|
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,354
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,354 |
CDC: Some people are drinking and inhaling cleaning products in attempt to fight coronavirus Orion Rummler Orion Rummler Image of Clorox bleach Clorox bleach. Photo: Chris Delmas/AFP via Getty Images The CDC released data on Friday from a survey commissioned to understand why more people have been calling poison control centers during the coronavirus pandemic. What they found: Roughly 200 adults who responded to the survey in May said they intentionally inhaled disinfectants, washed food with bleach, or applied household cleaning products to bare skin to combat the virus — all of which are dangerous. Fewer respondents reported drinking or gargling household cleaners and soapy water to fight COVID-19, or inhaling bleach and other cleaners. Flashback: President Trump said in April that disinfectants may be used to treat coronavirus, which doctors quickly warned people against doing on social media. Trump later said that his comments had been sarcastic. The survey did not address Trump's comments as a contributing factor. Methodology: The opt-in online survey of 502 U.S. adults was conducted on May 4 by the Porter Novelli Public Services. The median age of respondents was 46 and 52% of respondents were women, while 63% were white. Respondents included all U.S. Census regions, with most from the South. Survey responses were weighted to be nationally representative of U.S. demographics, but do not represent the U.S. population as a whole. What's next: The CDC is collecting more data to understand some Americans' lack of knowledge when handling household cleaners, and plans to look more closely at demographics. https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-cdc-bleach-09fd3abd-f8ae-4f2c-a67a-5b2d3cc0ab2b.html
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 27,363
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 27,363 |
I AM ALWAYS RIGHT... except when I am wrong.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201 |
Thin the herd; disinfect the gene pool.
Browns is the Browns
... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480 |
Of course, it is an early analysis, and robust numbers are difficult -- but that's good evidence for the efficacy of the lockdown.
~Lyuokdea
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480 |
~Lyuokdea
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201 |
We didn't learn in 2008, we aren't going to learn now. I don't care what the fiasco or crisis is, STOP BAILING OUT COMPANIES.
Browns is the Browns
... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201 |
Of course, it is an early analysis, and robust numbers are difficult -- but that's good evidence for the efficacy of the lockdown.
and it's probably the same modeling skills that showed apocalyptic numbers by early April. In other words, at best, it is likely one tenth that.
Browns is the Browns
... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480 |
Of course, it is an early analysis, and robust numbers are difficult -- but that's good evidence for the efficacy of the lockdown.
and it's probably the same modeling skills that showed apocalyptic numbers by early April. In other words, at best, it is likely one tenth that. Probably the same modeling skills.... but it's not worth checking, of course... Here is the March 22 paper from the same group: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.22.20040642v1.external-links.html?versioned=true
~Lyuokdea
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201 |
I don't doubt that it's had an effect; I question the magnitude, just as I question the early estimate of just how widespread it was.
With us just now hitting 2 million cumulative cases, I just don't see the 60 (or 80 in that second link) million number being valid. Yes, I understand exponential growth. No, I don't believe the natural path would have followed a purely linear exponential track; especially in a country as large and spread out as this one.
Browns is the Browns
... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 34,622
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 34,622 |
I think a lot of bigger cities would have been hit like NYC if we had not locked down. NYC got hit early and hard.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 52,480
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 52,480 |
We didn't learn in 2008, we aren't going to learn now. I don't care what the fiasco or crisis is, STOP BAILING OUT COMPANIES. but they're too big to fail, purp! THEYRE TOO BIG TO FAIL!!!!
“To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public.”
- Theodore Roosevelt
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 19,144
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 19,144 |
We didn't learn in 2008, we aren't going to learn now. I don't care what the fiasco or crisis is, STOP BAILING OUT COMPANIES. I completely agree, though I was under the impression from reading the title that top execs were giving themselves some of the bailout money. After reading the article, some took paycuts and that 874 million figure is from data prior to the pandemic. The furloughs and layoffs of lower paid hospital workers sucks the big one. I know a lot of these people and they are hard working front line staff who don't deserve this type of treatment. They work short all the time and I don't see how eliminating positions benefits anybody.
