Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Page 4 of 4 1 2 3 4
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
B
Legend
Offline
Legend
B
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
Originally Posted by Bard Dawg
I feel better rolling the dice on Green. The other QB may be worth checking out, and a number of posters seem tp want that. I believe it would muddy the situation more. We haven't got the measure of that room under Monken yet. Not comparing apples to apples yet or anytime soon. Developing Green in two or three capacities that help the browns make sense and good use of his roster spot. If we take Sorsby(?) it feels like drawing to an inside straight (again). I am more comfortable picking him up if we "weed" the QB room or have a reliable sense of how he can work out. I will be clear: I feel no pressure to check him out, become part of this gambling taint, and import his baggage and issues on fans' sayso. MKC seems to want some QB controversy again, and annual failing.
Just say no. Cheap picks with problems are not bargains for the roster or the ;locker room chemistry. As I have stated before, I am not that curious.

Given the flux in the current QB room I don't think we will take Sorsby, or at least with anything but a late pick....say 6th round. He has already missed enough time this year to make him useless for this season, not counting anything the NFL docks him.


If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.

GM Strong




[Linked Image]
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by Bard Dawg
Well,itcan't hurt him to get on the jugs and catch. I would think it makes him a better sales target for trade bait. He wanted to show his stuff in Combine, so why not get paid for it. That hard talk better happen before cuts.

I agree. I don't think we will be able to get him to the practice squad. .

I’m curious why? No other team wanted him before the SIXTH round. These end of draft picks don’t always make a roster. Why do you think all of a sudden one of them would want to sign him to their 53 man roster without even working him out? They can’t sign a player off a practice squad to another practice squad, they have to sign him directly to their 53 man roster.

If the Browns don’t see enough to have him on the 53, I just don’t think other teams would either at this point. If they aren’t going to sign him, don’t play him in the preseason.

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
B
Legend
Offline
Legend
B
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by Bard Dawg
Well,itcan't hurt him to get on the jugs and catch. I would think it makes him a better sales target for trade bait. He wanted to show his stuff in Combine, so why not get paid for it. That hard talk better happen before cuts.

I agree. I don't think we will be able to get him to the practice squad. .

I’m curious why? No other team wanted him before the SIXTH round. These end of draft picks don’t always make a roster. Why do you think all of a sudden one of them would want to sign him to their 53 man roster without even working him out? They can’t sign a player off a practice squad to another practice squad, they have to sign him directly to their 53 man roster.

If the Browns don’t see enough to have him on the 53, I just don’t think other teams would either at this point. If they aren’t going to sign him, don’t play him in the preseason.

The player has to clear waivers before he can be placed on the practice squad. He can be signed as a FA.

I guess we will find out if we try to move him off the roster at cut downs.


If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.

GM Strong




[Linked Image]
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by Bard Dawg
Well,itcan't hurt him to get on the jugs and catch. I would think it makes him a better sales target for trade bait. He wanted to show his stuff in Combine, so why not get paid for it. That hard talk better happen before cuts.

I agree. I don't think we will be able to get him to the practice squad. .

I’m curious why? No other team wanted him before the SIXTH round. These end of draft picks don’t always make a roster. Why do you think all of a sudden one of them would want to sign him to their 53 man roster without even working him out? They can’t sign a player off a practice squad to another practice squad, they have to sign him directly to their 53 man roster.

If the Browns don’t see enough to have him on the 53, I just don’t think other teams would either at this point. If they aren’t going to sign him, don’t play him in the preseason.

The player has to clear waivers before he can be placed on the practice squad. He can be signed as a FA.

I guess we will find out if we try to move him off the roster at cut downs.

Exactly, a team would have to sign him to the 53 man roster. If they didn’t want him after 6 rounds, who is going to replace one of the slots with a QB that the Browns don’t even want on the 53?

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Any team who wants a gadget QB and who is thin at the bottom of their roster.... or, any team that decides they want to try him at WR, or KR. He's in the NFL now; if we waive him, any team can claim him off waivers for free and they then own his rights. Green would have to refuse to sign any contract for the full season to get free of that.


Browns is the Browns

... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 14,095
M
mac Offline
Legend
Offline
Legend
M
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 14,095
Taylen Green-6-6/227...

Posted a record-breaking 2026 NFL Combine performance:
...43.5" Vertical Jump
...11'2" Broad Jump
...4.36 40-yd

...all the best marks by a QB since 2003
...posted an Athleticism Score of 97

IMO, it would be a foolish risk for the Browns management to attempt to place Green on waivers...he would be claimed in a heart beat.





