DawgTalkers.net Forums DawgTalk Pure Football Forum AFC Playoff Chase Continued

Obviously Baltimore losing would be the BEST possible hope, though their schedule is so beneficial the last few weeks

Glad I'm wrong about the strength of victory.
...

Miss the playoffs?
Screw it! Maybe the Browns can get better than 3rd place in the div. next year.

(But their in 2nd place now?, ((((((((ya but the oilers, have the run and shoot, Glanville, Buddy, Warren Moon ain't losing another, Givens' and that passing game nobody is going to stop them, no way they lose one of their last 3, it's doomed)))))))))

Call me crazy, but I have this very strange feeling that Jacksonville may get the best of them. I can't rationalize it though.

I actually think the Giants are going to beat the Ravens.

There D is legit - I think they shut down the Birds and will only need 16 points - maybe 14 to win the game. I think that's possible.

with Freddy Kitchens calling plays? LOL...

I want to readily bag on Freddy, and even outright discount what he did here in 2018 - afterall, there were plenty of reports that it was all someone else prepping those games and not him - but, the simple fact is this: you cannot take anyone lightly. Prepare for every team as if the people running them are the demon offpsring of Lombardi, Brown, Belichick, and Weird Al. Expect to get their best and also not know WTF is coming.

I agree with that.

I hope he stinks it up and we win

Thank you Chargers. Any distance is appreciated.

Yep, makes it just a little bit clearer.

Yup... if Pittsburgh loses out and we win out, we're the #3 seed and own the Division.


and for those clamoring for a rematch with Baltimore, there is a scenario where we end up the #3 seed and they the #6 seed and we play each other in the first round.

I think the Steelers will put an end to the "losing out" scenario this week against the Bengals. We would have to wait until the 2nd round to play the Ravens again

Four teams for three spots now:

Cleveland
Baltimore
Indianapolis/Tennessee
Miami

Jamison Hensley
@jamisonhensley
The Ravens' playoff chances increased from 85.7% to 89% when the Raiders lost to the Chargers on Thursday night.

Current playoff chances for AFC wild-card contenders

Ravens 89%
Colts 87.3%
Browns 86.5%
Dolphins 33.2%
Raiders 4.6%
Patriots 4%

Source: ESPN analytics

Happy birthday! Hope we manage to get in. Enjoy!

thanks Bard ... I’ll take a W Sunday

Not to get to far ahead of ourselves, but getting third in tge division may not be a horrible thing this year. This could be our first of many years in the playoffs with a new coach and system in the year of covid (not sure anyone expected this turn around). Getting third in the division gets us a third place schedule in Stefanskis 2nd year. That means patriots, Houston and denver/chargers vs titans/colts, Miami, and raiders.

Pick your poison i guess.

Yeah, schedule-wise it might benefit us a bit next year, though who knows how teams turn out.

To me, just have Miami lose once and have us beat the Giants and Jets.

If we lose to the Giants it gets tricky

Just looking at that, it's scary how quickly we'll drop with a loss or two. Happy birthday!

I agree... next game is vital. Thanks buddy

I find it interesting that the Ravens have a better chance than us even though we have the better record.

Thought the same exact thing.

I think it’s simply that they have the tie breaker and an easier schedule

Does strength of remaining opponents play into it? I believe the Steelers pretty much have a cakewalk ahead of them.

It also could be the they hold tiebreakers over us. It's good enough that they finish same as us, whereas we need to finish ahead of them.

Well, Pittsburgh plays at Cincy, vs Indy, and at Cleveland

Baltimore’s is much easier: Jacksonville, Giants, at Cincy

The FPI system that ESPN uses doesn't think the Browns are very good this year. It pretty much always expects us not to cover the spread. I think it only give us a 56% chance of beating the Giants, which is why our playoff % is lower than maybe expected.

