were drafted and their college tape. Saw a couple highlights of the combine watched none live.
I see no sense in going through all I used too. Lost interest. Have no predetermined feeling about the new regime. Not concerned really.
Results. I will tune to watch the season opener and be ready to go cheering for the Browns to win.
What I see I will judge nada till then.
I like Stefanski and Berry wish them the very best. Again it is all about results though.
Same goes for Baker, Odell and the rest. Shut up, play ball and win games.
"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
That’s impressive to skip a year like that. I think it’s a pretty solid comparison athletically ... I remember BUF used him as a spy against Lamar with some success when I saw the game
"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
I have no idea how good he will be, but I think he is worth taking at 10. I also think your Edmunds comparison was pretty damn good. Big, fast, athletic guys who play a variety of positions. I also get the Derwin James comparison, but I think Edmunds might be a better comparison.
I have no idea how good he will be, but I think he is worth taking at 10. I also think your Edmunds comparison was pretty damn good. Big, fast, athletic guys who play a variety of positions. I also get the Derwin James comparison, but I think Edmunds might be a better comparison.
It depends on how he's used in the NFL. In college Simmons played basically every position besides the interior of the defensive line. That's more similar to how Derwin James is used. Edmunds is a versatile linebacker.
No matter what, Simmons is a true difference maker. His athletic profile is basically a big, faster Julio Jones.
Simmons would also likely be the only front 7 player who could shadow Lamar Jackson.
I think the real problem is that history shows that the "jack of all trades" tends to still be the master of none. But from what I've seen, Simmons may very well be the exception that proves the rule.
Assuming, at least, that the DC is willing to do more than just line him up at WILL or nickel safety.
Then again, that still makes him two players.
People ask me what I do in spring when there's no football. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for fall
To me, this is run up and hand in the card if he's there at 10.
He won't be. There is NWIH he gets past Rhule in Carolina at 7.
If you want to move up, your only real trade partner is the Chargers @ 6. If they're not in love with Justin Herbert QB, they can get their much needed OL help at 10. They'd want your 2nd (41) and next years 2nd. You won't pick again til #74.
That's really the only way I see him being a Brown.
I can understand why some would like us to draft Simmons or a good SS, CB etc. We are going to have to face Lamar twice a year and probably Joe Burrow. If we somehow manage to finally make the playoffs we will probably have to face D. Watson and for sure Patrick Mahomes. We certainly will need players on D who can cover and get to the QB. Seems to me we will have to get very lucky to fill all our holes with 1 draft and 1 FA period. We probably need 2 and that's hoping we can keep the good players we already have.
No doubt. The only way we might fix it this year is to sign 2 starting quality offensive linemen in FA to fix the line, but the reality is we probably only sign 1. But if we did, we could concentrate on defensive players in the draft because we have holes at the three defensive units on the field.
If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
I’ve seen Love’s name creep up too. Likely a top 10 pick. So that means Burrow, Tua, Herbert, Love could all be top 10 picks. Excellent
"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
I've got a feeling the following will be taken before #10: Burrow, Young, Tua, Becton, Okudah, Herbert/Love, Simmons, Wirfs, Wills.
What do you do? Thomas, D. Brown, Kinlaw, trade back????
Depends on what people are offering to trade back.
I hope Brown and/or Kinlaw go top 9.
I might have to consider Chaisson. I still need to actually watch his film, though. Just looking at big boards, positional value, and considering Vernon's towards the end of his deal. Plus, Woods had some fierce pass rushes on his recent Defenses.
You mess with the "Bull," you get the horns. Fiercely Independent.
"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Cooper is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Moore is flanked out wide to the right. Chubb and Ford are split in the backfield as Watson takes the snap ... Here we go."
Wires was impressive. I just think it might be worth extra for Simmons. Speed kills. We need impact players for tackles and a safety. Simmons seems able with speed and experience in college to be able too check a number of boxes.
"Every responsibility implies opportunity, and every opportunity implies responsibility." Otis Allen Glazebrook, 1880
Wires was impressive. I just think it might be worth extra for Simmons. Speed kills. We need impact players for tackles and a safety. Simmons seems able with speed and experience in college to be able too check a number of boxes.
Realistically he should not make it past the Giants, but the Giants are a different breed come Draft day.