GM strong...

Home of the Free, Because of the Brave...
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Agreed, and I feel there is absolutely zero chance of it happening.

Unless he is a complete flop and implodes, he is on the roster. We drafted him to develop him - or to see if he can be developed, I guess.
If tons of work and lots of coaching can help him improve his throwing/accuracy, the kid will have a legit chance to be something. is athleticism buys him the ticket to stay and will almost certainly ensure that he gets on the field for some gadget plays this year (think Lamar's early days).


Browns is the Browns

... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.

Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by mac
Taylen Green-6-6/227...

Posted a record-breaking 2026 NFL Combine performance:
...43.5" Vertical Jump
...11'2" Broad Jump
...4.36 40-yd

...all the best marks by a QB since 2003
...posted an Athleticism Score of 97

IMO, it would be a foolish risk for the Browns management to attempt to place Green on waivers...he would be claimed in a heart beat.




If the Colts cut Deion Burks, would it be foolish not to claim him? One of the best performers of the combine overall, taken in the 7th round....

I think some people are reading way too much into combine statistics.

If he's a QB, he's a QB and is usually taken way higher than he should have been. He was passed by every team for 5 full rounds. That tells me no one really thinks much of him as a QB.


Originally Posted by PrplPplEater
Any team who wants a gadget QB and who is thin at the bottom of their roster.... or, any team that decides they want to try him at WR, or KR. He's in the NFL now; if we waive him, any team can claim him off waivers for free and they then own his rights. Green would have to refuse to sign any contract for the full season to get free of that.

This is the NFL, if roster spots were plenty, everyone would have a gadget QB on the roster. As it is, until they made a new rule for emergency QBs, NO ONE carried (3) QBs on the roster. Ask yourself why that is and it will explain why I feel he might not make this roster.

How many teams that are "thin" at any position is going to use that spot on a gadget QB?

For the record, he can't just refuse to sign with the new team. He has already signed his rookie contract, so any team that wants to claim him will get him at the 6th round rookie deal he has already signed. If he refuses to play, he is most likely out of the league for good.

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
B
Legend
Offline
Legend
B
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
College has players designated as athlete. I look at Green that way. Plus, I see his future as something other than QB...

I don't know that you are talking about. If he gets waived by the Browns, he is a free agent without an NFL contract. At that point every team in the league could offer him a contract with him free to sign with anybody he wants and negotiate any terms he wants.

It is much like UDFA players. You see some signed with a signing bonus. That means other teams were trying to sign the guy so teams started bidding above any beyond standard rookie deals.


If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.

GM Strong




[Linked Image]
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
College has players designated as athlete. I look at Green that way. Plus, I see his future as something other than QB...

I don't know that you are talking about. If he gets waived by the Browns, he is a free agent without an NFL contract. At that point every team in the league could offer him a contract with him free to sign with anybody he wants and negotiate any terms he wants.

It is much like UDFA players. You see some signed with a signing bonus. That means other teams were trying to sign the guy so teams started bidding above any beyond standard rookie deals.

No, he is only a free agent after he clears waivers. If he is claimed on waivers, the team that claims him assumes his current contract and MUST put him on their 53 man roster.

If he clears waivers, the Browns will be responsible for the guaranteed portion of the rookie contract, and also can then sign him to the practice squad if they both agree. He can also decide to sign with a different teams practice squad if he clears waivers, but once he signs to the Browns practice squad, another team would also have to sign him to the 53 man roster, they can't just move him to their practice squad.

Clear as mud??

At the end of the day, I am sure he will understand he has the best chance at a 53 man roster spot on the Browns practice squad eventually in 2026. He still has the best opportunity to grow and not only make a roster, but play, by staying with the Browns.

I think the only way the Browns would lose him is if someone claimed him off waivers, which I don't think will happen.

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 14,095
M
mac Offline
Legend
Offline
Legend
M
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 14,095
Quote
I think some people are reading way too much into combine statistics.[/b]

[b] iris...the combine numbers are simply a tool that can be used to judge a players athletic ability.

Clearly Green's combine numbers say something about the young man that caught Monken's eye.

Given Monken's recent coaching history prior to being named the Browns HC...
...Monken was the Ravens OC and his QB was Lamar Jackson (2023–2025)
...Monken should know how to judge the potential of "dual threat" qbs
...hopefully Green has the ability to learn and progress
...I trust the judgement of Monken and his staff..!

