The draft is its own animal.
It all comes down to what teams see in prospects.
The way I see it is the biggest doubt about Simpson is lack of game experience.
In addition he is not an overwhelming athlete. Nothing is exceptional.
Yes of course quarterbacks get pushed up.
My guess is he goes somewhere after 20 in the first round. The Rams, Jets, Steelers, and Browns are all teams that may take him.
My contention is, if he goes anywhere after the 20th pick, he has a second round grade on him. Teams give out round grades and most of them don't have 20 first round graded players. They don't make the cutoff at the 32nd player on their board. If a QB shows a strong probability to be a first or second year starter with high ceiling, they are a first round grade and are typically taken in the top 5 picks. If a player has a possibility of being a starter by their 3rd year, but you can't really pinpoint a ceiling, they are typically second round or lower grades. Doesn't mean they will last to the second round. Teams looking for a project behind their aging veteran are looking for these types of players because they are usually nowhere near the top ten in order to draft one.
Any QB taken outside the top ten.. there is a really good probability whoever drafts them has not found their guy. Obviously anyone can come up with examples, but for every example over the past 20 years, you can come up with ten more that didn't make it in the top two rounds. 10% chance is not great odds.
