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#1763048 - 05/15/20 03:29 PM How many lost?
PortlandDawg Offline

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Registered: 09/11/06
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Loc: Portland, OR
I know this is a bit morose but Iím curious to see what others think.
With the death count over 80,000 currently, what do you think will be the final death count when COVID is finally behind us?
Total death count
Only one choice allowed


Votes accepted starting: 05/15/20 03:28 PM
You must vote before you can view the results of this poll.
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#1763122 - 05/15/20 08:27 PM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
Versatile Dog Offline

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What's the time frame? This summer? This year? The next few years?
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#1763128 - 05/15/20 08:55 PM Re: How many lost? [Re: Versatile Dog]
PortlandDawg Offline

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Loc: Portland, OR
I guess I was thinking a vaccine, or to where it runs itís course as crisis. Itíll likely kill for years to come on some level. So I didnít really have a timeline nailed down.
I guess, to put a timeframe to it, Iíll say one year from today.
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#1763133 - 05/15/20 09:06 PM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
Versatile Dog Offline

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Okay, thanks.
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#1763192 - 05/16/20 07:55 AM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
GMdawg Offline

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666,666
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#1763291 - 05/16/20 03:38 PM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
THROW LONG Offline

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20 million cases, 3.5 million deaths. Felt this since March, if the USA gets out of this, when it's all said and done, a year an a half-two years later,
Get out of this with 3.5 million deaths Or Less and we Win! Bigtime. This is the 100 year flu, look at what happened other times, and back then, the world population was way less, exponentialy,
Earths population doubled, then doubled again like 20 years later, in the 20th century.

And it's going to suck, but if 20 million die from this, it's just something to have to go through. Anything less than 3.5 million is a win. I felt this in March,
On about March 29th, the angst hit it's peak, a day Cuomo was calling out about ventilator numbers, and cases were still expanding more in ratio with each passing day.

I felt that in March, and I don't totally disregard that feeling today, though do hope for better.

The 1918 flu, well I read an article, said they shut down for 6 weeks and it came back all summer long, after they opened back up.

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#1763711 - 05/19/20 04:26 AM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
OldColdDawg Offline

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Loc: Lancaster, Ohio
I went with the max before reading the thread because I don't think it's going to go away and we will deal with some version of it annually even after the vaccine. It will be like flus and colds taking lives every year even after the pandemic level hyper spreading bit is behind us. No way we don't eventually lose two million to it.

But until a vaccine is released, I'd guess half a million lives will be lost. I honestly think the body count is going to skyrocket starting in the next 21-30 days.
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#1763762 - 05/19/20 10:57 AM Re: How many lost? [Re: OldColdDawg]
PortlandDawg Offline

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Registered: 09/11/06
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Loc: Portland, OR
Sadly I too see the death toll skyrocketing in the coming weeks/months. Iím not sure how anyone in this poll thinks well come in under 200,000 deaths. Weíre already at nearly 100,000 after months of lockdown and social distancing being followed. Now that people are being freed to roam and with the decrease in mask wearing Iíve seen... its lunacy time think weíre not about to go through another heavy round of deaths.
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#1802559 - 10/07/20 10:04 AM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
PortlandDawg Offline

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Registered: 09/11/06
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Loc: Portland, OR
Revisiting this as we now have 5 people that responded that were overly optimistic. Guessing under 200,000.
Sadly weíre entering the cold months now where much of the country will be forced inside to commune with family and friends. (Not me. No one is coming into my house and Iíll not cross another homeís threshold.) My guess is the next 100,000 will come much faster than the the last 100,000.
My prediction was 300,001-400,000. I think 300,000 is almost inevitable at this point. I may have underestimated... tragically.
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#1802580 - 10/07/20 10:30 AM Re: How many lost? [Re: OldColdDawg]
Bard Dawg Offline

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Loc: Springfield OH (IO!)
Hope you are wrong ,or, at least, the worst takes longer to ring up those numbers. WH hasn't been right about much beyond Fauci. No tracking in WH really angers me. I said something like this earlier in the pandemic: If the first 200,000 didn't bother you, the second 200,000 probably won't either. With this as proof, we are clearly being deprived of "life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness." Thoughts and prayers to the individuals making this worse.
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#1805488 - 10/13/20 05:59 PM Re: How many lost? [Re: PortlandDawg]
PrplPplEater Offline

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Loc: Cleveland, Ohio
no matter what the number ends up as, it will be WAY, WAY, WAY below the early catastrophic projections.
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#1805627 - 10/14/20 12:25 PM Re: How many lost? [Re: PrplPplEater]
PitDAWG Offline

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You mean the projections based on if nobody did anything. No masks, no social distancing, no shut downs. Since a lot of those things were done, you're most likely right.
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