And into the forest I go, to lose my mind and find my soul. - John Muir
#GMSTRONG
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480 |
I don't doubt that it's had an effect; I question the magnitude, just as I question the early estimate of just how widespread it was.
With us just now hitting 2 million cumulative cases, I just don't see the 60 (or 80 in that second link) million number being valid. Yes, I understand exponential growth. No, I don't believe the natural path would have followed a purely linear exponential track; especially in a country as large and spread out as this one. Assuming an IFR of 0.006 (which seems to be the best result from the world average), there have been about 18M cases in the US thus far (based on 110,000 deaths). That is what the 60M deaths are being compared to. So they think the lockdown roughly decreased the number of cases by a factor of 3 (maybe 4, in the model with 80M cases). They say we would have detected 4.5M cases without a lockdown -- currently we've detected right about 2M, so that is a little more than a factor of 2 decrease (we would have missed more early cases, because our testing capability wasn't there yet). So they are predicting roughly a factor of three change, not a factor of 30-40.
Last edited by Lyuokdea; 06/08/20 12:04 PM.
~Lyuokdea
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,201 |
eh, ok... I can get with that, kinda, but it seems pretty damn weak and super cheesy to be claiming an extrapolated/projected success from an inferred/guessed at number just so you can boost your claim.
It's a headline attention-grabber, but really just an extrapolation built on an extrapolation.
Browns is the Browns
... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 15,570
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 15,570 |
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215 |
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 52,480
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 52,480 |
So we’re really gonna gloss over the fact that over 300k trump supporters are willing to sign a COVID waiver to go to a rally and hear about how it’s a hoax and overblown?
“To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public.”
- Theodore Roosevelt
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 15,987
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 15,987 |
So we’re really gonna gloss over the fact that over 300k trump supporters are willing to sign a COVID waiver to go to a rally and hear about how it’s a hoax and overblown?  trump supporters 
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,197
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,197 |
Well here we go.
The rally will be interesting to see just from the standpoint of those who show up. Will they follow CDC guidelines?
Will they show trump support by not wearing a mask? Like that is a political statement.
Pence says there will be no second wave. Maybe God told him. Like he says “Congress should oppose any effort to put gay and lesbian relationships on an equal legal status with heterosexual marriage.”
Nothing like thousands gathering to hear from the guy who dragged his feat on reacting to the virus while the virus is still killing and cases are increasing in many states.
In a time when the country is crying for leadership in the office of the presidency sits the single worse example of a leader.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
I'm angry and disappointed [which is an even worse emotion for me] that our president and his supporters are making this pandemic a political issue rather than a health issue.
As I said in another thread, my daughter tested positive today. She almost certainly caught it while working at her business. I have also talked about the risk to my wife because she is in health care and is at an advanced age. Trump and his supporters don't seem to care much about us. It's all a freaking political game to them.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,433
Hall of Famer
|
OP
Hall of Famer
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,433 |
Hope she recovers quick. A former colleague who now lives in another area of Alaska caught it and bedridden in her house for 14 days. She’s recovered and her lungs have cleared up.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Thanks. And sorry...I did not mean to make this thread about my daughter and wife. I'm just upset.
And it makes me sick that some folks are treating this as purely a political issue. It ain't political when it's "your" loved ones.
Maybe if everyone had that attitude, we would do a better job of combating the damn virus!
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 17,438
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 17,438 |
News Flash for you. Its a political game for the Dems as well.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
|
|
|
|
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,433
Hall of Famer
|
OP
Hall of Famer
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,433 |
What gets me is here in town is that 95% of people are great at having a mask on, yet the 5% who typically aren’t wearing masks aren’t Alaska Native. Alaska Natives have dealt with countless pandemics and yet here we have people going on and on about oppressive government while not recognizing the history of how pandemics have impacted Alaska Natives.
Idiots. I share your feelings on this one.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
It's infuriating. Hell, more people than not are not wearing masks here in SC.