The Browns have what are considered to be 2 really iffy games @Jets and Pitts. (The Jets are almost a ginme)

The Ravens schedule if far easier, with 3 should wins.

If we win 2, and the Ravens win all 3, they would tie us, and take the upper spot based on their sweep of us.

It would be really, really nice to win the next two games. If we do that it’s almost assured we’re in. The last thing I want is to play PIttsburgh with us HAVING to win

The last thing the NFL wants is the Browns playing Pittsburgh with Nothing on the line.

But that doesn't matter this week. What matters this week is the Giants game.

I'll tell you this, If the Browns lose to the Giants, the Browns will miss the playoffs.

If they are healthy, they should dominate the Giants.

But you said that last week about the Ravens game. You're likely right about this week, given the maths have gotten more clear, but you were bound to be right eventually. No points awarded.

Last week the Browns missed the chance to put the Ravens beneath them for this entire figuring out of the playoffs seedings scenario for this year. Instead the Browns are looking up at the Ravens for the remainder of it.
Given their likely pummeling of the Jags, Giants, and bengals, of course.

Agreed. I can't see the Ravens losing any of their last 3 games. We lost a golden opportunity Monday night to put them away and put ourselves in a great position for the playoffs. We all know why.

Week 15: GO JAGUARS!!!!!

Go Browns!

then Texans, Patriots, Jaguars, then Lions, (Chargers already helped on Thursday,) and Go Bengals, pff. ya right)
in that order.

Because, actually there's a wish to keep the Titans ahead of the Colts, which means tied with the divisional tie breaker, for a small case,

But really, just

Go Browns,
Good news, is if the Browns win all 3, starting with the Giants,

they don't need other help.

You can only play one team at a time.
Get a win against the Giants!

And don't even make it close.

ON paper the Browns overmatch the Giants by a million.
Go turn in the paper!

If Hunt, Chubb, Hooper, Njoku, LANDRY, Higgins and all the others' are playing, then on paper the Browns outmatch the Giants by a factor of 2!

2! Two, I mean, half those guys still out match the G men's star power. 1. v 1.
Half those guys play, you still have more playmakers by a majority!
HALF!

On paper, Go, Turn in the paper! Don't even make it close. Dominate this game like the other side would if they could.

Don't let off the Gas, get Everybody rolling!

The Browns' game is the one that matters most!

I want us to make the playoffs in the worse way as I'm sure everyone on this board does. It's not just to end the longest playoff drought but to give our young Browns playoff experience for the future. I'm always cautious, being a Browns fan for 53 years will do that, but I'm hoping for the best. We should beat the Giants but knowing us it probably won't be easy. Go Browns!!!

Looks excellent
First we have ward play shutdown there best receiver
Against there secondary with all pros at all three levels this is a nightmare for there defense.
Chubb and hunt are better than anything they have seen all year.
I look for the Browns to run the clock out in the 4th quarter for the win

GC. The site I use has as of last night, Browns 1st round playoff probabilities of matchup.

( Bills and Titans leading, as they've been but the Steelers have jumped up since the Bills win yesterday.)

At Bills, 28%
At Titans 25%, host Titans, 1%
At Steelers 24%, host Steelers <1%
At Colts, 10%, host Colts <1%
At Chiefs, 1%
A group of ... all <1%
And Elimination, No playoffs, 10%


There you have it, for what it's worth.
Beat the Giants!
also, FWIW, Best case scenario drops the elimination to 3% with a Browns Win and Patriots beat dolphins,

Worst case scenario raises the probability of elimination to 20% with Browns loss and dolphins beat pats,
they also mention Bengals, vs Steelers for no reason I understand.

HOLD THE PRESS.

Pretty certain I saw you write multiple posts fervently claiming if we lost to the Ravens last week we were OUT of the playoffs? Period.

You just wrote we have a 90% probability - based on the site you use - of making the playoffs?

Can you please clarify. I find it hard to keep up and I haven't had my second cup of coffee yet.