Those who use combine numbers to judge the individual posting the numbers are focusing on the wrong subject matter, imo..!






GM strong...

Home of the Free, Because of the Brave...
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
If you're going to try and factor things in. Factor in they felt safe leaving him on the draft board until the sixth round and a sixth round investment was all they were willing to make for him.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by PitDAWG
If you're going to try and factor things in. Factor in they felt safe leaving him on the draft board until the sixth round and a sixth round investment was all they were willing to make for him.

Exactly!

Not just a 6th round pick either, the NINTH of Ten draft picks. He wasn't just ignored through 5 rounds, the Browns ignored him 8 times before pulling the trigger. That's 8 players that probably have a better chance to make the final roster. IF he came in like a bolt of lightening, he would be getting reps in camp. Since the vets arrived, he has received zero reps in 7 on 7 or 11 on 11. That's telling also.

Maybe they are just trying to hide him from the world, but I don't think it is that simple.

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
I think he fits the mold of "gadget QB" well in an emergency QB role the way Taysom Hill did for the Saints if he can be developed enough. But I see that more as a possible ceiling than I do the floor.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by PitDAWG
I think he fits the mold of "gadget QB" well in an emergency QB role the way Taysom Hill did for the Saints if he can be developed enough. But I see that more as a possible ceiling than I do the floor.

Hill is part of the Saints 48 game day roster. The emergency QB dresses, but does absolutely nothing unless the medical team deems both QBs out for the game. He would have to take one of the 48 spots on game day to be used as a gadget QB.

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
I get that. I meant his role at the QB position as it would pertain to his play.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
B
Legend
Offline
Legend
B
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 40,516
You are confusing players already on the practice squad and those who are cut before or at the final cutdowns.

I agree. He keeps the signing bonus and there is a per diem for time spent with the team through camp. I doubt he has any guarantees above and beyond that. I also agree that if he clears waivers, we could sign him back to the practice squad. He can also elect to sign elsewhere.


If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.

GM Strong




[Linked Image]
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
You are confusing players already on the practice squad and those who are cut before or at the final cutdowns.

I agree. He keeps the signing bonus and there is a per diem for time spent with the team through camp. I doubt he has any guarantees above and beyond that. I also agree that if he clears waivers, we could sign him back to the practice squad. He can also elect to sign elsewhere.

I'm not the one confused, you are the one that said if he is waived he is a free agent with no NFL contract... That is inaccurate. During the waiver process, his contract follows him to the new team if they claim him off waivers. There is no negotiating, nor can he refuse to "sign a contract". He already signed the contract, he would just be playing on another team.

The rest would come if he clears waivers...THEN he becomes a free agent and can sign anywhere he pleases to the 53 man or the practice squad. Once he signs to a practice squad he can't be taken by another team for their practice squad, he would have to be signed to the 53 man roster.

It's cut and dry, there isn't any confusion..

Last edited by IrishDawg42; 06/24/26 03:15 PM.
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Originally Posted by PitDAWG
If you're going to try and factor things in. Factor in they felt safe leaving him on the draft board until the sixth round and a sixth round investment was all they were willing to make for him.


Now you also have to factor in that they weren't willing to wait for the 7th round or to wait and hope to just get him as an UDFA. They spent a pick when they did to ensure they got him because they felt there was a very real likelihood they would not get him otherwise.


Browns is the Browns

... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
Yes they did. All full well knowing that a 6th round QB selection in the draft has close to a zero percent chance of ever becoming a starter. We both know any sixth round draft pick is not a good bet to pay off well. And least of all a QB selected in the sixth round.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Lately I have been playing around with google's AI Gemini.

If you ask for specific analytical data. You get it.

So, I asked to rank the 2027 quarterback class using all the possible available data.

Dante Moore (Oregon)

Julian Sayin (Ohio State)

John Mateer (Oklahoma) — Adjusted for Healthy Baseline

Arch Manning (Texas)

Darian Mensah (Miami)

C.J. Carr (Notre Dame)

Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)

Jayden Maiava (USC)


*At first Mateer was not listed in the top eight until I asked to factor in his numbers and adjust to before and after he broke the thumb on his throwing hand.

Interesting. One stat that carries heavy emphasis is throwing under pressure.

I doubt that this will be the order that ends being drafted.

Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Analytic criterion:


Conversation with Gemini


Evaluating quarterback prospects through data analytics has drastically evolved over the last decade. NFL front offices have largely moved away from "box score scouting" (like total passing yards or college wins) because those stats are heavily inflated by a team’s scheme or the quality of their wide receivers.