I was at the grocery store last week and there was this big idiot in a bright green shirt, flip flops, shorts, no mask, and walking down the wrong way of an aisle. He sees a guy he knows who is wearing a mask and traveling the correct way. They exchange hellos and the green-shirted guy is very loud. He shouts: "I see you still have your Covid costume on. That blank is long gone." He laughs loud. I'm right behind his acquaintance and I say: "Blankhole."
I have no problem w/people who want to endanger themselves, but stop putting the rest of us at risk.
I was talking to my daughter today and she was lamenting the fact that she can't prove that those two business clients didn't give her the virus. The fact is that more folks will get the virus because of people who act selfishly.
And here is another thing. I hear these idiots saying "Oh, this virus wasn't that bad. They overstated things and took away our rights." Uhmmm.........did any of those geniuses stop to think that taking precautions actually helped combat the spread of the virus?
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,354
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,354 |
in California, Arizona, Florida and Texas it looks like they are setting new highs for new case counts every day
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,991
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,991 |
Of course, it is an early analysis, and robust numbers are difficult -- but that's good evidence for the efficacy of the lockdown.
The lock down wasn't effective. It was a delay tactic. If you avoided being exposed, you're still as vulnerable as you were during the lockdown. People that avoided the virus are now out getting exposed, which will be the cause of the 2nd wave.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 13,575
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 13,575 |
New Zealand begs to differ.
The more things change the more they stay the same.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,480 |
The lock down wasn't effective. It was a delay tactic. If you avoided being exposed, you're still as vulnerable as you were during the lockdown. People that avoided the virus are now out getting exposed, which will be the cause of the 2nd wave.
But now the hospitals aren't overloaded -- and the doctors generally know how to treat patients better. The mortality rate would have been much higher if all the ICUs were overloaded (like in NYC). We potentially even have Dexamethasone -- with very promising early results. If we can really cut the death rate by a third - that's a huge win for delaying. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53061281
~Lyuokdea
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 42,960
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 42,960 |
Sorry to hear about your daughter.... Hope she gets through it!
I feel your pain on the politics of the pandemic. Shouldn't be political, but it sure is.
#GMSTRONG
“Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.” Daniel Patrick Moynahan
"Alternative facts hurt us all. Think before you blindly believe." Damanshot
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215 |
News Flash for you. Its a political game for the Dems as well. Expecting some accountability and leadership in a time of national crisis is not a game.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215 |
Sorry to hear about your daughter and I certainly understand the deep concern you have in regards to your wife. Luckily for myself it hasn't hit that close to home... yet. It's beginning to hit many red states hard as of now. Not trying to be political about it, but it does make me wonder if their view of things will change when it starts impacting their communities much more with so many cases hitting close to home..
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,197
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,197 |
New York is a great example.
A state hit the hardest responded with strict guidelines.
People followed the rules. Cases went down.
If people relax on proven precautions. There will be a price to pay.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
Well, my son tested positive today.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 75,215 |
Damn! With is underlying health issues I certainly hope things work out okay. As a father you must find this devastating news. My prayers go out to your family Vers.
Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.
#gmstrong
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 13,575
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 13,575 |
I don't know what the underlying health issues are - but when things like this hit family and friends it brings a different dimension and hits hard. Prayers and best wishes for a fast and complete recovery.
The more things change the more they stay the same.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,197
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16,197 |
Damn Vers.
I am really sorry to hear that.
The only current thing that I have read is that drug that they are using for people who go into ICU.
Hopefully he has the antibodies to fight this thing.
Hang in there Vers. These are tough times.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,882
Hall of Famer
|
Hall of Famer
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,882 |
Prayers for your family. If you have random medical questions, or want to bend a nurse’s ear, feel free to message me.
|
|
|
|
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499
Legend
|
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 55,499 |
I don't know what the underlying health issues are He is a cancer survivor and his immune system isn't what it should be. Thanks guys, but I am going to bow out now and let the discussion get back to politics. I probably won't look at this thread again because I really am in no mood to read some of the right-wing takes about how their rights have been infringed upon and how the the restrictions were similar to Nazi Germany. But, thanks again for your kind words.
|
|
|
DawgTalkers.net
Forums DawgTalk Palus Politicus Covid-19: The Pandemic Where Facts
are Political
|
|