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#2118521 08/23/25 03:47 PM
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I usually am close to the final 53. This year I’m not so sure. I know one for a fact. Congratulations Adin Huntington

Last edited by Pdawg; 08/23/25 03:49 PM.

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Final cuts are Tuesday to get to 53. Will be interesting to see how the DE situation plays out.
I’m hoping we can add a solid vet DB, if not two of them.


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Pdawg #2118549 08/23/25 07:45 PM
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My 53

QBs
Flacco
Pickett
Gabriel
Sanders

RBs
Ford
Sampson
Strong
Judkins

WR
Juedy
Tillman
Bond
Thrash
Carter

TEs
Njoku
Fannin
Whiteheart (if he is healthy)

Oline
Jones
Bitonio
Pocic
Teller
Conklin
Wypler
Zinter
Barton
Lucas (if healthy)
Cohen

Dline
Garrett
Wright
MacGuire
Tryon-Shoyinka
Graham
Collins
S. Harris
Huntington
Kamara

LBs
Schwesinger
Diabate
Bush
Baker
Reid

Cornerbacks
Ward
Newsome
Mitchell
Harden
Brown

Safety
Delpit
Hickman
Jenkins
Kazee
Needham

Special Teams
K Hopkins
P Bojorquez
LS Sunahara

I fully expect a trade for another CB to play slot. Berry mentioned that LB and Safety are two positions where we can make up for carrying four QBs

T Jenkins will probably make the roster over Cohen because of his starting experience. I think he sucks to the point where I feel dirty putting him in the 53.

I put Needham in because he can play nickel corner as well as safety. He will be the one axed when we bring in another cornerback.

I left Okwara off because of numbers. I could see him on the 53 and Reid to the practice squad.


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Pdawg #2118556 08/23/25 08:04 PM
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I thought they said Reid got hurt


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Reid is hurt but I don’t think it was serious


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Pdawg #2118562 08/23/25 08:29 PM
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oh okay thanks


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
Pdawg #2118570 08/23/25 09:17 PM
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I just can't see having 3 QBs on the roster. Taking Sanders in the 5th was a gamble. Maybe it's time to gamble again on parking him on the practice squad. I just don't see him contributing to wins this year. That's a tough one because he may very well develop into an elite player. But he's not going to be elite this year.

The rest of your 53 looks pretty solid. We've had much worse.


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Originally Posted by jeepnstein
I just can't see having 3 QBs on the roster. Taking Sanders in the 5th was a gamble. Maybe it's time to gamble again on parking him on the practice squad. I just don't see him contributing to wins this year. That's a tough one because he may very well develop into an elite player. But he's not going to be elite this year.

The rest of your 53 looks pretty solid. We've had much worse.

Did you mean 4 qb's on the roster? I can't see keeping less than 3 on the roster.


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Pdawg #2118573 08/23/25 09:51 PM
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Quote
T Jenkins will probably make the roster over Cohen because of his starting experience. I think he sucks to the point where I feel dirty putting him in the 53.

Surprised to see you say this, He was a pretty good player for the Bears and according to PFF he was our highest graded OL player in the game we just played against the Rams.


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Pdawg #2118575 08/23/25 10:19 PM
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My 53:

K - Szmyt
P - Bojorquez
LS - Sunahara

QB (3)
Flacco
Gabriel
Pickett/Sanders (I think 1 or the
other gets traded)

RB (4)
Ford
Sampson
Strong
Judkins/Williams ( Judkins if he gets signed)

TE (3)
Njoku
Fannin
Whiteheart

WR (6)
Jeudy
Tillman
Thrash
Bond
Carter/Larvadain ( If they trust Larvadain as a returner I think he gets kept over Carter)
Free Agent pickup

OL (9)
Pocic
Teller
Bitonio
Conklin
Jones
Wypler
Jenkins
Lucas
Zinter

DL (9)
Garrett
Graham
Collins
Wright
McQuire
Harris
Hall
Okwara
Huntington

LB (6)
Schwesinger
Bush
Diabate
Baker
Reid
Free Agent Pickup

DB (10)
Ward
Newsome
Mitchell
Harden
Delpit
Hickman
Jenkins
Needham
Brown
McMillon


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Pdawg #2118576 08/23/25 10:23 PM
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I really like his game and his motor. Haven't seen him as much as I want to yet, but he works at his craft.


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Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by jeepnstein
I just can't see having 3 QBs on the roster. Taking Sanders in the 5th was a gamble. Maybe it's time to gamble again on parking him on the practice squad. I just don't see him contributing to wins this year. That's a tough one because he may very well develop into an elite player. But he's not going to be elite this year.

The rest of your 53 looks pretty solid. We've had much worse.

Did you mean 4 qb's on the roster? I can't see keeping less than 3 on the roster.

Yeah, my bad. Typing while multi tasking.... I can't see 4 on the roster.


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Originally Posted by Dawgs4Life
I thought they said Reid got hurt


Back injury... nothing serious


I AM ALWAYS RIGHT... except when I am wrong.
Pdawg #2118593 08/24/25 07:15 AM
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I would have thought that Davis and Larvadain showed enough.. Betting one or both gets picked up by someone if set free by us.

Still think it's nutty to carry 4 QB's.. Gabrial seems to be the better of the Rooks. After the first two preseason games, I thought Sanders had the lead. But after yesterday, Dillon seems more prepared.

Was Sanders feeling the effect of his injury. He didn't look good yesterday.

Anyone know of the rumor about Chubb being cut by the Texans is real?


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I think there’s zero chance Chubb gets cut. Nixon is hurt and Chubb played pretty well considering in their home preseason game…. He still seems to have a lot of power just not as fast as he used to be.

I think their hope is that he’d be a good power back for them behind Mixon… right now Chubb is listed as #1 with Damien Pierce a close second… unless Nick gets hurt I don’t see the Texans dropping him…


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Huntington absolutely earned his way onto the roster with the preseason he had. I don’t recall the last time I saw a motor of that magnitude on a big guy his size. I mean, how many times was he the one who made the kickoff tackle on special teams? He also ran around like his hair was on fire during defensive plays.


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Originally Posted by Damanshot
I would have thought that Davis and Larvadain showed enough.. Betting one or both gets picked up by someone if set free by us.

Still think it's nutty to carry 4 QB's.. Gabrial seems to be the better of the Rooks. After the first two preseason games, I thought Sanders had the lead. But after yesterday, Dillon seems more prepared.

Was Sanders feeling the effect of his injury. He didn't look good yesterday.

Anyone know of the rumor about Chubb being cut by the Texans is real?

I really like Larvadain. I think it’s between him and Carter. Carter was brought in to be our returner and I think we go with him. I think he will make it through waivers and be on our PS.

I agree about carrying four QBs.


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Originally Posted by dawglover05
Huntington absolutely earned his way onto the roster with the preseason he had. I don’t recall the last time I saw a motor of that magnitude on a big guy his size. I mean, how many times was he the one who made the kickoff tackle on special teams? He also ran around like his hair was on fire during defensive plays.
I’ve never seen anything like him on special teams. He was a complete beast out there. He is undersized at DT and doesn’t have elite size for DE either. The thing is he was able to play both positions this preseason at a high level because he has elite athleticism.


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Honestly, I think I try to get Shedeur to the practice squad. If someone else wants the headache, more power to them. He's not ready. Could he be eventually? Maybe. I'm over the circus. Time to get ready the guys who are actually close to ready. Shedeur doesn't seem to be a guy that doesn't make the same mistake twice. It could take some time to break his bad habits and get him game ready, if it ever happens. The highs look great, but the lows are low, and that variability is problematic. I float him as available. If the Raiders/whoever will give up anything for him, I take it. I think we're drafting the QB next year. I don't really want to invest a ton of resources in a project with a cult-like following.

I don't know what we're going to do at WR or on D.

If it's me, I lean towards the younger guys. Larvadain over Johnson/Carter. Not sure the Browns feel the same.

I think the Browns will probably go Tryon-Shoyinka as the last DE. I'd probably go Cam Thomas.

No idea what they'll do at DB. It's hard to get a great read from the TV angles. The dropped INT wasn't a great last(ing) impression from Harden. Nobody else has really stood out, either, though. Bigger guy (Jones?) was pretty active and may have done enough in run support to stick.

Jenkins also had some nice moments in run support. The ejection was a pretty big black mark, though. Will be interesting to see what they do behind Delpit and Hickman there at safety. I probably go Jenkins and McMillon over Kazee.

Think Needham probably sticks. Has versatility on his side and came down with the INT previously. Might end up starting in the slot. At least to start the season.

Wouldn't be surprised if we pick up some corners off waivers. Maybe see a player for player trade with a guy we were going to cut on the DL.


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Pdawg #2118610 08/24/25 10:12 AM
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Cam Thomas seemed to have a decent few preseason games, so I'd probably want him too


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
Pdawg #2118613 08/24/25 10:39 AM
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This is interesting... chatgp

On a typical NFL 53-man roster, about 15–17 players (roughly 30–35%) are undrafted free agents (UDFAs).

Every year, around 40–50% of the league is made up of players who originally entered as undrafted rookies.

Typical Distribution on a 53-Man Roster

QB: 0–1

RB/FB: 1–2

WR: 2–3

TE: 1

OL: 2–3

DL: 1–2

LB: 2–3

DB: 3–4

Specialists: 2–3


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Pdawg #2118618 08/24/25 11:22 AM
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Originally Posted by Pdawg
Originally Posted by Damanshot
I would have thought that Davis and Larvadain showed enough.. Betting one or both gets picked up by someone if set free by us.

Still think it's nutty to carry 4 QB's.. Gabrial seems to be the better of the Rooks. After the first two preseason games, I thought Sanders had the lead. But after yesterday, Dillon seems more prepared.

Was Sanders feeling the effect of his injury. He didn't look good yesterday.

Anyone know of the rumor about Chubb being cut by the Texans is real?

I really like Larvadain. I think it’s between him and Carter. Carter was brought in to be our returner and I think we go with him. I think he will make it through waivers and be on our PS.

I agree about carrying four QBs.

I was listening to the radio this morning, one of the sports guys was saying he thinks they'll stick Pickett on the DL in a fashion where they can bring him back in 4 weeks. Not sure how that works. So they'll open up with 3 QB's Day One.

If the team is in good shape, no rush, if we are 0-4, changes will be coming. Again, no expansion on what those changes would/could be.

Wasn't Davis the guy that hauled in Two Sanders TD's in the Panthers game?

Anyway, it's really all going to shake out in the next week or so.

Gotta say, I sure as hell loved how the D played.


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I had him making the 53 for his special teams play.


