Both teams are sitting at 2 and 2 and this is obviously an important game for both teams. I was hoping for a clearer picture of status of injured players on both teams before I started this thread because I think some of those players are directly involved in the key matchups for this game. It's getting late in the week, though. Let's give it a go.
Some Numbers: [These are for reference purposes only]
Line: Chargers are favored by 2.5. I think it opened at 3. The over/under is 47.5.
Offense:Yards per/Game: Browns @ 384.8, which is 4th in the NFL. Chargers @ 371.8, which is 7th overall.
Points per/Game: Browns = 26.3, good for 6th overall. Chargers = 23.0, which is 12th in the NFL.
Defense:Yds/per game: Browns at 326.9, which is 9th in the NFL. Chargers at 349.5, which is 20th overall.
Pts/per Game: Browns surrendering 23.8, which is 19th overall. Chargers @ 27.0, which is 30th overall.
Turnovers:Both teams are +1 this year.
A Few Key Matchup Numbers from The Roar:The Browns have scored on 46.3% of their drives this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 42.2% of opponent drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Browns have rushed the ball on 52.7% of plays from scrimmage this season — third-highest in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 5.7 yards per carry this season — second-worst in NFL.
Browns RBs have averaged 137.0 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed an average of 134.1 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Browns have gone three and out 4 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Chargers defense has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 17 carries in the red zone this season — tied for best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Chargers defense has allowed 13 of 68 (19%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/n...-odds-player-prop-bets-picks-week-5-jaa/Keys to the Game:--How much pressure can the Browns put on Herbert w/out blitzing? The Chargers outstanding young LT, Rashawn Slater, is done for the season. They are starting a rookie at that spot. If Myles can play, we should have a distinct advantage. If he doesn't this will neutralize an advantage for the Browns, which ultimately is a win for the Chargers.
--Browns run it a lot and Chargers have struggled the last two years at stopping the run. [See the numbers above.] The Browns must get more yards w/the running game on first down than they did last week.
--Browns use of play action passing. Joey Bosa is out for this game. I think if we can establish the run, our play action passing can exploit the Chargers due to them missing Bosa and is pass rushing abilities.
--Browns pass defense vs LA's passing offense. Herbert is an elite qb. We have not faced one decent qb this year. This is going to be a real test. Keenun Allen has missed 3 straight games w/a hamstring injury. He did not practice yesterday. I think he is scheduled to play, but I'm not sure. If he plays, we are going have a really tough time stopping them through the air.
Bottom Line:I think it's hard to call this game w/out knowing whether or not Myles and Allen are playing or not. I guess I could include Clowney in this, but I find it hard to ever count on that guy. I'll update things as the week progresses. Looking forward to your football takes on this game.