Today, analytics departments use predictive, isolated metrics—numbers that measure how a quarterback performs when the design of the play breaks down, or how much value they generate relative to what an "average" quarterback would do in the exact same situation.

The modern NFL analytics criteria for evaluating draft prospects and predicting their potential to succeed is ranked below, from most influential/predictive to least predictive.

The NFL Analytics QB Evaluation Hierarchy
1. Advanced Efficiency & Value Metrics
These are the gold standards because they correlate most strongly with future NFL success. They measure efficiency on a per-play basis rather than total volume.

EPA per Play (Expected Points Added): Measures how much a quarterback’s actions increase his team's chances of scoring on a given play. For example, a 5-yard pass on 3rd-and-4 has a massive positive EPA, while a 5-yard pass on 3rd-and-10 has a negative EPA. Teams look at how a college QB's EPA translates against high-level defenses.

CPOE (Completion Percentage Over Expected): Using tracking data, artificial intelligence calculates the probability of a pass being completed based on receiver separation, pass rush distance, and depth of throw. CPOE isolates a quarterback's actual accuracy from how "wide open" his college coach schemed the receiver.
NFL.com

2. Situational Splitting (The "Noise Filters")
Analytics departments will take a quarterback's total profile and strip away the easy plays to see how they perform when the playing field is leveled.

Performance Under Pressure: How does the QB perform when the pocket collapses? Passing efficiency clean-pocket metrics can be fluky, but a quarterback who maintains a stable EPA and low turnover rate under pressure is highly coveted.

Performance Outside the Structure (Off-Platform): This tracks what happens when the primary scripted play fails. Front offices track EPA on plays lasting longer than 4 seconds, where the QB must create with their legs or throw on the move.

True Scramble Rate: Teams look for a collegiate scramble rate of 7% or higher when the pocket breaks. A quarterback who can manipulate the pocket and gain first downs with his legs provides a stable analytical "floor" for an offense.
Jets X-Factor

3. Deep Ball Aggression & Volatility
Modern data has shown that being too safe in college is actually an analytical red flag for the NFL.

Deep Pass Attempt Rate: Analytics reveal that first-round quarterbacks who succeed in the NFL almost always threw deep (20+ air yards) on at least 15% of their college dropbacks. This is highly predictive because it proves a quarterback has the confidence, arm strength, and cognitive processing to attack professional-style vertical windows.
Jets X-Factor

Turnover-Worthy Throw Rate (TWT): Tracked by data companies like PFF, this replaces raw interceptions (which can be caused by dropped passes or lucky deflections). Fascinatingly, data shows a slight positive correlation with NFL success if a college QB had a TWT rate above 3%—it means they were willing to test tight windows rather than just throwing safe checkdowns to superior college athletes.
Jets X-Factor
+ 1

4. Adjusted Traditional Passing Metrics
If teams look at standard box scores, they radically adjust them using specific mathematical weights to penalize negative plays properly.

ANY/A (Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt): Far more predictive than standard passing yards. The formula heavily weights touchdowns and strictly penalizes interceptions and sacks:

ANY/A=
Attempts+Sacks
Passing Yards+(20×TDs)−(45×INTs)−Sack Yards


Collegiate Career Completion Percentage: While scheme-dependent, historical models show that quarterbacks who fail to hit a 60% baseline over their college careers face an incredibly steep statistical uphill battle to find accuracy in the faster NFL.

5. Physical & Performance Thresholds
These are treated as baseline filters rather than linear predictors. Once a quarterback clears the minimum threshold, additional points don't necessarily equal more success.

Age and Sample Size (Experience): Analytics models favor "young breakout" players (e.g., a 20-year-old dominating college) over 24-year-old "super-seniors" who took five years to break out against younger college competition.

Height & Weight Thresholds: While historical baselines required a QB to be 6'2"+, modern analytics have relaxed this due to outliers like Kyler Murray or Bryce Young. However, height remains a minor statistically significant baseline in regression models to ensure clear vision over NFL offensive lines.

The Scouting Combine (Athletic Testing): Things like the 40-yard dash or vertical jump carry the lowest predictive weight for standard quarterback success. While a fast 40-time is great for a dual-threat asset, it has almost zero statistical correlation with a prospect's ability to operate successfully from the pocket in the NFL.