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I expect us to be busy with the CB/LB spots


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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I expect a couple trades or picking up some cut players yet especially at CB and LB. Who knows what is going to happen with Judkins or when it is going to happen. I look for the Browns to get a goal line short yardage back this week at the least until the future bell cow Judkins frustrating situation plays out. I don't think the Browns can afford to keep 4 QB's. I also think the FO see's this team closer to a 2013 team than what 2014 was. With that said the future franchise QB is not on this roster now. If the Browns can be closer to 2013 than 2014 they need a competent backup QB behind Flacco. That means Pickett has to be on this team. Sanders is a developmental QB that has potential but knowing the Browns are drafting their future franchise QB next draft I do not see a need to keep a developmental guy. I would trade him for whatever they can get for him. Gabriel will never be a starter in the NFL to limited for various reasons. But he can be a left-handed Colt McCoy and be a long term back up that will be needed next year behind the future franchise QB when both Flacco and Pickett are not here.


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The Cleveland Browns have made the following roster moves:

Contract terminated (4):

T Jackson Barton
CB Tony Brown II
QB Tyler Huntley
S Nik Needham

Waived (17):

CB Chigozie Anusiem
TE Sal Canella
G Javion Cohen
T Sebastian Gutierrez
DE K.J. Henry
DT Ralph Holley
CB Christian Holmes
CB Keenan Isaac
T Jason Ivey
DE Titus Le
LB Marvin Moody
CB Darius Rush
LB Charlie Thomas III
T Lorenzo Thompson
G Dartanyan Tinsley
TE Mitchell Van Vooren
C Bucky Williams


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Thanks, supe. Now we’ll see who they stash on the PS once waivers are cleared.
I’m thinking Cannela, the TE, might be a candidate.

Edit: might want to change that thought. He’s 28, but with Whiteheart dinged up we might need him.... for awhile.

Last edited by lampdogg; 08/24/25 04:55 PM.

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Pdawg #2118656 08/24/25 05:11 PM
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Cohen was on the bubble IMO


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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If it means either 4 TEs or 4 QBs, give me 4 QBs. At least until someone gets desperate enough to give us a 5th rounder for Pickett. IMO, both rookies played well enough to give us reason to keep them, why cut one just because you have two? They will develop, even as backups, these first couple of months and more evaluation can be done.At some point, I do think they will have an opportunity to trade Pickett. Starter experience goes a long way when you are desperate for a guy 3-5 games into the season. He’s better than a lot of backups in the league, so he will have some value in the coming weeks.

I didn’t like Sander's regression holding the ball too long yesterday, but I can look at game one and believe it could have more to do with the injury. If he doesn’t trust his body, he’ll second guess and the play gets away from you. I think he’s done enough though to keep him on the 53 as the emergency QB or game day no playlist.

QB being the most important position in sports, I’m ok with keeping 4 until you can trade Picket.

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I'm quietly wondering if we could be trying to trade Njoku. His contract is bigger, a little older, Fannin now in the fold, etc. I know it would be tough to NOT have him, but there's a reason we kept 4 TE


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Meh.
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Originally Posted by superbowldogg

...Who are we calling CB3 and CB4?


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Originally Posted by Bull_Dawg
Originally Posted by superbowldogg

...Who are we calling CB3 and CB4?

That’s a good question. Harden must be one.


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yes Harden is the nickel I think


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Originally Posted by Dawgs4Life
I'm quietly wondering if we could be trying to trade Njoku. His contract is bigger, a little older, Fannin now in the fold, etc. I know it would be tough to NOT have him, but there's a reason we kept 4 TE

I hope not. Going back to when Flacco was here before, wasn't the Chief one of his best targets? I would think they want to duplicate that again.


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I think we keep Njoku unless the season goes to crap. Then we probably let him go the way of Cooper last year.

To me, it looks like Stefanski will try to work with more 12 personnel like he did in 2020.


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Fannin is going to be a huge piece to our offense. I actually might draft him in the last round of my keeper league because I think he's our future star TE


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Njoku is a big piece of our O not to mention a good guy to have in the locker room. We could get something decent in return for him but now isn't the time. If the season turns bad then I could see us trading him.

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Originally Posted by Damanshot
Originally Posted by Dawgs4Life
I'm quietly wondering if we could be trying to trade Njoku. His contract is bigger, a little older, Fannin now in the fold, etc. I know it would be tough to NOT have him, but there's a reason we kept 4 TE

I hope not. Going back to when Flacco was here before, wasn't the Chief one of his best targets? I would think they want to duplicate that again.

Flacco loved going to Cooper and Njoku... and in that order IIRC.


I would hope that we don't entertain any Njoku trade talks until the trade deadline. Having 2 solid TEs in Stefanski's system is a huge plus.


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Amari is still a FA as far as I know. Do you think our FO would consider signing him because we have Joe and they worked well together or should we just try and develop our young guys?

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I think Jeudy is supposed to be the new-and-improved Amari. I say we roll with that.

The way Cooper left, I don't see him wanting to coming back nor us want him back.


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I agree wit everything you say about his departure. I doubt he would want to come back here. But then you ever know. A few million verses sitting on the couch may be the best option he has.

From a strictly business standpoint, with him being unsigned he may be a good WR you could sign at a low, bargain price.

From the practical side I feel they believe that was addressed with the signing of a younger WR with potential when they picked up Isaiah Bond. So IMO the Amari ship has sailed.


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I don't see Cooper ever playing again honestly


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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If Cooper ever plays again it will be as cheap backup player, most Bills' fans feel they got shafted in that trade.


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Originally Posted by dawg66
Quote
T Jenkins will probably make the roster over Cohen because of his starting experience. I think he sucks to the point where I feel dirty putting him in the 53.

Surprised to see you say this, He was a pretty good player for the Bears and according to PFF he was our highest graded OL player in the game we just played against the Rams.

Sorry for taking so long to get back to you. I wanted to rewatch the game to see how he played in it. I still haven’t watched it again but he was putrid in the first game. I know he had a lot of starts for Chicago, most at LT last year. Chicago had the worst oline in the league last year. Some of that can be blamed on their QB but they have been bad for years.

Like I said I think he is on the 53. He is signed for 1 year and I hope he works out. I’m just not convinced he can be good.


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I was wrong! he just signed haha


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Originally Posted by Homewood Dog
Amari is still a FA as far as I know. Do you think our FO would consider signing him because we have Joe and they worked well together or should we just try and develop our young guys?

Cooper wrote his ticket out of town when he did not sign up for the Watson crap show. He did great with Flacco, but the Browns organization would have to eat crow to sign him and that won’t happen.


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I am not able to tell the future so I don't try to predict win totals.

I will say that I do not believe that the Browns will have the worst record this season.

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11 Rookies. An aging OL. Significant questions at WR (although we might be lucky between Jeudy, Bond and Larvadain - Tillman is more than fine as a #3 and might even progress).

I have serious reservations and low expectations - guess we will see if the posters who keep indicating Berry is something of a genius is right or not.


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we are certainly using this year as a development/wait and see year, adding the big splashes in the draft next year too


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Thinking out loud.

I wonder about the Browns this season. I see articles where we are picked to be first in the draft.

Most win totals are around 5 or 6 games.

Is it all because of our record last year? Is it also about our quarterbacks or perceived lack of QB play?

I don't know or pretend to know the answers. I know what I saw last year.

Bad quarterback play and a poor running game with poor depth at receiver.

What has been fixed? And if we did fix those issues to a degree. Are we underestimating the Browns this season?

If so I am glad.

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The New Orleans Saints named Spencer Rattler their starting quarterback for the 2025 NFL season, beating out second-round rookie Tyler Shough. So there is that in regards to QB's.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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I am wondering about the Browns ceiling?

All the what ifs ?

Starting at 0-0 is always good because you still have hope.

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It's an odd-numbered Stefanski year so history would tell us that a surprisingly good year would be in the offing, right? Every few years when the vibe is right I make a big stupid bet on the Browns to win it all. I figure, if they ever do, it won't be a year when everyone expects them to be good. They always blow those. They'll come out of nowhere. So, $100 booked. If they win it all it's $35k. Pays almost 2 yrs of daughter's college. Gotta dream, right?

We'll see of course but I feel like it's very possible we win like 8-9 games and end in the middle of the AFC pack. Being realistic, playoffs are still a stretch, the AFC is just so crowded, but our defense alone will win games. I really wish I felt better about the OL and the running game. Joe will win us some, gift wrap some Int's for some losses. There's nothing new about him and his ceiling.

I'm eager to see what Gabriel becomes. He's the wild card IMO. I've had the irrational feeling since the day we drafted him and I pored over his game stuff that he's the guy. I felt the same way about Baker so... do with that what you will. But he's super steady and smart, seems like quick processing, tons of high level college experience, good ingredients. Just, ya know... short.




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Originally Posted by PitDAWG
The New Orleans Saints named Spencer Rattler their starting quarterback for the 2025 NFL season, beating out second-round rookie Tyler Shough. So there is that in regards to QB's.

I wonder if his teammates call him snake. "The Ratt-Ler is shakin!"




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I think there are far too many variables to rate the Browns ceiling. Injuries being at the top of the list. Most people, whether it turns out to be true or not, do not feel Flacco can play an entire season. If true, how will Gabrielle play if forced into service? How will injuries impact our opponents? The list just goes on and on of the many variables that could impact the Browns ceiling. Far be it from me to know an answer to that.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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Before anyone talks playoffs or (gulp) Super Bowl, you have to do well in or win your division. The Browns clearly have the poorest offense within the division. Keep in mind, since Stefanski's arrival - the Browns have never had a top 12 Total Offense. Last season, the Browns bottomed out with the 28th rated Total Offense. On defense, the Browns are predicted 3rd in the division far behind Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Only Cincinnati is predicted to finish worst in total defense than the Browns. Now I agree that teams can surprise and most certainly the Browns are capable of that. Many variables could impact the Browns ceiling but oranges to oranges - it doesn't look good. As with every year - WE CAN HOPE THOUGH!


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Injuries are always a huge factor for all teams.

My what if's begin with Joe. How will he play? We have seen him play well and then throw the ball to the wrong team.

I don't have a clue about our run game.

The OL is experienced. How deep again I don't know.

Jeudy is a good receiver. Tillman, Thrash, Bond, Larvadain? I like our TE's.

I feel real good about the defense. The kicker?

The unknowns are just that. So, how good we can be depends on them being average or above.

We have potential but many things need to go right and usually they do not.

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Anyone else worried about the lack of speed and experience at wr?


