I know this is a bit morose but I’m curious to see what others think.
With the death count over 80,000 currently, what do you think will be the final death count when COVID is finally behind us?

What's the time frame? This summer? This year? The next few years?

I guess I was thinking a vaccine, or to where it runs it’s course as crisis. It’ll likely kill for years to come on some level. So I didn’t really have a timeline nailed down.
I guess, to put a timeframe to it, I’ll say one year from today.

Okay, thanks.

666,666

20 million cases, 3.5 million deaths. Felt this since March, if the USA gets out of this, when it's all said and done, a year an a half-two years later,
Get out of this with 3.5 million deaths Or Less and we Win! Bigtime. This is the 100 year flu, look at what happened other times, and back then, the world population was way less, exponentialy,
Earths population doubled, then doubled again like 20 years later, in the 20th century.

And it's going to suck, but if 20 million die from this, it's just something to have to go through. Anything less than 3.5 million is a win. I felt this in March,
On about March 29th, the angst hit it's peak, a day Cuomo was calling out about ventilator numbers, and cases were still expanding more in ratio with each passing day.

I felt that in March, and I don't totally disregard that feeling today, though do hope for better.

The 1918 flu, well I read an article, said they shut down for 6 weeks and it came back all summer long, after they opened back up.

I went with the max before reading the thread because I don't think it's going to go away and we will deal with some version of it annually even after the vaccine. It will be like flus and colds taking lives every year even after the pandemic level hyper spreading bit is behind us. No way we don't eventually lose two million to it.

But until a vaccine is released, I'd guess half a million lives will be lost. I honestly think the body count is going to skyrocket starting in the next 21-30 days.

Sadly I too see the death toll skyrocketing in the coming weeks/months. I’m not sure how anyone in this poll thinks well come in under 200,000 deaths. We’re already at nearly 100,000 after months of lockdown and social distancing being followed. Now that people are being freed to roam and with the decrease in mask wearing I’ve seen... its lunacy time think we’re not about to go through another heavy round of deaths.

Revisiting this as we now have 5 people that responded that were overly optimistic. Guessing under 200,000.
Sadly we’re entering the cold months now where much of the country will be forced inside to commune with family and friends. (Not me. No one is coming into my house and I’ll not cross another home’s threshold.) My guess is the next 100,000 will come much faster than the the last 100,000.
My prediction was 300,001-400,000. I think 300,000 is almost inevitable at this point. I may have underestimated... tragically.

Hope you are wrong ,or, at least, the worst takes longer to ring up those numbers. WH hasn't been right about much beyond Fauci. No tracking in WH really angers me. I said something like this earlier in the pandemic: If the first 200,000 didn't bother you, the second 200,000 probably won't either. With this as proof, we are clearly being deprived of "life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness." Thoughts and prayers to the individuals making this worse.

no matter what the number ends up as, it will be WAY, WAY, WAY below the early catastrophic projections.

You mean the projections based on if nobody did anything. No masks, no social distancing, no shut downs. Since a lot of those things were done, you're most likely right.

Yeah a great immoral victory.

What were the early catastrophic projections, can we put a number on that because the recent data has been, dang!

Sadly we’ve crossed a new threshold. We’re now past 300,000 dead. 302,000 to be more accurate. With that there were 12 overly optimistic voters on this poll.
My personal guess from the beginning was in the 300,001-400,000 range. With vaccines now being out and in nursing facilities (I’ve heard some of my local facilities are going to start inoculations tomorrow.) my hope is we can slow the spread within our most vulnerable segments of our society. If so then I think we can get out of this crisis with fewer than 98,000 more lost souls.

World o meters has listed, 23 million total US cases from the start,

over 14 million recovered
over 9.3 million current cases,

and 397,994 deaths from covid in the United States.

with 4k dying per day, This January 15th,

Hopefully the leveling off and then waning away starts soon.

We’ve now topped 400,000. That was my guess going in.
Sad day in our country.

World o meters, which I've used consistently from the start, had 402K some 3-4 days before the mega fake news went all milestone on the newsstory of 400K/Usa, so they're either counting differently or delaying reports.

I was expecting they would be getting close to a 415-417 + maybe number it was 8 days ago, these numbers were at 398+ and 4K per day sure to surpass 400K in those next 24 hours,
I wasn't expecting the 4 number, I just saw, kind of alarming,
8:11 pm, they read, USA,
Cases, 25,563,205 deaths, 427,588

that's 8 days.
8 days since 23 -- million, and 398-- thousand.

It's 10 am, not 8pm, looks like no full daily update.
World-o-meters.
26,514,275 - total US cases

447,490. deaths.

It's February 15th, 30 days since,

28,261,470 cases,

497,174 Americans dead, 9,540,008 open cases.

Will pass the grim milestone of Half a million deaths of Americans from Corona Virus in the next few days.

It will be interesting to see the numbers a month or two after spring break wraps up. Given that it doesn't seem anyone learned a lesson from last year when they turned a blind eye chasing the tourism dollars, and the fact that most citizens will not be vaccinated...I think we're looking at a substantial rise in cases/hospitalizations/deaths.

Thanksgiving didn't teach people anything. Neither did Christmas or New Years. If that didn't teach them anything I doubt anything else will.

Just yesterday they had 30,000 at a NASCAR race and a lot of people in the crowd weren't wearing a mask. It wouldn't be so bad if so many others weren't paying the price for their actions.