The Analytical Takeaway: If an NFL front office is building a predictive draft model today, they weigh a quarterback's EPA/CPOE composite, their deep-ball intent, and their efficiency under pressure far above their physical size, 40-time, or raw college win-loss record.

Joined: May 2013
Posts: 363
1st String
Offline
1st String
Joined: May 2013
Posts: 363
Originally Posted by PitDAWG
Yes they did. All full well knowing that a 6th round QB selection in the draft has close to a zero percent chance of ever becoming a starter. We both know any sixth round draft pick is not a good bet to pay off well. And least of all a QB selected in the sixth round.

2022: Brock Purdy (Round 7, 262nd Overall - 49ers) 2018: Gardner Minshew (Round 6, 178th Overall - Jaguars)2012: Russell Wilson (Round 3, 75th Overall - Seahawks) , Kirk Cousins (Round 4, 102nd Overall - Commanders)2010: Tyrod Taylor (Round 6, 180th Overall - Ravens) 2004: Matt Cassel (Round 7, 230th Overall - Patriots)2001: Marc Bulger (Round 6, 168th Overall - Saints) 2000: Tom Brady (Round 6, 199th Overall - Patriots)1998: Matt Hasselbeck (Round 6, 187th Overall - Packers)1992: Brad Johnson (Round 9, 227th Overall - Vikings)

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
Posting exceptions to the rule does not change the rule.

You included Russell Wilson who was a third rounder, Kirk Cousins who was a 4th rounder and had to reach all the way back to the 1990's to even find names that do fit actual 6th round selections. You even included Purdy who was not a 6th round selection either just to try and increase your list. Here are the actual results of 6th round QB draft picks since Brady was drafted in 2000......

6th round backup selection from the 6th round.

Perennial Backups some of which were stop gap starters.....

1. Tyrod Taylor

2. Gardner Minshew

3. Tanner McKee

4. Derek Anderson

5. Bruce Gradkowski

6. Riley Leonard


6th round Clipboard Holders

7. Jeff Driskel

8. Jim Sorgi

9. Jordan Palmer

10. Curtis Painter

11. Zach Mettenberger

12. David Fales

13. Garrett Gilbert

14. Joe Webb

15. Ryan Lindley

16. Brandon Allen

17. JT O’Sullivan

18. Joe Milton

19. Sam Ehlinger

20. Jake Luton

21. Drew Henson

22. Brooks Bollinger

23. Nate Sudfeld

24. Kliff Kingsbury

25. Luke Falk

26. Rusty Smith

27. Brad Kaaya.....Never Played (No Regular-Season NFL Snaps)

28. Jake Rudock

29. Keith Null

30. Tony Pike

31. Tom Brandstater

32. Colt Brennan

33. Josh Harris

34. Dan LeFevour

35. Tajh Boyd

36. Keith Wenning

37. Josh Booty

38. Andre Woodson

39. Jeff Smoker

40. Trace McSorley

41. Josh Heupel

42. Reggie McNeal

43. Mike Teel

44. Steve Bellisari

45. Andy Hall

46. Devin Leary

47. Tanner Lee.....##Too Soon

48. Will Howard

49. Cam Miller

50. Graham Mertz

51. Kyle McCord


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,610
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,610
Originally Posted by bonefish
Lately I have been playing around with google's AI Gemini.

If you ask for specific analytical data. You get it.

So, I asked to rank the 2027 quarterback class using all the possible available data.

Dante Moore (Oregon)

Julian Sayin (Ohio State)

John Mateer (Oklahoma) — Adjusted for Healthy Baseline

Arch Manning (Texas)

Darian Mensah (Miami)

C.J. Carr (Notre Dame)

Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)

Jayden Maiava (USC)


*At first Mateer was not listed in the top eight until I asked to factor in his numbers and adjust to before and after he broke the thumb on his throwing hand.

Interesting. One stat that carries heavy emphasis is throwing under pressure.

I doubt that this will be the order that ends being drafted.


Ummm... where is LaNorris Sellers??


HERE WE GO BROWNIES! HERE WE GO!!
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
I asked for the top eight.

So, he didn't make it.

However, lots can change and I am sure will change after this season ends.

Moore was clearly the top guy based upon the data used.

My opinion which is the opposite and analytical data.

I really like Mateer. He reminds me of Baker but he is a better athlete overall. Mateer is a really good runner. Both can spin it. They are similar in personality and leadership.

They both have that grit and determination.

I am actually looking more forward to the college season which is highly unusual. Normally I pay hardly any attention to college.