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Same…. I have very low expectations this year…. Hoping we’re either bad enough to draft a top 5 QB or are able to see promise in one of our rookie QBs late in the year…. But don’t expect us to do much this year…

Maybe they’ll prove me wrong…


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Originally Posted by slick
Anyone else worried about the lack of speed and experience at wr?

...What lack of speed?

I think Tillman is our "slowest" WR at 4.54.

Thrash at 4.46 might be next "slowest." Speed shouldn't be the problem.



I'm cautiously optimistic about our WRs. I don't know that they'll be amazing, but I think they can do what needs to be done, with upside for more.


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It's not the worst place in the world to be - "it's the hope that kills ya" ... can't tell you (although we've all been there) how many seasons I've gone into thinking/believing we had a real shot. If we win games great. If we are competitive - great. I guess the most frustrating thing for me - as someone alluded to earlier - it's that down year when Stefanski might appear to get more out of the team than is expected. Obviously that's a good thing generally - but if it leads to another under performance when the expectations are raised we'll be right back where we were 5-6 seasons ago. I wasn't in favor of resigning Berry and KS - it's got to be time to poop or get off the pot. This is Berry's roster 100% - he's made this roster and the talent or lack of it is 100% on him at this point. KS has had good years and flat year. Is he going to step up and be a slightly above average HC - that's really all I need at this point. Fingers crossed.


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It is Berry's team.

This years draft is very encouraging.

Graham, Fannin, Schwesinger, Gabriel, Sampson, (Judkins), Sanders.

We shall see but all have played well given where taken.

I feel the team will be better than expected. How good?

I don't know. At least entertaining.

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Originally Posted by mgh888
It's not the worst place in the world to be - "it's the hope that kills ya" ... can't tell you (although we've all been there) how many seasons I've gone into thinking/believing we had a real shot. If we win games great. If we are competitive - great. I guess the most frustrating thing for me - as someone alluded to earlier - it's that down year when Stefanski might appear to get more out of the team than is expected. Obviously that's a good thing generally - but if it leads to another under performance when the expectations are raised we'll be right back where we were 5-6 seasons ago. I wasn't in favor of resigning Berry and KS - it's got to be time to poop or get off the pot. This is Berry's roster 100% - he's made this roster and the talent or lack of it is 100% on him at this point. KS has had good years and flat year. Is he going to step up and be a slightly above average HC - that's really all I need at this point. Fingers crossed.

Isn't it amazing how we as fans change our expectation levels.

Quote: Is he going to step up and be a slightly above average HC - that's really all I need at this point.

What we have is a 5-year Head Coach and GM in Berry with a losing record (40-44) regular season and (1-2) in the playoffs. Folks, that's an average of 8 wins per year. Is that an acceptable level for a 5-year term HC and GM? Keep in mind, as mgh888 stated: "This is Berry's roster 100% - he's made this roster and the talent or lack of it is 100% on him at this point."

The Browns must go 11-6 this season just to get to a plus .500 record for their 6-year term. Name me one HC/GM duo that has held on to their job after going 6-years with a losing record? Add into the fact that the Browns have been the highest average spend team in the NFL the last 4-years with negative results. Who holds on to their job with a resume like that?

So now, the expectation level is "a slightly above average HC" and GM. After last seasons (3-14), we are at a lower point than when these two (Berry and Stefanski) arrived. As with every year, I'm cautiously optimistic but like it's been said, "it's the hope that kills ya." However, IMO, we should except nothing but the best. If we accept slightly above average, then that's the highest plateau we'll every reach. When you accept mediocrity, the best you'll ever get is mediocrity. 40-44 is mediocre and yet we continue to accept that as we have the last 25 years. Excuses are like azzholes, everybody has one.

"Fingers Crossed" at this point too!


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I'm not sure whose "expectations are raised" when your starter is Flacco with third and fifth round rookies as the back ups. It seems quite obvious they are planning on drafting what they hope will be their franchise QB in next years draft unless a miracle happens to dictate otherwise. The way they have set the stage for that seems overwhelmingly obvious.

I believe if anyone's feelings are raised going into this season that's a self inflicted issue.


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Originally Posted by bonefish
Thinking out loud.

I wonder about the Browns this season. I see articles where we are picked to be first in the draft.

Most win totals are around 5 or 6 games.

Is it all because of our record last year? Is it also about our quarterbacks or perceived lack of QB play?

I don't know or pretend to know the answers. I know what I saw last year.

Bad quarterback play and a poor running game with poor depth at receiver.

What has been fixed? And if we did fix those issues to a degree. Are we underestimating the Browns this season?

If so I am glad.

I think there's a decent likelihood that we pick first... because we have the Jax pick.


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Originally Posted by steve0255
Before anyone talks playoffs or (gulp) Super Bowl, you have to do well in or win your division. The Browns clearly have the poorest offense within the division. Keep in mind, since Stefanski's arrival - the Browns have never had a top 12 Total Offense. Last season, the Browns bottomed out with the 28th rated Total Offense. On defense, the Browns are predicted 3rd in the division far behind Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Only Cincinnati is predicted to finish worst in total defense than the Browns. Now I agree that teams can surprise and most certainly the Browns are capable of that. Many variables could impact the Browns ceiling but oranges to oranges - it doesn't look good. As with every year - WE CAN HOPE THOUGH!

Just two short years ago, this defense was #1 in the NFL in pass defense and #11 in rush defense. Injuries happened last year, but a healthier and younger version of 2023 means that it isn't a given they won't be ahead of either or both of the defenses in the AFC North.

Offense is where we are going to need some help from above, imho. As go the QBs, so to the offense as a whole. It sure would help if Judkins could get back on the field. I think there is a healthy gap between him and Ford in ability.

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Originally Posted by steve0255
Isn't it amazing how we as fans change our expectation levels.

Quote: Is he going to step up and be a slightly above average HC - that's really all I need at this point.

What we have is a 5-year Head Coach and GM in Berry with a losing record (40-44) regular season and (1-2) in the playoffs. Folks, that's an average of 8 wins per year. Is that an acceptable level for a 5-year term HC and GM? Keep in mind, as mgh888 stated: "This is Berry's roster 100% - he's made this roster and the talent or lack of it is 100% on him at this point."

The Browns must go 11-6 this season just to get to a plus .500 record for their 6-year term. Name me one HC/GM duo that has held on to their job after going 6-years with a losing record? Add into the fact that the Browns have been the highest average spend team in the NFL the last 4-years with negative results. Who holds on to their job with a resume like that?

So now, the expectation level is "a slightly above average HC" and GM. After last seasons (3-14), we are at a lower point than when these two (Berry and Stefanski) arrived. As with every year, I'm cautiously optimistic but like it's been said, "it's the hope that kills ya." However, IMO, we should except nothing but the best. If we accept slightly above average, then that's the highest plateau we'll every reach. When you accept mediocrity, the best you'll ever get is mediocrity. 40-44 is mediocre and yet we continue to accept that as we have the last 25 years. Excuses are like azzholes, everybody has one.

"Fingers Crossed" at this point too!

You express your optimism rather strangely.

Teams don't do great when their starting QB is hurt. (And the guy that we're still paying, that was supposed to be our starting QB, is still hurt.) It's not really a reflection on coaching. When teams do well after their starting QB is hurt, it would appear to be a better indicator of coaching ability. League voters seem to see it that way.

Expecting the best is greeting card BS parroted by entitled malcontents. Not every variable is controllable. Neither is every owner.

The "best" I hope for is this:

The "Best" one can do is roll with the punches, keep getting up, and put in the work. Berry and Stefanski seem to do so.

Unrealistic expectations only set you up for disappointment. Expecting the best in everything is unrealistic.

It's not the having hope that kills you, it's the losing it. Hard to keep hope when you're hoping for the unattainable.


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I think that too has its variables. It would probably not be as difficult to use those two draft picks to trade up to #1 with a team that feels they are not desperate for a QB. A team that was playing a rookie such as Tennessee who sees their weakness lies at other positions. Or even a team that has two or three QB's in this draft rated as being pretty much equal.

It may also not be required for the Browns to move up to #1 if they see more than one QB as being pretty much equal.

As an example I don't think in this past draft that even those two first round picks would have moved the needle in order for Tennessee to give up their #1 pick. If Tennessee has the #1 pick in the 2025 draft I think it would.


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Good article on Ced , from Tom Withers, a long-time Browns writer:


BEREA — All the potential and promise is still right in front of Cedric Tillman. Within his reach.
The Browns believe in the lanky wide receiver, who after two frustrating, disappointing seasons is ready to meet expectations — and more.
“It’s time to step up,” he said following practice Thursday.
Desperate to find a No. 2 receiver to complement Jerry Jeudy, the Browns are hoping the time is now for Tillman, who was playing by far the best ball of his young career in 2024 — 26 catches for 330 yards in five games — when he suffered a concussion against Pittsburgh on Nov. 21.
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He missed the last six games and Tillman’s reputation took a blow as outsiders began to wonder if the 2023 third-round pick from Tennessee would be thrown on the heap of other Browns draft busts.
But while the team headed into the offseason knowing depth was a glaring need and major issue at receiver, the Browns didn’t pursue any big names in free agency. Tillman took that as a positive sign, a vote of confidence.
“Of course, that feels good,” the soft-spoken 25-year-old said, offering a slight smile. “But I understand this is a business. Things can change from today to tomorrow, so I’m always going to be motivated. But obviously it did feel good, but I’ve got to go out there and show people what I can do.”
There have been flashes. Just not enough.
Tillman had a nondescript rookie season. He barely got on the field in the first four games, was inactive for the next three and finished with 21 catches for 224 yards and zero touchdowns.
Last season began slowly as well before Tillman turned into one of Jameis Winston’s top targets after the backup quarterback took over when Deshaun Watson went down with an Achilles tendon injury. Winston to Tillman became one of the few sweet spots for the Browns in an otherwise sour season.
He followed an eight-catch game for 81 yards against Cincinnati with seven catches for 99 yards and two TDs in a win over Baltimore. This was the Tillman the Browns had been waiting for, but unfortunately his strong stretch ended three games later when he got drilled after a 4-yard catch in the snow against the Steelers.
It’s clear that Tillman doesn’t like reflecting much on what might have been the past two years. There’s no changing his past. And while his confidence grew during his five-game span, he was left mostly unfulfilled.
“It was more frustrating because I was ready to take off,” said Tillman, who recently missed a few days with a right thumb injury. “Last year is last year. New year this year.”
New quarterback, too. Well, a familiar one as 40-year-old Joe Flacco begins his second stint as Cleveland’s starting QB. Tillman feels comfortable with Flacco and hopes they can continue what they began in 2023.
“He was here two years ago, so we got a little chemistry back then,” Tillman said. “But obviously having OTAs and having camp now I feel like (it) has only developed more. … He gives a big confidence. Obviously he’s won a Super Bowl, a 20-year vet now, so he’s played the game for a long time.
“He’s seen every look you can throw at him. So he’s cool. He’s composed. So it gives us confidence.”
Tillman isn’t lacking in that department, either.
At 6-foot-3, 215 pounds, he looks the part. His size gives him a distinct advantage over shorter defensive backs, and that discrepancy is something the Browns are hoping to exploit. Tillman’s shown growth in running routes, he’s got soft, sure hands when the ball comes his way and he’s shown a willingness to block.
“It don’t feel bad smacking people and stuff like that,” he said with a chuckle.
Tillman sidestepped making any predictions about what he can accomplish this season. He’s been through enough in his first two seasons in Cleveland to know that things can change quickly, without warning.
He acknowledged there were some wide-eyed moments to overcome as a rookie, but Tillman feels the path traveled has toughened him.
“I’ll be lying if I say I don’t get a little nervous here and there,” he said. “But obviously it being the third year now, I’m comfortable with the offense, the coaches, the speed. I’m ready to go.
“I have goals. I ain’t going to say them publicly. I’ll keep it to myself. I’m focused on winning and if that’s 1,000 yards, 500 yards, regardless. That’s what my focus is on — winning.”
There’s no reason to make excuses. There’s nothing to hold him back. Tillman feels it’s time for him to break out.
“I’ve just got to be healthy,” he said. “If I’m healthy, I know what I can do.”


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He’s a guy I’ve been waiting to see make an impact, ever since we drafted him. He was starting to come on in his 2nd year but the concussion derailed that in 2024.

He flashed as a rookie, I like his size and his hands.


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""The "Best" one can do is roll with the punches, keep getting up, and put in the work. Berry and Stefanski seem to do so.

Unrealistic expectations only set you up for disappointment. Expecting the best in everything is unrealistic.

It's not the having hope that kills you, it's the losing it.""

Yes - that's the best you can hope for on any given Sunday. But to judge KS and Berry wouldn't one look at the entirity of their Browns career and production? Is it not fair to say this roster is 10% Berry's roster and if it lacks talent, or lacks depth, if we are preparing to throw a season away in search of a very high draft pick and a franchise QB (as someone suggested) ... is that not releavant? If we play below the sum of our parts every other year is that not a factor in judging KS in addition to putting in the work? I mean after Freddy Kitchens it was fabulous to hear a coherent and inteligent HC talk - that lasted a while. I want a bit more now. Results consistency etc -- and while I might want a playoff spot I have stated above - merely seeing slightly above average NFL abilities seems like a reasonable expectation? Or are your expectations lower?

Last edited by mgh888; 08/29/25 01:51 AM.

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Originally Posted by mgh888
""The "Best" one can do is roll with the punches, keep getting up, and put in the work. Berry and Stefanski seem to do so.

Unrealistic expectations only set you up for disappointment. Expecting the best in everything is unrealistic.

It's not the having hope that kills you, it's the losing it.""

Yes - that's the best you can hope for on any given Sunday. But to judge KS and Berry wouldn't one look at the entirity of their Browns career and production? Is it not fair to say this roster is 10% Berry's roster and if it lacks talent, or lacks depth, if we are preparing to throw a season away in search of a very high draft pick and a franchise QB (as someone suggested) ... is that not releavant? If we play below the sum of our parts every other year is that not a factor in judging KS in addition to putting in the work? I mean after Freddy Kitchens it was fabulous to hear a coherent and inteligent HC talk - that lasted a while. I want a bit more now. Results consistency etc -- and while I might want a playoff spot I have stated above - merely seeing slightly above average NFL abilities seems like a reasonable expectation? Or are your expectations lower?

...Yes, the roster is at least 10% Berry's....

Every roster has places they wish they had better depth and talent. Every team isn't guaranteed the same amount of talent. There isn't the same amount of talent available for every team at every position. There are only so many players at certain levels at certain positions. I don't think this roster lacks depth or talent. I think this is the most talented roster we've had top to bottom in a long time. Do I wish we had a better QB than Flacco? Of course. Do I wish Emerson hadn't gotten hurt? Of course. But we've got some talent. DL is rolling pretty deep. I like our OL depth much more than usual. I mean Cole Strange is sitting on the practice squad. Even at WR, Corley on the practice squad was a guy I liked in his draft. Those guys are talented in WR room. Proven? No, but they have the tools to cause problems for defenses.

QB is the biggest part. When the biggest part goes bad for reasons outside your control, that's not a reflection on a coach's ability. I think you confuse abilities and results. A hall of fame caliber RB could look pedestrian behind a bad OL. "Bad"/broken QBs make whole teams look bad. Great QBs don't grow on trees. I'd say You can't just magically plug one in off the couch mid-season, but somehow Stefanski made that work with Flacco. That's not normal. I'm a little worried Flacco recapturing the magic is the expectation of some people. There are several reasons that might not happen or might not last. Really don't like the Parsons trade's potential impact on those chances.

I "expect" good "process." I don't expect good results. Hopefully the two go together. Unfortunately, they don't have to. One can control the work one puts in. One can't control the results one gets. Szmyt happens.

Unfortunately for the Browns, Jimmy had to learn (might still have to learn) that in the NFL throwing more money at problems isn't an available strategy past a certain point. Once you fully guarantee a contract, you've got to live with it. That anchor is still handicapping the team and the cloud still casts a rather large shadow, so it's borderline amazing the roster is as good as it is and the vibes inside the team seem rather positive.

I'm cautiously optimistic about the season. I think it could go well. However, I also see plenty of things that could go wrong. I don't expect it to go either way. I'm just going to try to enjoy the ride.


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Given the FA market and QB draft class last year, what better solution could you have provided at finding a long term answer to the QB position?

See that's the thing. I don't think anyone likes the situation we're in as it pertains to the QB position. And I think the reason we happen to be there is the entire watson debacle. And that's certainly on Berry and the owner. People can say, "But everyone including Stefanski was all in on signing watson." And that's fine to say but other than PR statements nobody has any way to know if that's true. Here's what we do know. Berry is the GM. It's he who is the final decision maker. I understand in business those at the top love to pass the buck down the ladder but t isn't the people who work for them that make those decisions. I do find it odd when the fans do that same thing. Haslam is the only person who has to approve of that decision and he does that when he agrees to sign the checks. If he doesn't agree to sign the check no deal gets done.

We can rehash that until our faces turn blue but that's the situation we're in. So what silver bullet did you see out there at the end of last season that would have been a better solution to the long term QB situation than loading up to get one in next years draft?

Now keep in mind the salary cap situation. Keep in mind they didn't just have 60 or 80 million a year to throw at a retread. Those are all factors they were dealing with. I understand the frustration. I'm frustrated myself. I don't think anyone was more upset than I was when they signed watson. Sadly when I hate being right it sometimes happens that I am. So it is with the watson situation.

I get that the watson situation was of their own doing. But that ship sailed some time ago. So for those upset with the QB situation. For those expecting "more" this season. How would you have made it better during the off season than they did? Not 20/20 hind sight. But the situation at hand during the last off season.

As much as it pains me to say it, I don't think there was a better approach than the approach they chose to take.


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The Watson debacle is an obstacle for sure. But if i remember, didnt Berry start off life in his position with extra picks? So overall maybe we've lost one 1st rounder ? .... Either way and whether we gave up more for DW or not ... The point is that looking at just this off season's choices is, well, missing the point. Berry has been in place long enough that this entire roster is of his making ... I agree woth Bull, there are parts I like. DL, our rookie ILB. There's some positions where theres a chance we'll be good. But where I disagree with Bull and maybe yourself, of course ALL teams have strengths and weaknesses. Teams dont have or need studs at every position. But in my opinion, our roster is way below average compared to other NFL teams. I'm not throwing my toys off the pram just stating what I see. I'm not overly pessimistic and as said earlier, no expectations.


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This is the part I focused on. I can't say I disagree with you in totality.......

Quote
if we are preparing to throw a season away in search of a very high draft pick and a franchise QB (as someone suggested) ... is that not relevant?

Neither Stefanski nor Berry had ever held their respective positions in the NFL before. I believe realistic expectations should have presumed there would be some bumps and bruises along the way. With that in mind I won't say whether I think having both a rookie HC and a rookie GM at the same time was a smart move on the part of Haslam, but that's the factual situation we were in at the time. Speaking for myself I wasn't expecting to get blood out of a turnip. I expected some growing pains. That was the situation going into with this FO and coaching staff. Start from zero and work your way up from there. I believe some of those early years mistakes should have been expected The watson debacle I won't excuse.

The issue is, you don't have a QB until you have a QB. We see teams every year that set themselves up to draft a top rated QB. This isn't a novel situation. For some it solves the bulk of the issues and for some it does not. I think we will have to address the OL moving into future seasons for sure. Depending on the outcome of the Judkins situation we may or may not be set at RB. The D is pretty stout.

But otherwise as you stated, you don't need studs at every position but if the OL and QB positions moving forward pan out it would make it a pretty strong roster overall. Yes I understand there are other positions that would still have needs but that's a situation every team faces.

I'm in wait and see mode and I think my post above pretty much explains why.


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Bottom line is Stefanski and Berry were hamstrung from previous GM and the miss of not selecting Josh Allen as QB in 2018 draft. If a true franchise QB was selected the Browns would be like the Bills in 2025 preparing to attempt to reach and win a super bowl. 2018 draft was a miss as far as drafting a true franchise QB. Then this GM/Coach/Owner tried to buy a franchise QB when one came available. That did not work out due to what? Injury? Loss of talent? Too many off the field issues? All the above? etc... So now they will try again next draft to right that wrong from 2018. They have right now 2 chances. That has made this year's college football season even much more exciting than normal. Tomorrow Clemson QB Cade Klubnik is playing against LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier. That game easily could have next year's Browns QB playing in that game. Then there is Penn State QB Drew Allar, South Carolina's LaNorris Sellers. Maybe our future franchise QB is playing Ohio tomorrow Arch Manning if he comes out. Either way one of the names listed should be our starter next year let's hope this staff or the staff that replaces this staff picks the Josh Allan instead of a head case.


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Stefanski and Berry were rookie hires. We knew they would make mistakes.

One thing I've commended them on is when they made mistakes they corrected making better decisions.

For example, Berry's drafting of DT in the beginning. Now, he has bought in much better talent. You can say the same with WR.

Berry's late round (3rd - 7th) draft selections appear much better today than his beginning years.

I like this years team. He has added a lot of youth. I believe the season will go on how well these young guys produce.