However, our future quarterback is most likely going to be in the draft.

Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,610
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,610
Is that what it said?

Do me a favor, if you can still open that chat. Ask why Sellers wasn't ranked in the top eight and for any specific reasons why. I would be very interested in that answer.


HERE WE GO BROWNIES! HERE WE GO!!
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Gemini answer:

The main reasons draft analysts currently have him projected just outside the elite tier (often hovering as a Day 2 pick) include:

Passing Regression: While his dual-threat running ability is elite, Sellers took a noticeable step back as a pure passer. His accuracy has been hit-or-miss, and he has struggled with consistency under pressure.

Field Processing & Decision-Making: Film evaluation shows that he routinely locks onto his first read, rarely looks off safeties, and struggles with processing speed and anticipation. Against high-level SEC defenses, holding onto the ball too long and trying to force late, layered throws has led to costly turnovers.

High Ceiling, Low Floor: NFL scouts view him as a volatile "traits-over-production" prospect. While other 2027 prospects like Arch Manning, Dante Moore, and C.J. Carr showed more refined pocket mechanics and progression reading, Sellers is still considered quite raw.

The Outlook:He chose to stay at South Carolina to work under a less complicated offense geared toward boosting his stock. If he can clean up his footwork, speed up his internal clock, and cut down on the "hero ball" mistakes, his physical tools could easily rocket him back into the top-tier conversation.

Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 28,404
for kicks, run the same analysis for the 2025 prospects and see how the outcome compares with actual draft position


Browns is the Browns

... there goes Joe Thomas, the best there ever was in this game.

Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Interesting.

here it is:

1. Cameron Ward (Miami)The Analytical Edge: Ward was an analytics darling in 2024, posting an FBS-best 92.9 PFF offensive grade. His 6.3% Big-Time Throw rate proved he wasn't just a product of a safe system; he actively generated explosive, high-value plays out of structure. He combined elite volume with top-tier efficiency metrics across the board.

2. Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss)The Analytical Edge: Dart actually finished as the highest-graded pure passer in the draft class. His analytics excel due to elite downfield accuracy and highly stable metric grades when throwing from a clean pocket. His EPA per attempt on "created plays" (plays extended past the initial design) ranked near the top of the entire country.

3. Shedeur Sanders (Colorado)The Analytical Edge: Sanders owned some of the safest analytical floor metrics in the class, highlighted by a staggering 81.8% Adjusted Completion Percentage (accounting for drops) and a microscopic 1.3% Turnover-Worthy Play rate. The main anchor on his analytical profile was his high pressure-to-sack conversion rate, meaning he held onto the ball too long, but his pure distribution metrics were pristine.

4. Tyler Shough (Louisville)The Analytical Edge: While age (25) and injury history weighed down his traditional draft stock, analytics looked at his on-field efficiency in a vacuum. Shough posted a career-high 87.7 PFF passing grade in 2024. His internal clock and EPA per dropback on third downs were both highly translatable NFL traits.

5. Jalen Milroe (Alabama)The Analytical Edge: Milroe is a fascinating analytical case. His overall PFF grade was strong (87.0+ over two seasons), driven heavily by an elite rushing EPA and dynamic deep-ball metrics. However, his intermediate-depth accuracy and standard success-rate metrics under pressure dragged his ranking below the top three.

6. Dillon Gabriel (Oregon)The Analytical Edge: Gabriel is a massive size outlier (under 6-foot), which hurt his draft slot. However, his data mastery is undeniable: he secured PFF passing grades of 80.0 or higher in five of his six college seasons. He ranked near the top of college football in quick-game EPA, completion percentage over expectation (CPOE), and post-snap diagnostic speed.

7. Will Howard (Ohio State)The Analytical Edge: Howard benefited heavily from operating an efficient offense, putting up a strong 79.6% Adjusted Completion Percentage. What elevated his analytical profile into the top eight was his 96.3 deep passing grade, meaning when he did push the ball 20+ yards downfield, it was exceptionally accurate and safe from defenders.

8. Riley Leonard (Notre Dame)The Analytical Edge: Leonard edges into the top eight largely because of his dual-threat metrics. His rushing success rate and EPA on designed quarterback runs were elite. While his throw-by-throw passing consistency and standard CPOE numbers were lower than the pure pocket passers above him, his overall expected points contribution per game remained highly competitive.An Analytical Takeaway: Notice the contrast between this list and traditional media mock drafts. Players like Tyler Shough and Dillon Gabriel rank much higher analytically because metrics evaluate efficiency per play without punishing a player for being older or undersized.

Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 20,135
M
Legend
Offline
Legend
M
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 20,135
Originally Posted by FATE
Originally Posted by bonefish
Lately I have been playing around with google's AI Gemini.

If you ask for specific analytical data. You get it.

So, I asked to rank the 2027 quarterback class using all the possible available data.

Dante Moore (Oregon)

Julian Sayin (Ohio State)

John Mateer (Oklahoma) — Adjusted for Healthy Baseline

Arch Manning (Texas)

Darian Mensah (Miami)

C.J. Carr (Notre Dame)

Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)

Jayden Maiava (USC)


*At first Mateer was not listed in the top eight until I asked to factor in his numbers and adjust to before and after he broke the thumb on his throwing hand.

Interesting. One stat that carries heavy emphasis is throwing under pressure.

I doubt that this will be the order that ends being drafted.


Ummm... where is LaNorris Sellers??

Where is Brendan Sorsby?


At DT, context and meaning are a scarecrow kicking at moving goalposts.
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
The top eight came from Gemini.

I don't know how it looked at Sorsby?

I did read that at the Manning Academy CJ Carr was way above all the others at the Camp according to Todd McShay.
The Camp had Arch Manning and many of the other top prospects.

McShay said his footwork and mechanics were flawless and he was super accurate.

I could be wrong but I think Sorsby will end up being really good. He will have a year of professional therapy. He has a strong family who support him. He knows what he has to do.

He is a gifted athlete with a bag full of quarterback tools.

Young people make mistakes. Some like Manziel stay as a mistake. Others can turn it around and become the best version of who they are.


Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
All Pro
Offline
All Pro
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 919
Originally Posted by bonefish
The top eight came from Gemini.

I don't know how it looked at Sorsby?

I did read that at the Manning Academy CJ Carr was way above all the others at the Camp according to Todd McShay.
The Camp had Arch Manning and many of the other top prospects.

McShay said his footwork and mechanics were flawless and he was super accurate.

I could be wrong but I think Sorsby will end up being really good. He will have a year of professional therapy. He has a strong family who support him. He knows what he has to do.

He is a gifted athlete with a bag full of quarterback tools.

Young people make mistakes. Some like Manziel stay as a mistake. Others can turn it around and become the best version of who they are.


CJ Carr is probably my favorite prospect, but inner circles are saying he plans to stay in school until 2028. If he stays, great chance he will be the #1 overall pick. Manning gets points just for being a Manning. This is going to be a crowded QB class, even if Carr stays in school.

Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
Legend
Offline
Legend
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 17,594
McShay went to the Manning Passing Academy.



Super high on the class.

I love Mateer.

Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 20,135
M
Legend
Offline
Legend
M
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 20,135
Originally Posted by bonefish
The top eight came from Gemini.

I don't know how it looked at Sorsby?

I did read that at the Manning Academy CJ Carr was way above all the others at the Camp according to Todd McShay.
The Camp had Arch Manning and many of the other top prospects.

McShay said his footwork and mechanics were flawless and he was super accurate.

I could be wrong but I think Sorsby will end up being really good. He will have a year of professional therapy. He has a strong family who support him. He knows what he has to do.

He is a gifted athlete with a bag full of quarterback tools.

Young people make mistakes. Some like Manziel stay as a mistake. Others can turn it around and become the best version of who they are.


All I know is that college football is going to be a lot of fun tracking how these QBs perform over the course of the season.


At DT, context and meaning are a scarecrow kicking at moving goalposts.
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
Originally Posted by bonefish
I could be wrong but I think Sorsby will end up being really good. He will have a year of professional therapy. He has a strong family who support him. He knows what he has to do.

He is a gifted athlete with a bag full of quarterback tools.

Young people make mistakes. Some like Manziel stay as a mistake. Others can turn it around and become the best version of who they are.

He had that same strong family when his gambling was going on too.

And some team will take that "flip a coin" gamble. I just hope it isn't the Browns.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 5,175
R
Hall of Famer
Offline
Hall of Famer
R
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 5,175
Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by Razorthorns
I honestly think Green is the steal of the draft and by the time Sanders is wanting Legendary money Green will be ready to step in. Green is by far the most physically gifted QB from this draft and it's not even close. The problems with his throwing motion and footwork are completely fixable. A super high character young man who knows how to keep his mouth shut. Green is going to make Sanders sweat a LOT.