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Today should be fun.

I enjoy watching college QB prospects. Klubnik, Manning and Nussmeier.

All three are top prospects.

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I think AB and KS are clueless about NFL QBs.

They kicked a young, brash, playoff-winning QB to the curb.

They pulled down their pants to sign a malcontent sex offender QB who sat out the entire previous season pouting over HC and FO hires. The haul they gave up was ridiculous. Then doubled down by revamping a reasonably-potent offense to cater to said QBs glaring limitations. Not to mention NOT bringing back Mr Flacco so as to not upset the towel's fragile ego. THEN had the audacity to tell us that the towel gave them the best chance to win.

They sign Pickett and tell us that he's the next Sam Darnold reclamation. Drafted an undersized but well-experienced Gabriel and then the big splash for a guy no one else seemingly wanted. Giving us (4) QBs with the likelihood that the towel will declare himself ready to play later this year and that would lead us to possibly (5) QBs on the 53.

They got back what they wasted on getting Pickett (although a year later) and realized that Sanders isn't going to be ready for awhile. So much so (not ready) that they re-signed Zappe to the PS. You can bet if Flacco and Gabriel are BOTH out, Zappe will be elevated before Sanders takes a snap...he's THAT not-ready.

For the 2026 draft it seems likely that they will draft a QB in Rd 1. He likely will not be deemed "ready" at least the first half of the year. So for 2026 we will take time to develop the new guy AND the Sanders. Will they then roster: the new guy, the towel, Gabriel (as the starter) AND still keep Sanders? Who is then Gabriel's backup?

There is no way in heaven I would trust this clown show to make yet another decision on arguably the most important position in all of sports.

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Originally Posted by WSU Willie
I think AB and KS are clueless about NFL QBs.

They kicked a young, brash, playoff-winning QB to the curb.

They pulled down their pants to sign a malcontent sex offender QB who sat out the entire previous season pouting over HC and FO hires. The haul they gave up was ridiculous. Then doubled down by revamping a reasonably-potent offense to cater to said QBs glaring limitations. Not to mention NOT bringing back Mr Flacco so as to not upset the towel's fragile ego. THEN had the audacity to tell us that the towel gave them the best chance to win.

They sign Pickett and tell us that he's the next Sam Darnold reclamation. Drafted an undersized but well-experienced Gabriel and then the big splash for a guy no one else seemingly wanted. Giving us (4) QBs with the likelihood that the towel will declare himself ready to play later this year and that would lead us to possibly (5) QBs on the 53.

They got back what they wasted on getting Pickett (although a year later) and realized that Sanders isn't going to be ready for awhile. So much so (not ready) that they re-signed Zappe to the PS. You can bet if Flacco and Gabriel are BOTH out, Zappe will be elevated before Sanders takes a snap...he's THAT not-ready.

For the 2026 draft it seems likely that they will draft a QB in Rd 1. He likely will not be deemed "ready" at least the first half of the year. So for 2026 we will take time to develop the new guy AND the Sanders. Will they then roster: the new guy, the towel, Gabriel (as the starter) AND still keep Sanders? Who is then Gabriel's backup?

There is no way in heaven I would trust this clown show to make yet another decision on arguably the most important position in all of sports.

Still think the "clown" is above the GM and HC. Replacing them doesn't fix that. I don't think clown is the right word really. I think business over on the field product is the problem.

Like them, the Haslams were new to the role of NFL team owners. Hopefully they're all learning. I have my doubts. Honestly, I'm a bit worried about how much power J.W. has. Sanders feels like something he'd push for to me. Total publicity/money play just like the Dude Wipes sponsorship stuff. To hell with the on the field results, he's got to grab more quick money. I think he wants the on field results, I just don't think he understands how much the short term money related decisions affect the football.

I think Berry and Stefanski would have preferred to keep Pickett over Sanders. Pickett isn't selling anything in Cleveland, though. Feels like a decision that came down from above to me. Unfortunately, Berry and Stefanski like getting paid. Go against the boss and they're blackballed for life. Being the whipping boys is part of their job to me. I do wonder how much honesty we get from them vs repeating the company lines. I'd guess we get a lot of the latter.

The bad of Sanders and Watson is way too similar to me. Maybe Sanders can fix it. I have my doubts. Stefanski can lead them to water. He can't make them drink it. Both rely too much on hero ball. They are too slow in structure.


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One thing people conveniently leave out when they post such drivel is this......

KS doesn't make the decisions on who the Browns sign to contracts. KS does not control the analytics department. He doesn't control the scouting department or the draft. KS is not the GM nor the owner. He is only the chef who works with the ingredients those above him provide in order to make the meal.

He took Flacco who those above him signed off the couch combined with other QB's whose names most NFL fans don't even know, except for watson for all the wrong reasons and still made the playoffs.

The GM makes the decision on who the Browns sign and draft, not KS. And even at that unless Haslam agrees to sign the check they still wont be signed.

Stop blaming the chef for the ingredients he is provided with.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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It might be unreasonable to assume that KS doesn't have any input into who we draft or sign off the couch or other places. I agree however, he's not the final say. Berry has made a point of saying KS is involved.

Some folks are quick to say, GET HIM OUTTA HERE.. I'm not for that at all. I think he's taken what he's mostly given and done pretty well with it. So I'm all for keeping KS.

I still hold the top of the company at fault for the entire Watson fiasco.

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One problem. KS is the HC. For the vast majority of the year he is coaching the team. It's the scouting department and analytics department that breaks down the film and the numbers to prepare for the draft. That is their job and responsibility. As it pertains to signing players once again it's the analytics department, the salary cap and the GM who make those decisions.

I would think it's logical to believe that KS and even Schwartz tell the FO what style of players they need to fit in their O and D systems. I mean why would you get players that simply don't fit into the system you're running?

But if it were KS making draft decisions why would the Browns waste millions of dollars on an analytics department, a scouting department and a GM to do that same job?

In the draft you never know for sure who is even going to still be on the board at your selection. I find it hard to believe that KS would know enough about all of the players in the draft to be able to work on the fly like that.

Might they ask his opinion on which he would prefer to have among two or three different selections they have in mind? Possibly. But I think it makes far more sense that he would give them the prototypical type of players he wants at each position and then the GM and his supporting staff would take it from there.


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I wouldn't trust Andrew Berry to draft my fantasy football team. Its unreal he still has
Supporters and those who think he is a competent GM.
John Dorsey was a much better GM.
Since AB took over, how QBs have the Browns shuffled through ?
8,9? Berry's draft record is bottom of the barrel. Even his trades
Are lacking merit. How did Elijah Moore turn out ? His FA signings are laughable.
Dionte Johnson , Juan Thornhill .
Your 3 and 14 for a reason . And no solution to the QB room .

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Originally Posted by PitDAWG
One thing people conveniently leave out when they post such drivel is this......
.

You make some good points, but in response to a poster expressing an opinion of the FO you've gone straight to attacking the poster. Thats not cool when you or others do it. Jmo

Berry is responsible for the roster. My opinion is that after 5 years it ain't very good. You said thats largely down to the QB .... Well how many years or decades does Berry get? We had a serviceable QB to win play off games .... He had a bad attitude and was immature. Warts and all he was a better option than anything since .... Do KS or Berry carry ANY blame for not being able to mentor the young problem child ?? As for KS, 1 there is the issue of not being able to reach or mentor bad boy Baker. Two he has shown repeatedly, above average results when there are challenges but poor results when the roster is more loaded.

You can disagree with me or WSU who is more extreme in his condemnation... But there's too much personal attack on the boards already, no need to add to it.


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I totally agree with you - if you offer a differing opinion, you can expect an attack or your team loyalty questioned.

Back to KS, I've said it before, and I'll say it again: KS doesn't want a top 5 QB, he wants a QB to manage his run first and often offensive mentality and limit all other QB mistakes. There's been only one Browns QB to ever throw for over 4,000 yards and that was Brian Sipe way back in 1980. By the way, that was the only year the Browns made the playoffs in his 10-year career with the Browns. Hmmmm

Since Cousins became a starter in 2015, between 2025 and 2022 - Cousins threw for over 4,000 yards every year except the year Stefanski was his OC. It was also Cousins second lowest year as a starter for TD passes. Baker Mayfield's two lowest years for passing yardage (discounting 2022) is 2020 and 2021. In fact, Mayfield has thrown for over 4,000 yards the last two seasons with playoff appearances besting his best season passing yards in Cleveland from 2019. Watson, with all his issues, in the games he started the last 3-years, Watson has averaged the lowest attempts per game than any time in his career. His completion percentage is lower than anytime but his rookie year with the Browns.

Last year, 2024, 4-6 4,000 yd passers made the playoffs (Goff, Mayfield, Darnold and Jackson). In 2023, 9-10 4,000 yd passers made the playoffs: (Tua, Goff, Prescott, Allen, Purdy, Mahomes, Love, Stroud, Mayfield). In 2022, 8-9 4,000 yd passers made the playoffs: (Mahomes, Herbert, Brady, Cousins, Burrow, Allen, Smith, Lawrence). In 2021, 8-10 4,000 yd passers made the playoffs: (Brady, Stafford, Mahomes, Carr, Burrow, Prescott, Allen, Rodgers). In 2020, 6-12 4,000 passers made the playoffs: (Mahomes, Brady, Allen, Rodgers, Wilson, Rivers).

The point is your chances of making the playoffs is greatly enhanced by having a 4,000 yd passer. In Stefanski, that will never happen with his coaching method. It's also "stupid as hell" to continue to acquire "gun slingers" to be game mangers. I'm convinced the Browns will never have a top 5 QB as long as Stefanski is coaching them.


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...so the team with Nick Chubb used Nick Chubb instead of throwing to underwhelming receiving corps? He used prime Dalvin Cook for 1100+ yards and 13 rushing TDs? (Also the season Diggs was traded away prior to.) What possibly could the coach have been thinking? Using your best players? Who does that?

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I didn't say a word that defended Berry. Sadly if he goes so will Stefanski. But if things don't change, and quickly, that's what I expect to happen.

There are a few, very few posters and you know who they are, that do nothing but come here to attack and demean everything from the top down when it comes to this team. They never have a good word to say about anything. Not even players like Garrett. They'll get exactly what they give and I'm not concerned in the least bit about who likes that or not. jmo


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Originally Posted by Iluvmyxstripper
Your 3 and 14 for a reason . And no solution to the QB room .

At least you finally manned up and admitted "you're" not one of us. As if we didn't already know that.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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I don’t bother reading his posts anymore. T-Roll.


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Ditto.


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Yawn.

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What people seem to overlook was the fact that KS was able to adapt the gameplan to fit Joe and the team that was struggling to find offense, were suddenly very formidable. 300 yards out of the box in the loss to the rams. But the rest of the season was something else. Highlighted by the blowout primetime win to secure a playoff spot against the Jets.

Watson by the way never sniffed a 300 yard game.


The mark of a good coach is to adapt the gamelan to the personnel. He won with DTR after the disaster in Baltimore by beating Pittsburgh.

KS gets a lot of grief on this forum, but he can gamelan a strategy that give the Browns a chance to win.


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People doing nothing but attacking or being negative about the administration, are doing just that. Getting personal to attack posters is not fighting fire with fire, its not an equal and opposite counter point, it's simply toxic and endemic of online forums and SM. Jmo also.


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If this is your idea of a personal attack......

Quote
One thing people conveniently leave out when they post such drivel is this......

...... you have set the bar very low. I had no idea your sensibilities were so easily triggered. naughtydevil

jmo


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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Theres a reason why long time posters like OverToad , Diam Dawg
Versatile Dawg , and others dont post here anymore. If you don't agree with
The majority, you get chastised if you have a different opinion
Some on here act like their opinions are the final word

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Hating everything Browns isn't an opinion. It's an agenda. It seems you think people can't see the difference.


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Originally Posted by Iluvmyxstripper
Theres a reason why long time posters like OverToad , Diam Dawg
Versatile Dawg , and others dont post here anymore. If you don't agree with
The majority, you get chastised if you have a different opinion
Some on here act like their opinions are the final word


"Some on here act like their opinions are the final word" - If there was any single person that thought that way it was Versatile Dawg! He chastised anyone with a differing opinion from his.......


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Originally Posted by Iluvmyxstripper
Theres a reason why long time posters like OverToad , Diam Dawg
Versatile Dawg , and others dont post here anymore. If you don't agree with
The majority, you get chastised if you have a different opinion
Some on here act like their opinions are the final word

And some others dont post for the rest of the season after the Browns beat the Bengals on prime time.


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Originally Posted by PitDAWG
Hating everything Browns isn't an opinion. It's an agenda. It seems you think people can't see the difference.

Kind of like a lot of subjects, some even discussed on this board.


If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.

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Originally Posted by Iluvmyxstripper
Theres a reason why long time posters like OverToad , Diam Dawg
Versatile Dawg , and others dont post here anymore. If you don't agree with
The majority, you get chastised if you have a different opinion
Some on here act like their opinions are the final word


I'm not 100% sure, but Diam and Vers were constantly being banned by the site for one thing or another. not sure about Overtoad


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We have our 53 roster.

Now it is time to get it on.

Bengals week one opening day of the 2025 season.

For the first time in a long time. I have no expectations. I don't have a clue on how this team will play.

The camp and entire pre-season there seemed to be an urgency to the way the team prepared. More full pads and tackling.

I like the defense and believe they will be good. The pass rush will be serious.

Offense has many questions but I do see potential. I do not know how well we will run it. That is a in question and it is an important part of KS's offense. The receivers outside of Jeudy is another question. We shall see if potential meets results.

This first game should give us a feel about how this team will perform.

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Originally Posted by dawglover05
And some others dont post for the rest of the season after the Browns beat the Bengals on prime time.


LOL. Bengals fans gotta go lick their wounds.

PIT - your post I commented on was better without your first sentance. And whether people have an agenda or opinions - what does it matter. There are plenty of people I ignore even if they aren't on ignore ... Bengals fan is one of them.


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Originally Posted by Ballpeen
Originally Posted by PitDAWG
Hating everything Browns isn't an opinion. It's an agenda. It seems you think people can't see the difference.

Kind of like a lot of subjects, some even discussed on this board.

True. Only this board isn't named after a person or a political party. This is a Browns board and the Pure Football forum.


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And while I'm not trying to elevate anyone's expectations, the Bengals are notoriously slow starters to the season.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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It's the right time to play Cincy, but I also understand that they've finally ramped up their starters this preseason


"First down inside the 10. A score here will put us in the Super Bowl. Jeudy is far to the left as Njoku settles into the slot. Tillman is flanked out wide to the right. Judkins and Ford are split in the backfield as Flacco takes the snap ... Here we go."
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Originally Posted by Damanshot
Originally Posted by Iluvmyxstripper
Theres a reason why long time posters like OverToad , Diam Dawg
Versatile Dawg , and others dont post here anymore. If you don't agree with
The majority, you get chastised if you have a different opinion
Some on here act like their opinions are the final word


I'm not 100% sure, but Diam and Vers were constantly being banned by the site for one thing or another. not sure about Overtoad

Toad was a great poster and one of my “board friends.” He never once hinted at leaving because of the bickering. Never took anything personally and always had fun and got along with everybody. The reference from stripper was BS.


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Originally Posted by Dawgs4Life
It's the right time to play Cincy, but I also understand that they've finally ramped up their starters this preseason

I agree. It’s a big chip on their shoulder and it does feel different this time. That was a couple years in there where they missed the playoffs because of the slow start. EVERYONE down here is putting their pressure on Zac Taylor. They open against us and JAX this year, so they are going to try and come out with their foot on the gas pedal. There’s no denying the talent of their offense.


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Originally Posted by steve0255
The point is your chances of making the playoffs is greatly enhanced by having a 4,000 yd passer. In Stefanski, that will never happen with his coaching method. It's also "stupid as hell" to continue to acquire "gun slingers" to be game mangers. I'm convinced the Browns will never have a top 5 QB as long as Stefanski is coaching them.


I think the bigger point to make from your post is, it’s very difficult to find a QB that is going to get 4,000 yards in a season… if he does, yes you are more likely to make the playoffs, but only about half the playoff teams have a 4,000 yards passer on average, so if you want to make the playoffs regularly, you might want to figure out a more consistent way to win games.

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Originally Posted by dawglover05
Originally Posted by Damanshot
Originally Posted by Iluvmyxstripper
Theres a reason why long time posters like OverToad , Diam Dawg
Versatile Dawg , and others dont post here anymore. If you don't agree with
The majority, you get chastised if you have a different opinion
Some on here act like their opinions are the final word


I'm not 100% sure, but Diam and Vers were constantly being banned by the site for one thing or another. not sure about Overtoad

Toad was a great poster and one of my “board friends.” He never once hinted at leaving because of the bickering. Never took anything personally and always had fun and got along with everybody. The reference from stripper was BS.

Now that you say that about Toad, I think that's kinda how I remember him as well... My thoughts exactly on Stipper


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Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by steve0255
The point is your chances of making the playoffs is greatly enhanced by having a 4,000 yd passer. In Stefanski, that will never happen with his coaching method. It's also "stupid as hell" to continue to acquire "gun slingers" to be game mangers. I'm convinced the Browns will never have a top 5 QB as long as Stefanski is coaching them.


I think the bigger point to make from your post is, it’s very difficult to find a QB that is going to get 4,000 yards in a season… if he does, yes you are more likely to make the playoffs, but only about half the playoff teams have a 4,000 yards passer on average, so if you want to make the playoffs regularly, you might want to figure out a more consistent way to win games.

So, how many QB's have the Browns had since 1999 that had or have had the true potential since 1999 to be a 4,000-yard passer? That was Mayfield who they just threw away and Watson who has been a total bust. One had the potential where the Browns were unwilling or incapable to develop and the other the Browns couldn't get him to perform or tried to change him. Not many teams get two chances in 5 years and have swings and misses on both.


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What you describe is not that simple.

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Originally Posted by steve0255
Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by steve0255
The point is your chances of making the playoffs is greatly enhanced by having a 4,000 yd passer. In Stefanski, that will never happen with his coaching method. It's also "stupid as hell" to continue to acquire "gun slingers" to be game mangers. I'm convinced the Browns will never have a top 5 QB as long as Stefanski is coaching them.


I think the bigger point to make from your post is, it’s very difficult to find a QB that is going to get 4,000 yards in a season… if he does, yes you are more likely to make the playoffs, but only about half the playoff teams have a 4,000 yards passer on average, so if you want to make the playoffs regularly, you might want to figure out a more consistent way to win games.

So, how many QB's have the Browns had since 1999 that had or have had the true potential since 1999 to be a 4,000-yard passer? That was Mayfield who they just threw away and Watson who has been a total bust. One had the potential where the Browns were unwilling or incapable to develop and the other the Browns couldn't get him to perform or tried to change him. Not many teams get two chances in 5 years and have swings and misses on both.

Same swing and miss… miss on Baker because they swung at Watson. Haslem saw an opportunity, which was only available by the way because of Watson’s flaws that he chose to ignore. Watson is a putz… we all knew how this was going to end.

Moving forward, we can’t rely on the expectations that we will get another opportunity at a 4000 yard passer. We both know it isn’t currently on the team. They will need to be one of the other 20+ teams in the league that don’t have a 4000 yard passer. Stefanski’s system is based on this premise, so it applies to the other 66% of the league. I’d rather have those odds than the guy who is trying to make a 3000 yard passer fit his 4000 yard passer system.

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Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by steve0255
Originally Posted by IrishDawg42
Originally Posted by steve0255
The point is your chances of making the playoffs is greatly enhanced by having a 4,000 yd passer. In Stefanski, that will never happen with his coaching method. It's also "stupid as hell" to continue to acquire "gun slingers" to be game mangers. I'm convinced the Browns will never have a top 5 QB as long as Stefanski is coaching them.


I think the bigger point to make from your post is, it’s very difficult to find a QB that is going to get 4,000 yards in a season… if he does, yes you are more likely to make the playoffs, but only about half the playoff teams have a 4,000 yards passer on average, so if you want to make the playoffs regularly, you might want to figure out a more consistent way to win games.

So, how many QB's have the Browns had since 1999 that had or have had the true potential since 1999 to be a 4,000-yard passer? That was Mayfield who they just threw away and Watson who has been a total bust. One had the potential where the Browns were unwilling or incapable to develop and the other the Browns couldn't get him to perform or tried to change him. Not many teams get two chances in 5 years and have swings and misses on both.

Same swing and miss… miss on Baker because they swung at Watson. Haslem saw an opportunity, which was only available by the way because of Watson’s flaws that he chose to ignore. Watson is a putz… we all knew how this was going to end.

Moving forward, we can’t rely on the expectations that we will get another opportunity at a 4000 yard passer. We both know it isn’t currently on the team. They will need to be one of the other 20+ teams in the league that don’t have a 4000 yard passer. Stefanski’s system is based on this premise, so it applies to the other 66% of the league. I’d rather have those odds than the guy who is trying to make a 3000 yard passer fit his 4000 yard passer system.