You might be able to fix them at best. The problem is a college coach has no incentive to try to develop a player for the NFL. You take what the player offers and go with that, so we will see.

IMO I would see if he can catch. If so, it will be easier to turn him in to a great player at the receiver position. It's easier to teach that than the QB position. I know a few on here have said he has said he will be a QB and nothing else. He has also said he is here to do whatever it take to help the team win.

I don't care what he has said. Now that he is being paid by an NFL team, I think he will seek to continue to be paid even if the team switches his position.

I have some questions for you.

If a player can't be coached up and fix some issues within the position he has played his whole life, why do you think it would be so easy to turn him into something he isn't?

What makes teaching receiver easier than teaching QB?

How is it that an athlete in college that has been very successful at receiver, comes into the NFL and all of a sudden has very little success? Why are the top athletes at THAT position at the combine, not the top WRs in the NFL?

Being a top professional athlete has as much to do about their psyche as it does their physical and intelligence. What you are asking the team to do is blow up his psyche by telling him he isn't good enough, before he even gets the chance to see what he has. I just don't get it....

Very fair questions. There are plenty of players who have talent but who didn't have good coaching to develop it correctly. Most the of the reasons they don't make it at the next level has to do with how they adjust the new speed of the game. Reaction time and quick decision making is key. These are hard to coach and take intense training to improve so most don't do what is needed. Why is it easier for a transition to WR than QB? Because a QB has to read the full field and make split second decisions while getting creamed. A WR only has to read a portion of the defense and just go so there is a LOT less mental stress and more of a reliance on physical abilities. I am not saying Green is guaranteed to be good at any position. I am only saying he is insanely gifted physically.

I like where we drafted him a LOT because he will be viewed as a long term project instead of needing to start right away. That being said, I want him as a QB. I've been watching him for a while and he has some strong potential. He can make some incredible passes and when he runs the ball he is extremely dangerous. I view him as the best running QB since Lamar. We have a head coach that turned Lamar into a real passing threat so I think Green has fallen into the best shot of success possible with the Browns. Green's biggest problem was his consistency while under duress but almost all QBs have that problem. Only time will show if he can improve that. Either way, I think he could easily play HB and do great at it and be a viable option of Q gets hurt. This boy can RUN! He has the height and speed to be a menace at WR. Can he catch? Run Routes? I have no clue. BUT he is a smart kid so I think he can learn. Why not keep his position as QB and let them learn the HB and WR positions too?! I think having a deeper understanding of the positions would make him a better QB because it improves intuition and instinct which speeds up decision making.

I view him as a steal of the draft because he has the tools to be someone special and could easily become a great back up QB who is used for trick plays and chaos much like Kordell Stewart from the Steelers used to do. Even if Sanders blows it up this year a quality backup QB is essential in my opinion. At worst this kid makes the perfect wildcat QB. The fact he can throw bombs down the field doesn't hurt either. His arm is HUGE. Anyways, I am just hoping for him to be developed slowly over several years while Sanders starts. I saw enough from Sanders at the end of last year to feel like he deserves his shot to be the starter this year so don't think I want to run Sanders off to start Green right away. I just seen Green as a viable fall back plan if Sanders doesn't pan out and we can't draft a good QB.


You can't fix stupid but you can destroy ignorance. When you destroy ignorance you remove the justifications for evil. If you want to destroy evil then educate our people. Hate is a tool of the stupid to deal with what they can't understand.
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
P
Legend
Offline
Legend
P
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 79,818
I think you could also add that high school doesn't really teach them how to go through their progressions and have complicated playbooks. Raw talent alone is the main ingredient high school coaches look for. There are exceptions of course but not many. The ability to process what's happening on the field rapidly is more of a gift than something that can be taught. You can teach them what it is they're looking for but you can't make their brain speed up to process it faster. That's a very rare commodity to find.

That's what college coaches get to work with. Players can transfer at the drop of hat. No college HC knows how long they will have that kid to work with. So the choice becomes a simple one. Do they use what time they have with these kids to try and transform them into some kind of complete QB which will certainly take a large amount of time? Or do they take the skill set these kids are naturally gifted with and cater the playbook around that?

You find a kid that can run the system you want to run and roll with him. Sometimes that leads to a kid becoming a great NFL QB but far more times than not it doesn't.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

#gmstrong
Page 4 of 4 1 2 3 4
DawgTalkers.net Forums DawgTalk NFL Draft 2026 Pick #182 Arkansas QB Taylen Green

Link Copied to Clipboard
Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.5