Which is the problem from the get-go. The Browns have been relentless in trying to find a 4,000-yard passer the last 5 years, but they are hell bent on making them fit into a 3,000-yard Stefanski passer system.

The premise that not having a 4,000 yd passer increase's your odds of making the playoffs is just a false narrative. The numbers don't lie. In the last 5-years, if a team had a 4,000-yd passer - 74.4% of the time that team made the playoffs. Over the last 5-seasons, 4,000 yd passers accounted for an average per year of 50% of the playoff spots (7). The other 25 teams (on a per yearly average) account or the other 7 playoff spots or roughly a 28% yearly average of making the playoffs with or without a 4,000 yd passer. Currently, the league is averaging 9.2 - 4,000 yd passers per season over the last 5 seasons. Those 9.2 teams are accounting for 7 (50%) of the playoff spots while the other 22.8 teams are accounting for the other 7 (50%) of the playoff slots.

The bigger issue is the AFC North has 3 teams with 4,000-yard capabilities and 1 doesn't. That puts the Browns at a huge disadvantage especially when playing from behind.

As I said, the Browns have had two swings and misses under Stefanski/Berry the last 5-years (6 now). I don't disagree with the premise of going after a 4,000 yd passer because the numbers don't lie. What I have an issue with is a) the Browns total lack of patience with any QB and b) a HC in Stefanski that has a proven history of not wanting that type of offense or more likely, the inability to coach that type of player. A perfect example would be P. Manning who threw 28 interceptions as a rookie - he'd never survive under a HC like Stefanski - look no further than what happened with Mayfield.

Finally, to challenge the below post:
Originally posted by Bull Dog
...so the team with Nick Chubb used Nick Chubb instead of throwing to underwhelming receiving corps? He used prime Dalvin Cook for 1100+ yards and 13 rushing TDs? (Also the season Diggs was traded away prior to.) What possibly could the coach have been thinking? Using your best players? Who does that?

Last season there were six 4,000 yd passers. 4 of them made the playoffs. Detroit had Goff as the 4,000 yd passer with Gibbs rushing for 1,412 yds and Montgomery 775. Tampa bay had Mayfield as the 4,000 yd passer with Irving rushing for 1,122 yds. Minnesota had Darnold as the 4,000 yd passer with Jones rushing for 1,138 yds. Baltimore had Jackson as the 4,000 yds passer and Henry with 1,912 yds rushing.

In 2023, there were ten 4,000 yd passers. 9 of those 10 teams made the playoffs. 9 of the 10 teams had a 1,000 yd rusher either by individual or RB by committee. Missing the rushing goal but made the playoffs was Mayfield 4,044 yds passing/White 990 rushing. The other 9: Tua 4,624 passing/Mostert 994 & Achane 800 rushing, Goff 4,575 passing/Montgomery 1,015 & Gibbs 945 rushing, Prescott 4516 passing/Pollard 1,005 rushing, Allen 4,306 passing/Cook 1,122 rushing, Purdy 4,280 passing/McCaffrey 1,459 yds passing, Mahomes 4,183 passing/Pacheco 935 & Edwards-Helaire 223 rushing, Love 4,159 passing/Jones 652 & Dillon 613 rushing, Stroud 4.108 passing/Singletary 898 & Pierce 416 rushing, and Lawrence 4016 passing/Etienne 1008 rushing (didn't make playoffs).

Bull Dog's post is a false narrative based on the preceding numbers.


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You're the one crafting narratives using numbers without context.

Was Chubb not our best offensive player? Did Dalvin Cook not have those stats? What was false?

Unfortunately for Stefanski, he's had to play the Ravens and Steelers defenses every year. In a cold weather division where none of the teams have domes. (With hurt/backup QBs and otherwise mangled rosters)

Lions- Dome team.
Minnesota- Dome team.
Tampa Bay- in the South, play 2 dome teams in the division, Carolina bottom tier defense. (Saints and Falcons also bad defenses)
Dolphins- in the South, play the Jets and Patriots twice a year, perform much worse at the end of the year in weather.
Cowboys- Dome team
Chiefs- Best QB on the planet

You're not comparing apples to apples. Teams aren't facing the same opponents in the same places.


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Yeah, but if you totally ignore any context...........


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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J/C

None of Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jayden Daniels and Jalen Hurts (conference championship game QBs) threw for 4,000 yards last year. Hurts didn't even break 3,000. Eagles won the Super Bowl.

Jameis Winston threw for more than 5,000 yards in 2019 and missed the playoffs. Raw numbers don't tell the whole story. You can cherry pick numbers to "support" any narrative.


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Originally Posted by Bull Dawg
You're the one crafting narratives using numbers without context.

Was Chubb not our best offensive player? Did Dalvin Cook not have those stats? What was false?

Unfortunately for Stefanski, he's had to play the Ravens and Steelers defenses every year. In a cold weather division where none of the teams have domes. (With hurt/backup QBs and otherwise mangled rosters)

Lions- Dome team.
Minnesota- Dome team.
Tampa Bay- in the South, play 2 dome teams in the division, Carolina bottom tier defense. (Saints and Falcons also bad defenses)
Dolphins- in the South, play the Jets and Patriots twice a year, perform much worse at the end of the year in weather.
Cowboys- Dome team
Chiefs- Best QB on the planet

You're not comparing apples to apples. Teams aren't facing the same opponents in the same places.
Originally Posted by Bull_Dawg
J/C

None of Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jayden Daniels and Jalen Hurts (conference championship game QBs) threw for 4,000 yards last year. Hurts didn't even break 3,000. Eagles won the Super Bowl.

Jameis Winston threw for more than 5,000 yards in 2019 and missed the playoffs. Raw numbers don't tell the whole story. You can cherry pick numbers to "support" any narrative.

You're missing the point.

Nobody said Chubb or Dalvin Cook were not good players. That doesn't mean you cannot have a 4,000 yd passer. Quite the contrary.

Two items on last year's 4,000 yd passers: 1) 6 QB's threw or over 4,000 yds and all had a 1,000 yd rusher or tandem. 4 made the playoffs which is 67%. 2) As far as cherry picking goes, you are quick to point out that Mahomes and Allen were not 4,000 yd passers last year but were in the playoffs which you are correct. What you didn't say or just ignored was both Mahomes and Allen were 4,000 yd passers each of the previous 4 years and made the playoffs. That's an 80% hit on making the playoffs from those two gentlemen when they throw for 4,000 yds or more which falls exactly in line with my statement.

As far as Winston goes, the statement was 9.2 QB's over the last 5 years threw for 4,000 yds or more during a season. 7 of those players (50% of the playoff spots) made the playoffs on average the last 5 years. Nowhere in that statement was it said that 100% of the 4,000 yd passes make the playoffs. The actual number is 74.4% of the time they will make the playoffs while non 4,000 yd passers (22.8 teams average) only have a 30.9% of making the other 7 playoff spots.

Last I checked, Allen, Mahomes, Jackson, Brady, Love, Burrow, and Rodgers all played in similar or worse conditions than the Browns and had 4,000 yd passers with and without 1,000 yd rushers and made the playoffs. In fact, in 22 seasons, Brady made the playoffs 20 times with 14 of those seasons being more than 4,000 yds (70%). Also, Brady threw for more than 4,000 yds in 10 of his last 11 seasons "mostly in bad weather."

The whole point is that having a 4,000 yd passer gives you a 74.4% chance of sealing 50% of the playoff spots with or without a 1,000 yd rusher. If you don't have that passer, your odds decrease to 25.6% for the remaining 7 playoff spots over a 5-year average because 25 teams are competing for those 7 other slots.


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Each year is independent and reaching arbitrary numbers is meaningless. Selected past numbers aren't as predictive as you try to make them on their own. What's "held true" in the past won't necessarily hold going forward. The game is more complex than that. Percentages and trends change. I also think you're playing a little loose with the difference between causation and correlation.

It's also near impossible to have a 4000 yard passer when your QBs are playing less than half a season each. Both Flacco and Winston had stretches where they were on pace to exceed 4k if projected out to 17 games under Stefanski.

Turnover +/- is probably a better indicator.


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What he lacks in context and perspective, he makes up for with long posts.


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I haven’t built a premise that the team has a better chance of making the playoffs without a 4,000 yard passer. I’m just living in the reality that 65% of the league doesn’t have a 4,000 yard passer… including the Browns currently. Having a team that can win without one is the better plan than pretending one is going to magically throw for 4,000 yards and not being prepared when he doesn’t.

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Yeah, when you go through two, three or four QB's in a season, none of them will be 4000 yard passers. That seems to be a factor left out of his equation.


Intoducing for The Cleveland Browns, Quarterback Deshawn "The Predator" Watson. He will also be the one to choose your next head coach.

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the amount of week 1 starters we've had since 1999 is so disheartening (heck, even going back to 2010)


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You do realize 4,000 yds per season averages to about 235 yds per game. If your team's run game averages 125 - 150 yds, that is about 360 - 385 total offense.

To achieve those numbers, your team needs a strong defense, allowing your offense to make those yards.

Sometimes teams play from behind because of a weak defense. They accumulate passing yardage playing catch-up. This reduces the run game numbers.

Having a 4,000-yard QB is not a recipe for winning.

In my opinion, you need efficiency and red-zone scoring to be successful. Defining specific yardage does not yield much.

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Originally Posted by bugs
You do realize 4,000 yds per season averages to about 235 yds per game. If your team's run game averages 125 - 150 yds, that is about 360 - 385 total offense.

To achieve those numbers, your team needs a strong defense, allowing your offense to make those yards.

Sometimes teams play from behind because of a weak defense. They accumulate passing yardage playing catch-up. This reduces the run game numbers.

Having a 4,000-yard QB is not a recipe for winning.

In my opinion, you need efficiency and red-zone scoring to be successful. Defining specific yardage does not yield much.

Except, that over the last 5-years, having a 4,000 yd passer gives you a 74.4% chance of claiming a playoff spot. Over that last 5-years, 9.2 passers per year threw for 4,000 yds and an average of 7 made the playoffs. The stats clearly show that the premise of playing from behind is unfounded due to the high percentage of those teams making the playoffs with winning records. Does it happen, of course it does. As far as running goes, that's displaced too since, for example, all six players who threw for 4,000 yds plus in 2024 had a 1,000 yd rusher or tandem. In 2023, 9 of the 10 had a 1,000 yd rusher or tandem. It's also pretty consistent in the previous years. It does not have to affect the run game numbers. Henry had over 1,800 yds rushing in 2024 with Jackson throwing for over 4,000 yds for example.


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A 1000 yard rusher means they averaged just under 59 yards rushing per game over the course of a 17 game season. The NFL doesn't play 12 game seasons anymore.

I don't think having a 1000 yard rusher means what you think it means.


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Originally Posted by steve0255
Originally Posted by bugs
You do realize 4,000 yds per season averages to about 235 yds per game. If your team's run game averages 125 - 150 yds, that is about 360 - 385 total offense.

To achieve those numbers, your team needs a strong defense, allowing your offense to make those yards.

Sometimes teams play from behind because of a weak defense. They accumulate passing yardage playing catch-up. This reduces the run game numbers.

Having a 4,000-yard QB is not a recipe for winning.

In my opinion, you need efficiency and red-zone scoring to be successful. Defining specific yardage does not yield much.

Except, that over the last 5-years, having a 4,000 yd passer gives you a 74.4% chance of claiming a playoff spot. Over that last 5-years, 9.2 passers per year threw for 4,000 yds and an average of 7 made the playoffs. The stats clearly show that the premise of playing from behind is unfounded due to the high percentage of those teams making the playoffs with winning records. Does it happen, of course it does. As far as running goes, that's displaced too since, for example, all six players who threw for 4,000 yds plus in 2024 had a 1,000 yd rusher or tandem. In 2023, 9 of the 10 had a 1,000 yd rusher or tandem. It's also pretty consistent in the previous years. It does not have to affect the run game numbers. Henry had over 1,800 yds rushing in 2024 with Jackson throwing for over 4,000 yds for example.

You keep using the present tense when talking about the past. You also keep using an active verb which implies causation.

A team having a 4,000 yard passer ended up in a playoff spot 74.4 % of the time during your time frame. But, there's no direct causation between the two. Most of the league leans toward the passing game. The better teams make the playoffs. Is it the arbitrary yardage number, or is it simply the fact that they're the better team and they happen to pass a lot? Good teams also tend to play from ahead which allows them to run more.


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You still haven't proven whether teams that have a QB who throws 4000 yds are the reason they make the playoffs.

I can conclude that teams with a pass rusher who has over 12 sacks in a season have a high probability of making the playoffs. In the last five Super Bowls, KC, LA, TB, and Philly had the pass rusher! That's 100%!

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Originally Posted by bugs
You still haven't proven whether teams that have a QB who throws 4000 yds are the reason they make the playoffs.

I can conclude that teams with a pass rusher who has over 12 sacks in a season have a high probability of making the playoffs. In the last five Super Bowls, KC, LA, TB, and Philly had the pass rusher! That's 100%!


Where I took my numbers from was the most productive league passers (using 4,000 yds as a base) in yardage each season for 5 years and the probability of them making the playoffs. That number produced a factor of 74.4% probability over that 5-year period. That high of a probability factor certainly weighs heavily in that team's ability to secure a playoff spot - on average 50% of the slots over 5-years.

In your pass rusher scenario, you arbitrarily picked a sack number that would include your players to make the point. However, if you were truthful and not cherry picking - you would have picked a baseline to only include the elite pass rushers and their performance in sacks contributing to a playoff position. For example (using a baseline of 14.0):

in 2024, only Hendrickson CIN (17.5) and Garrett (14.0) met the base and NEITHER made it to the playoffs. 0-2
In 2023, 7 players met the baseline of 14: JJ Watt PIT (19.0), Hendrickson CIN (17.5), Mack LAC (17.0), Hunter MIN (16.5), Crosby LVR (14.5), Parsons DAL (14.0), and Garrett CLE (14.0).
Of the seven, only 3 - JJ Watt PIT, Parsons DAL, and Garrett CLE made the playoffs. The other 4 did not. 3-7
In 2022, 5 players met the baseline of 14: Bosa SFO (18.5), Reddick PHI (16.0), Jones KCC (15.5), Judson NEP (15.5), and Highsmith PIT (14.5). Of the five, only 3 - Bosa SFO, Reddick PHI, and Jones KCC made the playoffs. 3-5
In 2021, 5 players met the baseline of 14: JJ Watt PIT (22.5), Quinn CHI (18.5), Garrett CLE (16.0), Bosa SFO (15.5), and Hendrickson CIN (14.0). Of the five, only 3 - JJ Watt PIT, Bosa SFO, and Hendrickson CIN made the playoffs. 3-5
In 2020, only JJ Watts met the baseline of 14 with 15.0 sacks. PIT made the playoffs. 1-1

The five-year totals are 10-20. Of the top pass rushers over a 5-year period, only 50% of their teams made the playoffs.


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https://www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/offense/rushing/2024/reg/all

https://www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/defense/rushing/2024/reg/all

As much as the game has changed the fundamentals remain the same. Running the football and stopping the run. Teams that do those two things the best are always top teams. If you look at total yards rushing as a team stats last year 5 of the top 6 teams and 7 of the top 10 were all playoff teams. And 9 of the top 10 teams rushing defenses all made the playoffs.


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Rush the ball and stop the run. That was the Steelers philosophy since 1970 when Chuck Noll was the coach and they've been consistently competitive over the years. Their record and championships in that time are proof.

Pdawg #2119500 09/04/25 08:37 AM
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Originally Posted by steve0255
Where I took my numbers from was the most productive league passers (using 4,000 yds as a base) in yardage each season for 5 years and the probability of them making the playoffs. That number produced a factor of 74.4% probability over that 5-year period. That high of a probability factor certainly weighs heavily in that team's ability to secure a playoff spot - on average 50% of the slots over 5-years.


Go figure. The most productive QBs make the playoffs regularly.

How often does the most productive passer (by yardage) win the Superbowl? From the formation of the league through 2020, it never happened. (Brady did do it in Tampa)

Only looking at 5 years, and only looking at QBs over your arbitrary number leaves you with a rather small sample size.

Having one QB for an entire season goes a long way in allowing a team's QB to reach 4k.

I imagine teams that had no QB start more than 7 games in a season almost never make the playoffs. Again, go figure.

Elite QBs make the playoffs. Unfortunately, there are only so many elite QBs. We probably could have gotten 4k yards passing playing Winston all year, but also would have had a ridiculous number of turnovers. Teams with elite QBs throw more (effectively.) It's not the 4k yards itself, it's that the good/great QBs get there effectively. If a QB is throwing a bunch of picks, they usually get benched.


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Originally Posted by steve0255
Originally Posted by bugs
You still haven't proven whether teams that have a QB who throws 4000 yds are the reason they make the playoffs.

I can conclude that teams with a pass rusher who has over 12 sacks in a season have a high probability of making the playoffs. In the last five Super Bowls, KC, LA, TB, and Philly had the pass rusher! That's 100%!


Where I took my numbers from was the most productive league passers (using 4,000 yds as a base) in yardage each season for 5 years and the probability of them making the playoffs. That number produced a factor of 74.4% probability over that 5-year period. That high of a probability factor certainly weighs heavily in that team's ability to secure a playoff spot - on average 50% of the slots over 5-years.

In your pass rusher scenario, you arbitrarily picked a sack number that would include your players to make the point. However, if you were truthful and not cherry picking - you would have picked a baseline to only include the elite pass rushers and their performance in sacks contributing to a playoff position. For example (using a baseline of 14.0):

in 2024, only Hendrickson CIN (17.5) and Garrett (14.0) met the base and NEITHER made it to the playoffs. 0-2
In 2023, 7 players met the baseline of 14: JJ Watt PIT (19.0), Hendrickson CIN (17.5), Mack LAC (17.0), Hunter MIN (16.5), Crosby LVR (14.5), Parsons DAL (14.0), and Garrett CLE (14.0).
Of the seven, only 3 - JJ Watt PIT, Parsons DAL, and Garrett CLE made the playoffs. The other 4 did not. 3-7
In 2022, 5 players met the baseline of 14: Bosa SFO (18.5), Reddick PHI (16.0), Jones KCC (15.5), Judson NEP (15.5), and Highsmith PIT (14.5). Of the five, only 3 - Bosa SFO, Reddick PHI, and Jones KCC made the playoffs. 3-5
In 2021, 5 players met the baseline of 14: JJ Watt PIT (22.5), Quinn CHI (18.5), Garrett CLE (16.0), Bosa SFO (15.5), and Hendrickson CIN (14.0). Of the five, only 3 - JJ Watt PIT, Bosa SFO, and Hendrickson CIN made the playoffs. 3-5
In 2020, only JJ Watts met the baseline of 14 with 15.0 sacks. PIT made the playoffs. 1-1

The five-year totals are 10-20. Of the top pass rushers over a 5-year period, only 50% of their teams made the playoffs.

Not sure a 5 year period does a study justice, lets look at 10 years:

In 10 years, 36 QBs have achieved 4000 yard seasons
Name #season playoffs # years pro
Tua Tagovailoa 1 1 5
Joe Burrow 3 2 5
Baker Mayfield 2 2 7
Geno Smith 2 1 10
Jared Goff 5 3 9
Sam darnold 1 1 7
Lamar Jackson 1 1 7
Dak Prescott 3 2 9
Josh Allen 4 4 7
Brock Purdy 1 1 3
Patrick Mahomes 6 6 8
Jordan Love 1 1 4
CJ Stroud 1 1 2
Trevor Lawrence 2 1 4
Justin Herbert 3 1 5
Tom Brady 7 7 8
Kirk Cousins 7 2 10
Matthew Stafford 5 2 10
Derek Carr 4 1 10
Aaron Rodgers 5 4 10
Deshaunn Watson 2 1 7
Matt Ryan 6 2 8
Russell Wilson 4 4 10
Philip Rivers 6 2 6
Jameis Winston 3 0 10
Carson Wentz 1 1 9
Ben Roethlisberger 2 1 7
Andrew Luck 2 1 3
Eli Manning 3 1 5
Drew Brees 3 1 6
Alex Smith 1 1 6
Joe Flacco 1 0 10
Carson Palmer 2 1 3
Andy Dalton 1 0 10
Blake Bortles 1 0 5
Ryan Tannehill 1 0 9
Totals 103 60
58.5% playoffs

Sorry that I couldn't post this better, but the numbers don't necessarily back up your argument. If anyone can tell me how to post a spreadsheet, I'll fix this.

There are only TWO names on this list that show you that you can say there is a correlation between 4,000 yards passing and the playoffs. Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes..

Recent names like Josh Allen, has made the playoffs whether throwing for 4,000 yards or not..

Philip Rivers made the 4,000 yard club 6 times out of 6 years in this study, but only made the playoffs 2 times during those years.

Again, I wish the chart were better laid out, but please explain these numbers in better detail to show where your theory holds any water...

Last edited by IrishDawg42; 09/04/25 10:35 AM.
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